How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/16100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Watford 0 Manchester City 6 +5.7
+8.3
-0.3
+0.8
Manchester United 4 Everton 0 -1.0
-0.5
Chelsea 0 Arsenal 0 +0.2
+0.3
Tottenham Hotspur 0 Swansea City 0 +0.2
+0.3
Huddersfield Town 1 Leicester City 1 +0.2
+0.3
Newcastle United 2 Stoke City 1 -0.2
-0.2
Liverpool 1 Burnley 1 +0.2
+0.3
West Brom 0 West Ham United 0 +0.1
+0.2
Bournemouth 2 Brighton & Hove 1 +0.1
+0.2
Crystal Palace 0 Southampton 1 -0.1
-0.3
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/23100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Manchester City vs Crystal Palace+4.9-2.9-6.6
+5.4-2.9-7.5
-0.1+0.0+0.2
+0.4-0.2-0.6
Southampton vs Manchester United+1.7+0.8-1.8
+0.0+0.2-0.2
Stoke City vs Chelsea+0.5+0.3-0.6
+0.3+0.3-0.5
West Ham United vs Tottenham Hotspur+0.6+0.3-0.6
+0.5+0.3-0.5
Brighton & Hove vs Newcastle United+0.4+0.2-0.5
+0.4+0.3-0.5
Burnley vs Huddersfield Town*+0.0+0.3-0.2
-0.1+0.3-0.2
Leicester City vs Liverpool+0.2+0.1-0.2
+0.2+0.2-0.3
Swansea City vs Watford+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.2+0.2-0.3
Arsenal vs West Brom+0.0+0.1-0.1
*-0.0+0.2-0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Manchester City finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFA CL1234567891011121314151617181920ChampionshipCount
96-112YesYes100No20,992*
9526-4-399.9%Yes1000No1,023*
9425-6-2YesYes100No1,853*
9325-5-3100.0Yes1000No3,434*
9225-4-4100.0Yes1000No6,069*
9124-6-3100.0Yes1000No10,241*
9024-5-499.9Yes1000No17,203*
8923-7-399.9Yes1000No28,338*
8823-6-499.9Yes1000No45,232*
8723-5-599.9Yes1000No70,706*
8622-7-499.9Yes1000No108,139*
8522-6-599.8Yes1000No162,496*
8421-8-499.7Yes1000No237,268*
8321-7-599.5Yes1000No341,620*
8221-6-699.3Yes9910No478,403*
8120-8-599.0Yes9910No658,575*
8020-7-698.5Yes9820No889,692*
7919-9-597.8Yes9820No1,176,067*
7819-8-696.8Yes9730No1,526,895*
7719-7-795.4Yes95500No1,943,443*
7618-9-693.5Yes93600No2,430,355*
7518-8-791.0Yes91900No2,989,510*
7418-7-887.6Yes881200No3,599,389*
7317-9-783.4100.0%8316100No4,260,857*
7217-8-878.1100.07821100No4,946,783*
7116-10-771.6100.07226200No5,644,472*
7016-9-864.0100.06432400No6,324,964*
6916-8-955.4100.055377000No6,961,237*
6815-10-846.099.94642111000No7,529,036*
6715-9-936.399.83645162000No7,993,458*
6615-8-1027.099.527452350000No8,339,722*
6514-10-918.698.6194229910000No8,546,575*
6414-9-1011.696.6123635153000No8,606,033*
6313-11-96.592.3727372271000No8,519,191*
6213-10-103.284.531834291230000No8,278,236*
6113-9-111.372.2111283320710000No7,895,212*
6012-11-100.455.8051931271331000No7,398,548*
5912-10-110.137.50210253121820000No6,815,983*
5812-9-120.020.90151628281651000No6,160,842*
5711-11-110.09.300182030251231000No5,470,163*
5611-10-120.03.1000311242921920000No4,768,799*
5511-9-130.00.8000141426281871000No4,074,701*
5410-11-12No0.1000161728271551000No3,421,813*
5310-10-13No0.000028192925134100No2,820,147*
5210-9-14No0.000029222923113000No2,278,026*
519-11-13NoNo0003112429219200000.0%1,803,544*
509-10-14NoNo00014132629197100No1,401,950*
499-9-15NoNo001516282816510000.01,067,816*
488-11-14NoNo000171929261341000.0797,505*
478-10-15NoNo000292230231020000.3581,749*
467-12-14NoNo00031226302071001.3415,967*
457-11-15NoNo0015172929154004.4289,897*
447-10-16NoNo0002822322592011.3198,872*
436-12-15NoNo003132832185023.2133,839*
426-11-16NoNo0001720332710138.686,965*
416-10-17NoNo00313293418355.055,791*
406-9-18NoNo0017223727670.234,819*
395-11-17NoNo0031535351282.021,107*
385-10-18NoNo01829421990.512,436*
375-9-19NoNo00423442995.27,191*
364-11-18NoNo0215453898.04,003*
354-10-19NoNo019434899.32,085*
344-9-20NoNo53758Yes1,131*
333-11-19NoNo42769Yes563*
323-10-20NoNo22375Yes290*
313-9-21NoNo11881Yes142*
303-8-22NoNo892Yes85*
292-10-21NoNo892Yes24*
281-12-20NoNo892Yes13*
13-27NoNo100Yes19,995*
Total:29.4%71.3%291913975432211110000000.1%160,739,520

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship