Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsPremier Division SouthChance will finish regular season at seedLevel 9 Playoff
3/7PGW-D-LGD%Change%Change1234567891011121314151617181920Avg.Change%ChangeRPIStrengthTuesday
Thatcham TownWMangotsfield 4-058218-4-538100.0%+0.166.1%+13.3663120000000001.4+0.19No3.737at Basingstoke TownThatcham Town
Frome TownTPaulton Rovers 2-258117-7-43099.8+0.032.9-12.3335961000000001.8-0.12No1.717Frome Town
Winchester CityWSlimbridge 2-148214-6-71666.9+15.80.5+0.10426201613107310000004.8+0.84No4.609Winchester City
Larkhall AthleticLCirencester Town 0-449214-7-6862.4-13.00.2-0.80322211714117410000005.1-0.66No2.558Larkhall Athletic
Cirencester TownWLarkhall Athletic 4-045214-3-102051.7+16.90.1+0.00215171716131062100000005.6+0.96No7.628at MangotsfieldCirencester Town
Paulton RoversTFrome Town 2-245213-6-81743.1-5.20.1-0.20111151617151373100000006.0-0.19No6.599Paulton Rovers
Cinderford TownWTotton 4-243313-4-91438.7+9.00.1+0.00110131516161495210000006.3+0.63No5.580SholingCinderford Town
Melksham TownLBideford 2-347114-5-9726.5-17.50.0-0.100591215181913621000006.9-0.87No8.537Melksham Town
SholingTBarnstaple Town 0-038412-2-1188.0-3.40.0-0.0001346914211812731000009.0-0.30No10.562at Cinderford TownSholing
Evesham UnitedTBristol Manor F 0-041111-8-921.8-1.70.0-0.0000012510202618105200009.9-0.31No9.507Evesham United
SlimbridgeLWinchester City 1-235311-2-1310.4-0.80.0-0.000000113713202117942100011.7-0.620.0%13.499Slimbridge
Willand RoversTBasingstoke Town 1-132510-2-12-50.5-0.30.0-0.0000001136111719191263100012.0-0.160.011.446Willand Rovers
BidefordWMelksham Town 3-237110-7-11-10.1+0.1No0000012510192421125200012.0+1.11No-0.012.487Bideford
Highworth TownLMoneyfields 0-13218-8-12-40.0-0.0No0000001251017261811620014.0-0.480.018.459Highworth Town
Bristol Manor FTEvesham United 0-03028-6-13-130.0-0.0No0000000012512192221170015.8+0.100.0-0.015.380Bristol Manor Farm
TottonLCinderford Town 2-42927-8-12-140.0-0.0No0000000012511192322160015.8-0.290.0+0.016.393Totton
MoneyfieldsWHighworth Town 1-02546-7-12-150.0No000000001249161922241016.1+0.660.0-0.114.383Moneyfields
MangotsfieldLThatcham Town 0-4298-5-16-17Out-0.0No000000025111726381016.8-0.470.0+0.017.391Cirencester TownMangotsfield
Basingstoke TownTWilland Rovers 1-11925-4-18-44OutNo00000000002752219.2-0.0321.6+0.519.255Thatcham TownBasingstoke Town
Barnstaple TownTSholing 0-01625-1-21-48OutNo0000000000217819.878.3-0.420.214Barnstaple Town

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 3/7
Melksham Town 2 Bideford 3
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Premier Division South100.0*Level 9 Playoff100.0*Average seed
Winchester City+2.7
Larkhall Athletic+2.2
Cirencester Town+2.6
Paulton Rovers+2.9
Cinderford Town+2.4
Melksham Town-15.1
-0.8
Sholing+1.2
Evesham United+0.6
Bideford+0.8
Slimbridge 1 Winchester City 2
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Premier Division South100.0*Level 9 Playoff100.0*Average seed
Winchester City+14.1
+0.4
+0.7
Larkhall Athletic-1.9
Cirencester Town-2.3
Paulton Rovers-2.6
Cinderford Town-2.1
Melksham Town-2.6
Sholing-1.0
Evesham United-0.5
Slimbridge-0.9
-0.6
Cirencester Town 4 Larkhall Athletic 0
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Premier Division South100.0*Level 9 Playoff100.0*Average seed
Thatcham Town+0.2
Frome Town+0.2
Winchester City-0.7
Larkhall Athletic-7.4
-0.5
-0.4
Cirencester Town+10.3
+0.6
Paulton Rovers-0.7
Cinderford Town-0.5
Melksham Town-0.7
Sholing-0.2
Cinderford Town 4 Totton 2
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Premier Division South100.0*Level 9 Playoff100.0*Average seed
Winchester City-1.2
Larkhall Athletic-1.0
Cirencester Town-1.1
Paulton Rovers-1.3
Cinderford Town+6.8
+0.5
Melksham Town-1.3
Sholing-0.5
Evesham United-0.2
Totton-0.3
Barnstaple Town 0 Sholing 0
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Premier Division South100.0*Level 9 Playoff100.0*Average seed
Winchester City+0.6
Larkhall Athletic+0.5
Cirencester Town+0.6
Paulton Rovers+0.6
Cinderford Town+0.4
Melksham Town+0.6
Sholing-3.5
-0.4
Basingstoke Town+0.8
Barnstaple Town-0.8
Paulton Rovers 2 Frome Town 2
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Premier Division South100.0*Level 9 Playoff100.0*Average seed
Thatcham Town+2.3
Frome Town-2.3
Winchester City+0.5
Larkhall Athletic+0.4
Cirencester Town+0.5
Paulton Rovers-2.9
-0.1
Cinderford Town+0.4
Melksham Town+0.6
Sholing+0.2
Evesham United 0 Bristol Manor F 0
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Premier Division South100.0*Level 9 Playoff100.0*Average seed
Winchester City+0.3
Paulton Rovers+0.3
Melksham Town+0.3
Evesham United-1.6
-0.4
Bristol Manor F+0.1
Basingstoke Town 1 Willand Rovers 1
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Premier Division South100.0*Level 9 Playoff100.0*Average seed
Willand Rovers-0.3
No
No
-0.2
Mangotsfield 0 Thatcham Town 4
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Premier Division South100.0*Level 9 Playoff100.0*Average seed
Thatcham Town+8.5
Frome Town-7.8
Larkhall Athletic-0.3
MangotsfieldOut
-0.3
Moneyfields 1 Highworth Town 0
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Premier Division South100.0*Level 9 Playoff100.0*Average seed
Highworth Town-0.5
Moneyfields+0.5
Mangotsfield vs Cirencester TownIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Premier Division South100.0*Level 9 Playoff100.0*Average seed
Cirencester Town37.746.663.7
6.35.85.0
Paulton Rovers46.044.240.7
5.96.06.1
Cinderford Town vs SholingHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Premier Division South100.0*Level 9 Playoff100.0*Average seed
Cinderford Town48.932.323.8
5.76.67.2
Sholing4.67.916.2
9.48.98.0
Basingstoke Town vs Thatcham TownHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Premier Division South100.0*Level 9 Playoff100.0*Average seed
Thatcham Town52.159.572.2
1.61.51.3
Frome Town46.239.227.1
1.61.71.8
Basingstoke Town9.818.925.3
19.019.119.2
Barnstaple Town90.181.074.6
19.919.819.7
Week of 3/14
Winchester City vs Cirencester TownIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Premier Division South100.0*Level 9 Playoff100.0*Average seed
Winchester City78.462.150.3
0.80.20.1
4.35.15.6
Cirencester Town40.953.071.2
0.00.10.3
6.15.54.7
Sholing vs Paulton RoversHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Premier Division South100.0*Level 9 Playoff100.0*Average seed
Paulton Rovers33.2*43.160.9
6.56.05.1
Sholing12.45.63.0
8.39.39.7
Willand Rovers vs Cirencester TownHomeDrawAway
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Premier Division South100.0*Level 9 Playoff100.0*Average seed
Cirencester Town39.048.165.1
6.25.85.0
Paulton Rovers45.543.940.5
5.96.06.1
Willand Rovers1.00.30.1
0.0NoNo
11.312.112.6
Larkhall Athletic vs Barnstaple TownHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Premier Division South100.0*Level 9 Playoff100.0*Average seed
Larkhall Athletic69.452.643.7
0.30.10.0
4.75.56.0
Paulton Rovers41.845.046.8
6.15.95.9
Basingstoke Town18.124.338.7
19.119.219.3
Barnstaple Town81.975.661.1
19.819.819.6
Paulton Rovers vs SlimbridgeHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Premier Division South100.0*Level 9 Playoff100.0*Average seed
Paulton Rovers53.035.627.3
5.56.46.9
Slimbridge0.10.31.2
No*No0.0
12.111.610.8
Bideford vs Cinderford TownHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Premier Division South100.0*Level 9 Playoff100.0*Average seed
Cinderford Town28.736.753.2
6.96.45.5
Bideford11.412.212.6
Winchester City vs Barnstaple TownHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Premier Division South100.0*Level 9 Playoff100.0*Average seed
Winchester City72.857.548.8
0.60.20.1
4.55.35.7
Basingstoke Town18.524.839.3
19.119.219.4
Barnstaple Town81.575.260.5
19.819.719.6
Totton vs Melksham TownHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Premier Division South100.0*Level 9 Playoff100.0*Average seed
Melksham Town16.623.138.9
7.57.06.1
Totton0.00.0Out
15.216.016.3
Moneyfields vs SholingHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Premier Division South100.0*Level 9 Playoff100.0*Average seed
Sholing4.16.212.8
9.69.18.3
Moneyfields0.00.0Out
15.516.216.5
Thatcham Town vs Evesham UnitedHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Premier Division South100.0*Level 9 Playoff100.0*Average seed
Thatcham Town72.159.452.0
1.31.51.6
Frome Town27.239.346.2
1.81.71.6
Evesham United1.01.95.5
NoNo0.0
10.19.78.9
Willand Rovers vs SlimbridgeHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Premier Division South100.0*Level 9 Playoff100.0*Average seed
Slimbridge0.10.30.9
No*No0.0
12.311.710.9
Willand Rovers0.90.30.1
0.0NoNo
No*No0.0
11.412.312.8
Frome Town vs MoneyfieldsHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Premier Division South100.0*Level 9 Playoff100.0*Average seed
Thatcham Town61.072.978.2
1.41.31.3
Frome Town100.099.899.4
38.325.820.3
1.71.92.0
MoneyfieldsOut0.00.1
16.316.015.3
Bristol Manor F vs Basingstoke TownHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Premier Division South100.0*Level 9 Playoff100.0*Average seed
Bristol Manor F0.0OutOut
15.516.116.5
Basingstoke Town26.019.510.2
19.219.219.0
Barnstaple Town74.080.589.7
19.719.819.9
Highworth Town vs MangotsfieldHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Premier Division South100.0*Level 9 Playoff100.0*Average seed
Highworth TownNo*0.00.0
13.514.314.8

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Markus Paminger for adding this league.