Non-League Div One Southern South Playoff Chances 2019-2020

															100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Chance will make playoffs												Premier Division South			Chance will finish regular season at seed																						Level 9 Playoff
	P	G	W	-	D	-	L	GD	%	Change		%	Change		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	Avg.	Change	%	Change		RPI	Strength

Thatcham Town	58	2	18	-	4	-	5	38	100.0	%	+0.1	66.1	%	+13.3	66	31	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0									1.4	+0.19	No			3	.737	Thatcham Town

Frome Town	58	1	17	-	7	-	4	30	99.8		+0.0	32.9		-12.3	33	59	6	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0									1.8	-0.12	No			1	.717	Frome Town
Winchester City	48	2	14	-	6	-	7	16	66.9		+15.8	0.5		+0.1	0	4	26	20	16	13	10	7	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	0					4.8	+0.84	No			4	.609	Winchester City
Larkhall Athletic	49	2	14	-	7	-	6	8	62.4		-13.0	0.2		-0.8	0	3	22	21	17	14	11	7	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	0					5.1	-0.66	No			2	.558	Larkhall Athletic
Cirencester Town	45	2	14	-	3	-	10	20	51.7		+16.9	0.1		+0.0	0	2	15	17	17	16	13	10	6	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0			5.6	+0.96	No			7	.628	Cirencester Town

Paulton Rovers	45	2	13	-	6	-	8	17	43.1		-5.2	0.1		-0.2	0	1	11	15	16	17	15	13	7	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0			6.0	-0.19	No			6	.599	Paulton Rovers
Cinderford Town	43	3	13	-	4	-	9	14	38.7		+9.0	0.1		+0.0	0	1	10	13	15	16	16	14	9	5	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	0			6.3	+0.63	No			5	.580	Cinderford Town
Melksham Town	47	1	14	-	5	-	9	7	26.5		-17.5	0.0		-0.1	0	0	5	9	12	15	18	19	13	6	2	1	0	0	0	0	0				6.9	-0.87	No			8	.537	Melksham Town
Sholing	38	4	12	-	2	-	11	8	8.0		-3.4	0.0		-0.0	0	0	1	3	4	6	9	14	21	18	12	7	3	1	0	0	0	0	0		9.0	-0.30	No			10	.562	Sholing
Evesham United	41	1	11	-	8	-	9	2	1.8		-1.7	0.0		-0.0	0	0	0	0	1	2	5	10	20	26	18	10	5	2	0	0	0	0			9.9	-0.31	No			9	.507	Evesham United
Slimbridge	35	3	11	-	2	-	13	1	0.4		-0.8	0.0		-0.0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	3	7	13	20	21	17	9	4	2	1	0	0	0	11.7	-0.62	0.0	%		13	.499	Slimbridge
Willand Rovers	32	5	10	-	2	-	12	-5	0.5		-0.3	0.0		-0.0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	3	6	11	17	19	19	12	6	3	1	0	0	0	12.0	-0.16	0.0			11	.446	Willand Rovers
Bideford	37	1	10	-	7	-	11	-1	0.1		+0.1	No				0	0	0	0	0	1	2	5	10	19	24	21	12	5	2	0	0	0		12.0	+1.11	No		-0.0	12	.487	Bideford
Highworth Town	32	1	8	-	8	-	12	-4	0.0		-0.0	No					0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	5	10	17	26	18	11	6	2	0	0	14.0	-0.48	0.0			18	.459	Highworth Town
Bristol Manor F	30	2	8	-	6	-	13	-13	0.0		-0.0	No					0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	5	12	19	22	21	17	0	0	15.8	+0.10	0.0		-0.0	15	.380	Bristol Manor Farm
Totton	29	2	7	-	8	-	12	-14	0.0		-0.0	No					0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	5	11	19	23	22	16	0	0	15.8	-0.29	0.0		+0.0	16	.393	Totton
Moneyfields	25	4	6	-	7	-	12	-15	0.0			No					0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	4	9	16	19	22	24	1	0	16.1	+0.66	0.0		-0.1	14	.383	Moneyfields
Mangotsfield	29		8	-	5	-	16	-17	Out		-0.0	No								0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	5	11	17	26	38	1	0	16.8	-0.47	0.0		+0.0	17	.391	Mangotsfield
Basingstoke Town	19	2	5	-	4	-	18	-44	Out			No										0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	75	22	19.2	-0.03	21.6		+0.5	19	.255	Basingstoke Town

Barnstaple Town	16	2	5	-	1	-	21	-48	Out			No											0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	21	78	19.8		78.3		-0.4	20	.214	Barnstaple Town

Week of 3/7
Melksham Town 2 Bideford 3
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Premier Division South	100.0*	Level 9 Playoff	100.0*	Average seed
Winchester City	+2.7
Larkhall Athletic	+2.2
Cirencester Town	+2.6
Paulton Rovers	+2.9
Cinderford Town	+2.4
Melksham Town	-15.1						-0.8
Sholing	+1.2
Evesham United	+0.6
Bideford							+0.8

Slimbridge 1 Winchester City 2
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Premier Division South	100.0*	Level 9 Playoff	100.0*	Average seed
Winchester City	+14.1		+0.4				+0.7
Larkhall Athletic	-1.9
Cirencester Town	-2.3
Paulton Rovers	-2.6
Cinderford Town	-2.1
Melksham Town	-2.6
Sholing	-1.0
Evesham United	-0.5
Slimbridge	-0.9						-0.6

Cirencester Town 4 Larkhall Athletic 0
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Premier Division South	100.0*	Level 9 Playoff	100.0*	Average seed
Thatcham Town			+0.2
Frome Town			+0.2
Winchester City	-0.7
Larkhall Athletic	-7.4		-0.5				-0.4
Cirencester Town	+10.3						+0.6
Paulton Rovers	-0.7
Cinderford Town	-0.5
Melksham Town	-0.7
Sholing	-0.2

Cinderford Town 4 Totton 2
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Premier Division South	100.0*	Level 9 Playoff	100.0*	Average seed
Winchester City	-1.2
Larkhall Athletic	-1.0
Cirencester Town	-1.1
Paulton Rovers	-1.3
Cinderford Town	+6.8						+0.5
Melksham Town	-1.3
Sholing	-0.5
Evesham United	-0.2
Totton							-0.3

Barnstaple Town 0 Sholing 0
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Premier Division South	100.0*	Level 9 Playoff	100.0*	Average seed
Winchester City	+0.6
Larkhall Athletic	+0.5
Cirencester Town	+0.6
Paulton Rovers	+0.6
Cinderford Town	+0.4
Melksham Town	+0.6
Sholing	-3.5						-0.4
Basingstoke Town					+0.8
Barnstaple Town					-0.8

Paulton Rovers 2 Frome Town 2
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Premier Division South	100.0*	Level 9 Playoff	100.0*	Average seed
Thatcham Town			+2.3
Frome Town			-2.3
Winchester City	+0.5
Larkhall Athletic	+0.4
Cirencester Town	+0.5
Paulton Rovers	-2.9						-0.1
Cinderford Town	+0.4
Melksham Town	+0.6
Sholing	+0.2

Evesham United 0 Bristol Manor F 0
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Premier Division South	100.0*	Level 9 Playoff	100.0*	Average seed
Winchester City	+0.3
Paulton Rovers	+0.3
Melksham Town	+0.3
Evesham United	-1.6						-0.4
Bristol Manor F							+0.1

Basingstoke Town 1 Willand Rovers 1
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Premier Division South	100.0*	Level 9 Playoff	100.0*	Average seed
Willand Rovers	-0.3		No		No		-0.2

Mangotsfield 0 Thatcham Town 4
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Premier Division South	100.0*	Level 9 Playoff	100.0*	Average seed
Thatcham Town			+8.5
Frome Town			-7.8
Larkhall Athletic			-0.3
Mangotsfield	Out						-0.3

Moneyfields 1 Highworth Town 0
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Premier Division South	100.0*	Level 9 Playoff	100.0*	Average seed
Highworth Town							-0.5
Moneyfields							+0.5

Mangotsfield vs Cirencester TownIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Tue	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Premier Division South	100.0*	Level 9 Playoff	100.0*	Average seed
Cirencester Town	37.746.663.7						6.35.85.0
Paulton Rovers	46.044.240.7						5.96.06.1

Cinderford Town vs SholingHomeDrawAway
Tue	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Premier Division South	100.0*	Level 9 Playoff	100.0*	Average seed
Cinderford Town	48.932.323.8						5.76.67.2
Sholing	4.67.916.2						9.48.98.0

Basingstoke Town vs Thatcham TownHomeDrawAway
Tue	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Premier Division South	100.0*	Level 9 Playoff	100.0*	Average seed
Thatcham Town			52.159.572.2				1.61.51.3
Frome Town			46.239.227.1				1.61.71.8
Basingstoke Town					9.818.925.3		19.019.119.2
Barnstaple Town					90.181.074.6		19.919.819.7

Week of 3/14
Winchester City vs Cirencester TownIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Premier Division South	100.0*	Level 9 Playoff	100.0*	Average seed
Winchester City	78.462.150.3		0.80.20.1				4.35.15.6
Cirencester Town	40.953.071.2		0.00.10.3				6.15.54.7

Sholing vs Paulton RoversHomeDrawAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Premier Division South	100.0*	Level 9 Playoff	100.0*	Average seed
Paulton Rovers	33.2*43.160.9						6.56.05.1
Sholing	12.45.63.0						8.39.39.7

Willand Rovers vs Cirencester TownHomeDrawAway
Wed	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Premier Division South	100.0*	Level 9 Playoff	100.0*	Average seed
Cirencester Town	39.048.165.1						6.25.85.0
Paulton Rovers	45.543.940.5						5.96.06.1
Willand Rovers	1.00.30.1		0.0NoNo				11.312.112.6

Larkhall Athletic vs Barnstaple TownHomeDrawAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Premier Division South	100.0*	Level 9 Playoff	100.0*	Average seed
Larkhall Athletic	69.452.643.7		0.30.10.0				4.75.56.0
Paulton Rovers	41.845.046.8						6.15.95.9
Basingstoke Town					18.124.338.7		19.119.219.3
Barnstaple Town					81.975.661.1		19.819.819.6

Paulton Rovers vs SlimbridgeHomeDrawAway
Tue	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Premier Division South	100.0*	Level 9 Playoff	100.0*	Average seed
Paulton Rovers	53.035.627.3						5.56.46.9
Slimbridge	0.10.31.2		No*No0.0				12.111.610.8

Bideford vs Cinderford TownHomeDrawAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Premier Division South	100.0*	Level 9 Playoff	100.0*	Average seed
Cinderford Town	28.736.753.2						6.96.45.5
Bideford							11.412.212.6

Winchester City vs Barnstaple TownHomeDrawAway
Tue	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Premier Division South	100.0*	Level 9 Playoff	100.0*	Average seed
Winchester City	72.857.548.8		0.60.20.1				4.55.35.7
Basingstoke Town					18.524.839.3		19.119.219.4
Barnstaple Town					81.575.260.5		19.819.719.6

Totton vs Melksham TownHomeDrawAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Premier Division South	100.0*	Level 9 Playoff	100.0*	Average seed
Melksham Town	16.623.138.9						7.57.06.1
Totton	0.00.0Out						15.216.016.3

Moneyfields vs SholingHomeDrawAway
Tue	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Premier Division South	100.0*	Level 9 Playoff	100.0*	Average seed
Sholing	4.16.212.8						9.69.18.3
Moneyfields	0.00.0Out						15.516.216.5

Thatcham Town vs Evesham UnitedHomeDrawAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Premier Division South	100.0*	Level 9 Playoff	100.0*	Average seed
Thatcham Town			72.159.452.0				1.31.51.6
Frome Town			27.239.346.2				1.81.71.6
Evesham United	1.01.95.5		NoNo0.0				10.19.78.9

Willand Rovers vs SlimbridgeHomeDrawAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Premier Division South	100.0*	Level 9 Playoff	100.0*	Average seed
Slimbridge	0.10.30.9		No*No0.0				12.311.710.9
Willand Rovers	0.90.30.1		0.0NoNo		No*No0.0		11.412.312.8

Frome Town vs MoneyfieldsHomeDrawAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Premier Division South	100.0*	Level 9 Playoff	100.0*	Average seed
Thatcham Town			61.072.978.2				1.41.31.3
Frome Town	100.099.899.4		38.325.820.3				1.71.92.0
Moneyfields	Out0.00.1						16.316.015.3

Bristol Manor F vs Basingstoke TownHomeDrawAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Premier Division South	100.0*	Level 9 Playoff	100.0*	Average seed
Bristol Manor F	0.0OutOut						15.516.116.5
Basingstoke Town					26.019.510.2		19.219.219.0
Barnstaple Town					74.080.589.7		19.719.819.9

Highworth Town vs MangotsfieldHomeDrawAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Premier Division South	100.0*	Level 9 Playoff	100.0*	Average seed
Highworth Town					No*0.00.0		13.514.314.8

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Non-League Div One Southern South Playoff Chances 2019-2020

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