Liverpool Title Chances

Beat Tottenham 3-0, title odds up 5 to 7.6%
6 points   2-0-1

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/13100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Down to Championship100.0*Average seed
Liverpool vs Aston Villa+2.4-1.1-2.8
+6.3-2.7-7.3
-1.5+0.5+1.9
+0.8-0.3-1.0
Chelsea vs Swansea-0.0+0.3-0.1
-0.1+0.3-0.1
Sunderland vs Tottenham+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.2+0.2-0.4
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Arsenal vs Man City+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.0+0.3-0.2
Southampton vs Newcastle-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.2+0.2+0.2
-0.0-0.0+0.1
Stoke vs Leicester-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.2+0.2+0.2
-0.0-0.0+0.1
Hull vs West Ham-0.0+0.1+0.0
-0.1+0.2+0.1
Man United vs QPR-0.1+0.1+0.0
West Brom vs Everton+0.0+0.1-0.1
Crystal Palace vs Burnley-0.1+0.1+0.0
*+0.0-0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Liverpool finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seedDown to
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFA CL1234567891011121314151617181920ChampionshipCount
90-111YesYes100No17,599*
8926-5-499.9%Yes1000No1,519*
8826-4-599.9Yes1000No2,552*
8726-3-6100.0Yes1000No4,235*
8625-5-599.8Yes1000No7,008*
8525-4-699.7Yes1000No11,562*
8424-6-599.6Yes1000No18,004*
8324-5-699.4Yes991No28,304*
8224-4-799.1Yes991No43,633*
8123-6-698.7Yes9910No64,203*
8023-5-798.0Yes9820No94,566*
7923-4-897.0Yes9730No136,634*
7822-6-795.6Yes9640No193,938*
7722-5-893.8Yes94600No269,470*
7621-7-791.1Yes91900No368,998*
7521-6-887.9Yes881200No495,313*
7421-5-983.5100.0%8416100No656,863*
7320-7-878.2100.078202000No852,533*
7220-6-971.6100.07225300No1,092,622*
7120-5-1064.0100.064315000No1,376,455*
7019-7-955.4100.055368100No1,702,576*
6919-6-1045.999.9464112100No2,071,128*
6819-5-1136.399.83643173000No2,484,019*
6718-7-1027.099.32743246100No2,933,045*
6618-6-1118.598.3194030102000No3,403,342*
6517-8-1011.695.9123434164000No3,891,985*
6417-7-116.591.2726362371000No4,373,714*
6317-6-123.282.831733291330000No4,845,424*
6216-8-111.370.011026332171000No5,281,058*
6116-7-120.453.3051831281441000No5,665,377*
6016-6-130.135.0029243122920000No5,980,684*
5915-8-120.018.900414282917610000No6,221,084*
5815-7-130.08.0001719292613410000No6,370,921*
5715-6-140.02.500021022302310300000No6,422,714*
5614-8-130.00.50000312252920820000No6,369,718*
5514-7-14No0.10001515272817610000No6,220,271*
5414-6-15No0.00001617282715510000No5,974,280*
5313-8-14No0.0000271928251341000No5,656,684*
5213-7-15No0.000002921292412310000.0%5,259,264*
5113-6-16NoNo00003102229221030000.04,817,188*
5012-8-15NoNo0001412242920820000.04,341,382*
4912-7-16NoNo0001514262818710000.13,850,629*
4812-6-17NoNo000161728271551000.93,354,409*
4711-8-16NoNo000028202925123003.42,876,837*
4611-7-17NoNo00003112430228109.82,422,422*
4511-6-18NoNo00015152830174021.42,009,971*
4410-8-17NoNo0002821322610137.31,638,108*
4310-7-18NoNo0000313293318454.81,311,486*
429-9-17NoNo00017213528870.61,031,984*
419-8-18NoNo00031433361482.8795,008*
409-7-19NoNo001827412390.9604,164*
398-9-18NoNo000420433395.6448,132*
388-8-19NoNo00213414498.1328,141*
378-7-20NoNo0018365599.2235,201*
368-6-21NoNo005306599.7165,228*
357-8-20NoNo003247399.9113,860*
347-7-21NoNo011881100.076,274*
337-6-22NoNo011486100.050,634*
326-8-21NoNo0990Yes32,411*
316-7-22NoNo0793Yes20,662*
306-6-23NoNo0496Yes12,770*
295-8-22NoNo397Yes7,763*
285-7-23NoNo298Yes4,617*
275-6-24NoNo199Yes2,558*
264-8-23NoNo199Yes1,342*
254-7-24NoNo0100Yes813*
6-24NoNo100Yes16,587*
Total:7.6%31.9%888887766554443322114.4%127,433,880

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Win Championship  (Full Screen)