How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/15100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
Tottenham Hotspur 1 Liverpool 2 +8.6
+9.5
-0.1
+0.7
Watford 1 Manchester United 2 +1.1
+0.4
Chelsea 4 Cardiff City 1 -0.9
-0.5
-0.0
Manchester City 3 Fulham 0 -0.6
-0.4
Newcastle United 1 Arsenal 2 -0.2
-0.5
Wolverhampton 1 Burnley 0 -0.1
-0.1
Bournemouth 4 Leicester City 2 -0.1
Huddersfield Town 0 Crystal Palace 1 -0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Everton vs West Ham United-0.1+0.1+0.2
-0.3+0.2+0.4
Southampton vs Brighton & Hove-0.1+0.2*-0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/22100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
Liverpool vs Southampton+4.4-3.9-7.9
+4.2-3.4-8.0
-0.0*-0.0+0.1
+0.3-0.3-0.6
West Ham United vs Chelsea+1.8+0.5-2.3
+0.5+0.1-0.6
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Cardiff City vs Manchester City+1.4+0.4-1.8
+0.5+0.2-0.6
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Fulham vs Watford+0.6+0.2-0.9
+0.4+0.1-0.7
Brighton & Hove vs Tottenham Hotspur+0.3+0.2-0.7
+0.3+0.2-0.6
Burnley vs Bournemouth+0.3*+0.1-0.5
+0.5+0.1-0.7
Arsenal vs Everton-0.1+0.2*+0.0
-0.1+0.3*-0.0
Leicester City vs Huddersfield Town-0.1+0.1*+0.0
-0.2+0.2+0.2
Manchester United vs Wolverhampton-0.1+0.3*-0.0
Crystal Palace vs Newcastle United-0.1*+0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Liverpool finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFA1234567891011121314151617181920DemotionCount
96-114YesYes100No1,147*
9525-5-399.6%Yes1000No227*
93-94YesYes100No1,097*
9224-5-499.9Yes1000No1,158*
9124-4-599.9Yes1000No1,863*
9023-6-499.9Yes1000No2,928*
8923-5-599.9Yes1000No4,536*
8822-7-499.9Yes1000No6,840*
8722-6-599.8Yes1000No10,271*
8622-5-699.6Yes1000No15,014*
8521-7-599.5Yes991No21,079*
8421-6-699.2Yes9910No29,337*
8321-5-798.8Yes991No40,232*
8220-7-698.3Yes9820No53,200*
8120-6-797.3Yes9730No70,017*
8019-8-696.1Yes9640No90,079*
7919-7-794.5Yes9450No112,764*
7819-6-892.1Yes92800No138,361*
7718-8-789.2Yes891100No167,879*
7618-7-885.9Yes861410No199,179*
7518-6-981.9Yes821710No231,657*
7417-8-876.2100.0%7622200No263,577*
7317-7-969.4100.06928300No294,446*
7216-9-861.5100.06133500No324,209*
7116-8-952.9100.053388100No350,128*
7016-7-1043.499.9434313100No370,282*
6915-9-934.099.8344518300No385,724*
6815-8-1025.099.42544255100No392,458*
6715-7-1117.198.617413110100No393,517*
6614-9-1010.796.511343616300No387,244*
6514-8-116.092.4626372371000No372,782*
6414-7-123.085.23183529123000No353,467*
6313-9-111.373.91112834196100No327,801*
6213-8-120.458.605203327123000No299,398*
6112-10-110.141.302122732196100No268,289*
6012-9-120.024.8016193127133100No234,363*
5912-8-130.012.30021025312282000No202,718*
5811-10-120.05.00014152829175100No171,176*
5711-9-13No1.500172030251231000No142,097*
5611-8-14No0.30031124302192000No115,189*
5510-10-13No0.0014142729186100No91,747*
5410-9-14No0.0001618292714410No71,870*
5310-8-15NoNo002921302411300No55,029*
529-10-14NoNo00311253020820No41,054*
519-9-15NoNo0015152829176100No30,304*
509-8-16NoNo01619302713410No21,551*
498-10-15NoNo0021022312392000.0%15,404*
488-9-16NoNo0013132730197100.110,479*
478-8-17NoNo016172928154000.67,198*
467-10-16NoNo002922322310202.14,654*
457-9-17NoNo013132731185106.33,087*
447-8-18NoNo026193229112013.11,924*
436-10-17NoNo2112832206127.11,182*
426-9-18NoNo01518323012244.1724*
415-11-17NoNo0313263620358.8427*
405-10-18NoNo42433291072.1215*
395-9-19NoNo31633301881.0153*
385-8-20NoNo3530402291.760*
374-10-19NoNo164936Yes45*
364-9-20NoNo353530Yes20*
354-8-21NoNo8020Yes5*
15-34NoNo100Yes898*
Total:33.5%77.8%3421141075322111000000000.0%7,205,760

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship