How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/16100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Chelsea 0 Arsenal 0 -1.0
-2.0
+0.1
-0.2
Manchester United 4 Everton 0 -0.5
-0.5
-0.1
Watford 0 Manchester City 6 -0.4
-0.2
Tottenham Hotspur 0 Swansea City 0 +0.1
+0.3
Huddersfield Town 1 Leicester City 1 +0.1
+0.3
Liverpool 1 Burnley 1 +0.1
+0.2
Newcastle United 2 Stoke City 1 -0.1
-0.2
Crystal Palace 0 Southampton 1 -0.1
-0.3
West Brom 0 West Ham United 0 +0.2
Bournemouth 2 Brighton & Hove 1 +0.1
+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/23100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Stoke City vs Chelsea-2.4-0.9+2.7
-7.1-2.2+7.5
+0.8+0.1-0.7
-0.8-0.2+0.8
Manchester City vs Crystal Palace-0.6+0.3+0.7
-0.5+0.3+0.7
-0.1*+0.0+0.1
Southampton vs Manchester United+0.6+0.3-0.6
+0.1+0.3-0.3
West Ham United vs Tottenham Hotspur+0.2+0.1-0.2
+0.6+0.3-0.6
+0.1*-0.0-0.0
Brighton & Hove vs Newcastle United+0.2+0.1-0.2
+0.5+0.3-0.6
+0.1-0.0-0.0
Burnley vs Huddersfield Town*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.3-0.2
Leicester City vs Liverpool+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.2+0.2-0.3
Swansea City vs Watford+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.2+0.2-0.3
Arsenal vs West Brom*-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.3-0.2
Everton vs Bournemouth-0.0+0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Chelsea finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFA CL1234567891011121314151617181920ChampionshipCount
89-109YesYes100No22,146*
8824-6-399.9%Yes1000No1,856*
8724-5-499.8Yes1000No3,296*
8623-7-399.8Yes1000No5,626*
8523-6-499.8Yes1000No9,615*
8423-5-599.7Yes1000No15,947*
8322-7-499.3Yes9910No25,827*
8222-6-599.0Yes991No40,702*
8121-8-498.5Yes9820No63,570*
8021-7-597.7Yes9820No96,623*
7921-6-696.5Yes9630No144,125*
7820-8-595.1Yes9550No210,876*
7720-7-693.1Yes9370No302,083*
7620-6-790.4Yes90900No425,244*
7519-8-687.0Yes871300No586,203*
7419-7-782.6Yes831710No793,432*
7318-9-677.2100.0%7721100No1,052,460*
7218-8-770.7100.07127300No1,375,222*
7118-7-863.4100.06332400No1,756,849*
7017-9-754.9100.055377000No2,211,438*
6917-8-845.9100.0464211100No2,728,399*
6816-10-736.799.9374516200No3,311,557*
6716-9-827.799.72845224000No3,946,750*
6616-8-919.699.020432981000No4,617,031*
6515-10-812.897.6133735132000No5,310,092*
6415-9-97.594.6830382051000No5,992,642*
6315-8-104.088.9421372792000No6,655,528*
6214-10-91.879.52133232164100No7,258,233*
6114-9-100.765.81724342492000No7,778,324*
6014-8-110.248.9031530301641000No8,193,502*
5913-10-100.031.6018233224102000No8,470,142*
5813-9-110.017.00031327301861000No8,608,336*
5712-11-100.07.300161930261341000No8,589,094*
5612-10-110.02.40002102330221020000No8,423,521*
5512-9-12No0.6001413262919720000No8,114,787*
5411-11-11No0.1000161728271551000No7,667,711*
5311-10-12No0.0000282029251341000No7,121,912*
5211-9-13No0.00002102229231030000No6,496,981*
5110-11-12No0.0000131224292082000No5,808,210*
5010-10-13NoNo0001514262818610000.0%5,104,068*
4910-9-14NoNo0001617282715510000.04,395,598*
489-11-13NoNo000282029251230000.03,716,770*
479-10-14NoNo0000310233022920000.23,079,506*
469-9-15NoNo00141427301861001.02,499,358*
458-11-14NoNo00016183027143003.71,993,910*
448-10-15NoNo0002923322391010.01,556,577*
438-9-16NoNo00014152931174020.91,187,797*
427-11-15NoNo000172234269136.1888,871*
417-10-16NoNo000313303417352.9651,291*
407-9-17NoNo0017233726668.5465,479*
396-11-16NoNo00031535351181.0326,404*
386-10-17NoNo001930411889.5222,479*
376-9-18NoNo00523442794.7148,233*
365-11-17NoNo000216443897.696,272*
355-10-18NoNo0110414899.061,362*
345-9-19NoNo006365899.637,677*
334-11-18NoNo004296799.822,953*
324-10-19NoNo02227699.913,175*
314-9-20NoNo011782100.07,637*
304-8-21NoNo01387Yes4,063*
293-10-20NoNo0991Yes2,032*
283-9-21NoNo0693Yes1,088*
273-8-22NoNo595Yes563*
262-10-21NoNo298Yes262*
10-25NoNo100Yes20,203*
Total:7.9%37.6%810101098776544332211001.5%160,739,520

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship