How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/16100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Newcastle United 2 Stoke City 1 +1.7
+6.0
-2.3
+1.0
Manchester United 4 Everton 0 -0.2
-0.4
-0.1
Watford 0 Manchester City 6 -0.1
-0.1
Chelsea 0 Arsenal 0 +0.1
+0.2
Tottenham Hotspur 0 Swansea City 0 +0.1
+0.2
Huddersfield Town 1 Leicester City 1 +0.2
Liverpool 1 Burnley 1 +0.2
Crystal Palace 0 Southampton 1 -0.2
-0.1
West Brom 0 West Ham United 0 +0.1
Bournemouth 2 Brighton & Hove 1 +0.1
+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/23100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Brighton & Hove vs Newcastle United-1.9-0.8+2.0
-6.7-2.3+6.7
+1.2+0.2-1.0
-0.9-0.2+0.8
Manchester City vs Crystal Palace-0.4+0.3+0.6
-0.5+0.3+0.7
-0.1*-0.0+0.2
Southampton vs Manchester United+0.4+0.2-0.4
+0.1+0.3-0.2
West Ham United vs Tottenham Hotspur+0.2+0.1-0.2
+0.6+0.3-0.5
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Stoke City vs Chelsea+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.4+0.3-0.5
+0.1-0.0-0.0
Burnley vs Huddersfield Town+0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.3-0.2
Leicester City vs Liverpool+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.2+0.2-0.3
Arsenal vs West Brom*-0.0+0.2-0.2
Swansea City vs Watford+0.2+0.2-0.3
+0.1-0.0-0.0
Everton vs Bournemouth-0.0+0.1*-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Newcastle United finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFA CL1234567891011121314151617181920ChampionshipCount
87-108YesYes100No23,254*
8624-5-499.7%Yes1000No2,747*
8523-7-399.9Yes1000No4,799*
8423-6-499.5Yes1000No8,160*
8323-5-599.3Yes991No13,642*
8222-7-499.2Yes991No22,342*
8122-6-598.4Yes9820No35,188*
8021-8-497.8Yes9820No55,822*
7921-7-596.6Yes9730No85,928*
7821-6-695.3Yes95500No128,196*
7720-8-593.2Yes93700No188,196*
7620-7-690.6Yes91900No268,674*
7520-6-787.1Yes871300No381,040*
7419-8-682.8100.0%8316100No530,438*
7319-7-777.3Yes772110No721,039*
7218-9-670.8100.07127300No962,116*
7118-8-763.3100.06332400No1,264,357*
7018-7-854.9100.05537700No1,626,340*
6917-9-745.8100.0464211100No2,058,555*
6817-8-836.599.93645162000No2,556,031*
6716-10-727.599.62845234000No3,115,661*
6616-9-819.499.01943298100No3,732,075*
6516-8-912.697.5133735132000No4,390,179*
6415-10-87.494.4729372051000No5,081,677*
6315-9-93.988.54213727102000No5,775,973*
6215-8-101.878.921331331641000No6,445,281*
6114-10-90.765.11724342492000No7,070,844*
6014-9-100.248.2031530301651000No7,616,713*
5914-8-110.031.0018223224102000No8,068,846*
5813-10-100.016.60031327301861000No8,393,591*
5713-9-110.07.100161830271441000No8,580,123*
5612-11-100.02.30002102330231020000No8,615,195*
5512-10-110.00.60001413262919720000No8,496,891*
5412-9-12No0.10001617282716510000No8,231,889*
5311-11-11No0.0000282029251341000No7,835,972*
5211-10-12No0.00002102229231030000No7,314,143*
5111-9-13No0.0000131225292082000No6,706,539*
5010-11-12NoNo0001515272817610000.0%6,037,980*
4910-10-13NoNo0000161728271541000.05,333,306*
4810-9-14NoNo000282030251230000.04,623,662*
479-11-13NoNo000311243022920000.23,934,064*
469-10-14NoNo000141427291861001.03,281,355*
459-9-15NoNo00016193027133003.52,682,611*
448-11-14NoNo0002102432228109.42,150,403*
438-10-15NoNo00014153030164019.91,686,997*
428-9-16NoNo000182234258134.71,296,528*
417-11-15NoNo000314313316351.4976,572*
407-10-16NoNo0018243725667.1719,303*
397-9-17NoNo00031636341180.0518,542*
386-11-16NoNo0011030411888.9364,651*
376-10-17NoNo000523452694.4251,476*
366-9-18NoNo00217453697.4168,275*
355-11-17NoNo0111414798.9110,501*
345-10-18NoNo007365799.669,979*
335-9-19NoNo004306799.843,840*
324-11-18NoNo022474100.026,621*
314-10-19NoNo011881100.015,460*
304-9-20NoNo01386Yes8,787*
293-11-19NoNo0991Yes4,909*
283-10-20NoNo0793Yes2,632*
273-9-21NoNo0595Yes1,348*
263-8-22NoNo397Yes690*
252-10-21NoNo298Yes340*
242-9-22NoNo199Yes152*
9-23NoNo100Yes20,080*
Total:5.8%31.1%689998876655433221102.2%160,739,520

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship