How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 10/20100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
Chelsea 2 Manchester United 2 -3.3
-4.2
-0.0
-0.3
Huddersfield Town 0 Liverpool 1 -1.5
-0.6
-0.1
Manchester City 5 Burnley 0 -1.0
-0.4
-0.0
West Ham United 0 Tottenham Hotspur 1 -0.7
-1.2
-0.1
Arsenal 3 Leicester City 1 -0.2
-0.9
Wolverhampton 0 Watford 2 +0.1
+0.6
Bournemouth 0 Southampton 0 +0.1
+0.5
Everton 2 Crystal Palace 0 -0.2
Newcastle United 0 Brighton & Hove 1 -0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 10/27100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
Burnley vs Chelsea-3.2-1.2+3.6
-7.3-2.0+7.7
-0.4-0.1+0.4
Liverpool vs Cardiff City-0.6+0.9+1.6
-0.4+0.5+1.0
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Tottenham Hotspur vs Manchester City+0.4+0.4-1.0
-0.8+0.5+0.8
Crystal Palace vs Arsenal+0.4+0.1-0.4
+1.5+0.4-1.6
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Fulham vs Bournemouth+0.0*+0.0-0.1
+0.7+0.3-0.9
Manchester United vs Everton+0.2+0.2-0.5
Watford vs Huddersfield Town-0.3+0.4+0.7
Brighton & Hove vs Wolverhampton+0.3+0.1-0.5
Leicester City vs West Ham United-0.1+0.1+0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Chelsea finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFA1234567891011121314151617181920DemotionCount
94-108YesYes100No2,468*
9323-3-399.8%Yes1000No663*
9222-5-299.5Yes991No1,159*
9122-4-399.5Yes991No2,094*
9022-3-499.0Yes991No3,495*
8921-5-398.3Yes9820No5,951*
8821-4-497.8Yes9820No9,649*
8720-6-396.8Yes9730No15,379*
8620-5-495.4Yes9550No23,495*
8520-4-592.8Yes9370No35,116*
8419-6-489.8Yes90100No51,124*
8319-5-585.7Yes861400No72,527*
8219-4-680.9Yes811810No100,961*
8118-6-575.1100.0%7523200No136,326*
8018-5-668.2100.06829300No179,738*
7917-7-560.2Yes603450No230,800*
7817-6-651.8100.05239800No291,194*
7717-5-742.8100.043441210No359,433*
7616-7-634.199.9344618200No431,473*
7516-6-726.199.8264624400No507,239*
7415-8-618.799.6194430700No585,159*
7315-7-712.799.113393611100No657,567*
7215-6-88.197.98334116200No723,312*
7114-8-74.695.85264223400No777,611*
7014-7-82.592.231941307000No819,581*
6914-6-91.286.3112363712100No846,136*
6813-8-80.577.817304019300No852,852*
6713-7-90.266.9042241276000No841,999*
6613-6-100.154.00215383410100No813,570*
6512-8-90.040.4019313917300No769,982*
6412-7-100.027.60042340256100No713,714*
6311-9-90.016.9002153732122000No644,246*
6211-8-100.09.300183036195100No569,566*
6111-7-11No4.40042136279200No494,366*
6010-9-10No1.900213323316400No418,452*
5910-8-11No0.70172434248100No346,013*
5810-7-12No0.200316323115400No279,224*
579-9-11No0.00192534238100No221,494*
569-8-12No0.000417313014300No170,683*
559-7-13No0.000292534227100No129,828*
548-9-12NoNo01417323014300No95,784*
538-8-13NoNo00210253422610No68,242*
528-7-14NoNo001517333013200No48,523*
517-9-13NoNo0029263521510No32,905*
507-8-14NoNo0141834301220No22,220*
497-7-15NoNo00210283520500No14,227*
486-9-14NoNo041836291020No9,066*
476-8-15NoNo00110293519410No5,748*
466-7-16NoNo0041837261220No3,269*
455-9-15NoNo01103034195100.1%1,994*
445-8-16NoNo0519332811210.51,095*
435-7-17NoNo0110293122511.4591*
424-9-16NoNo1320372810201.8328*
414-8-17NoNo21030361754.9164*
404-7-18NoNo3203830729.188*
393-9-17NoNo713184020222.245*
383-8-18NoNo514233618522.722*
372-10-17NoNo1133441155.69*
361-12-16NoNo40402060.05*
342-7-20NoNo100Yes1
321-8-20NoNo100Yes1
210-0-29NoNo199Yes1,794
Total:10.8%62.3%11151818149642110000000000.0%14,441,760

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship