Points
Chance Will Win Championship

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will win titleNational LeagueChance will finish season at seedDemotion
11/6PGW-D-LGD%Change%Change12345678910111213141516171819202122Avg.Change%ChangeRPIStrengthSaturday
Chorley3019-3-31440.5%-0.849.8%-0.640211396432110000000000002.7-0.030.0%2.627DarlingtonChorley
Spennymoor Town298-5-31519.1-0.430.9-0.31919161310864321100000000003.9-0.030.05.609Stockport CountySpennymoor Town
Bradford Park A309-3-41010.8-0.222.9-0.211141514121086432110000000004.7-0.020.03.560at Curzon AshtonBradford Park Avenue
Kidderminster H298-5-3119.4-0.421.0-0.49121313121197532110000000005.1-0.050.06.563at Nuneaton TownKidderminster Harriers
ChesterWNuneaton Town 3-22918-5-289.1+2.220.6+2.99121313121097542211000000005.2+0.580.0-0.01.538AltrinchamChester
Brackley Town267-5-4124.4-0.214.8-0.24810111212119864321100000006.3-0.020.0+0.07.579Blyth SpartansBrackley Town
Stockport County2316-5-482.7-0.111.2-0.13578101111111086432110000007.3-0.010.1+0.08.568at Spennymoor TownStockport County
Boston United258-1-751.8-0.19.5-0.1245791011111197542211000007.80.1+0.09.535at Telford UnitedBoston United
Telford United256-7-321.0-0.07.1-0.1124579101111109754221000008.7+0.010.1+0.04.500Boston UnitedTelford United
Altrincham2216-4-581.0-0.06.5-0.112356891011119764321100009.0+0.010.2+0.015.538at ChesterAltrincham
Leamington1915-4-6-10.0-0.01.1-0.00001123467910111010875321013.2+0.033.2+0.213.467at York CityLeamington
Alfreton Town1815-3-7-30.0-0.01.0-0.00001122457910101010976421013.4+0.034.0+0.210.447at Ashton UnitedAlfreton Town
GuiseleyLAshton United 0-1194-7-5-20.0-0.10.8-0.80000112357810101110986431013.6-1.094.2+1.914.453at SouthportGuiseley
Darlington194-7-5-20.0-0.00.8-0.00000112356810101110986431013.6+0.034.3+0.216.458at ChorleyDarlington
York City1915-4-6-40.0-0.00.8-0.0000011235689101010986531013.7+0.024.6+0.312.434LeamingtonYork City
Curzon Ashton205-5-6-50.0-0.00.6-0.00000112245791011111097542014.2+0.045.8+0.211.410Bradford Park ACurzon Ashton
Blyth Spartans1615-1-9-80.00.2+0.00000001123467910111211974115.7+0.0612.7+0.318.407at Brackley TownBlyth Spartans
Ashton UnitedWGuiseley 1-0174-5-7-180.00.0+0.000000000011234681013151614618.0+0.6235.6-9.417.345Alfreton TownAshton United
Hereford1413-5-7-90.00.000000000011234681013151614718.036.6+1.019.365FC UnitedHereford
FC United143-5-8-120.00.000000000001123468121518191018.8-0.0147.6+1.120.364at HerefordFC United
Southport1112-5-8-80.00.000000000001123468111418211218.9-0.0250.6+1.221.397GuiseleySouthport
Nuneaton TownLChester 2-3102-4-10-210.00.000000000000000011259196221.2-0.1690.2+2.722.298Kidderminster HNuneaton Town

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 10/13
Bradford Park A 1 Kidderminster H 2
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*National League100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
Chorley-1.8
-1.5
Spennymoor Town-0.2
Bradford Park A-0.7
-2.1
+0.2
-0.9
Kidderminster H+3.1
+3.7
+0.7
Telford United 1 Chorley 1
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*National League100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
Chorley-0.7
-0.5
Spennymoor Town+0.2
+0.2
Kidderminster H+0.4
+0.3
Brackley Town+0.1
Telford United-0.3
-0.6
-0.2
Spennymoor Town 5 Ashton United 0
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*National League100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
Chorley-0.6
-0.5
Spennymoor Town+0.9
+1.5
+0.5
Darlington-0.2
Curzon Ashton-0.2
Blyth Spartans-0.2
Ashton United-0.2
+2.2
-0.4
Hereford-0.3
FC United-0.3
Southport-0.3
Nuneaton Town-0.4
Guiseley 2 Brackley Town 1
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*National League100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
Chorley+0.4
+0.3
Brackley Town-0.7
-1.6
-0.6
Guiseley+1.1
-1.1
+0.9
Hereford+0.2
Boston United 4 Blyth Spartans 0
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*National League100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
Chorley-0.2
-0.2
Boston United+0.4
+1.3
-0.2
+0.6
Darlington-0.3
Curzon Ashton-0.3
Blyth Spartans-0.2
+2.9
-0.5
Ashton United-0.2
Hereford-0.4
FC United-0.3
Southport-0.4
Nuneaton Town-0.5
Southport 1 York City 2
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*National League100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
Chorley-0.2
Altrincham-0.3
Guiseley-0.2
Darlington-0.8
York City+0.3
+1.6
-0.8
+1.0
Curzon Ashton-0.8
Blyth Spartans-0.7
Ashton United-0.6
Hereford-1.1
FC United-0.8
Southport+7.7
-0.5
Nuneaton Town-1.1
Stockport County 1 Hereford 1
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*National League100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
Stockport County-0.2
-1.0
+0.3
-0.6
Darlington*+0.1
Curzon Ashton*+0.1
Blyth Spartans+0.1
Ashton United*+0.1
Hereford-1.5
+0.1
FC United+0.1
Southport+0.2
Nuneaton Town+0.2
Leamington 0 Curzon Ashton 1
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*National League100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
Altrincham+0.3
Leamington-0.2
-1.5
+1.5
-1.2
Darlington+0.7
Curzon Ashton+0.5
-7.6
+1.2
Blyth Spartans+0.5
Ashton United+0.5
Hereford+0.8
FC United+0.8
Southport+1.0
Nuneaton Town+1.0
Altrincham 3 Alfreton Town 1
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*National League100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
Altrincham+0.5
-2.2
+0.7
Alfreton Town-0.8
+0.6
-0.6
Darlington+0.2
Curzon Ashton+0.2
Hereford+0.2
FC United+0.2
Southport+0.2
Nuneaton Town+0.3
FC United 1 Darlington 2
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*National League100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
Darlington+0.3
-7.1
+0.9
FC UnitedNo
+7.2
-0.4

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you kevinyoung90 for adding this league.