"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)
Points
Chance Will Win Championship

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will win titlePremier LeagueChance will finish season at seedRelegation
4/6PGW-D-LGD%Change%Change123456789101112131415161718192021222324Avg.Change%ChangeRPIStrengthTuesday
NorwichWQPR 4-08425-9-63491.8%+6.699.2%+1.2927101.1+0.08No1.673ReadingNorwich
Sheffield UtdWPreston 1-07723-8-9305.7+1.272.1+19.46573430002.3+0.40No2.690Sheffield Utd
LeedsLBirmingham 0-17623-7-10242.5-7.652.8-17.823556700002.7-0.31No3.648at PrestonLeeds
West BromLMillwall 0-27020-10-10230.0-0.225.8-2.8019799200000004.0-0.22No4.620at Bristol CityWest Brom
Aston VillaWSheffield Wed 3-16316-15-917No-0.018.7+6.800543271373110000005.9+1.09No5.587Aston Villa
Bristol CityTWigan 2-262117-11-119No-0.015.2-1.7005292717106321000006.4-0.26No7.561West BromBristol City
DerbyTBrentford 3-360116-12-117No-0.08.4+1.000112202217117531100007.6+0.33No6.541at BlackburnDerby
MiddlesbroughLSwansea 1-35815-13-125No3.6-3.000411171915129642100008.8-0.71No9.539at BoltonMiddlesbrough
Nottingham ForestLRotherham 1-25714-15-118No1.6-2.001510151615131075210009.8-0.78No13.549at Sheffield WedNottingham Forest
PrestonLSheffield Utd 0-15715-12-136No0.9-1.2013711141514121074100010.5-0.82No8.531LeedsPreston
SwanseaWMiddlesbrough 3-153115-8-163No0.8+0.50136911131313119731000011.1+1.17No-0.012.513Stoke CitySwansea
Hull CityWReading 3-15716-9-152No0.5+0.200246912141515128300011.5+0.84No14.505Hull City
Sheffield WedLAston Villa 1-35614-14-12-5No0.1-0.4000135810141718156100012.7-1.11No11.458Nottingham ForestSheffield Wedsday
BirminghamWLeeds 1-05313-14-134No0.1+0.10002358111416171582000012.7+1.01No-0.010.519Birmingham
BrentfordTDerby 3-35113-12-157No0.0-0.10001357101418241440000013.7-0.610.0%15.535Brentford
Stoke CityWBlackburn 1-05111-18-11-4No0.0+0.000000113591741193000015.5+0.790.0-0.016.457at SwanseaStoke City
BlackburnLStoke City 0-14712-11-17-10No0.000000001251850185100017.0-0.800.0+0.017.431DerbyBlackburn
QPRLNorwich 0-44412-8-20-19NoNo00000000315362513620018.5-0.441.6+1.218.372QPR
MillwallWWest Brom 2-040110-10-19-13NoNo0000000162326211580019.4+0.707.9-7.319.403Millwall
WiganTBristol City 2-24110-11-19-16NoNo0000000212232722130019.9-0.0213.1+2.720.381Wigan
ReadingLHull City 1-3409-13-18-17NoNo00000015132331271020.6-0.5828.0+16.322.376at NorwichReading
RotherhamWNottingham Forest 2-1398-15-17-25NoNo000000271526482021.1+0.4549.7-16.021.335Rotherham
BoltonLIpswich 1-2328-8-24-37NoNo000002871123.1-0.2699.6+3.123.237MiddlesbroughBolton
IpswichWBolton 2-1274-15-21-33NoNo00000118923.9+0.08100.0+0.024.264Ipswich

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 4/6
Birmingham 1 Leeds 0
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*Relegation100.0*Average seed
Norwich+4.7
+0.6
Sheffield Utd+0.6
+7.2
Leeds-5.3
-9.2
-0.2
West Brom+1.4
BirminghamNo
+0.9
Norwich 4 QPR 0
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*Relegation100.0*Average seed
Norwich+4.8
+1.0
Sheffield Utd-1.6
-0.5
Leeds-3.1
-0.4
Aston Villa*No
Derby*No
QPR-0.2
Preston 0 Sheffield Utd 1
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*Relegation100.0*Average seed
Norwich-3.0
-1.0
Sheffield Utd+3.9
+10.9
+0.3
Leeds-0.8
-8.7
West Brom-1.2
Aston Villa+0.3
Preston-1.4
-0.9
Millwall 2 West Brom 0
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*Relegation100.0*Average seed
Sheffield Utd+1.0
Leeds+1.4
West Brom-2.6
-0.2
Millwall-9.4
+0.6
Wigan+1.3
-0.2
Reading+1.8
-0.2
Rotherham+5.3
Bolton+0.9
Hull City 3 Reading 1
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*Relegation100.0*Average seed
Hull City+0.6
Millwall-0.8
Wigan-0.7
Reading+3.9
-0.3
Rotherham-2.0
Bolton-0.3
Brentford 3 Derby 3
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*Relegation100.0*Average seed
Derby+0.1
Brentford-0.5
Bristol City 2 Wigan 2
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*Relegation100.0*Average seed
Aston Villa+0.6
Bristol City-2.4
-0.4
Derby+0.5
Middlesbrough+0.5
Nottingham Forest+0.3
Millwall+0.4
Wigan-2.6
+0.1
Reading+0.5
Rotherham+1.4
Bolton+0.2
Sheffield Wed 1 Aston Villa 3
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*Relegation100.0*Average seed
Aston Villa+4.6
+0.8
Bristol City-0.9
Derby-0.9
Middlesbrough-1.0
Nottingham Forest-0.6
Sheffield Wed-0.5
-1.0
Swansea 3 Middlesbrough 1
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*Relegation100.0*Average seed
Aston Villa+0.7
Bristol City+0.5
Derby+0.5
Middlesbrough-2.6
-0.7
Nottingham Forest+0.3
Swansea+0.3
No
+0.9
Rotherham 2 Nottingham Forest 1
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*Relegation100.0*Average seed
Aston Villa+0.6
Bristol City+0.4
Derby+0.4
Middlesbrough+0.4
Nottingham Forest-2.2
-1.0
Millwall+6.6
Wigan+5.4
Reading+5.9
Rotherham-19.3
+0.5
Bolton+1.0
Blackburn 0 Stoke City 1
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*Relegation100.0*Average seed
Stoke City+0.9
BlackburnNo
-0.8
Bolton 1 Ipswich 2
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*Relegation100.0*Average seed
Millwall-0.8
Wigan-0.6
Reading-0.7
Rotherham-0.7
Bolton+2.7
-0.2
Norwich vs ReadingIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*Relegation100.0*Average seed
Norwich95.186.880.1
99.798.697.2
1.11.21.2
Sheffield Utd3.59.113.4
71.972.473.0
2.42.32.3
Wigan12.114.417.7
19.920.020.2
Reading32.622.38.5
20.820.419.7
Rotherham47.153.160.6
21.121.221.3
Birmingham vs Sheffield UtdHomeDrawAway
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*Relegation100.0*Average seed
Norwich95.293.687.6
99.599.398.8
Sheffield Utd2.03.710.4
62.069.882.8
2.52.42.1
Leeds2.82.62.1
62.054.943.0
2.52.62.8
Birmingham11.612.913.5
Preston vs LeedsHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*Relegation100.0*Average seed
Sheffield Utd6.05.85.3
80.574.461.1
2.22.32.5
Leeds0.71.55.2
43.750.464.9
2.92.72.4
Preston1.80.50.2
9.510.811.6
Bristol City vs West BromHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*Relegation100.0*Average seed
Bristol City18.613.911.2
5.96.77.1
Hull City vs WiganHomeDrawAway
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*Relegation100.0*Average seed
Hull City0.70.20.1
10.912.212.9
Wigan17.310.33.0
20.219.819.1
Reading26.629.031.6
20.620.720.8
Rotherham47.751.154.7
21.121.221.3
Sheffield Wed vs Nottingham ForestHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*Relegation100.0*Average seed
Nottingham Forest0.51.13.4
10.89.98.6
Sheffield Wed11.613.113.7
Blackburn vs DerbyHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*Relegation100.0*Average seed
Derby5.47.612.7
8.37.76.7
Swansea vs Stoke CityHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*Relegation100.0*Average seed
Swansea1.30.30.1
10.311.712.5
Stoke City0.00.0No
15.915.514.5
Brentford vs IpswichHomeDrawAway
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*Relegation100.0*Average seed
BrentfordNo0.00.0
13.314.414.9
Rotherham vs Aston VillaHomeDrawAway
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*Relegation100.0*Average seed
Aston Villa14.917.721.7
6.56.15.5
Millwall11.77.75.7
19.519.319.3
Wigan19.312.89.5
20.119.919.8
Reading39.027.721.5
20.820.620.5
Rotherham27.450.662.9
20.521.221.5
Bolton vs MiddlesbroughHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*Relegation100.0*Average seed
Middlesbrough1.22.25.6
9.99.28.0
Millwall vs QPRHomeDrawAway
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*Relegation100.0*Average seed
Millwall3.210.617.4
18.919.720.2
Rotherham51.648.845.8
21.221.121.1
Week of 4/13
Wigan vs NorwichIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*Relegation100.0*Average seed
Norwich84.490.096.7
98.199.199.8
1.21.11.0
Sheffield Utd10.77.02.4
72.672.271.9
2.32.32.4
Wigan3.411.519.1
19.219.920.3
Reading31.528.625.9
20.820.620.5
Rotherham54.550.646.8
21.321.121.1
Sheffield Utd vs MillwallHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*Relegation100.0*Average seed
Norwich90.294.795.8
99.099.599.7
Sheffield Utd7.52.51.3
77.563.655.9
2.22.52.7
Leeds2.32.82.9
47.960.667.6
2.72.62.5
Millwall9.75.51.5
19.519.218.5
Leeds vs Sheffield WedHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*Relegation100.0*Average seed
Sheffield Utd5.56.06.1
66.979.384.6
2.42.22.2
Leeds3.50.90.4
58.645.039.2
2.62.83.0
Sheffield Wed0.00.10.6
13.112.411.1
West Brom vs PrestonHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*Relegation100.0*Average seed
Preston0.40.82.8
11.110.49.0
Nottingham Forest vs BlackburnHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*Relegation100.0*Average seed
Nottingham Forest2.30.70.3
9.110.511.2
Reading vs BrentfordHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*Relegation100.0*Average seed
Brentford0.0NoNo
14.513.912.7
Wigan16.712.610.0
20.119.919.8
Reading12.430.042.0
20.120.821.1
Rotherham58.648.841.6
21.321.121.0
Middlesbrough vs Hull CityHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*Relegation100.0*Average seed
Middlesbrough5.32.01.0
8.19.310.2
Hull City0.10.41.6
12.211.49.9
Aston Villa vs Bristol CityHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*Relegation100.0*Average seed
Aston Villa21.817.012.8
5.56.26.8
Bristol City12.616.221.0
6.96.35.5
Ipswich vs BirminghamHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*Relegation100.0*Average seed
Birmingham13.813.111.8
Derby vs BoltonHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*Relegation100.0*Average seed
Derby10.05.53.7
7.28.38.9
QPR vs SwanseaHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*Relegation100.0*Average seed
Swansea0.20.51.7
12.011.310.0
Stoke City vs RotherhamHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*Relegation100.0*Average seed
Stoke CityNo0.00.0
15.115.916.3
Millwall6.48.412.3
19.319.419.5
Wigan10.714.020.2
19.919.920.1
Reading23.729.840.5
20.520.620.8
Rotherham58.646.424.2
21.421.120.4

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you kevinyoung90 and later @ChrisRandWrites for adding this league.