How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/14100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Wolverhampton 2 Chelsea 5 +0.8
+4.0
-5.3
+1.1
Liverpool 3 Newcastle United 1 -0.1
-0.2
-0.3
Norwich City 3 Manchester City 2 +0.1
+0.2
+0.4
Tottenham Hotspur 4 Crystal Palace 0 +0.1
Manchester United 1 Leicester City 0 +0.1
Brighton & Hove 1 Burnley 1 +0.1
-0.1
Sheffield United 0 Southampton 1 +0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/15100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Chelsea vs Liverpool+2.1-0.3-1.4
+7.1-0.9-4.6
-2.8+0.1+2.0
+1.2-0.1-0.8
Manchester City vs Watford-0.2+0.1+0.2
-0.5+0.2+0.5
-0.2-0.0+0.3
West Ham United vs Manchester United+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.1+0.2-0.2
+0.1-0.0-0.0
Watford vs Arsenal+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.3+0.1-0.4
+0.2-0.0-0.1
Arsenal vs Aston Villa-0.1+0.0+0.0
-0.3+0.2+0.2
-0.1-0.1+0.1
Leicester City vs Tottenham Hotspur-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.3-0.1
Bournemouth vs Everton+0.1+0.2-0.2
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Aston Villa vs West Ham United+0.1+0.2-0.3
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Everton vs Sheffield United-0.2+0.2+0.1
-0.1-0.0+0.1
Southampton vs Bournemouth-0.2+0.2+0.0
-0.0-0.0+0.1
Crystal Palace vs Wolverhampton-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.0-0.1+0.1
Burnley vs Norwich City-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Newcastle United vs Brighton & Hove+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.1*-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Chelsea finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFA CL1234567891011121314151617181920ChampionshipCount
86-107YesYes100No8,583*
8524-5-499.5%Yes991No378*
8423-7-399.8Yes1000No621*
8323-6-499.5Yes991No1,112*
8223-5-599.3Yes991No1,975*
8122-7-498.9Yes991No3,205*
8022-6-598.1Yes982No5,387*
7921-8-497.3Yes973No8,588*
7821-7-596.3Yes9640No13,795*
7721-6-694.8Yes9550No21,282*
7620-8-592.6Yes9370No32,756*
7520-7-689.8Yes901000No49,149*
7420-6-786.1Yes86140No71,911*
7319-8-681.8Yes821710No103,853*
7219-7-776.6Yes772210No146,782*
7118-9-670.3100.0%7027200No203,285*
7018-8-762.8100.063334000No277,468*
6918-7-854.5100.05438700No371,303*
6817-9-745.5100.0454311100No488,000*
6717-8-836.399.9364616200No629,283*
6617-7-927.499.62746224000No797,674*
6516-9-819.399.019432981000No996,893*
6416-8-912.497.4123834132000No1,218,391*
6315-10-87.294.173037205100No1,465,923*
6215-9-93.787.94213627102000No1,732,804*
6115-8-101.677.521331321751000No2,010,181*
6014-10-90.662.617223325102000No2,294,371*
5914-9-100.244.7031328311861000No2,572,754*
5814-8-110.027.00162031261231000No2,832,939*
5713-10-100.013.20021124302192000No3,073,172*
5613-9-110.04.900141527281761000No3,265,925*
5513-8-12No1.300161829261441000No3,416,746*
5412-10-11No0.2000282129241231000No3,511,434*
5312-9-12No0.00003102329221030000No3,542,294*
5211-11-11No0.00001412242920820000No3,509,308*
5111-10-12No0.000014142528197200000.0%3,416,670*
5011-9-13No0.000001515262717610000.03,266,183*
4910-11-12NoNo0001617272715510000.03,064,046*
4810-10-13NoNo000271928261441000.12,820,951*
4710-9-14NoNo0000292129241130000.42,549,452*
469-11-13NoNo000031123302292002.12,263,397*
459-10-14NoNo00014142729186107.01,966,321*
449-9-15NoNo000016183028143017.01,676,076*
438-11-14NoNo00002102432238132.31,401,449*
428-10-15NoNo0001415303216350.21,149,822*
418-9-16NoNo00018233525667.3923,225*
407-11-15NoNo00031534351380.9724,251*
397-10-16NoNo0001928412189.8557,551*
387-9-17NoNo000421433195.2419,499*
376-11-16NoNo00214424297.9308,350*
366-10-17NoNo0018375399.1221,423*
356-9-18NoNo005316499.7155,289*
345-11-17NoNo02257399.9106,775*
335-10-18NoNo011980100.071,536*
325-9-19NoNo011386100.046,199*
314-11-18NoNo00990100.029,278*
304-10-19NoNo0694Yes17,940*
294-9-20NoNo0496Yes10,696*
284-8-21NoNo0397Yes6,263*
273-10-20NoNo199Yes3,440*
263-9-21NoNo199Yes1,855*
253-8-22NoNo199Yes993*
242-10-21NoNo199Yes483*
232-9-22NoNo0100Yes214*
222-8-23NoNo298Yes114*
8-21NoNo100Yes8,254*
Total:3.3%21.0%356677766665554443227.0%65,867,520

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship