How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/12100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Manchester United vs Liverpool-0.7+0.0+1.8
-3.1+0.4+7.8
+2.1-0.7-4.6
-0.6+0.1+1.5
Crystal Palace vs Manchester City+0.1+0.1-0.3
-0.2+0.2+0.1
Watford vs Swansea City+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.2+0.1-0.4
+0.3-0.1-0.3
Leicester City vs Aston Villa-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.2+0.2+0.2
-0.1*+0.0+0.2
West Ham vs Newcastle United-0.0+0.0+0.1
-0.2+0.2+0.3
-0.1*-0.0+0.4
Arsenal vs Stoke City-0.2+0.2+0.2
-0.1*-0.0+0.3
Everton vs Chelsea-0.1+0.2+0.1
-0.0-0.0+0.1
West Brom vs Southampton+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.1-0.1-0.1
Norwich City vs Bournemouth*+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.1-0.0
Sunderland vs Tottenham Hotspur+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Liverpool finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFA CL1234567891011121314151617181920ChampionshipCount
84-109YesYes100No19,548*
8323-7-499.7%Yes1000No646*
8223-6-599.1Yes991No1,105*
8122-8-499.5Yes991No2,032*
8022-7-599.1Yes991No3,542*
7922-6-698.2Yes9820No6,187*
7821-8-597.7Yes982No10,382*
7721-7-697.0Yes9730No16,796*
7621-6-795.6Yes9640No27,185*
7520-8-693.8Yes9460No43,168*
7420-7-791.1Yes91900No66,556*
7319-9-687.9Yes88120No101,124*
7219-8-784.0Yes841510No151,139*
7119-7-878.5Yes792010No220,619*
7018-9-772.2100.0%7226200No315,170*
6918-8-864.4100.06432400No443,418*
6818-7-955.8100.056377000No611,910*
6717-9-846.399.9464211100No829,388*
6617-8-936.799.8374516200No1,102,565*
6516-10-827.299.52745235000No1,436,624*
6416-9-918.698.61942299100No1,842,802*
6316-8-1011.696.5123635153000No2,316,187*
6215-10-96.492.1627372271000No2,860,777*
6115-9-103.083.931834291330000No3,461,686*
6015-8-111.270.711027332171000No4,114,425*
5914-10-100.453.2041831281441000No4,806,256*
5814-9-110.134.0029233123920000No5,510,086*
5714-8-120.017.600414272918710000No6,199,753*
5613-10-110.06.900161729271551000No6,841,489*
5513-9-120.01.9000282029241241000No7,417,255*
5412-11-11No0.40003102229221030000No7,880,586*
5312-10-12No0.00000312242921920000No8,222,372*
5212-9-13No0.00001413252819820000No8,415,099*
5111-11-12No0.0000141425281872000No8,449,222*
5011-10-13NoNo0001515262717710000.0%8,321,493*
4911-9-14NoNo0001616272716610000.08,039,395*
4810-11-13NoNo000161728261551000.17,613,407*
4710-10-14NoNo0000281928251341000.67,060,317*
4610-9-15NoNo000029212924113002.96,424,650*
459-11-14NoNo00013122530218109.25,725,701*
449-10-15NoNo000015152829164021.34,998,992*
439-9-16NoNo0002721322611238.44,271,825*
428-11-15NoNo0000312283319457.03,576,628*
418-10-16NoNo00016203529973.52,926,712*
408-9-17NoNo000021231381785.42,343,184*
397-11-16NoNo0001624422692.91,838,505*
387-10-17NoNo000317423896.91,405,574*
377-9-18NoNo00110395098.81,048,674*
366-11-17NoNo0006336199.5764,029*
356-10-18NoNo003267199.9544,343*
346-9-19NoNo0011979100.0377,490*
335-11-18NoNo011485100.0255,002*
325-10-19NoNo001090100.0167,848*
315-9-20NoNo0694Yes106,439*
304-11-19NoNo0496Yes66,252*
294-10-20NoNo0397Yes40,597*
284-9-21NoNo0298Yes23,644*
273-11-20NoNo199Yes13,377*
263-10-21NoNo0100Yes7,260*
253-9-22NoNo0100Yes3,814*
243-8-23NoNo0100Yes1,886*
232-10-22NoNo0100Yes935*
7-22NoNo100Yes19,648*
Total:2.4%15.9%2455666666666655544310.6%151,734,720

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship