How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/14100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Norwich City 3 Manchester City 2 -5.2
-7.7
+0.5
-0.7
Liverpool 3 Newcastle United 1 -1.5
-0.4
Manchester United 1 Leicester City 0 +0.1
Tottenham Hotspur 4 Crystal Palace 0 +0.1
Wolverhampton 2 Chelsea 5 -0.1
-0.1
Brighton & Hove 1 Burnley 1 +0.1
+0.2
Sheffield United 0 Southampton 1 *+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/15100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Manchester City vs Watford+3.7-1.8-4.2
+6.8-3.0-8.2
-0.5+0.1+0.7
+0.7-0.3-0.8
Chelsea vs Liverpool+1.3+0.6-1.4
-0.2+0.2-0.0
West Ham United vs Manchester United+0.2+0.2-0.3
+0.1+0.4-0.3
Leicester City vs Tottenham Hotspur*-0.0+0.2-0.2
-0.1+0.3-0.2
Watford vs Arsenal+0.2+0.1-0.2
+0.5+0.2-0.5
Arsenal vs Aston Villa-0.2+0.1+0.1
-0.4+0.2+0.2
Bournemouth vs Everton+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.2+0.3-0.4
Aston Villa vs West Ham United+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.2+0.2-0.4
Everton vs Sheffield United-0.2+0.1+0.1
-0.3+0.3+0.1
Southampton vs Bournemouth-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.2+0.2+0.1
Burnley vs Norwich City*-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
Crystal Palace vs Wolverhampton-0.1+0.0*+0.0
-0.2+0.1+0.1
Newcastle United vs Brighton & Hove*+0.0+0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Manchester City finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFA CL1234567891011121314151617181920ChampionshipCount
90-109YesYes100No9,573*
8924-7-299.7%Yes1000No1,262*
8824-6-3100.0Yes1000No2,135*
8724-5-499.9Yes1000No3,626*
8623-7-399.8Yes1000No6,018*
8523-6-499.8Yes1000No9,870*
8423-5-599.6Yes1000No16,057*
8322-7-499.4Yes991No25,046*
8222-6-599.2Yes991No38,619*
8121-8-498.7Yes9910No57,610*
8021-7-598.2Yes9820No85,254*
7921-6-697.4Yes9730No122,271*
7820-8-596.3Yes9640No172,286*
7720-7-694.8Yes9550No237,538*
7619-9-593.0Yes9370No321,815*
7519-8-690.4Yes9090No429,792*
7419-7-787.1Yes871300No561,429*
7318-9-683.1Yes831600No717,880*
7218-8-778.2Yes782110No904,111*
7118-7-872.4100.0%7226200No1,118,116*
7017-9-765.4100.06531300No1,356,733*
6917-8-857.5100.058375000No1,615,163*
6816-10-748.9100.049428100No1,892,470*
6716-9-839.999.9404613100No2,170,797*
6616-8-930.899.83147193000No2,458,181*
6515-10-822.499.422462561000No2,724,371*
6415-9-915.098.3154132102000No2,972,283*
6315-8-109.196.0934361740000No3,182,783*
6214-10-94.991.1525372481000No3,349,979*
6114-9-102.282.421634301430000No3,462,361*
6013-11-90.869.01926332281000No3,516,978*
5913-10-100.351.4041731291541000No3,510,643*
5813-9-110.132.80192331231020000No3,439,025*
5712-11-100.016.90031327291971000No3,314,936*
5612-10-110.06.700161728271551000No3,131,099*
5512-9-120.01.9000282029241241000No2,909,170*
5411-11-110.00.400003102229221030000No2,660,400*
5311-10-12No0.000131224282092000No2,377,727*
5211-9-13No0.0000141325281982000No2,091,455*
5110-11-12No0.0000151426281872000No1,806,197*
5010-10-13No0.000001616262717610000.0%1,528,671*
4910-9-14NoNo000161727261551000.01,269,642*
489-11-13NoNo000271828261441000.11,037,963*
479-10-14NoNo000292029241230000.5827,210*
469-9-15NoNo00031023302292002.3648,982*
458-11-14NoNo00014132630197107.6498,887*
448-10-15NoNo00016172928144018.2374,306*
438-9-16NoNo00292332249134.2276,417*
427-11-15NoNo001414293217352.5199,315*
417-10-16NoNo00017223527769.4140,209*
407-9-17NoNo0031433361482.796,675*
396-11-16NoNo001827412391.265,537*
386-10-17NoNo00419433395.742,928*
376-9-18NoNo0212414598.327,497*
365-11-17NoNo018365699.417,301*
355-10-18NoNo04306699.710,470*
345-9-19NoNo022375100.06,257*
334-11-18NoNo01178299.93,608*
324-10-19NoNo01188Yes2,061*
314-9-20NoNo0892Yes1,151*
303-11-19NoNo694Yes623*
293-10-20NoNo496Yes275*
283-9-21NoNo199Yes169*
10-27NoNo100Yes8,307*
Total:15.2%53.3%1515121087654332221111001.0%65,867,520

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship