How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 4/22100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Average seed
Chelsea 4 Southampton 2 -0.0
Liverpool 1 Crystal Palace 2 +4.3
+0.2
Burnley 0 Manchester United 2 -4.3
-0.1
West Ham 0 Everton 0 +0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 4/26100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Average seed
Manchester City vs Manchester United+17.7+2.5-16.6
+0.5+0.0-0.4
Middlesbrough vs Manchester City-19.5-8.7+7.8
-0.5-0.2+0.2
Tottenham Hotspur vs Arsenal+1.0+0.2-2.4
Crystal Palace vs Tottenham Hotspur+0.1*+0.0-0.0
Watford vs Liverpool+7.9+3.5-4.0
+0.2+0.1-0.1
Manchester United vs Swansea City-3.1+3.9+7.5
-0.1+0.1+0.2
Arsenal vs Leicester City-1.0+0.9+1.3

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Manchester City finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFA CL1234567891011121314151617181920ChampionshipCount
826-0-00.6%Yes13663No655,615
805-1-00.0Yes01684No2,318,971
795-0-10.0Yes08892No1,771,196
784-2-00.099.9%049060No3,405,239
774-1-1No99.12811710No5,074,740
763-3-0No98.11732420No2,637,530
4-0-2No94.70603450No1,780,332
753-2-1No90.204842100No5,777,855
743-1-2No75.502749241No3,986,423
2-4-0No85.403848140No1,138,630
732-3-1No63.701747342No3,262,669
3-0-3No54.301243433No883,119
722-2-2No39.80634546No3,339,929
1-5-0No52.201043444No260,975
712-1-3No20.92196514No1,465,033
1-4-1No28.003256012No917,985
701-3-2No11.301163250No1,238,344
2-0-4No8.30864280No233,302
0-6-0No17.511661210No24,840
691-2-3No3.70457391No803,430
0-5-1No5.80658361No103,067
681-1-4No0.90140545No254,364
0-4-2No1.30141534No172,703
670-3-3No0.20266211No147,315
1-0-5No0.10256312No31,328
660-2-4No0.00156421No68,889
650-1-5NoNo65441No17,017
640-0-6NoNo24157No6,920
Total:0.0%75.2%0246272040No41,777,760
Points
Chance Will Win Championship