How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/16100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Liverpool 1 Burnley 1 -0.6
-1.6
+0.2
-0.2
Manchester United 4 Everton 0 -0.3
-0.4
-0.1
Watford 0 Manchester City 6 -0.2
-0.1
Chelsea 0 Arsenal 0 +0.1
+0.3
Tottenham Hotspur 0 Swansea City 0 +0.1
+0.2
Huddersfield Town 1 Leicester City 1 +0.1
+0.1
Newcastle United 2 Stoke City 1 -0.1
-0.2
Crystal Palace 0 Southampton 1 -0.2
-0.1
West Brom 0 West Ham United 0 +0.1
Bournemouth 2 Brighton & Hove 1 +0.1
+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/23100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Burnley vs Huddersfield Town+1.6-0.4-1.2
+6.9-1.2-5.3
-1.7+0.1+1.5
+1.0-0.1-0.8
Manchester City vs Crystal Palace-0.3+0.2+0.4
-0.4+0.2+0.6
-0.1*-0.0+0.2
Southampton vs Manchester United+0.3+0.1-0.3
+0.1+0.2-0.2
+0.1*-0.0-0.0
Stoke City vs Chelsea+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.3+0.2-0.4
+0.1*-0.0-0.1
West Ham United vs Tottenham Hotspur+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.5+0.3-0.5
+0.2-0.0-0.1
Brighton & Hove vs Newcastle United+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.4+0.2-0.4
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Leicester City vs Liverpool+0.2+0.2-0.3
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Arsenal vs West Brom*-0.0+0.2-0.1
Swansea City vs Watford+0.2+0.1-0.2
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Everton vs Bournemouth+0.0-0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Burnley finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFA CL1234567891011121314151617181920ChampionshipCount
86-107YesYes100No21,765*
8524-5-499.8%Yes1000No1,453*
8423-7-399.6Yes1000No2,732*
8323-6-499.5Yes1000No4,727*
8223-5-599.1Yes991No8,009*
8122-7-498.7Yes991No13,423*
8022-6-597.8Yes9820No21,825*
7921-8-496.7Yes9730No34,339*
7821-7-595.3Yes9550No53,726*
7721-6-693.4Yes9360No81,512*
7620-8-590.8Yes9190No122,561*
7520-7-687.1Yes871200No179,235*
7420-6-782.9Yes831610No259,655*
7319-8-677.5Yes772120No367,414*
7219-7-771.0100.0%7126300No510,121*
7118-9-663.3100.06332400No694,516*
7018-8-754.8100.055377100No927,759*
6918-7-845.7100.0464211100No1,220,533*
6817-9-736.499.9364517200No1,573,772*
6717-8-827.499.62745235000No1,994,718*
6617-7-919.298.91942298100No2,482,704*
6516-9-812.497.3123735142000No3,034,209*
6416-8-97.394.0729372051000No3,642,750*
6315-10-83.887.94203628102000No4,298,518*
6215-9-91.777.921331331741000No4,980,780*
6115-8-100.663.91723342592000No5,676,781*
6014-10-90.246.9031430311751000No6,354,241*
5914-9-100.029.8017223225113000No6,993,861*
5814-8-110.015.80031327301971000No7,550,586*
5713-10-100.06.700161829271441000No8,017,774*
5613-9-110.02.200029223023103000No8,369,622*
5513-8-12No0.500041326291972000No8,579,981*
5412-10-11No0.1000151628271651000No8,630,814*
5312-9-12No0.0000271929251341000No8,536,539*
5211-11-11No0.000002102229231030000No8,292,486*
5111-10-12No0.000013122529208200000.0%7,909,822*
5011-9-13NoNo0001515272817610000.07,403,756*
4910-11-12NoNo0001618282714410000.06,813,449*
4810-10-13NoNo00002821302411300000.06,142,930*
4710-9-14NoNo000311243021820000.25,434,693*
469-11-13NoNo000141527291751000.94,723,884*
459-10-14NoNo00017193027133003.34,021,589*
449-9-15NoNo0002102432228109.03,357,251*
438-11-14NoNo0014153030164019.32,751,053*
428-10-15NoNo000282334258133.92,204,472*
418-9-16NoNo000315313315250.51,730,578*
407-11-15NoNo00018243724566.41,331,921*
397-10-16NoNo00041736331079.31,003,667*
387-9-17NoNo0011031411788.4736,266*
376-11-16NoNo001524452594.1530,812*
366-10-17NoNo00317453597.3373,044*
356-9-18NoNo00111434598.9255,226*
345-11-17NoNo007385599.5171,681*
335-10-18NoNo004316499.9112,495*
325-9-19NoNo02257399.970,920*
314-11-18NoNo012079100.044,369*
304-10-19NoNo001585100.026,462*
294-9-20NoNo01189Yes15,484*
284-8-21NoNo0892Yes8,667*
273-10-20NoNo595Yes4,653*
263-9-21NoNo397Yes2,525*
253-8-22NoNo397Yes1,283*
242-10-21NoNo298Yes604*
232-9-22NoNo199Yes313*
8-22NoNo100Yes20,210*
Total:3.4%21.9%356777777766554332114.1%160,739,520

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship