"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 8/20100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*Football League One100.0*Average seed
Sheffield Wedne 1 Luton Town 0 -0.2
-0.2
Hull City 0 Blackburn Rovers 1 +0.1
+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Fulham vs Millwall+2.1-1.2-2.7
+3.5-2.0-4.7
-1.2+0.5+1.8
+0.9-0.5-1.3
Fulham vs Nottingham Forest+1.9-1.2-2.6
+3.3-2.1-4.5
-1.2+0.6+1.9
+0.9-0.5-1.3
Preston North End vs Sheffield Wedne+0.2+0.1-0.4
+0.2+0.1-0.4
+0.0-0.0-0.1
Stoke City vs Leeds United+0.2+0.0-0.3
+0.2+0.1-0.4
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Middlesbrough vs Millwall+0.1+0.0-0.3
+0.2+0.1-0.4
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Leeds United vs Brentford-0.2+0.1+0.2
-0.2+0.2+0.2
-0.0*+0.0+0.1
Derby County vs West Brom+0.1+0.0-0.2
+0.1+0.1-0.3
West Brom vs Reading-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.2+0.2+0.2
-0.0*-0.0+0.1
QPR vs Swansea City+0.1+0.0-0.2
+0.1+0.1-0.3
+0.0-0.0-0.1
Charlton Athletic vs Brentford-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.2+0.2+0.1
Charlton Athletic vs Nottingham Forest-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1+0.2+0.1
Hull City vs Bristol City+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.0-0.0-0.1
Swansea City vs Birmingham City-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.1+0.2+0.0
QPR vs Wigan Athletic-0.0+0.1+0.0
-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.0-0.0+0.1
Preston North End vs Stoke City-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.0-0.0+0.1
Huddersfield Town vs Reading+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Blackburn Rovers vs Cardiff City-0.0+0.1*+0.0
Cardiff City vs Huddersfield Town-0.0+0.1*+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/31100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*Football League One100.0*Average seed
Cardiff City vs Fulham-1.7-0.2+3.2
-2.9-0.3+5.4
+1.1-0.1-1.7
-0.8+0.0+1.4
Sheffield Wedne vs QPR-0.2+0.2+0.3
-0.3+0.2+0.3
-0.0*+0.0+0.1
Millwall vs Hull City-0.1+0.1+0.2
-0.2+0.2+0.3
-0.0*+0.0+0.1
Reading vs Charlton Athletic+0.1+0.0-0.2
+0.1+0.1-0.3
+0.0-0.0-0.1
Leeds United vs Swansea City-0.1+0.1*+0.0
-0.1+0.2*-0.0
West Brom vs Blackburn Rovers-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.2+0.2+0.2
-0.0*-0.0+0.1
Bristol City vs Middlesbrough-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.0*-0.0+0.1
Birmingham City vs Stoke City-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.0*-0.0+0.1
Nottingham Forest vs Preston North End-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.1-0.0
Brentford vs Derby County-0.0+0.1-0.1
Wigan Athletic vs Barnsley*+0.0+0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Fulham finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChancePremierChance will finish season at seedFootball
TPW-D-Lwins titleLeague123456789101112131415161718192021222324League OneCount
101-135YesYes100No12,587*
10029-7-799.9%Yes1000No1,157*
9928-9-6YesYes100No1,764*
9828-8-799.9Yes1000No3,080*
9727-10-699.9Yes1000No4,958*
9627-9-799.8Yes1000No7,762*
9527-8-899.7Yes1000No11,837*
9426-10-799.6Yes1000No17,858*
9326-9-899.4100.0%9910No26,901*
9225-11-799.2Yes991No40,394*
9125-10-898.7100.09910No58,885*
9025-9-998.2100.09820No84,878*
8924-11-897.2100.09730No119,247*
8824-10-996.1100.09640No165,596*
8724-9-1094.499.994600No226,438*
8623-11-992.199.8928000No306,545*
8523-10-1089.099.6891100No406,442*
8422-12-984.999.2851410No530,663*
8322-11-1079.898.58019100No684,741*
8222-10-1173.397.27324300No868,813*
8121-12-1065.795.166295000No1,086,554*
8021-11-1157.191.7573581000No1,337,737*
7921-10-1247.686.54839122000No1,622,801*
7820-12-1137.679.238421730000No1,942,343*
7720-11-1227.969.328412361000No2,288,056*
7619-13-1119.157.31938291120000No2,659,920*
7519-12-1211.943.81232331751000No3,040,267*
7419-11-136.530.472433241020000No3,431,574*
7318-13-123.118.5315302916510000No3,807,854*
7218-12-131.29.6182230231131000No4,168,872*
7118-11-140.44.10414262819820000No4,495,968*
7017-13-130.11.4017182725156100000No4,772,862*
6917-12-140.00.3002920272312410000No4,996,189*
6817-11-150.00.1001411222721114100000No5,152,812*
6716-13-140.00.0000141323262010310000No5,230,880*
6616-12-15No0.000015132326199310000No5,234,408*
6515-14-14NoNo00015142326199310000No5,154,913*
6415-13-15NoNo000015132326199310000No5,006,185*
6315-12-16NoNo0000151322261910310000No4,786,370*
6214-14-15NoNo000015122226201031000No4,507,646*
6114-13-16NoNo00001412222620103100000.0%4,176,605*
6014-12-17NoNo000141221262111410000.03,812,427*
5913-14-16NoNo0000141221262111410000.03,424,042*
5813-13-17NoNo0000141222262110310000.13,025,279*
5713-12-18NoNo0001513232620930000.52,635,741*
5612-14-17NoNo00000151424271982002.12,255,642*
5512-13-18NoNo000026162626166106.81,896,038*
5412-12-19NoNo00028202825133016.21,574,386*
5311-14-18NoNo00013112430228130.51,284,772*
5211-13-19NoNo00001616292915347.61,028,380*
5111-12-20NoNo00029243424764.3809,486*
5010-14-19NoNo00151733331278.0626,350*
4910-13-20NoNo0021028392087.7477,240*
4810-12-21NoNo001522423093.7356,096*
479-14-20NoNo000315414197.0261,617*
469-13-21NoNo00110385198.7188,192*
459-12-22NoNo016326299.5132,814*
448-14-21NoNo0003267099.892,450*
438-13-22NoNo02207899.962,504*
428-12-23NoNo011584100.042,096*
417-14-22NoNo001189100.027,248*
407-13-23NoNo00892100.017,680*
397-12-24NoNo0694Yes11,043*
386-14-23NoNo0397Yes6,670*
376-13-24NoNo0298Yes3,992*
366-12-25NoNo298Yes2,300*
355-14-24NoNo199Yes1,370*
345-13-25NoNo199Yes759*
335-12-26NoNo0100Yes415*
6-32NoNo100Yes11,481*
Total:7.5%14.6%7777666555544433332222113.7%106,549,872

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship