Liverpool Title Chances

Season start, title odds unchanged at 5%
0 points   0-0-0

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/16100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Down to Championship100.0*Average seed
Liverpool vs Southampton+1.5-0.8-1.8
+4.4-2.3-5.4
-3.7+1.5+4.9
+0.9-0.4-1.1
West Brom vs Sunderland-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1*+0.0
Newcastle vs Man City-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Arsenal vs Crystal Palace-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1*+0.0
Stoke vs Aston Villa-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
West Ham vs Tottenham-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1*+0.0
Burnley vs Chelsea-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1*+0.0
Man United vs Swansea-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1*+0.0
Leicester vs Everton-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1*+0.0
QPR vs Hull-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/23100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Down to Championship100.0*Average seed
Man City vs Liverpool-1.4-0.3+2.3
-3.9-0.5+6.5
+3.2-0.1-4.9
-0.8-0.1+1.3
Everton vs Arsenal-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1*+0.0
Tottenham vs QPR-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1*+0.0
Chelsea vs Leicester-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1*+0.0
Crystal Palace vs West Ham-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Hull vs Stoke-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1*+0.0
Sunderland vs Man United-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1*+0.0
Swansea vs Burnley-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1*+0.0
Aston Villa vs Newcastle-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1*+0.0
Southampton vs West Brom-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1*+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Liverpool finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seedDown to
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFA CL1234567891011121314151617181920ChampionshipCount
93-114YesYes100No746,874*
9229-5-499.9%Yes1000No2,984*
9129-4-5100.0Yes1000No5,413*
9029-3-699.9Yes1000No9,751*
8928-5-599.9Yes1000No17,534*
8828-4-6100.0Yes1000No30,577*
8727-6-5100.0Yes1000No52,386*
8627-5-699.9Yes1000No88,434*
8527-4-799.9Yes1000No145,344*
8426-6-699.9Yes1000No235,461*
8326-5-799.8Yes1000No374,926*
8226-4-899.8Yes1000No586,315*
8125-6-799.6Yes10000No901,456*
8025-5-899.4Yes9910No1,363,397*
7924-7-799.1Yes9910No2,028,953*
7824-6-898.6Yes9910No2,967,361*
7724-5-997.8Yes98200No4,265,961*
7623-7-896.7Yes97300No6,045,804*
7523-6-995.1Yes95500No8,437,118*
7423-5-1092.9Yes93700No11,576,762*
7322-7-989.7100.0%9010000No15,652,835*
7222-6-1085.6100.08614100No20,832,882*
7122-5-1180.1100.08019100No27,303,946*
7021-7-1073.2100.073243000No35,263,143*
6921-6-1164.8100.0653050000No44,863,969*
6820-8-1055.1100.0553681000No56,240,869*
6720-7-1144.599.94541132000No69,452,281*
6620-6-1233.699.634431940000No84,530,564*
6519-8-1123.498.7234126810000No101,389,678*
6419-7-1214.696.51536321430000No119,851,279*
6319-6-138.091.78283521710000No139,619,439*
6218-8-123.782.54183228134100000No160,319,957*
6118-7-131.467.81102532228200000No181,428,440*
6018-6-140.448.30415282916510000No202,415,705*
5917-8-130.128.201720292513410000No222,538,681*
5817-7-140.012.600210232922103000000No241,197,930*
5717-6-150.04.000131224292092000000No257,602,138*
5616-8-140.00.800014142528198200000No271,242,323*
5516-7-15No0.100015152627187200000No281,452,201*
5415-9-14No0.00000151526271761000000.0%287,865,774*
5315-8-15No0.0000015162627176100000.0290,121,323*
5215-7-16No0.0000016162727166100000.0288,218,083*
5114-9-15NoNo00001616272716610000.0282,100,125*
5014-8-16NoNo000001717272615510000.1272,079,236*
4914-7-17NoNo00000271928251341000.7258,555,923*
4813-9-16NoNo0000029212924113003.1242,026,531*
4713-8-17NoNo000003112430218109.8223,171,381*
4613-7-18NoNo0000015152830175022.3202,703,810*
4512-9-17NoNo000001720322711239.6181,304,413*
4412-8-18NoNo00000312273420458.1159,684,123*
4312-7-19NoNo000016193530974.1138,457,559*
4211-9-18NoNo000021231381785.7118,173,977*
4111-8-19NoNo00001624422692.899,278,144*
4011-7-20NoNo0000317423796.782,043,570*
3910-9-19NoNo000111394998.666,723,833*
3810-8-20NoNo00016346099.553,351,664*
3710-7-21NoNo0003276999.841,965,832*
369-9-20NoNo0002217799.932,437,282*
359-8-21NoNo0011584100.024,633,729*
349-7-22NoNo0001189100.018,384,969*
338-9-21NoNo00892100.013,468,123*
328-8-22NoNo00595100.09,694,395*
318-7-23NoNo00397100.06,845,984*
307-9-22NoNo00298100.04,739,006*
297-8-23NoNo0199Yes3,218,157*
287-7-24NoNo0199Yes2,142,619*
276-9-23NoNo00100Yes1,394,591*
266-8-24NoNo00100Yes889,596*
256-7-25NoNo0100Yes554,383*
245-9-24NoNo0100Yes338,822*
235-8-25NoNo0100Yes201,263*
225-7-26NoNo0100Yes116,702*
215-6-27NoNo0100Yes66,359*
204-8-26NoNo0100Yes36,746*
194-7-27NoNo0100Yes19,564*
184-6-28NoNo0100Yes10,136*
0-17NoNo100Yes753,642*
Total:5.0%20.0%5555555555555555555515.0%5,980,852,440

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Win Championship  (Full Screen)