How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/15100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
Newcastle United 1 Arsenal 2 -0.1
-0.9
+8.4
-0.9
Chelsea 4 Cardiff City 1 -0.1
-0.4
+0.0
Manchester City 3 Fulham 0 -0.2
+0.0
Watford 1 Manchester United 2 +0.2
Wolverhampton 1 Burnley 0 -0.2
Huddersfield Town 0 Crystal Palace 1 -0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Everton vs West Ham United-0.4*-0.0+1.1
Southampton vs Brighton & Hove*+0.0-0.2+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/22100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
Crystal Palace vs Newcastle United-0.0-0.0+0.1
-0.2-0.0+0.6
+4.7-1.0-10.7
-0.4+0.1+1.0
Fulham vs Watford+0.7-0.2-0.7
Burnley vs Bournemouth+0.9-0.3-1.0
Cardiff City vs Manchester City+1.0-0.3-0.9
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Brighton & Hove vs Tottenham Hotspur+0.4-0.2-0.5
West Ham United vs Chelsea+1.1-0.3-0.9
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Leicester City vs Huddersfield Town-0.4*-0.0+1.0
Liverpool vs Southampton-0.2*+0.1+0.4

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Newcastle United finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFA1234567891011121314151617181920DemotionCount
10033-0-0YesYes100No894
7824-5-475.0%Yes7525No4*
7724-4-585.7Yes8614No7*
7623-6-481.8Yes8218No11*
7523-5-562.5Yes6338No16*
7423-4-669.2Yes69265No39*
7322-6-575.8Yes76213No62*
7222-5-653.6Yes544061No125*
7121-7-544.8Yes4543111No181*
7021-6-638.1Yes3844171No344*
6921-5-728.799.8%29442340No547*
6820-7-621.098.2214426720No921*
6720-6-712.697.81337341420No1,474*
6620-5-88.595.4929391940No2,320*
6519-7-74.091.14233826810No3,334*
6419-6-82.382.5215343114300No5,333*
6318-8-70.869.918273422710No7,773*
6218-7-80.454.8041833291330No11,530*
6118-6-90.137.502102633227100No16,326*
6017-8-80.022.600518312814410No22,719*
5917-7-90.010.800292432239200No31,689*
5817-6-10No4.3004152829175100No42,575*
5716-8-9No1.400172030251230000No56,470*
5616-7-10No0.3003112530218200No74,197*
5516-6-11No0.10014152828176100No94,630*
5415-8-10No0.000017193026134100No117,884*
5315-7-11No0.000021023302292000No145,515*
5214-9-10NoNo0014132629197100No175,401*
5114-8-11NoNo0016172927154100No209,280*
5014-7-12NoNo000282130251130000.0%241,302*
4913-9-11NoNo00031125302181000.0275,254*
4813-8-12NoNo000151528291651000.1307,825*
4713-7-13NoNo0017203126113000.3338,541*
4612-9-12NoNo00031125312171001.2364,052*
4512-8-13NoNo00015173029144003.9384,581*
4412-7-14NoNo000292333248109.7399,591*
4311-9-13NoNo0004153031164019.7404,887*
4211-8-14NoNo000182334258133.3403,989*
4111-7-15NoNo000415323214248.9394,787*
4010-9-14NoNo00019263623564.1377,119*
3910-8-15NoNo0004183631976.9355,026*
3810-7-16NoNo00021232391586.3325,741*
379-9-15NoNo001726432392.5294,306*
369-8-16NoNo00419443396.2257,822*
359-7-17NoNo00213424398.3223,149*
348-9-16NoNo018375399.2188,425*
338-8-17NoNo005326399.7155,368*
328-7-18NoNo003267199.9126,174*
317-9-17NoNo012079100.099,135*
307-8-18NoNo011585100.076,472*
297-7-19NoNo001189100.057,301*
286-9-18NoNo0792Yes42,225*
276-8-19NoNo0595Yes30,076*
266-7-20NoNo0397Yes21,107*
255-9-19NoNo0298Yes14,297*
245-8-20NoNo0199Yes9,475*
235-7-21NoNo199Yes6,161*
224-9-20NoNo199Yes3,845*
214-8-21NoNo0100Yes2,334*
204-7-22NoNo0100Yes1,367*
1-19NoNo100Yes2,425*
Total:0.0%0.6%000011122345678101112131439.4%7,205,760

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship