Points
Chance Will Win Championship

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will win titleLeague OneChance will finish season at seedConference
SaturdayPGW-D-LGD%Change%Change123456789101112131415161718192021222324Avg.Change%ChangeRPIStrengthTuesday
Northamptonat Leyton Orient61319-4-52067.8%+0.095.7%+0.1682083100000000000001.5No2.605at Oxford UtdNorthampton
PlymouthMansfield56217-5-71715.4+0.072.5+0.41533241374210000000000002.9+0.02No4.602Plymouth
Oxford Utdat Morecambe52314-10-41911.7+0.163.5+0.7122626169532100000000000003.3+0.03No1.614NorthamptonOxford Utd
AccringtonCrawley45513-6-7122.9-0.029.2-0.1310161916118643211000000000005.1+0.020.0%3.563CarlisleAccrington
PortsmouthBristol Rovers45311-12-5201.2-0.016.9+0.2151116161411864321100000000006.0+0.060.05.619Portsmouth
Bristol Roversat Portsmouth47214-5-10100.5+0.010.1+0.2137121515131086432100000000006.7+0.060.06.557Bristol Rovers
WycombeExeter46213-7-960.1-0.03.1+0.1012581011121110975421000000008.8+0.070.011.532Wycombe
Mansfieldat Plymouth4813-9-990.1+0.02.2+0.0002471012121211108532100000008.9+0.070.08.546Mansfield
Leyton OrientNorthampton46112-10-850.11.9+0.1001368101212111096431100000009.3+0.080.07.518Leyton Orient
WimbledonLuton42311-9-870.11.9+0.000135791011111198542100000009.7+0.070.012.532Wimbledon
CarlisleLNewport 0-142411-9-740.1-0.12.0-1.700235791011111098642110000009.8-0.770.09.511at AccringtonCarlisle
Cambridgeat Stevenage44112-8-1030.00.5+0.0000124679111212129742100000011.2+0.060.013.507Cambridge
Exeterat Wycombe40311-7-10-10.0+0.00.3+0.00001123568101112121085310000012.4+0.040.010.483at YorkExeter
Notts Countyat York36410-6-11-60.00.10000011234681113141310742100014.20.0+0.015.455at HartlepoolNotts County
Lutonat Wimbledon38110-8-1210.00.0+0.00000001234691114151310731000014.3+0.010.0+0.014.496Luton
MorecambeOxford Utd36110-6-14-30.00.00000000112347101316161384200015.8-0.020.1+0.016.475Morecambe
Crawleyat Accrington37111-4-15-130.00.00000000011235811151717126210016.5-0.030.2+0.018.414Crawley
Barnetat Dag & Red3339-6-13-80.00.00000000011235710131617137310016.7-0.060.4+0.017.441Barnet
NewportWCarlisle 1-03027-9-13-100.00.00000000000001236101521191373118.9+0.613.2-3.319.427Newport
StevenageCambridge317-10-14-14No0.0000000000000113510182419125119.8-0.106.1+0.320.416Stevenage
HartlepoolYeovil2457-3-16-190.00.0000000000000001125916222115821.1-0.0823.1+0.621.361Notts CountyHartlepool
Yeovilat Hartlepool2425-9-15-14No0.000000000000001137132025191121.5-0.0729.9+0.723.401Yeovil
YorkNotts County2034-8-16-23No0.0000000000000000124917293822.8-0.0467.1+0.924.355ExeterYork
Dag & RedBarnet2024-8-17-22NoNo00000000000000014816294122.9-0.0369.8+0.822.362Dag & Red

To update, cc this data to: scs-bgix@snkmail.com

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 2/13
Newport 1 Carlisle 0
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League One100.0*Conference100.0*Average seed
Plymouth+0.3
Oxford Utd+0.4
Accrington+0.2
Portsmouth+0.2
Mansfield+0.1
Leyton Orient+0.1
Carlisle-1.6
-0.7
Newport-3.1
+0.5
Stevenage+0.2
-0.1
Hartlepool+0.5
Yeovil+0.7
York+0.8
Dag & Red+0.8
Oxford Utd vs NorthamptonIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League One100.0*Conference100.0*Average seed
Northampton60.369.980.6
94.096.398.5
1.71.51.3
Plymouth17.116.011.5
71.273.374.3
Oxford Utd16.98.84.3
71.359.252.2
2.93.53.9
Leyton Orient vs NorthamptonHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League One100.0*Conference100.0*Average seed
Northampton61.066.776.7
93.8*95.798.0
1.71.51.3
Plymouth18.616.011.3
Oxford Utd14.112.18.6
63.663.763.3
Leyton Orient3.11.30.8
NoNo0.0
8.59.610.1
Plymouth vs MansfieldHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League One100.0*Conference100.0*Average seed
Northampton65.069.971.8
95.495.996.1
1.61.51.5
Plymouth19.512.59.6
79.368.661.8
2.63.13.4
Mansfield1.02.04.9
9.48.87.8
Morecambe vs Oxford UtdHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League One100.0*Conference100.0*Average seed
Northampton70.468.864.8
96.195.895.2
1.51.51.6
Oxford Utd7.810.216.3
54.961.472.8
3.73.42.9
Morecambe0.0NoNo
15.116.016.5
Accrington vs CarlisleHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League One100.0*Conference100.0*Average seed
Accrington4.12.11.4
35.625.019.9
NoNo0.0
4.65.45.9
Carlisle1.11.94.2
0.0NoNo
10.39.78.6
Accrington vs CrawleyHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League One100.0*Conference100.0*Average seed
Accrington3.92.01.4
34.524.119.4
NoNo0.0
4.75.55.9
CrawleyNoNo0.0
16.916.415.5
Portsmouth vs Bristol RoversHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League One100.0*Conference100.0*Average seed
Portsmouth1.70.70.4
22.013.49.4
NoNo0.0
5.56.47.0
Bristol Rovers0.30.51.2
6.7*10.118.0
7.26.65.7
Wycombe vs ExeterHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League One100.0*Conference100.0*Average seed
Wycombe4.42.01.3
NoNo0.0
8.19.29.8
Exeter0.10.20.6
12.912.311.2
Wimbledon vs LutonHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League One100.0*Conference100.0*Average seed
Wimbledon2.71.20.8
NoNo0.0
9.010.110.8
LutonNo0.00.0
14.814.213.1
Stevenage vs CambridgeHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League One100.0*Conference100.0*Average seed
Cambridge0.20.30.9
0.0NoNo
11.911.310.2
Stevenage0.0NoNo
2.96.59.4
19.320.020.3
York vs ExeterHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League One100.0*Conference100.0*Average seed
Exeter0.10.20.5
13.212.611.5
Yeovil33.029.227.4
21.621.521.4
York57.269.475.0
22.422.923.0
Hartlepool vs Notts CountyHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League One100.0*Conference100.0*Average seed
Notts County14.914.313.3
Hartlepool0.0NoNo
0.0NoNo
15.824.830.3
20.621.221.5
York vs Notts CountyHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League One100.0*Conference100.0*Average seed
Notts County14.914.313.3
Yeovil32.829.127.3
21.521.521.4
York57.769.875.3
22.522.923.1
Dag & Red vs BarnetHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League One100.0*Conference100.0*Average seed
BarnetNoNo0.0
0.80.40.1
17.316.815.9
Yeovil32.628.927.3
Dag & Red61.072.978.2
22.623.023.2
Hartlepool vs YeovilHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League One100.0*Conference100.0*Average seed
Hartlepool0.0NoNo
0.0NoNo
15.125.533.6
20.621.221.6
YeovilNo*No0.0
37.929.217.8
21.921.520.9
Week of 2/20
Northampton vs WycombeIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League One100.0*Conference100.0*Average seed
Northampton74.163.657.6
97.594.792.4
1.41.61.7
Plymouth12.617.420.0
*72.572.772.4
Oxford Utd9.513.315.2
*63.563.863.4
Wycombe0.00.10.3
1.92.96.2
0.0No*No
9.28.77.7
York vs NorthamptonHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League One100.0*Conference100.0*Average seed
Northampton58.664.474.7
92.995.097.6
1.71.61.4
Plymouth19.717.012.3
73.072.772.2
2.82.93.0
Oxford Utd15.012.99.3
64.163.763.2
3.33.33.4
Yeovil33.629.727.9
21.621.521.4
York55.367.673.4
22.422.823.0
Crawley vs PlymouthHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League One100.0*Conference100.0*Average seed
Northampton71.569.364.1
96.195.895.3
1.51.51.6
Plymouth10.213.320.7
64.170.280.4
3.33.02.6
Crawley0.0NoNo
0.00.20.3
15.716.617.1
Yeovil vs PlymouthHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League One100.0*Conference100.0*Average seed
Northampton71.469.464.2
96.195.895.3
1.51.51.6
Plymouth10.213.220.5
64.070.080.3
3.33.02.6
Yeovil0.0*NoNo
20.130.536.7
21.021.521.8
York70.366.964.9
22.922.822.7
Dag & Red72.969.667.6
23.022.922.8
Oxford Utd vs AccringtonHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League One100.0*Conference100.0*Average seed
Oxford Utd15.39.36.7
72.459.149.1
2.93.53.9
Accrington1.72.95.6
22.130.243.5
0.0NoNo
5.55.04.3
Exeter vs Oxford UtdHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League One100.0*Conference100.0*Average seed
Northampton70.368.864.8
96.195.895.2
1.51.51.6
Oxford Utd7.910.316.4
54.961.573.0
3.73.42.9
Exeter0.50.20.1
11.512.613.1
Accrington vs Notts CountyHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League One100.0*Conference100.0*Average seed
Accrington4.02.01.4
34.924.619.9
NoNo0.0
4.75.45.9
Notts County14.614.113.1
Barnet vs PortsmouthHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League One100.0*Conference100.0*Average seed
Portsmouth0.50.81.9
11.114.523.0
0.0NoNo
6.76.25.4
Barnet0.0NoNo
0.10.40.7
15.916.817.2
Yeovil vs PortsmouthHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League One100.0*Conference100.0*Average seed
Portsmouth0.50.81.8
10.714.022.4
0.0NoNo
6.86.35.4
Yeovil0.0*NoNo
19.730.036.1
21.021.521.8
York70.4*67.165.1
22.922.822.7
Dag & Red73.169.767.8
23.022.922.8
Bristol Rovers vs MorecambeHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League One100.0*Conference100.0*Average seed
Bristol Rovers0.80.30.2
13.47.45.2
No*No0.0
6.27.17.6
MorecambeNoNo0.0
16.315.814.8
Wimbledon vs CarlisleHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League One100.0*Conference100.0*Average seed
Wimbledon2.81.20.8
No0.00.0
9.010.110.8
Carlisle1.21.93.9
0.0NoNo
10.39.78.6
Notts County vs Leyton OrientHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League One100.0*Conference100.0*Average seed
Leyton Orient0.91.53.4
0.0NoNo
10.09.48.3
Notts County13.414.415.0
Barnet vs WimbledonHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League One100.0*Conference100.0*Average seed
Wimbledon1.01.53.3
0.00.0No
10.49.88.8
Barnet0.0NoNo
0.1*0.50.8
16.016.917.3
Carlisle vs StevenageHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League One100.0*Conference100.0*Average seed
Carlisle2.81.30.8
No0.00.0
9.210.210.8
StevenageNoNo0.0
7.85.42.3
20.119.819.1
Mansfield vs Dag & RedHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League One100.0*Conference100.0*Average seed
Mansfield3.01.20.8
8.39.410.0
Yeovil28.530.434.3
21.421.521.6
Dag & Red74.068.355.9
23.022.822.4
Exeter vs NewportHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League One100.0*Conference100.0*Average seed
Exeter0.40.10.1
11.712.813.4
NewportNoNo0.0
4.32.91.2
19.318.918.1
Cambridge vs YorkHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League One100.0*Conference100.0*Average seed
Cambridge0.70.20.1
No0.00.0
10.611.712.3
Yeovil28.430.334.2
21.421.521.6
YorkNo*No0.0
71.865.953.4
22.922.722.3
Luton vs HartlepoolHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League One100.0*Conference100.0*Average seed
Luton0.0NoNo
13.714.715.2
HartlepoolNoNo0.0
NoNo0.1
26.821.713.5
21.321.020.4

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you bgix, bjartur for adding this league.