How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/14100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Brighton & Hove 1 Burnley 1 -0.1
-0.7
+0.8
-0.2
Liverpool 3 Newcastle United 1 -0.1
-0.1
-0.3
Norwich City 3 Manchester City 2 +0.1
+0.2
+0.6
Manchester United 1 Leicester City 0 +0.1
Tottenham Hotspur 4 Crystal Palace 0 +0.1
Sheffield United 0 Southampton 1 +0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/15100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Newcastle United vs Brighton & Hove-0.3-0.1+0.3
-2.1-0.8+2.6
+6.1+1.0-6.6
-0.9-0.2+1.0
Chelsea vs Liverpool+0.1+0.0-0.1
-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.2*-0.0-0.1
Manchester City vs Watford-0.2+0.1+0.2
-0.4-0.0+0.8
West Ham United vs Manchester United+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.2-0.0-0.1
Watford vs Arsenal+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.5-0.1-0.3
Leicester City vs Tottenham Hotspur-0.0+0.1-0.1
Arsenal vs Aston Villa-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.2-0.1+0.3
Everton vs Sheffield United-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.1-0.1+0.2
Bournemouth vs Everton+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.3-0.1-0.2
Aston Villa vs West Ham United+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.3-0.1-0.2
Southampton vs Bournemouth-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.1-0.1+0.2
Burnley vs Norwich City-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Crystal Palace vs Wolverhampton-0.1-0.2+0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Brighton & Hove finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFA CL1234567891011121314151617181920ChampionshipCount
82-104YesYes100No8,331*
8123-7-399.4%Yes991No158*
8023-6-499.1Yes991No228*
7923-5-597.9Yes982No429*
7822-7-496.4Yes964No826*
7722-6-594.8Yes955No1,358*
7622-5-692.9Yes9370No2,311*
7521-7-591.0Yes9190No3,834*
7421-6-687.0Yes87130No6,163*
7320-8-583.3Yes831610No9,943*
7220-7-678.1Yes782110No15,789*
7120-6-771.9Yes722620No24,458*
7019-8-664.7100.0%6531400No36,653*
6919-7-756.4100.05637600No54,296*
6818-9-647.7100.048421010No78,774*
6718-8-738.299.9384515200No112,621*
6618-7-828.999.7294621400No158,526*
6517-9-720.899.12144287100No218,946*
6417-8-813.497.7133933122000No296,199*
6317-7-98.094.683137195100No394,771*
6216-9-84.188.7422362692000No517,185*
6116-8-91.978.62143132164100No664,419*
6015-10-80.764.11723332492000No837,731*
5915-9-90.246.0031429301751000No1,042,191*
5815-8-100.028.0017203126123000No1,270,163*
5714-10-90.013.80031125302182000No1,522,761*
5614-9-100.05.100141527281761000No1,796,118*
5514-8-11No1.400171828261441000No2,076,964*
5413-10-10No0.2000292129241231000No2,365,375*
5313-9-11No0.0000310232922103000No2,644,934*
5213-8-12No0.0001412242920920000No2,906,634*
5112-10-11No0.0000141325281972000No3,138,746*
5012-9-12NoNo0001515262717610000.0%3,328,442*
4912-8-13NoNo0001617272716510000.03,466,901*
4811-10-12NoNo000271828261441000.13,551,772*
4711-9-13NoNo0000292129241230000.43,569,154*
4610-11-12NoNo000031123302292002.13,524,853*
4510-10-13NoNo00014142729186106.93,411,501*
4410-9-14NoNo00016183028133016.83,247,394*
439-11-13NoNo00002102432238131.73,028,330*
429-10-14NoNo0001415303215349.62,773,799*
419-9-15NoNo00018243625666.62,489,705*
408-11-14NoNo00041634341280.12,192,103*
398-10-15NoNo0001929412089.41,889,896*
388-9-16NoNo000521443094.91,599,611*
377-11-15NoNo000215424197.71,323,413*
367-10-16NoNo0019385299.11,072,135*
357-9-17NoNo0005326299.7850,054*
346-11-16NoNo003267199.9657,913*
336-10-17NoNo0012079100.0497,769*
326-9-18NoNo011585100.0368,663*
315-11-17NoNo001089100.0266,559*
305-10-18NoNo00793100.0187,896*
295-9-19NoNo0595Yes127,704*
285-8-20NoNo0397Yes85,790*
274-10-19NoNo0298Yes55,588*
264-9-20NoNo199Yes34,900*
254-8-21NoNo199Yes21,485*
243-10-20NoNo0100Yes12,645*
233-9-21NoNo0100Yes7,161*
223-8-22NoNo0100Yes4,112*
212-10-21NoNo0100Yes2,127*
202-9-22NoNo0100Yes1,086*
5-19NoNo100Yes9,224*
Total:0.6%6.2%1122334455566777888723.3%65,867,520

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship