Points
Chance Will Win Championship

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will win titleNational LeagueChance will finish season at seedDemotion
9/15PGW-D-LGD%Change%Change12345678910111213141516171819202122Avg.Change%ChangeRPIStrengthSaturday
ChorleyWAlfreton Town 3-1289-1-01980.1%+5.583.4%+4.68012421000000000000000001.4+0.180.0%3.618ChesterChorley
Kidderminster HWYork City 3-01915-4-0118.8+3.321.5+5.392817128654322111100000004.4+1.660.1-0.21.546AltrinchamKidderminster Harriers
Telford UnitedTStockport County 1-1195-4-133.2-1.814.0-1.6313141210976544322211100006.3-0.120.2-0.02.499at Blyth SpartansTelford United
Spennymoor TownWNuneaton Town 3-1164-4-261.9+0.411.2+2.629111010987665443221110007.4+1.430.5-0.912.523at HerefordSpennymoor Town
Brackley TownTCurzon Ashton 1-1154-3-361.3-0.710.0-0.417999987765543322110007.9+0.080.7-0.25.520SouthportBrackley Town
Alfreton TownLChorley 1-3165-1-410.8-1.68.1-3.115788887776654432211008.8-1.151.2+0.56.478Bradford Park AAlfreton Town
Bradford Park ALAltrincham 2-3175-2-300.8-1.67.7-3.315678887776655433211009.0-1.331.3+0.69.468at Alfreton TownBradford Park Avenue
LeamingtonWBlyth Spartans 2-0154-3-330.7+0.37.5+3.114678887776655433211009.1+2.241.4-3.210.493at Ashton UnitedLeamington
GuiseleyWFC United 3-0143-5-220.6+0.47.1+3.714677777776655443221109.4+2.871.7-5.17.493at York CityGuiseley
Boston UnitedLChester 0-2155-0-500.4-1.75.8-4.5034567777777665443211010.2-2.192.4+1.513.468at Curzon AshtonBoston United
ChesterWBoston United 2-01223-3-2-20.4+0.24.9+2.4024556667777766554321111.0+2.363.8-6.84.448at ChorleyChester
Stockport CountyTTelford United 1-1123-3-420.3-0.24.7+0.0023456667777766554321011.0+0.163.7-0.814.491at DarlingtonStockport County
York CityLKidderminster H 0-31213-3-300.2-2.04.1-6.4023445566777776655432111.6-3.604.8+3.78.466GuiseleyYork City
AltrinchamWBradford Park A 3-2123-3-400.1+0.13.1+1.4012334556677777766532112.5+1.926.5-8.019.468at Kidderminster HAltrincham
HerefordLAshton United 0-21113-2-4-10.1-0.52.4-3.1011233445566778877653213.3-2.709.2+5.716.451Spennymoor TownHereford
Curzon AshtonTBrackley Town 1-1123-3-4-30.1-0.01.7-0.2001122344556778888764214.2-0.1312.4-0.511.424Boston UnitedCurzon Ashton
DarlingtonTSouthport 0-0102-4-4-30.0-0.01.3-0.0001112234456678899875314.8+0.0415.5-1.517.442Stockport CountyDarlington
Ashton UnitedWHereford 2-0102-4-4-90.0+0.00.7+0.4000011122334567891011119616.4+1.6126.2-17.915.405LeamingtonAshton United
Blyth SpartansLLeamington 0-272-1-7-50.0-0.00.5-0.60000111122344568910111211816.8-1.5330.0+10.318.428Telford UnitedBlyth Spartans
SouthportTDarlington 0-071-4-5-70.0-0.00.2-0.100000001112233467101215171518.3-0.4847.0+4.920.397at Brackley TownSouthport
Nuneaton TownLSpennymoor Town 1-3511-2-6-90.0-0.00.1-0.10000000001112234681115202519.3-0.6260.4+8.021.368FC UnitedNuneaton Town
FC UnitedLGuiseley 0-361-3-6-140.0-0.00.0-0.1000000000001112346914213620.0-0.6970.7+10.022.357at Nuneaton TownFC United

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 8/14
Chorley 4 Southport 0
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*National League100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
Chorley+3.3
+3.4
-0.3
+0.5
Kidderminster H-0.2
Telford United-0.3
-0.3
Spennymoor Town-0.2
Brackley Town-0.2
Alfreton Town-0.2
Leamington-0.3
-0.3
Guiseley-0.3
Boston United-0.3
-0.3
Chester-0.2
Stockport County-0.4
-0.3
York City-0.2
Hereford-0.5
-0.5
Curzon Ashton-0.3
Blyth Spartans-0.2
Southport-0.3
+3.7
-0.4
Nuneaton Town-0.2
FC United-0.4
Hereford 2 Leamington 1
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*National League100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
Chorley-0.3
-0.2
Leamington-1.9
-2.3
+0.7
-0.6
Hereford+3.1
+3.4
-0.5
+0.7
Stockport County 1 Guiseley 1
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*National League100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
Chorley+0.4
+0.4
Guiseley-1.0
+0.1
Stockport County-1.8
-2.3
+0.6
-0.6
Hereford+0.3
+0.3
Curzon Ashton*+0.1
FC United*+0.1
Boston United 2 Nuneaton Town 1
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*National League100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
Boston United+1.9
+2.5
-1.1
+0.8
Nuneaton Town-0.6
-1.1
+2.1
-0.7
Altrincham 1 FC United 2
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*National League100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
Guiseley+0.7
Chester+0.5
York City+0.5
Altrincham-1.8
-2.9
+3.6
-1.4
Curzon Ashton+0.6
Southport+0.7
FC United+0.3
+0.9
-10.2
+1.3
Ashton United 0 York City 2
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*National League100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
York City+0.9
+2.0
-6.5
+1.5
Ashton United-1.6
-2.8
+3.5
-1.4
Telford United 2 Brackley Town 1
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*National League100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
Telford United+1.4
+2.1
-1.3
+0.8
Brackley Town-0.4
-0.9
+2.5
-0.6
Bradford Park A 1 Spennymoor Town 0
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*National League100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
Spennymoor Town-0.5
-1.0
+2.5
-0.7
Bradford Park A+1.2
+1.9
-1.8
+0.8
Alfreton Town 0 Curzon Ashton 1
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*National League100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
Alfreton Town-1.0
-2.1
+5.1
-1.4
Curzon Ashton+0.6
+1.5
-7.9
+1.5
Darlington 1 Blyth Spartans 1
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*National League100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
Darlington-0.6
-1.1
+1.2
-0.5
Blyth Spartans-0.1
-0.4
+0.1
Week of 8/18
Chorley 1 Hereford 0
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*National League100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
Chorley+5.1
+4.9
+0.5
Boston United-0.2
-0.2
Hereford-3.8
-3.8
-0.5
Altrincham 0 Boston United 2
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*National League100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
Chorley-0.9
-0.8
Boston United+4.2
+5.2
-0.9
+1.2
Altrincham-0.9
-2.0
+3.8
-1.2
Hereford-0.6
-0.6
Spennymoor Town 2 Telford United 3
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*National League100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
Chorley-0.8
-0.7
Telford United+3.5
+4.5
-1.1
+1.2
Spennymoor Town-0.4
-1.2
+5.8
-1.2
Guiseley-0.5
Hereford-0.6
-0.5
Southport-0.5
Nuneaton Town-0.5
FC United-0.4
Bradford Park A 1 Stockport County 1
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*National League100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
Bradford Park A-1.1
-1.5
+0.5
-0.5
Stockport County-0.1
-0.2
+0.1
Leamington 2 Guiseley 2
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*National League100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
Chorley+0.3
+0.3
Leamington-1.1
-1.6
+0.7
-0.6
Guiseley-0.9
+0.1
York City 1 Curzon Ashton 1
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*National League100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
York City-0.8
-1.4
+1.1
-0.6
Curzon Ashton+0.1
-0.8
+0.1
Alfreton Town 3 Blyth Spartans 1
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*National League100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
Alfreton Town+0.3
+0.9
-4.0
+0.9
Blyth Spartans-0.7
-1.3
+1.9
-0.7
Ashton United 1 Brackley Town 5
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*National League100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
Brackley Town+0.5
+1.5
-6.8
+1.4
Ashton United-0.6
-1.6
+5.2
-1.3
Kidderminster H 5 Darlington 2
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*National League100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
Kidderminster H+0.4
+1.1
-3.2
+0.8
Darlington-0.6
-1.2
+1.8
-0.7
Nuneaton Town 1 Southport 4
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*National League100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
Southport+0.4
-11.1
+1.1
Nuneaton Town-0.5
+9.6
-1.1
Chester vs Kidderminster HIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*National League100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
Chorley81.680.677.9
84.683.881.5
Kidderminster H6.78.312.0
19.021.025.0
4.94.43.7
Chester0.60.30.2
6.24.43.6
2.34.25.5
10.011.311.9

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you kevinyoung90 for adding this league.