Points
Chance Will Win Championship

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will win titlePromotedChance will finish season at seedRelegated
TuesdayPGW-D-LGD%Change%Change123456789101112131415161718192021222324Avg.Change%ChangeRPIStrengthSaturday
FC UnitedWHalesowen 1-063618-9-42977.7%+7.883.0%+6.17813521100000000000001.4+0.21No1.671FC United
Ilkeston58516-10-6218.3-3.225.4-2.882518141196421000000000003.9-0.140.0%3.600Ilkeston
Workington59417-8-8124.8-2.120.0-2.25161615131196421000000004.7-0.17No6.577Workington
Skelmersdale6318-9-10131.4-0.815.2-1.219141617151284210000005.2-0.12No7.578at BarwellSkelmersdale
Curzon54515-9-8152.4-1.015.3-1.121013141413119642100000000005.5-0.080.04.578StourbridgeCurzon
Ashton54615-9-7112.4-1.115.1-1.32111313131211964211000000005.5-0.100.05.556Ashton
BlythWRamsbottom 4-047913-8-7132.7+0.914.4+4.5311121212121197532110000000005.8+1.240.0-0.02.576StamfordBlyth
Buxton55315-10-9120.3-0.26.9-0.5035810121415129531100000007.2-0.050.08.558at BelperBuxton
HalesowenLFC United 0-150312-14-8130.0-0.21.8-1.7001246912161612964210000009.6-0.810.09.592Halesowen
BarwellWTrafford 2-051415-6-1230.0+0.01.9+0.7001245811151613964211000009.7+0.970.0-0.011.508SkelmersdaleBarwell
StourbridgeTStamford 1-147513-8-1140.0-0.00.6-0.400011246912141412974211000011.5-0.340.0-0.012.514at CurzonStourbridge
Grantham50113-11-12-20.00.0-0.0000000124812151614128521000013.1+0.120.0-0.010.482Grantham
Rushall44513-5-14-20.0-0.00.2-0.00000011358111313131186421000013.2+0.040.3-0.013.479Rushall
Kings Lynn44512-8-12-20.0-0.00.1-0.0000001124691213131210753100013.6+0.040.4-0.018.480Kings Lynn
RamsbottomLBlyth 0-437911-4-13-30.0-0.00.1-0.2000000113468911121211974200014.9-1.132.1+1.017.474Ramsbottom
Whitby41510-11-11-40.0-0.00.0-0.00000000113479111314121075200015.4+0.092.1-0.114.465Whitby
Frickley37610-7-14-70.00.0-0.000000000112458101214141210510016.7+0.146.2-0.516.450Frickley
Matlock38410-8-15-3No-0.00.0000000000123571014161715910017.7+0.089.8-0.521.473Matlock
StamfordTStourbridge 1-140311-7-16-12No-0.00.0-0.0000000000112461014171816910017.9+0.0110.3-0.915.423at BlythStamford
Nantwich38311-5-18-17No0.00000000000123691318242030018.9+0.0323.5-0.220.403Nantwich
Witton34410-4-19-20No0.00000000000011248122138102020.0+0.0650.2-0.819.388Witton
Marine2635-11-18-18NoNo0000000001274438922.4+0.0797.6+0.023.386Marine
TraffordLBarwell 0-22264-10-17-22NoNo-0.0000000000000012734431422.6-0.2097.4+2.122.376Trafford
Belper1843-9-21-34NoNo0000000005177823.7+0.0599.9-0.024.346BuxtonBelper

Two teamspromotedtoConference North/South
Four teams relegated to NPL DivisionOneNorth/South

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 2/21
FC United 1 Halesowen 0
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
FC United+7.5
+5.9
+0.2
Ilkeston-2.6
-1.8
Workington-1.6
-1.1
Skelmersdale-0.6
-0.3
Curzon-0.9
-0.5
Ashton-0.9
-0.6
Blyth-0.5
-0.3
Halesowen-1.4
-0.6
Curzon 4 Ilkeston 0
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
FC United+4.1
+3.0
Ilkeston-7.4
-6.9
-0.5
Workington+0.5
Skelmersdale+0.5
Curzon+1.5
+4.2
No
+0.9
Ashton+0.5
Belper 1 FC United 3
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
FC United+5.8
+4.7
+0.2
Ilkeston-3.1
-2.3
Workington-0.6
-0.5
Skelmersdale-0.6
-0.5
Curzon-0.3
-0.3
Ashton-0.7
-0.5
Ilkeston 0 Ashton 0
Mon100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
FC United+1.9
+1.4
Ilkeston-2.1
-2.0
-0.2
Ashton-0.6
-0.6
No
-0.1
Barwell 1 Workington 2
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
FC United-0.9
-0.7
Ilkeston-0.6
-0.6
Workington+2.2
+4.5
+0.8
Barwell-1.1
-0.8
Skelmersdale 1 Kings Lynn 1
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
FC United+0.5
+0.4
Ilkeston+0.3
+0.3
Workington+0.3
Skelmersdale-1.2
-2.1
-0.3
Curzon+0.2
Ashton+0.3
Buxton+0.2
Kings Lynn-0.1
Blyth 4 Ramsbottom 0
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
FC United-0.5
-0.4
Blyth+0.9
+2.8
+0.7
Ramsbottom-0.2
+0.5
-0.7
Rushall 1 Blyth 2
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Blyth+0.6
+2.4
+0.9
Rushall-0.3
-0.7
Nantwich 1 Halesowen 0
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Halesowen-0.5
-2.9
-1.0
Frickley+0.7
Matlock+1.9
Stamford+1.2
Nantwich-12.0
+0.7
Witton+4.9
Marine+1.4
Trafford+1.2
Buxton 1 Whitby 1
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Buxton-0.4
-1.5
-0.3
WhitbyNo
-0.1
Grantham 1 Stourbridge 1
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Stourbridge-0.3
-0.2
GranthamNo
-0.2
Witton 2 Ramsbottom 1
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Ramsbottom-0.4
+0.4
-0.9
Frickley+0.9
Matlock+2.5
Stamford+1.3
Nantwich+4.7
Witton-12.6
+0.5
Marine+1.2
Trafford+1.0
Barwell 2 Trafford 0
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Barwell+0.6
+0.7
Stamford-0.3
Nantwich-0.5
Witton-0.4
Trafford+1.8
-0.2
Stourbridge 1 Stamford 1
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Stourbridge-0.3
-0.3
Stamford*No
-0.3
-0.1
Witton+0.1
Stamford 3 Trafford 3
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Stamford*No
+0.6
-0.2
Trafford*No
+1.0
-0.1
Marine 0 Matlock 2
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Matlock-6.3
+0.6
Nantwich+0.4
Witton+1.1
Marine+4.2
-0.3
Week of 2/28
Curzon vs StourbridgeIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
FC United77.078.178.4
82.583.483.6
Workington4.64.94.9
19.620.220.5
4.84.64.6
Skelmersdale14.715.515.7
5.35.25.2
Curzon3.71.71.0
18.813.711.2
NoNo0.0
4.85.76.2
Stourbridge0.30.51.2
12.211.610.5
Blyth vs StamfordHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
FC United77.078.278.6
82.583.483.7
Skelmersdale14.815.515.8
5.35.25.1
Blyth3.71.91.2
17.112.510.4
5.36.26.7
Matlock9.49.910.6
17.617.717.8
StamfordNoNo0.0
13.59.64.5
18.317.917.0
Nantwich22.723.724.9
18.918.919.0
Witton49.150.452.2
20.020.020.1
Barwell vs SkelmersdaleHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
FC United78.178.077.2
83.483.282.6
Skelmersdale0.50.92.4
11.113.919.3
6.05.44.5
Barwell3.31.60.9
8.79.810.4
Belper vs BuxtonHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Buxton0.10.20.5
4.05.48.8
8.27.66.7
Belper23.623.723.8

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you kevinyoung90 for adding this league.