How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/8100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Stoke City vs Liverpool-1.3-0.1+2.9
-3.6*+0.0+7.7
+2.9-0.5-5.6
-0.7+0.1+1.5
Everton vs Watford-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Chelsea vs Swansea City-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Leicester City vs Sunderland-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Norwich City vs Crystal Palace-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Newcastle United vs Southampton-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Bournemouth vs Aston Villa-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Arsenal vs West Ham-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Manchester United vs Tottenham Hotspur-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
West Brom vs Manchester City-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1-0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/15100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Liverpool vs Bournemouth+1.5-1.0-2.0
+4.5-2.7-6.0
-3.8+1.9+5.7
+0.9-0.5-1.3
Watford vs West Brom-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Southampton vs Everton-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Crystal Palace vs Arsenal-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Sunderland vs Norwich City-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1-0.0
Aston Villa vs Manchester United-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Tottenham Hotspur vs Stoke City-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Manchester City vs Chelsea-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Swansea City vs Newcastle United-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
West Ham vs Leicester City-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Liverpool finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFA CL1234567891011121314151617181920ChampionshipCount
86-114YesYes100No225,437*
8526-7-5100.0%Yes1000No6,058*
8426-6-6100.0Yes1000No10,646*
8325-8-599.9Yes1000No18,650*
8225-7-699.9Yes1000No31,912*
8124-9-599.9Yes1000No53,647*
8024-8-699.9Yes1000No88,498*
7924-7-799.8Yes1000No143,259*
7823-9-699.7Yes10000No226,631*
7723-8-799.5Yes1000No353,724*
7623-7-899.2Yes9910No543,902*
7522-9-798.7Yes9910No818,181*
7422-8-898.0Yes9820No1,210,411*
7321-10-796.9Yes97300No1,761,403*
7221-9-895.3Yes95500No2,518,620*
7121-8-992.9Yes93700No3,532,505*
7020-10-889.6100.0%9010000No4,875,230*
6920-9-985.1100.08514100No6,619,184*
6820-8-1079.1100.07919200No8,838,074*
6719-10-971.5100.072253000No11,596,843*
6619-9-1062.2100.0623260000No14,967,197*
6518-11-951.699.95238101000No18,993,788*
6418-10-1040.199.740421530000No23,707,211*
6318-9-1128.799.229422361000No29,093,065*
6217-11-1018.497.61839301120000No35,118,413*
6117-10-1110.393.710313418510000No41,689,542*
6017-9-124.985.5521332611300000No48,679,887*
5916-11-111.871.32112731207200000No55,894,086*
5816-10-120.551.315172928155100000No63,119,167*
5715-12-110.129.8018202924124100000No70,096,909*
5615-11-120.012.900210222922103100000No76,544,315*
5515-10-130.03.800031123282193000000No82,199,354*
5414-12-120.00.700014122328209300000No86,797,494*
5314-11-13No0.100014122328209300000No90,118,545*
5214-10-14No0.000001412232821103000000.0%91,984,862*
5113-12-13No0.000001311222821103000000.092,319,667*
5013-11-14No0.00000131122282210300000.091,013,700*
4913-10-15NoNo0000131022282211300000.088,223,076*
4812-12-14NoNo000013112228221030000.484,040,593*
4712-11-15NoNo0000131123292192002.378,633,228*
4612-10-16NoNo000014132529207108.572,312,186*
4511-12-15NoNo000015162829165021.365,268,678*
4411-11-16NoNo00002720312711239.757,889,279*
4311-10-17NoNo0000311263421559.650,392,367*
4210-12-16NoNo0000151834311176.343,072,872*
4110-11-17NoNo000021029391987.836,121,023*
4010-10-18NoNo0001521433094.429,722,308*
399-12-17NoNo000214414397.723,981,367*
389-11-18NoNo00018365599.118,985,143*
378-13-17NoNo0004306699.714,716,586*
368-12-18NoNo0002237599.911,182,729*
358-11-19NoNo0011682100.08,325,858*
347-13-18NoNo0001188100.06,068,628*
337-12-19NoNo000892100.04,331,957*
327-11-20NoNo00595100.03,020,189*
317-10-21NoNo0397Yes2,060,295*
306-12-20NoNo0298Yes1,375,472*
296-11-21NoNo0199Yes894,296*
286-10-22NoNo0199Yes568,629*
275-12-21NoNo00100Yes350,819*
265-11-22NoNo0100Yes211,418*
255-10-23NoNo0100Yes124,928*
244-12-22NoNo0100Yes70,644*
234-11-23NoNo0100Yes39,207*
224-10-24NoNo0100Yes21,176*
213-12-23NoNo100Yes10,999*
203-11-24NoNo0100Yes5,570*
0-19NoNo100Yes223,663*
Total:5.0%20.0%5555555555555555555515.0%1,758,055,200

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship