How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/16100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Liverpool 1 Burnley 1 -0.4
-1.3
+0.2
-0.2
Manchester United 4 Everton 0 -0.2
-0.4
-0.2
Watford 0 Manchester City 6 -0.1
-0.1
Tottenham Hotspur 0 Swansea City 0 +0.1
+0.2
Chelsea 0 Arsenal 0 +0.1
+0.2
Newcastle United 2 Stoke City 1 -0.1
Huddersfield Town 1 Leicester City 1 +0.2
Crystal Palace 0 Southampton 1 -0.2
-0.1
West Brom 0 West Ham United 0 +0.1
Bournemouth 2 Brighton & Hove 1 +0.1
+0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/23100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Leicester City vs Liverpool-0.9-0.4+1.1
-4.6-1.5+5.4
+2.2+0.3-2.2
-0.9-0.2+1.0
Manchester City vs Crystal Palace-0.2+0.1+0.3
-0.4+0.2+0.5
-0.2*-0.0+0.3
Southampton vs Manchester United+0.2+0.1-0.2
+0.1+0.2-0.2
+0.1*-0.0-0.1
West Ham United vs Tottenham Hotspur+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.4+0.2-0.4
+0.2*-0.0-0.1
Stoke City vs Chelsea+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.3+0.2-0.4
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Brighton & Hove vs Newcastle United+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.3+0.2-0.4
+0.2-0.0-0.1
Burnley vs Huddersfield Town-0.0+0.2-0.1
Swansea City vs Watford+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Arsenal vs West Brom*-0.0+0.2-0.1
Everton vs Bournemouth+0.0-0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Liverpool finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFA CL1234567891011121314151617181920ChampionshipCount
87-107YesYes100No24,418*
8624-6-399.6%Yes1000No543*
8524-5-499.8Yes1000No918*
8423-7-399.8Yes1000No1,832*
8323-6-499.5Yes991No3,201*
8223-5-598.8Yes991No5,473*
8122-7-498.3Yes9820No9,419*
8022-6-597.6Yes9820No15,310*
7921-8-496.2Yes9640No24,987*
7821-7-594.9Yes9550No39,545*
7721-6-692.8Yes9370No61,843*
7620-8-590.3Yes90100No94,359*
7520-7-686.5Yes871300No140,894*
7420-6-782.2Yes821710No207,546*
7319-8-676.7Yes772220No299,743*
7219-7-770.2100.0%7027300No424,814*
7118-9-662.6100.06333500No587,865*
7018-8-754.3100.05438710No801,996*
6918-7-845.2100.0454212100No1,074,620*
6817-9-735.999.93645172000No1,413,149*
6717-8-827.099.62745235000No1,824,580*
6617-7-918.998.919423081000No2,315,919*
6516-9-812.297.3123635143000No2,885,555*
6416-8-97.193.97293721510000No3,538,851*
6315-10-83.787.74203628102000No4,253,980*
6215-9-91.777.721331331751000No5,033,021*
6115-8-100.663.417233425102000No5,847,311*
6014-10-90.246.4031429311751000No6,676,571*
5914-9-100.029.40172132251130000No7,491,403*
5814-8-110.015.50031226301971000No8,262,150*
5713-10-100.06.5001618292714410000No8,951,047*
5613-9-110.02.1000292230231130000No9,520,729*
5513-8-12No0.5000312252920820000No9,955,027*
5412-10-11No0.1000151627281661000No10,225,954*
5312-9-12No0.0000171929261341000No10,315,231*
5211-11-11No0.00000292229231130000No10,224,870*
5111-10-12No0.0000031224292182000No9,945,854*
5011-9-13NoNo0001414272818610000.0%9,505,260*
4910-11-12NoNo000161728271551000.08,917,824*
4810-10-13NoNo0002820302512300000.08,213,375*
4710-9-14NoNo0000311243021820000.27,419,945*
469-11-13NoNo000141427291761000.96,577,272*
459-10-14NoNo00017193027133003.35,715,623*
449-9-15NoNo0002102432228109.04,869,306*
438-11-14NoNo00014163030153019.24,071,308*
428-10-15NoNo000282334258133.63,336,899*
418-9-16NoNo0000415313315250.22,675,787*
407-11-15NoNo0018253724566.12,097,535*
397-10-16NoNo00041736331079.01,612,359*
387-9-17NoNo00021031411688.21,213,971*
376-11-16NoNo001525452594.0891,701*
366-10-17NoNo000318453597.1640,766*
356-9-18NoNo00112434598.8448,966*
345-11-17NoNo007385599.5307,239*
335-10-18NoNo004326499.8205,191*
325-9-19NoNo02267299.9133,347*
314-11-18NoNo0012079100.084,299*
304-10-19NoNo011585100.051,271*
294-9-20NoNo01189Yes30,562*
284-8-21NoNo0892Yes18,004*
273-10-20NoNo0595Yes9,880*
263-9-21NoNo397Yes5,354*
253-8-22NoNo0397Yes2,844*
242-10-21NoNo199Yes1,457*
232-9-22NoNo199Yes662*
8-22NoNo100Yes24,345*
Total:2.5%17.9%245677777766655433215.5%191,582,880

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship