"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 1/13100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Bournemouth 2 Arsenal 1 -9.2
+1.2
Tottenham Hotspur 4 Everton 0 +0.0
West Brom 2 Brighton & Hove 0 +0.7
Crystal Palace 1 Burnley 0 +0.7
-0.1
Newcastle United 1 Swansea City 1 -0.3
+0.0
Huddersfield Town 1 West Ham United 4 +0.1
Watford 2 Southampton 2 -0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Manchester United vs Stoke City-0.2+0.2+1.0
+0.0-0.0-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 1/20100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
West Ham United vs BournemouthNoNo+0.0
+4.1+0.2-4.4
-0.8-0.1+1.0
Southampton vs Tottenham Hotspur+0.7+0.1-0.2
-0.1-0.0+0.0
Everton vs West Brom-0.5-0.2+0.7
Brighton & Hove vs Chelsea+0.7+0.2-0.2
-0.1-0.0+0.0
Swansea City vs Liverpool+0.8+0.1-0.2
Manchester City vs Newcastle United-0.2+0.1+0.6
+0.0-0.0-0.1
Stoke City vs Huddersfield Town+0.3-0.2-0.1
Arsenal vs Crystal Palace-0.1+0.1+0.3
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Leicester City vs Watford-0.1*+0.0+0.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Bournemouth finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFA CL1234567891011121314151617181920ChampionshipCount
6915-0-0No27.5%032447242No1,635
6714-1-0NoNo100No1
6513-2-0No25.0252550No4
6413-1-1NoNo115633No27
6312-3-0NoNo55045No56*
6212-2-1NoNo435593No194
6112-1-2NoNo132633No438*
6011-3-1NoNo01969120No916*
5911-2-2NoNo01371151No2,190*
5810-4-1NoNo010642420No4,309*
5710-3-2NoNo06583240No8,401*
5610-2-3NoNo03494170No15,731*
559-4-2NoNo013847130No27,712*
549-3-3NoNo127512110No48,050*
539-2-4NoNo018493120No78,139*
528-4-3NoNo0114441500No121,891*
518-3-4NoNo0535491010No182,918*
507-5-3NoNo03245318200No264,302*
497-4-4NoNo01155128500No362,420*
487-3-5NoNo08433710100No481,672*
476-5-4NoNo03314319300No608,509*
466-4-5NoNo011941308100No745,173*
456-3-6NoNo0083137194000No490,871
5-6-4NoNo0010333616300No385,671*
445-5-5NoNo04203728102000No600,441
6-2-7NoNo00319362911200No384,602*
435-4-6NoNo0192835216100No1,063,435*
425-3-7NoNo031431311640000.0%624,371*
4-6-5NoNo0031633301430000.0481,117
414-5-6NoNo016213326102000.0675,281
5-2-8NoNo016203327112000.0418,962*
404-4-7NoNo001924332381000.1673,329
3-7-5NoNo0021026332171000.1363,134*
394-3-8NoNo0021227322061000.8469,088
3-6-6NoNo0031429321751000.6474,857*
383-5-7NoNo0004163130143003.3815,238*
373-4-8NoNo00016213427101011.2674,008*
363-3-9NoNo00292736225026.9528,403*
352-5-8NoNo00314333413148.9391,522*
342-4-9NoNo0016234026470.6273,589*
332-3-10NoNo0021236401086.6179,966*
321-5-9NoNo00526492095.0110,264*
311-4-10NoNo0115503498.563,152*
301-3-11NoNo07444999.632,800*
290-5-10NoNo003346499.915,322*
280-4-11NoNo012277100.06,483*
270-3-12NoNo01585Yes2,325*
260-2-13NoNo793Yes673
250-1-14NoNo694Yes125
240-0-15NoNo199Yes1,643
Total:No0.0%0000013912121211109764317.7%13,155,360

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship