How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/14100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Brighton & Hove 1 Burnley 1 -0.2
-1.1
+0.8
-0.2
Liverpool 3 Newcastle United 1 -0.1
-0.2
-0.3
Norwich City 3 Manchester City 2 +0.1
+0.2
+0.5
Manchester United 1 Leicester City 0 +0.1
Tottenham Hotspur 4 Crystal Palace 0 +0.1
Wolverhampton 2 Chelsea 5 -0.1
Sheffield United 0 Southampton 1 +0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/15100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Burnley vs Norwich City+0.6-0.2-0.4
+3.7-1.0-3.0
-5.2+0.8+4.8
+1.1-0.2-0.9
Chelsea vs Liverpool+0.1+0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.1-0.0
+0.2*-0.0-0.1
Manchester City vs Watford-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.3+0.1+0.3
-0.3-0.0+0.6
West Ham United vs Manchester United+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.1*-0.0-0.1
Watford vs Arsenal+0.2+0.1-0.2
+0.4-0.1-0.3
Leicester City vs Tottenham Hotspur-0.0+0.2-0.1
Arsenal vs Aston Villa-0.2+0.1+0.1
-0.2-0.1+0.3
Bournemouth vs Everton+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.2-0.1-0.1
Aston Villa vs West Ham United+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.2-0.1-0.2
Everton vs Sheffield United-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.1-0.1+0.2
Southampton vs Bournemouth-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.1-0.1+0.1
Crystal Palace vs Wolverhampton-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.1-0.1+0.2
Newcastle United vs Brighton & Hove*+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.2*-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Burnley finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFA CL1234567891011121314151617181920ChampionshipCount
86-104YesYes100No8,214*
8525-5-397.3%Yes973No37*
8424-7-295.7Yes964No47*
8324-6-3YesYes100No92*
8224-5-499.0Yes991No205*
8123-7-398.6Yes991No359*
8023-6-498.2Yes982No671*
7923-5-596.8Yes973No1,157*
7822-7-496.2Yes964No2,061*
7722-6-593.8Yes946No3,376*
7621-8-491.7Yes9280No5,649*
7521-7-589.4Yes891000No9,227*
7421-6-685.8Yes86140No14,417*
7320-8-581.7Yes82181No22,421*
7220-7-676.9Yes772210No33,246*
7120-6-769.9Yes702820No50,133*
7019-8-662.9100.0%6333400No73,993*
6919-7-754.9100.05538600No105,511*
6818-9-646.0100.046431010No149,743*
6718-8-736.799.9374615200No207,038*
6618-7-828.099.72846214000No281,445*
6517-9-720.099.12044287100No376,387*
6417-8-812.997.7133934122000No493,963*
6317-7-97.794.683137195100No636,572*
6216-9-84.088.6422362692000No805,998*
6116-8-91.878.52133132164100No1,002,838*
6015-10-80.664.11723332492000No1,226,950*
5915-9-90.246.2031429301751000No1,472,251*
5815-8-100.028.20172031251230000No1,744,807*
5714-10-90.013.90031125302182000No2,022,699*
5614-9-100.05.300151527281761000No2,307,140*
5514-8-11No1.400171929261441000No2,588,332*
5413-10-10No0.3000292129241131000No2,847,169*
5313-9-11No0.00003112329221030000No3,084,030*
5213-8-12No0.0001412242820820000No3,282,204*
5112-10-11No0.000014142628187200000.0%3,433,283*
5012-9-12NoNo0001516272717610000.03,522,528*
4911-11-11NoNo0001617272615510000.03,551,462*
4811-10-12NoNo0002819282513410000.13,515,065*
4711-9-13NoNo0000292129241130000.43,418,916*
4610-11-12NoNo000131124302182001.93,264,116*
4510-10-13NoNo00014152729186106.43,059,164*
4410-9-14NoNo00017193027133015.92,814,688*
439-11-13NoNo0002102432227130.52,541,100*
429-10-14NoNo0001416313115348.22,245,983*
419-9-15NoNo00029243524665.51,951,152*
408-11-14NoNo00041634331279.31,661,489*
398-10-15NoNo00021029401988.81,385,652*
388-9-16NoNo001522432994.61,132,204*
377-11-15NoNo00215424097.6906,546*
367-10-16NoNo0019385299.0709,674*
357-9-17NoNo0005326299.6543,403*
346-11-16NoNo003267199.9406,599*
336-10-17NoNo012079100.0298,592*
326-9-18NoNo0011485100.0212,412*
315-11-17NoNo001090100.0148,588*
305-10-18NoNo00793100.0101,038*
295-9-19NoNo0595Yes66,673*
284-11-18NoNo0397Yes43,427*
274-10-19NoNo0298Yes27,156*
264-9-20NoNo199Yes16,582*
254-8-21NoNo199Yes9,724*
243-10-20NoNo0100Yes5,493*
233-9-21NoNo0100Yes3,092*
223-8-22NoNo0100Yes1,582*
5-21NoNo100Yes9,755*
Total:1.1%9.6%1234445566666666666516.6%65,867,520

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship