Tottenham Hotspur Title Chances

Lost to West Brom 0-1, title odds down 2.6 to 3.3%
7 points   2-1-2

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/20100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Down to Championship100.0*Average seed
Tottenham 0 West Brom 1 -2.2
-7.0
+2.3
-1.1
Aston Villa 0 Arsenal 3 +0.3
+0.1
Man City 1 Chelsea 1 +0.2
+0.3
Swansea 0 Southampton 1 -0.1
-0.1
Leicester 5 Man United 3 +0.1
+0.1
West Ham 3 Liverpool 1 +0.1
+0.1
Newcastle 2 Hull 2 +0.1
Everton 2 Crystal Palace 3 +0.1
+0.1
Burnley 0 Sunderland 0 +0.1
-0.1
QPR 2 Stoke 2 +0.1
-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/27100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Down to Championship100.0*Average seed
Arsenal vs Tottenham-1.0-0.1+1.9
-4.0-0.3+7.2
+1.8-0.2-3.0
-0.7-0.0+1.2
Southampton vs QPR-0.1+0.1+0.2
-0.3+0.3+0.5
-0.1*+0.0+0.4
Chelsea vs Aston Villa-0.2+0.2+0.2
-0.1+0.2*-0.0
-0.0*+0.0+0.1
Sunderland vs Swansea+0.1*+0.0-0.1
+0.2+0.1-0.3
+0.1-0.1-0.2
Hull vs Man City+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.1+0.2-0.3
+0.1*-0.0-0.1
Man United vs West Ham*+0.0+0.2-0.2
Crystal Palace vs Leicester+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.1*-0.0-0.1
Liverpool vs Everton-0.1+0.2*+0.0
Stoke vs Newcastle-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.0-0.1+0.1
West Brom vs Burnley*+0.0-0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Tottenham finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seedDown to
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFA CL1234567891011121314151617181920ChampionshipCount
86-106YesYes100No1,882*
8525-3-599.4%Yes991No154*
8424-5-499.7Yes1000No288*
8324-4-599.8Yes1000No501*
8224-3-699.5Yes991No784*
8123-5-598.8Yes991No1,304*
8023-4-697.5Yes973No2,199*
7922-6-596.7Yes9730No3,254*
7822-5-695.1Yes9550No5,094*
7722-4-793.7Yes9460No7,617*
7621-6-691.4Yes9180No11,191*
7521-5-787.4Yes871200No16,470*
7421-4-883.2Yes831610No23,410*
7320-6-777.5Yes772120No32,022*
7220-5-871.1100.0%7126300No44,144*
7120-4-963.2100.06332500No59,824*
7019-6-854.7100.05537810No78,898*
6919-5-944.999.945411220No102,860*
6818-7-835.399.8354418300No131,415*
6718-6-925.899.3264424610No164,862*
6618-5-1017.798.218403010200No202,850*
6517-7-910.995.8113435164000No246,448*
6417-6-106.190.962536238100No295,220*
6317-5-112.982.63173330143000No345,208*
6216-7-101.269.51926332181000No400,001*
6116-6-110.452.604173128144100No454,415*
6016-5-120.134.402924312392000No506,748*
5915-7-110.018.6004142829176100No555,587*
5815-6-120.07.900171929261341000No601,726*
5715-5-13No2.500210233023102000No639,220*
5614-7-120.00.6000141325291982000No667,113*
5514-6-13No0.100151627281761000No688,028*
5413-8-12No0.000171828261441000No693,276*
5313-7-13No0.0000282029241231000No690,478*
5213-6-14NoNo000310232922103000No674,415*
5112-8-13NoNo001312252920820000.0%648,581*
5012-7-14NoNo000151426281861000.0613,398*
4912-6-15NoNo0001617282715510000.1569,046*
4811-8-14NoNo000282030251230000.4519,309*
4711-7-15NoNo00031124302182001.8466,164*
4611-6-16NoNo0015152829175105.8410,599*
4510-8-15NoNo00017203126112013.9355,945*
4410-7-16NoNo0003122632206126.8303,194*
4310-6-17NoNo001618322912242.8253,438*
429-8-16NoNo000211273520459.4206,655*
419-7-17NoNo0016203630873.7166,680*
409-6-18NoNo0021333371484.5132,139*
398-8-17NoNo001727422391.7102,175*
388-7-18NoNo000420443295.977,446*
378-6-19NoNo00213424398.157,604*
367-8-18NoNo018385399.242,203*
357-7-19NoNo005326399.730,293*
347-6-20NoNo003267199.921,032*
336-8-19NoNo012078100.014,303*
326-7-20NoNo011585100.09,544*
316-6-21NoNo001188100.06,244*
305-8-20NoNo0792Yes3,948*
295-7-21NoNo595Yes2,437*
285-6-22NoNo0496Yes1,506*
274-8-21NoNo298Yes902*
264-7-22NoNo199Yes483*
254-6-23NoNo199Yes290*
244-5-24NoNo199Yes151*
7-23NoNo100Yes1,825*
Total:3.3%19.0%355666666666655443327.4%13,366,440

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Win Championship  (Full Screen)