Points
Chance Will Win Championship

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will win titlePromotedChance will finish season at seedRelegated
4/11PGW-D-LGD%Change%Change123456789101112131415161718192021222324Avg.Change%ChangeRPIStrengthTuesday
FC UnitedTWitton 0-086224-14-44097.5%+0.998.1%+0.79720001.0+0.01No1.709at SkelmersdaleFC United
WorkingtonWBelper 2-181124-9-10191.7+1.025.7+1.224128181023.0+0.55No5.613TraffordWorkington
AshtonLBarwell 0-178222-12-8200.8-1.524.3-2.1134281913503.3-0.45No3.596at RamsbottomAshton
IlkestonLGrantham 0-18022-14-8260.0-0.423.0-1.901422302683.9-0.67No2.617Ilkeston
CurzonWKings Lynn 4-075221-12-9290.0+0.020.2+1.6091724301914.3+0.46No6.643at MarineCurzon
BlythWNantwich 2-172219-15-824No8.6+0.61410215970005.5+0.16No4.610MatlockBlyth
BarwellWAshton 1-07221-9-147No0.1-0.10077911207.1+0.45No7.530Barwell
BuxtonLRushall 0-36717-16-1110NoNo-0.001037312308.7-0.76No8.545Buxton
Skelmersdale6719-10-158NoNo-0.00330353209.0-0.16No9.543FC UnitedSkelmersdale
RushallWBuxton 3-06619-9-1610NoNo-0.00122324509.2+0.49No10.541Rushall
HalesowenTRamsbottom 1-15813-19-1211NoNo5928112000011.6-0.07No12.564Halesowen
GranthamWIlkeston 1-05815-13-16-6NoNo3342196100012.0+1.06No-0.011.466Grantham
RamsbottomTHalesowen 1-149414-7-19-9NoNo000614191613976431014.6-0.041.3%-0.414.452AshtonRamsbottom
StourbridgeTMarine 2-253114-11-18-8NoNo1716212014116200014.9-0.150.0-0.215.455Stourbridge
WhitbyTStamford 1-152112-16-15-9NoNo1716191714108520015.2-0.070.1-0.513.446at NantwichWhitby
NantwichLBlyth 1-251115-6-22-15NoNo02711131617141171016.5-0.641.0+0.316.423WhitbyNantwich
Kings LynnLCurzon 0-45214-10-20-18NoNo1611151816151350016.5-0.760.3-0.119.413Kings Lynn
Matlock49113-10-20-6NoNo1471112141615146117.4+0.146.5+0.117.461at BlythMatlock
FrickleyWTrafford 3-248112-12-19-11NoNo13581114182312418.5+1.0615.9-20.620.442at BelperFrickley
WittonTFC United 0-049114-7-22-22NoNo012471015191818518.8+0.1323.7-0.921.392Witton
StamfordTWhitby 1-14712-11-21-18NoNo00024819372920.7-0.4166.5+12.118.404Stamford
MarineTStourbridge 2-244110-14-19-12NoNo0001239246021.3-0.3384.7+10.222.432CurzonMarine
TraffordLFrickley 2-32734-15-22-32NoNo782223.2-0.01Yes23.355at WorkingtonTrafford
BelperLWorkington 1-22514-13-26-38NoNo227823.8+0.01Yes24.342FrickleyBelper

Two teams promotedtoConference North/South
Four teams relegated to NPL Division OneNorth/South

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 4/11
Barwell 1 Ashton 0
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
FC United+1.6
+1.2
Ashton-1.8
-1.7
-0.4
Ilkeston+0.2
Barwell+0.2
+0.4
Buxton-0.2
Witton 0 FC United 0
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
FC United-1.5
-1.1
Workington+0.3
+0.2
Ashton+1.0
+0.8
Matlock+0.3
Frickley+1.4
Witton-3.6
+0.1
Stamford+0.8
Marine+0.8
Grantham 1 Ilkeston 0
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Workington+0.2
Ashton+0.2
Ilkeston-0.4
-0.9
-0.5
Halesowen-0.2
Grantham+1.0
Ramsbottom-0.2
Stourbridge-0.2
Whitby-0.2
Belper 1 Workington 2
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
FC United-0.3
-0.2
Workington+0.4
+1.0
+0.3
Curzon-0.2
Blyth-0.4
Curzon 4 Kings Lynn 0
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Curzon+2.4
+0.3
Blyth-1.9
SkelmersdaleNo
Kings Lynn-0.7
Blyth 2 Nantwich 1
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Workington-0.4
Curzon-1.8
Blyth+2.7
+0.3
Nantwich+0.5
-0.7
Buxton 0 Rushall 3
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Buxton-0.6
Rushall+0.5
Trafford 2 Frickley 3
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Nantwich+0.4
Matlock+1.8
Frickley-18.8
+0.9
Witton+4.4
-0.2
Stamford+6.4
-0.2
Marine+5.1
Stamford 1 Whitby 1
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Ramsbottom-0.2
Whitby-0.5
-0.2
Nantwich-0.2
Matlock-0.6
Frickley-1.7
Witton-1.7
Stamford+5.9
-0.3
Marine-0.7
Stourbridge 2 Marine 2
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Ramsbottom-0.2
Stourbridge-0.3
Nantwich-0.2
Matlock-0.6
Frickley-1.5
Witton-1.3
Stamford-1.3
Marine+5.5
-0.2
Ramsbottom 1 Halesowen 1
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Ramsbottom-0.4
-0.1
Skelmersdale vs FC UnitedIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
FC United93.797.499.5
95.398.199.7
Ilkeston0.0NoNo
Curzon0.10.0No
20.220.220.1
Workington vs TraffordHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
IlkestonNo0.00.0
22.923.123.1
4.03.83.7
Ramsbottom vs AshtonHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Ramsbottom0.00.82.3
13.414.615.4
Marine vs CurzonHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
CurzonNoNo0.1
15.918.822.7
5.04.73.9
Matlock10.55.94.9
17.517.417.4
Frickley22.615.812.9
18.718.518.5
Witton28.122.722.1
19.018.818.8
Stamford73.265.164.0
21.020.720.6
Marine60.688.194.4
20.521.421.7
Curzon vs RamsbottomHomeDrawAway
Thu100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Curzon0.1NoNo
22.618.615.7
3.94.75.1
Ramsbottom2.10.70.0
15.214.513.3
Blyth vs MatlockHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Blyth12.35.93.6
5.25.86.0
Matlock10.83.80.1
18.217.415.8
Belper vs FrickleyHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Frickley33.518.52.0
19.819.017.4
Witton19.323.726.8
18.618.819.0
Stamford60.265.471.5
20.620.720.8
Marine80.083.788.5
21.321.321.4
Nantwich vs WhitbyHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Whitby0.20.0No
16.415.213.9
NantwichNo0.32.5
15.016.817.8
Week of 4/18
FC United vs StamfordIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
FC United99.396.491.8
99.597.393.8
1.01.01.1
IlkestonNoNo0.1
CurzonNo0.10.2
20.120.220.3
Matlock5.06.912.0
17.417.417.6
Frickley13.117.125.6
18.518.518.8
Witton21.523.133.2
18.818.819.1
Stamford75.963.832.5
21.120.719.4
Marine83.086.089.7
21.321.421.6
FC United vs StourbridgeHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
FC United99.496.792.3
99.597.594.2
1.01.01.1
IlkestonNoNo0.1
CurzonNo0.00.2
20.1*20.220.3
Stourbridge0.0NoNo
15.414.713.4
Ilkeston vs WorkingtonHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Workington0.20.73.9
24.025.328.0
3.72.92.3
Ilkeston0.0NoNo
24.922.821.0
3.14.24.7
Whitby vs AshtonHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
WhitbyNo0.00.2
13.815.215.9
Ashton vs WittonHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Frickley14.216.819.3
18.418.518.8
Witton33.221.71.3
19.518.817.1
Stamford62.066.378.2
20.620.720.9
Curzon vs HalesowenHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Curzon0.1NoNo
23.019.316.4
3.84.65.0
Stourbridge vs BuxtonHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
StourbridgeNoNo0.0
13.615.015.8
Ramsbottom vs TraffordHomeDrawAway
Thu100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Ramsbottom0.01.33.4
13.715.115.8
Barwell vs RamsbottomHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Ramsbottom2.40.90.0
15.414.713.4
Rushall vs NantwichHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Nantwich2.00.2No
17.316.414.9
Witton vs BlythHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Blyth3.55.812.1
6.05.85.2
Frickley19.316.714.1
18.818.518.4
Witton1.322.434.2
17.118.919.6
Stamford78.265.861.5
20.920.720.6
Trafford vs BlythHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Blyth3.45.611.8
6.05.85.3
Ramsbottom vs FrickleyHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Ramsbottom0.00.93.1
13.614.815.8
Frickley28.615.11.4
19.618.817.1
Witton20.824.526.6
18.718.819.0
Stamford62.566.871.0
20.620.720.8
Marine81.684.788.2
21.321.321.4
Marine vs BelperHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Frickley19.114.012.1
18.618.518.4
Stamford69.863.863.1
20.920.620.5
Marine73.293.397.1
20.921.621.8
Matlock vs Kings LynnHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Kings Lynn0.60.1No
17.616.414.9
Matlock0.15.715.8
16.117.918.9
Stamford68.767.063.1
20.820.720.6

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you kevinyoung90 for adding this league.