Liverpool Title Chances

Did not play, title odds down 0.03 to 0.3%
14 points   4-2-4

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 11/1100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Down to Championship100.0*Average seed
Newcastle 1 Liverpool 0 -0.5
-4.4
+0.9
-0.7
Hull 0 Southampton 1 -0.1
-0.2
Chelsea 2 QPR 1 -0.1
-0.2
-0.1
Stoke 2 West Ham 2 +0.2
Man City 1 Man United 0 -0.2
Arsenal 3 Burnley 0 -0.4
-0.1
-0.0
Everton 0 Swansea 0 +0.3
Leicester 0 West Brom 1 -0.1
Aston Villa 1 Tottenham 2 -0.1
-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Crystal Palace vs Sunderland-0.0-0.0+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 11/8100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Down to Championship100.0*Average seed
Liverpool vs Chelsea+0.3-0.1-0.2
+3.9-0.9-2.9
-1.2+0.0+1.0
+0.9-0.1-0.7
Southampton vs Leicester-0.0+0.0+0.1
-0.1+0.1+0.3
-0.1+0.0+0.2
QPR vs Man City+0.5+0.2-0.4
+0.2-0.0-0.1
West Ham vs Aston Villa-0.3+0.3+0.6
-0.1+0.0+0.3
Swansea vs Arsenal+0.1+0.2-0.3
Sunderland vs Everton+0.2+0.1-0.2
+0.2-0.0-0.1
Man United vs Crystal Palace-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.0*-0.0+0.1
West Brom vs Newcastle-0.1+0.1+0.1
Tottenham vs Stoke-0.1+0.1+0.1
Burnley vs Hull+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Liverpool finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seedDown to
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFA CL1234567891011121314151617181920ChampionshipCount
9828-0-0100.0%Yes1000No124,916
90-96YesYes100No44*
8924-3-198.1Yes982No53*
8824-2-298.4Yes982No184*
8724-1-397.8Yes982No410*
8623-3-297.6Yes982No844*
8523-2-396.5Yes964No1,790*
8422-4-294.4Yes9460No3,524*
8322-3-391.6Yes9280No6,881*
8222-2-488.5Yes89110No13,628*
8121-4-383.6Yes841610No24,581*
8021-3-478.6Yes792010No44,121*
7921-2-572.4Yes722620No78,123*
7820-4-465.0100.0%6531400No130,704*
7720-3-557.1100.05737600No218,404*
7619-5-448.7100.04942900No353,567*
7519-4-540.1100.040461310No557,596*
7419-3-632.0100.0324818200No861,246*
7318-5-524.399.9244824300No1,298,112*
7218-4-617.599.7174631600No1,909,427*
7118-3-711.999.3124137910No2,755,833*
7017-5-67.698.58354215100No3,871,856*
6917-4-74.596.742744213000No5,341,341*
6816-6-62.493.622043286000No7,217,655*
6716-5-71.288.3113393510100No9,523,202*
6616-4-80.580.5183239173000No12,339,490*
6515-6-70.269.70424412461000No15,655,031*
6415-5-80.156.502163831112000No19,431,836*
6315-4-90.042.101103136174000No23,670,414*
6214-6-80.028.400523372581000No28,271,861*
6114-5-90.016.9002153332143000No33,050,039*
6014-4-100.08.7001826352271000No37,915,356*
5913-6-90.03.800041732301430000No42,653,682*
5813-5-10No1.4001925332281000No47,003,918*
5713-4-11No0.400041631291541000No50,817,564*
5612-6-10No0.100018233224920000No53,833,699*
5512-5-11No0.000031428301751000No55,913,283*
5411-7-10No0.0000172031261230000No56,949,149*
5311-6-11No0.000021125312182000No56,843,504*
5211-5-12No0.0000151629291651000No55,617,202*
5110-7-11NoNo0001821312511300000.0%53,340,621*
5010-6-12NoNo0000311253121710000.050,124,080*
4910-5-13NoNo000151629291541000.046,124,958*
489-7-12NoNo0000282231251020000.041,599,049*
479-6-13NoNo0000313273119610000.036,734,977*
469-5-14NoNo0000161831281330000.231,754,089*
458-7-13NoNo00021025332271000.926,875,890*
448-6-14NoNo00014163230143002.922,251,617*
438-5-15NoNo000292535236107.218,026,497*
427-7-14NoNo0004163331132014.914,265,330*
417-6-15NoNo000192736215026.411,040,828*
407-5-16NoNo000419363010140.58,344,873*
396-7-15NoNo000211323717255.56,160,465*
386-6-16NoNo0016244025469.44,430,120*
376-5-17NoNo0003163934880.63,111,324*
365-7-16NoNo0011034411388.72,125,384*
355-6-17NoNo000627462094.01,413,336*
345-5-18NoNo00320482997.0916,231*
334-7-17NoNo00114473898.6575,606*
324-6-18NoNo019434899.4352,043*
314-5-19NoNo005375799.8207,815*
303-7-18NoNo003306799.9118,175*
293-6-19NoNo012474100.065,693*
283-5-20NoNo011981100.034,784*
273-4-21NoNo01486Yes18,071*
262-6-20NoNo0991Yes8,544*
252-5-21NoNo0694Yes4,155*
242-4-22NoNo595Yes1,834*
231-6-21NoNo298Yes787*
221-5-22NoNo199Yes303*
211-4-23NoNo199Yes121*
18-20NoNo100Yes54*
140-0-28NoNo0100Yes124,916
Total:0.3%9.3%013578999987765432102.5%1,004,456,640

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Win Championship  (Full Screen)