How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 8/10100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
Fulham 0 Crystal Palace 2 -2.1
-6.2
+5.9
-1.3
Wolverhampton 2 Everton 2 +0.1
+0.2
-0.1
Huddersfield Town 0 Chelsea 3 -0.1
Newcastle United 1 Tottenham Hotspur 2 -0.1
Arsenal 0 Manchester City 2 -0.1
Southampton 0 Burnley 0 +0.1
-0.1
Liverpool 4 West Ham United 0 +0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/18100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
Tottenham Hotspur vs Fulham-0.5-0.0+1.2
-1.9+0.2+5.0
+3.6-1.0-8.4
-0.6+0.1+1.5
Manchester City vs Huddersfield Town-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1*-0.0+0.4
Chelsea vs Arsenal-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1*-0.0+0.4
West Ham United vs Bournemouth+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.0+0.1-0.2
+0.2-0.2-0.3
Brighton & Hove vs Manchester United+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.2-0.2-0.3
Burnley vs Watford-0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.1-0.1
Crystal Palace vs Liverpool-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1*+0.0
Everton vs Southampton-0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.1-0.1
Leicester City vs Wolverhampton*-0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.2-0.1
Cardiff City vs Newcastle United-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.1-0.2*+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Fulham finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFA1234567891011121314151617181920DemotionCount
83-111YesYes100No20,339*
8225-7-599.8%Yes1000No527*
8125-6-699.9Yes1000No964*
8025-5-799.6Yes1000No1,573*
7924-7-699.5Yes1000No2,856*
7824-6-799.4Yes991No4,622*
7723-8-698.8Yes991No7,941*
7623-7-798.1Yes982No12,595*
7523-6-897.3Yes9730No20,161*
7422-8-795.9Yes9640No31,866*
7322-7-893.6Yes9460No48,389*
7222-6-990.7Yes91900No73,494*
7121-8-886.7Yes871310No109,714*
7021-7-981.7Yes821710No159,532*
6921-6-1075.0100.0%7523200No228,607*
6820-8-966.6100.06729400No321,738*
6720-7-1056.9100.057357100No446,273*
6619-9-946.299.94640122000No607,168*
6519-8-1034.999.63542184000No811,497*
6419-7-1124.498.824412571000No1,065,944*
6318-9-1015.396.71536321330000No1,378,802*
6218-8-118.391.9828352171000No1,750,963*
6118-7-123.882.741832281341000No2,188,474*
6017-9-111.467.6110253122820000No2,692,624*
5917-8-120.447.80415282917610000No3,252,015*
5816-10-110.127.40171929251341000No3,860,311*
5716-9-120.011.8002922292311310000No4,503,905*
5616-8-130.03.5000311232821930000No5,173,327*
5515-10-120.00.70001412242820920000No5,837,624*
5415-9-13No0.10001413242819820000No6,471,623*
5315-8-14No0.00001413252819820000No7,064,046*
5214-10-13No0.000014132528198200000.0%7,567,926*
5114-9-14No0.0000014132528198200000.07,973,624*
5014-8-15NoNo000015142528197200000.08,259,505*
4913-10-14NoNo0001514262818710000.28,412,725*
4813-9-15NoNo0000161627271661001.18,414,374*
4713-8-16NoNo00017182827144104.78,267,559*
4612-10-15NoNo000029213025112013.47,982,106*
4512-9-16NoNo00003122531217128.37,571,436*
4412-8-17NoNo0001517303014347.07,048,419*
4311-10-16NoNo00029243524665.36,447,105*
4211-9-17NoNo000141634341279.85,789,875*
4111-8-18NoNo0001928412189.55,099,722*
4010-10-17NoNo0000420433295.14,409,304*
3910-9-18NoNo00213414497.93,741,197*
3810-8-19NoNo0018365599.23,118,524*
379-10-18NoNo0004306699.72,540,006*
369-9-19NoNo002237499.92,034,963*
358-11-18NoNo0011782100.01,596,921*
348-10-19NoNo0011287100.01,227,909*
338-9-20NoNo00891100.0922,194*
327-11-19NoNo00694100.0679,136*
317-10-20NoNo00496100.0489,857*
307-9-21NoNo00298100.0343,738*
297-8-22NoNo0199Yes238,184*
286-10-21NoNo0199Yes159,838*
276-9-22NoNo0199Yes104,963*
266-8-23NoNo0100Yes67,724*
255-10-22NoNo0100Yes42,154*
245-9-23NoNo0100Yes25,281*
235-8-24NoNo0100Yes15,173*
224-10-23NoNo0100Yes8,744*
0-21NoNo100Yes29,980*
Total:1.5%8.8%22233344455566677891026.4%158,779,680

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship