Points
Chance Will Win Championship

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will win titleNational LeagueChance will finish season at seedDemotion
TuesdayPGW-D-LGD%Change%Change12345678910111213141516171819202122Avg.Change%ChangeRPIStrengthWednesday
ChorleyWSouthport 4-0124-0-0828.6%+6.537.7%+6.829171297544322211110000004.2+1.060.3%-0.56.529Chorley
HerefordWLeamington 2-1103-1-0518.4+3.027.7+3.818151298765433222111100005.4+0.970.6-0.81.523Hereford
Boston UnitedWNuneaton Town 2-193-0-139.7+1.918.0+3.110101098766554433222111107.2+1.221.6-1.88.497Boston United
Telford UnitedWBrackley Town 2-182-2-027.7+1.615.6+2.989988776655443332211107.8+1.302.2-2.312.497Telford United
Stockport CountyTGuiseley 1-172-1-147.0-2.414.5-2.378888776655444332221108.1-0.252.5-0.213.503Stockport County
Bradford Park AWSpennymoor Town 1-093-0-116.0+1.513.2+3.067887776655544333221118.5+1.482.9-3.14.472Bradford Park Avenue
LeamingtonLHereford 1-272-1-135.1-3.211.9-3.656777776665544433222118.9-0.713.6+0.42.484Leamington
York CityWAshton United 2-062-0-213.3+2.39.0+5.3355666666665554443322110.0+3.685.5-13.15.478York City
Darlington411-1-112.5-0.67.3-0.6344555666666555544433211.0+0.027.8-0.716.467Blyth SpartansDarlington
Blyth Spartans311-0-232.0-0.56.4-0.5234455556666555555443211.5+0.089.3-1.03.477at DarlingtonBlyth Spartans
AltrinchamLFC United 1-251-2-111.8-2.56.1-3.9234455556666665555443211.6-1.569.2+3.019.468Altrincham
Ashton UnitedLYork City 0-251-2-1-11.3-2.74.9-4.6123344555566666665554312.4-2.1411.8+5.117.455Ashton United
Kidderminster H310-3-001.3-0.34.7-0.4123344455556666666554312.6+0.0712.9-1.121.461Kidderminster Harriers
Curzon AshtonWAlfreton Town 1-062-0-2-21.1+0.44.3+1.7123344455556666666655312.8+1.9813.3-11.27.435Curzon Ashton
Chester411-1-1-41.1-0.34.1-0.3122334445555666666665413.1+0.0914.9-1.310.434Chester
Alfreton TownLCurzon Ashton 0-141-1-2-20.8-1.43.5-2.8112233444555666666666513.6-1.7016.6+5.515.446Alfreton Town
Spennymoor TownLBradford Park A 0-130-3-1-10.7-0.83.3-1.7112233444555666666766513.7-0.9917.4+3.122.453Spennymoor Town
Brackley TownLTelford United 1-231-0-3-20.6-0.72.9-1.4112233344455566677777614.2-0.9319.7+3.318.446Brackley Town
FC UnitedWAltrincham 2-131-0-3-70.3+0.11.8+0.6011122233444556678899915.5+1.4227.5-12.514.424FC United
GuiseleyTStockport County 1-120-2-2-30.2-0.11.4-0.0001112223344456678910111216.2+0.2932.6-3.611.419Guiseley
Nuneaton TownLBoston United 1-220-2-2-20.2-1.81.3-4.6001111223334455678910121316.4-4.2534.6+22.49.413Nuneaton Town
SouthportLChorley 0-400-0-4-80.1-0.10.5-0.6000001111222334567911162618.3-1.1353.1+10.320.399Southport

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 8/11
Nuneaton Town 0 Chorley 1
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*National League100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
Chorley+5.5
+6.2
-1.4
+1.3
Nuneaton Town-2.4
-3.5
+3.3
-1.3
Curzon Ashton 0 Hereford 1
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*National League100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
Hereford+3.7
+4.6
-1.9
+1.3
Curzon Ashton-0.9
-1.8
+5.0
-1.2
Chorley 4 Southport 0
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*National League100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
Chorley+3.3
+3.5
-0.3
+0.5
Hereford-0.6
-0.5
Boston United-0.3
-0.3
Telford United-0.2
-0.2
Stockport County-0.4
-0.3
Leamington-0.3
-0.3
York City-0.3
Kidderminster H-0.2
Curzon Ashton-0.3
Chester-0.2
Spennymoor Town-0.2
Brackley Town-0.2
FC United-0.4
Guiseley-0.4
Nuneaton Town-0.2
Southport-0.3
+3.7
-0.4
Hereford 2 Leamington 1
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*National League100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
Chorley-0.3
-0.2
Hereford+3.1
+3.4
-0.5
+0.7
Leamington-1.9
-2.3
+0.7
-0.6
Southport 0 Stockport County 1
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*National League100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
Stockport County+2.7
+3.8
-3.1
+1.4
Blyth Spartans-0.4
Alfreton Town-0.4
FC United-0.5
Guiseley-0.4
Southport-0.3
-0.9
+7.7
-1.1
Leamington 4 Bradford Park A 2
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*National League100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
Bradford Park A-2.2
-2.6
+0.8
-0.6
Leamington+1.7
+2.4
-1.8
+0.9
Blyth Spartans 8 Chester 1
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*National League100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
Boston United+0.3
Darlington+0.3
Blyth Spartans+0.3
+0.8
-6.0
+0.9
Curzon Ashton+0.3
Chester-2.0
-2.6
+1.4
-0.8
FC United+0.4
Guiseley+0.4
Southport+0.5
Stockport County 1 Guiseley 1
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*National League100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
Chorley+0.3
+0.3
Hereford+0.3
+0.2
Stockport County-1.8
-2.2
+0.6
-0.6
Curzon Ashton*+0.1
Guiseley-1.1
+0.1
Altrincham 1 FC United 2
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*National League100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
Altrincham-1.8
-3.0
+3.6
-1.4
Curzon Ashton+0.6
FC United+0.3
+0.9
-10.1
+1.3
Guiseley+0.7
Southport+0.7
Brackley Town 2 Darlington 4
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*National League100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
Darlington+1.1
+2.2
-6.7
+1.5
Brackley Town-1.8
-2.9
+4.3
-1.4
Ashton United 0 York City 2
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*National League100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
York City+0.9
+1.9
-6.5
+1.5
Ashton United-1.7
-2.8
+3.5
-1.4
Boston United 2 Nuneaton Town 1
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*National League100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
Boston United+1.6
+2.3
-1.1
+0.8
Nuneaton Town-0.5
-1.1
+2.2
-0.7
Telford United 2 Brackley Town 1
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*National League100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
Telford United+1.4
+2.1
-1.3
+0.8
Brackley Town-0.4
-0.8
+2.5
-0.6
York City 1 Alfreton Town 2
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*National League100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
York City-1.4
-2.5
+5.0
-1.4
Alfreton Town+1.0
+2.1
-6.9
+1.5
FC United 0 Boston United 3
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*National League100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
Boston United+1.4
+2.5
-6.0
+1.5
FC United-0.4
-1.1
+8.0
-1.2
Bradford Park A 1 Spennymoor Town 0
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*National League100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
Bradford Park A+1.0
+1.8
-1.8
+0.8
Spennymoor Town-0.4
-0.9
+2.6
-0.7
Alfreton Town 0 Curzon Ashton 1
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*National League100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
Curzon Ashton+0.6
+1.5
-7.9
+1.5
Alfreton Town-1.0
-2.1
+5.1
-1.4
Spennymoor Town 4 Altrincham 4
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*National League100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
Altrincham*-0.1
-0.3
+0.1
Spennymoor Town-0.6
-1.0
+1.9
-0.6
Guiseley 1 Telford United 1
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*National League100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
Telford United-0.5
-0.5
-0.1
-0.1
Darlington-0.2
Blyth Spartans-0.2
Alfreton Town-0.2
FC United-0.2
Guiseley-0.4
+2.4
-0.4
Southport-0.2
Kidderminster H 3 Ashton United 3
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*National League100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
Ashton United-0.5
+0.1
Kidderminster H-0.6
-1.0
+1.9
-0.6
Darlington vs Blyth SpartansIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*National League100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
Darlington3.31.91.4
8.86.25.1
5.69.011.4
10.111.512.3
Blyth Spartans1.52.03.4
5.2*6.49.1
11.28.95.5
12.211.410.0
Week of 8/18
Alfreton Town vs Blyth SpartansIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*National League100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
Blyth Spartans1.52.03.3
5.26.49.0
11.38.95.5
12.211.410.1
Alfreton Town1.10.60.4
4.42.92.2
12.718.722.5
12.714.114.8

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you kevinyoung90 for adding this league.