Points
Chance Will Win Championship

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will win titleLeague OneChance will finish season at seedConference
SaturdayPGW-D-LGD%Change%Change123456789101112131415161718192021222324Avg.Change%ChangeRPIStrengthTuesday
NorthamptonTExeter 0-08926-11-532Yes+0.3Yes1001.0No1.642CrawleyNorthampton
Oxford UtdLLuton 2-37621-13-836No-0.371.5%-15.34626169303.0-0.46No3.662at NewportOxford Utd
Bristol RoversWYeovil 2-17523-6-1325No53.9+19.02628231660003.5+0.53No4.616at StevenageBristol Rovers
AccringtonTMorecambe 2-27521-12-921No-0.041.9-11.31824262291003.8-0.26No2.594at HartlepoolAccrington
PlymouthWPortsmouth 2-17422-8-1220No26.7+18.191724311610004.3+0.91No6.600at Leyton OrientPlymouth
PortsmouthLPlymouth 1-269118-15-830No6.0-10.62491849152000005.6-0.78No5.644at YorkPortsmouth
WimbledonWCrawley 1-065118-11-1211No0.1+0.0001315571363110007.2+0.43No8.548at Dag & RedWimbledon
ExeterTNorthampton 0-06317-12-134NoNo-0.00007232016131064009.8-0.34No7.514MansfieldExeter
WycombeTBarnet 1-16317-12-136No0.000006192019161163009.9-0.54No12.531YeovilWycombe
Leyton OrientWDag & Red 3-26317-12-130No0.0000081819171511841010.0+0.45No11.494PlymouthLeyton Orient
CarlisleTCambridge 0-06115-16-112NoNo-0.003111416161513103010.9-0.13No9.504LutonCarlisle
CambridgeTCarlisle 0-06016-12-143NoNo-0.00169121517181660011.7-0.77No13.509MorecambeCambridge
MansfieldWNotts County 5-05916-11-158NoNo015710121619191100012.1+0.47No10.535at ExeterMansfield
LutonWOxford Utd 3-25917-8-170NoNo00257101521281200012.6+0.92No14.494at CarlisleLuton
BarnetTWycombe 1-15515-10-17-5NoNo000124917615100014.5-0.30No15.471Notts CountyBarnet
HartlepoolWYork 2-15115-6-21-13NoNo000004572610200016.5+0.62No18.430AccringtonHartlepool
Notts CountyLMansfield 0-54813-9-20-22NoNo0022133241451017.5-0.44No17.395at BarnetNotts County
CrawleyLWimbledon 0-14713-8-21-25NoNo00111233022103018.0-0.26No16.374at NorthamptonCrawley
MorecambeTAccrington 2-24412-8-22-12NoNo041222301810418.9+0.23No-0.019.446at CambridgeMorecambe
YeovilLBristol Rovers 1-24310-13-19-16NoNo01371531261720.2-0.30No-0.021.404at WycombeYeovil
StevenageWNewport 2-14210-12-20-18NoNo01410203133020.7+0.470.0%-0.522.408Bristol RoversStevenage
NewportLStevenage 1-24110-11-21-19NoNo0126162946021.1-0.410.0-0.120.394Oxford UtdNewport
YorkLHartlepool 1-2306-12-24-32NoNo00693123.3-0.01100.0+0.524.352PortsmouthYork
Dag & RedLLeyton Orient 2-3286-10-26-36NoNo316923.7Yes+0.123.324WimbledonDag & Red

To update, cc this data to: scs-bgix@snkmail.com

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 4/16
Oxford Utd 2 Luton 3
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League One100.0*Conference100.0*Average seed
Northampton+0.3
Oxford Utd-0.3
-16.0
-0.5
Bristol Rovers+5.5
Accrington+4.9
+0.2
Plymouth+2.2
Portsmouth+3.4
Cambridge-0.2
Mansfield-0.2
Luton+1.1
Barnet-0.2
Exeter 0 Northampton 0
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League One100.0*Conference100.0*Average seed
Exeter-0.1
Accrington 2 Morecambe 2
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League One100.0*Conference100.0*Average seed
Oxford Utd+2.0
Bristol Rovers+5.3
AccringtonNo
-11.8
-0.3
Plymouth+1.7
Portsmouth+2.9
Morecambe+0.1
Wimbledon 1 Crawley 0
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League One100.0*Conference100.0*Average seed
Wimbledon+0.4
Crawley-0.3
Portsmouth 1 Plymouth 2
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League One100.0*Conference100.0*Average seed
Oxford Utd-0.2
Bristol Rovers-0.5
Accrington-0.9
Plymouth+13.5
+0.8
Portsmouth-12.0
-0.8
Leyton Orient*No
Bristol Rovers 2 Yeovil 1
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League One100.0*Conference100.0*Average seed
Oxford Utd-1.9
Bristol Rovers+9.7
+0.3
Accrington-4.6
Plymouth-1.3
Portsmouth-1.9
Leyton Orient*No
Yeovil-0.3
Stevenage 2 Newport 1
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League One100.0*Conference100.0*Average seed
Stevenage-0.4
+0.4
Newport-0.5
York+0.3
Hartlepool 2 York 1
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League One100.0*Conference100.0*Average seed
Hartlepool+0.4
Stevenage-0.3
York+0.4
Leyton Orient 3 Dag & Red 2
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League One100.0*Conference100.0*Average seed
Leyton Orient+0.6
York+0.1
Dag & Red-0.1
Cambridge 0 Carlisle 0
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League One100.0*Conference100.0*Average seed
Carlisle+0.1
Cambridge-0.4
Wycombe 1 Barnet 1
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League One100.0*Conference100.0*Average seed
Wycombe-0.4
Barnet-0.0
Mansfield 5 Notts County 0
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League One100.0*Conference100.0*Average seed
Mansfield+0.6
Notts County-0.3
Stevenage vs Bristol RoversIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League One100.0*Conference100.0*Average seed
Oxford Utd76.973.666.4
2.82.93.1
Bristol Rovers32.646.973.1
4.13.73.0
Accrington49.744.334.9
3.63.84.0
Plymouth32.728.621.2
4.24.34.5
StevenageNoNo0.0
20.020.821.2
Hartlepool vs AccringtonHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League One100.0*Conference100.0*Average seed
Oxford Utd76.973.865.5
2.82.93.1
Bristol Rovers61.156.446.3
3.33.43.7
Accrington22.334.962.6
4.44.03.2
Plymouth31.828.421.2
4.24.34.5
Newport vs Oxford UtdHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League One100.0*Conference100.0*Average seed
Oxford Utd50.464.785.8
3.63.22.6
Bristol Rovers60.156.049.6
3.33.43.6
Accrington48.844.337.1
3.63.84.0
Plymouth32.728.322.7
4.24.34.4
NewportNo0.00.0
20.421.121.4
Leyton Orient vs PlymouthHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League One100.0*Conference100.0*Average seed
Oxford Utd75.773.166.0
2.92.93.1
Bristol Rovers59.055.947.2
3.43.53.7
Accrington46.643.535.8
3.73.84.0
Plymouth11.620.946.4
4.84.53.7
Leyton Orient9.010.210.9
York vs PortsmouthHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League One100.0*Conference100.0*Average seed
Portsmouth0.92.510.2
6.25.95.3
Stevenage0.0NoNo
Newport0.1NoNo
York99.9YesYes
23.123.323.4
Cambridge vs MorecambeHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League One100.0*Conference100.0*Average seed
Cambridge11.012.312.9
Morecambe19.318.918.0
Wycombe vs YeovilHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League One100.0*Conference100.0*Average seed
Wycombe9.210.511.2
Yeovil20.620.119.2
Carlisle vs LutonHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League One100.0*Conference100.0*Average seed
Carlisle10.011.412.3
Luton13.412.611.2
Exeter vs MansfieldHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League One100.0*Conference100.0*Average seed
Exeter8.910.111.1
Mansfield12.912.210.8
Week of 4/23
Bristol Rovers vs ExeterIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League One100.0*Conference100.0*Average seed
Oxford Utd67.574.877.9
3.12.92.8
Bristol Rovers69.142.328.7
3.13.84.2
Accrington36.446.051.1
4.03.73.6
Plymouth22.329.933.9
4.44.24.1
Exeter10.39.78.6
Oxford Utd vs HartlepoolHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League One100.0*Conference100.0*Average seed
Oxford Utd82.459.645.4
2.73.33.7
Bristol Rovers50.657.561.6
3.63.43.3
Accrington38.246.050.4
3.93.73.6
Plymouth23.729.734.1
4.44.24.1
Accrington vs YorkHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League One100.0*Conference100.0*Average seed
Oxford Utd68.275.878.4
3.12.92.8
Bristol Rovers49.759.263.1
3.63.43.3
Accrington53.327.316.7
3.54.24.6
Plymouth23.630.533.4
4.44.24.1
StevenageNoNo0.1
NewportNoNo0.2
YorkYesYes99.8
23.423.323.1
Plymouth vs Dag & RedHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League One100.0*Conference100.0*Average seed
Oxford Utd69.274.976.8
3.02.92.8
Bristol Rovers51.158.160.3
3.63.43.3
Accrington39.345.647.9
3.93.73.6
Plymouth35.014.17.4
4.04.85.1
Wimbledon vs PortsmouthHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League One100.0*Conference100.0*Average seed
Portsmouth1.33.413.2
6.15.75.0
Portsmouth vs WycombeHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League One100.0*Conference100.0*Average seed
Portsmouth9.62.30.8
5.35.96.2
Wycombe10.59.88.6
Wimbledon vs Leyton OrientHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League One100.0*Conference100.0*Average seed
Leyton Orient10.69.98.7
Luton vs NewportHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League One100.0*Conference100.0*Average seed
Luton12.013.213.7
Newport0.00.0No
21.421.120.3
Notts County vs CambridgeHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League One100.0*Conference100.0*Average seed
Cambridge12.612.010.6
Morecambe vs StevenageHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League One100.0*Conference100.0*Average seed
Morecambe18.319.220.0
Stevenage0.0NoNo
21.220.719.7
Crawley vs CarlisleHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League One100.0*Conference100.0*Average seed
Carlisle11.911.29.9
Crawley17.418.218.6
Mansfield vs BarnetHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League One100.0*Conference100.0*Average seed
Mansfield11.412.613.4
Barnet14.914.513.5
Yeovil vs NorthamptonHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League One100.0*Conference100.0*Average seed
Yeovil19.320.220.7

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you bgix, bjartur for adding this league.