How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 12/8100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
Chelsea 2 Manchester City 0 +0.5
+7.8
No
+0.3
Bournemouth 0 Liverpool 4 -0.2
+0.1
Leicester City 0 Tottenham Hotspur 2 -2.9
-0.1
Everton 2 Watford 2 +0.2
Arsenal 1 Huddersfield Town 0 -1.9
-0.0
Manchester United 4 Fulham 1 -0.1
Burnley 1 Brighton & Hove 0 *+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 12/15100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
Brighton & Hove vs Chelsea-0.8-0.4+0.7
-8.1-2.7+6.7
+0.0NoNo
-0.2-0.1+0.2
Liverpool vs Manchester United-0.2+0.3+0.6
+0.1+0.0-0.5
Manchester City vs Everton-0.2+0.3+0.5
*+0.0+0.1-0.2
Tottenham Hotspur vs Burnley-0.0+0.0+0.1
-1.0+1.8+3.5
-0.0+0.1+0.1
Southampton vs Arsenal+5.0+2.1-3.5
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Crystal Palace vs Leicester City+0.0+0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Chelsea finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFA1234567891011121314151617181920DemotionCount
10022-0-099.9%Yes1000No114,939
9821-1-099.4Yes991No1,114
9721-0-197.7Yes982No1,368
9620-2-097.7Yes982No6,659
9520-1-194.7Yes9550No16,084
9419-3-093.0Yes9370No34,149*
9319-2-188.3Yes88110No88,538
9219-1-283.0Yes831610No166,604*
9118-3-176.7Yes772210No339,036*
9018-2-268.1Yes682930No642,729*
8917-4-159.3Yes593650No1,107,697*
8817-3-249.5Yes494380No1,926,451*
8717-2-339.8100.0%40481300No3,103,731*
8616-4-230.8100.031501800No4,825,397*
8516-3-322.5100.023512610No7,288,874*
8415-5-215.7100.016493420No10,451,285*
8315-4-310.4100.010444330No14,584,275*
8215-3-46.499.96385050No19,609,952*
8114-5-33.799.843057900No25,359,918*
8014-4-42.099.6223601400No31,882,048*
7913-6-31.099.0117612010No38,666,793*
7813-5-40.598.0011592820No45,446,868*
7713-4-50.296.407543540No51,816,414*
7612-6-40.193.7044743600No57,152,937*
7512-5-50.089.90239491000No61,224,305*
7412-4-60.084.70131531500No63,609,951*
7311-6-50.078.30123552200No64,102,800*
7211-5-60.070.50016542900No62,748,919*
7110-7-50.061.800115137100No59,584,205*
7010-6-60.052.60074546100No54,956,494*
6910-5-70.043.10043954300No49,200,013*
689-7-6No33.9023161500No42,783,670*
679-6-7No25.50124668000No36,107,315*
669-5-8No18.201186813100No29,579,218*
658-7-7No12.2001267202000No23,529,524*
648-6-8No7.600762274000No18,148,726*
637-8-7No4.30454347100No13,589,492*
627-7-8No2.2024441121000No9,868,833*
617-6-9No1.0013343193000No6,941,183*
606-8-8No0.40022422771000No4,736,911*
596-7-9No0.100133634143000No3,124,077*
586-6-10No0.00727372261000No1,996,059*
575-8-9No0.003173430133000No1,232,650*
565-7-10No0.00192734217100No736,461*
555-6-11NoNo0417322914300No421,428*
544-8-10NoNo029243323810No234,112*
534-7-11NoNo00416303116400No126,085*
524-6-12NoNo0018233325910No64,394*
513-8-11NoNo0031329341730No31,616*
503-7-12NoNo01722362880No15,169*
493-6-13NoNo0021331371610No6,734*
482-8-12NoNo01624412630No2,819*
472-7-13NoNo0213384070No1,212*
462-6-14NoNo173147141No429*
452-5-15NoNo22644253No163*
441-7-14NoNo41146355No57*
431-6-15NoNo3550105No20*
421-5-16NoNo3367No12*
340-0-22NoNo0019283721461.3%114,844
Total:1.5%68.5%172634264100000000000000.0%923,453,760

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship