How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/16100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Manchester United 4 Everton 0 +4.6
+6.7
-0.3
+0.6
Watford 0 Manchester City 6 -0.6
-0.1
Chelsea 0 Arsenal 0 +0.3
+0.3
Tottenham Hotspur 0 Swansea City 0 +0.2
+0.3
Huddersfield Town 1 Leicester City 1 +0.2
+0.3
Liverpool 1 Burnley 1 +0.2
+0.3
Newcastle United 2 Stoke City 1 -0.2
-0.2
Crystal Palace 0 Southampton 1 -0.1
-0.3
West Brom 0 West Ham United 0 +0.1
+0.2
Bournemouth 2 Brighton & Hove 1 +0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/23100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Southampton vs Manchester United-6.2-2.1+5.9
-7.2-1.9+6.4
+0.1-0.0-0.1
-0.6-0.2+0.5
Manchester City vs Crystal Palace-1.7+1.0+2.2
-0.4+0.2+0.6
-0.0+0.0+0.1
West Ham United vs Tottenham Hotspur+0.6+0.3-0.6
+0.5+0.3-0.5
Stoke City vs Chelsea+0.5+0.3-0.6
+0.3+0.3-0.5
Brighton & Hove vs Newcastle United+0.4+0.2-0.5
+0.4+0.2-0.5
Burnley vs Huddersfield Town*+0.0+0.3-0.2
-0.1+0.3-0.2
Leicester City vs Liverpool+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.2+0.2-0.3
Arsenal vs West Brom+0.0+0.1-0.1
*-0.0+0.2-0.2
Swansea City vs Watford+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.2+0.2-0.3

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Manchester United finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFA CL1234567891011121314151617181920ChampionshipCount
95-112YesYes100No21,959*
9425-6-299.9%Yes1000No1,816*
9325-5-3100.0Yes1000No3,366*
9225-4-4100.0Yes1000No5,867*
9124-6-3100.0Yes1000No10,300*
9024-5-4100.0Yes1000No16,570*
8923-7-3100.0Yes1000No27,736*
8823-6-499.9Yes1000No43,983*
8723-5-599.9Yes1000No69,497*
8622-7-499.9Yes1000No106,460*
8522-6-599.8Yes1000No158,388*
8421-8-499.7Yes10000No232,302*
8321-7-599.5Yes1000No334,047*
8221-6-699.3Yes9910No469,565*
8120-8-599.0Yes9910No647,027*
8020-7-698.5Yes9820No875,967*
7919-9-597.8Yes9820No1,159,967*
7819-8-696.7Yes9730No1,509,112*
7719-7-795.3Yes95500No1,920,442*
7618-9-693.4Yes93600No2,406,199*
7518-8-790.9Yes91900No2,956,842*
7418-7-887.6Yes881200No3,561,213*
7317-9-783.3100.0%8316100No4,222,800*
7217-8-878.0100.07821100No4,911,303*
7116-10-771.6100.07226200No5,603,299*
7016-9-864.0100.064324000No6,288,992*
6916-8-955.3100.055377000No6,925,065*
6815-10-845.999.94642111000No7,500,463*
6715-9-936.399.83645162000No7,972,633*
6615-8-1026.999.52745235000No8,327,314*
6514-10-918.598.619422991000No8,540,956*
6414-9-1011.696.51236351530000No8,605,777*
6313-11-96.592.3627372271000No8,529,795*
6213-10-103.284.43183429123000No8,290,561*
6113-9-111.372.111128332071000No7,923,391*
6012-11-100.455.6051931271331000No7,431,848*
5912-10-110.137.30210253121820000No6,848,152*
5812-9-120.020.80151628281651000No6,200,753*
5711-11-110.09.300182030251231000No5,505,142*
5611-10-120.03.100031124292192000No4,804,492*
5511-9-13No0.7001414262818710000No4,111,713*
5410-11-12No0.1000161728271551000No3,455,495*
5310-10-13No0.0000281929251341000No2,849,148*
5210-9-14No0.0000029222923113000No2,305,426*
519-11-13NoNo00031124292192000No1,827,958*
509-10-14NoNo001414262919710000.0%1,421,265*
499-9-15NoNo000151628281651000.01,083,092*
488-11-14NoNo000171929261341000.0808,886*
478-10-15NoNo000292230231020000.3592,785*
467-12-14NoNo00131326301971001.3423,912*
457-11-15NoNo0015172928154004.2297,285*
447-10-16NoNo0002922322492011.0203,045*
436-12-15NoNo0004132831185022.5136,197*
426-11-16NoNo001721332710137.889,172*
416-10-17NoNo00313293418354.556,716*
406-9-18NoNo0017233726669.735,564*
395-11-17NoNo0031535361282.021,367*
385-10-18NoNo01829421990.412,836*
375-9-19NoNo00522442894.67,450*
364-11-18NoNo00216433997.64,218*
354-10-19NoNo19415099.42,244*
344-9-20NoNo07335999.81,210*
334-8-21NoNo04247199.8626*
323-10-20NoNo32176Yes313*
313-9-21NoNo1783Yes126*
303-8-22NoNo1981Yes79*
292-10-21NoNo1288Yes26*
281-12-20NoNo991Yes11*
13-27NoNo100Yes19,994*
Total:29.1%71.1%291913975432211110000000.1%160,739,520

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship