"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 2/22100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Burnley 3 Bournemouth 0 +10.7
-0.5
Southampton 2 Aston Villa 0 -2.4
+0.0
Manchester United 3 Watford 0 -2.0
+0.1
Wolverhampton 3 Norwich City 0 -0.5
+0.0
Sheffield United 1 Brighton & Hove 1 +0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Liverpool vs West Ham United-1.0+1.0+4.3
+0.0-0.0-0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 2/29100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Bournemouth vs Chelsea+0.0NoNo
-19.4-1.5+8.2
+0.8+0.0-0.3
Aston Villa vs Sheffield United+5.3+0.2-2.6
-0.1-0.0+0.1
Watford vs Liverpool+6.2+1.3-1.2
-0.2-0.0+0.0
West Ham United vs Southampton+3.2-0.4-2.6
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Brighton & Hove vs Crystal Palace+1.1-0.1-1.1
Newcastle United vs Burnley+0.9+0.1-0.6
-0.1-0.0+0.0
Norwich City vs Leicester City+1.3*+0.1-0.2
-0.1-0.0+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Bournemouth finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFA CL1234567891011121314151617181920ChampionshipCount
5911-0-0No63.6%022422961No1,454
5710-1-0No33.33367No3
5610-0-1No20.020204020No5
559-2-0No5.0510403015No20
549-1-1No1.4132036364No70
538-3-0NoNo1112742145No118*
528-2-1NoNo4203629101No492
518-1-2NoNo01627382260No1,221*
507-3-1NoNo021335351420No2,678*
497-2-2NoNo05224026600No6,669*
487-1-3NoNo011133371520No13,174*
476-3-2NoNo004223927700No25,935*
466-2-3NoNo011033381620No49,598*
455-4-2NoNo04214028710No84,738*
445-3-3NoNo0193239162000.0%143,599*
435-2-4NoNo0031940308100.0156,605
4-5-2NoNo0032041287000.073,901*
424-4-3NoNo0193339162000.1216,175
5-1-5NoNo018314017200.1122,778*
414-3-4NoNo0031941297100.5384,008
3-6-2NoNo0032041287100.5104,486*
404-2-5NoNo0193340162002.3406,570
3-5-3NoNo019343915202.0256,777*
393-4-4NoNo032142286006.3594,837*
4-1-6NoNo0032041296006.8237,674
383-3-5NoNo01103539141015.5773,085
2-6-3NoNo01113538131014.5178,331
4-0-7NoNo01103439152016.461,549*
373-2-6NoNo0042343254029.8675,432
2-5-4NoNo0042443244028.6480,348*
362-4-5NoNo0113393610046.5810,043
3-1-7NoNo0113383711047.9336,950
1-7-3NoNo011440359044.971,329*
352-3-6NoNo006294420164.8936,912
1-6-4NoNo006304419163.3215,406
3-0-8NoNo005294421165.775,468*
342-2-7NoNo002184533279.9695,758
1-5-5NoNo002194532278.7459,331*
331-4-6NoNo01104046489.6641,061
2-1-8NoNo0193947490.1341,054*
321-3-7NoNo0042958995.7629,012
0-6-5NoNo0043058895.6157,908*
311-2-8NoNo0119641698.5404,643
0-5-6NoNo0219641598.5172,220
300-4-7NoNo0010652599.6209,550
1-1-9NoNo0010652599.6153,468
290-3-8NoNo05593699.9204,390*
280-2-9NoNo025148100.0100,670
270-1-10NoNo14060Yes33,965
260-0-11NoNo03070Yes6,692
Total:No0.0%000000000124815212421449.2%11,708,160

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship