How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/14100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Manchester United 1 Leicester City 0 +2.1
+7.1
-2.5
+1.1
Liverpool 3 Newcastle United 1 -0.4
-0.3
-0.1
Norwich City 3 Manchester City 2 +0.3
+0.4
+0.2
Sheffield United 0 Southampton 1 +0.1
+0.1
Brighton & Hove 1 Burnley 1 +0.2
-0.1
Wolverhampton 2 Chelsea 5 -0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/15100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
West Ham United vs Manchester United-2.5-1.0+2.7
-7.5-2.2+7.5
+1.3+0.2-1.2
-0.9-0.2+0.9
Chelsea vs Liverpool+0.7+0.3-0.8
-0.1+0.2-0.1
Manchester City vs Watford-0.4+0.2+0.4
-0.6+0.3+0.7
-0.1*-0.0+0.1
Leicester City vs Tottenham Hotspur-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.3-0.2
Watford vs Arsenal+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.4+0.2-0.5
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Arsenal vs Aston Villa-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.4+0.2+0.2
-0.0-0.0+0.1
Everton vs Sheffield United-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.3+0.2+0.1
Bournemouth vs Everton+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.2+0.2-0.3
+0.1-0.0-0.0
Aston Villa vs West Ham United+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.2+0.2-0.3
+0.1-0.0-0.0
Southampton vs Bournemouth-0.1+0.0+0.0
-0.2+0.2+0.1
Burnley vs Norwich City-0.1+0.2-0.1
Crystal Palace vs Wolverhampton-0.2+0.1+0.1
Newcastle United vs Brighton & Hove*+0.0+0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Manchester United finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFA CL1234567891011121314151617181920ChampionshipCount
88-107YesYes100No8,958*
8725-4-499.7%Yes1000No695*
8624-6-399.8Yes1000No1,228*
8524-5-499.8Yes1000No2,084*
8423-7-399.7Yes1000No3,818*
8323-6-499.5Yes1000No6,104*
8223-5-599.2Yes991No10,281*
8122-7-498.9Yes9910No15,878*
8022-6-598.1Yes9820No25,108*
7921-8-497.4Yes973No38,114*
7821-7-596.3Yes9640No56,773*
7721-6-694.6Yes9550No83,639*
7620-8-592.5Yes9370No120,562*
7520-7-689.9Yes901000No169,151*
7419-9-586.5Yes861300No233,545*
7319-8-682.2Yes821710No318,134*
7219-7-777.0100.0%7722100No422,461*
7118-9-670.9100.07127200No552,215*
7018-8-763.5100.06333400No707,070*
6918-7-855.3100.055386000No890,201*
6817-9-746.5100.0474310100No1,101,418*
6717-8-837.499.9374615200No1,337,131*
6616-10-728.599.72946214000No1,594,877*
6516-9-820.399.220442871000No1,868,528*
6416-8-913.397.9133934122000No2,153,395*
6315-10-87.995.083137194100No2,434,342*
6215-9-94.189.5423372692000No2,707,952*
6115-8-101.979.92143232164100No2,951,499*
6014-10-90.765.81724342392000No3,165,749*
5914-9-100.248.2031530301651000No3,339,083*
5814-8-110.030.00172131251130000No3,454,645*
5713-10-100.015.10031226302072000No3,515,519*
5613-9-110.05.9001516282816510000No3,513,531*
5512-11-10No1.600272029251341000No3,450,741*
5412-10-11No0.30002102229231130000No3,326,858*
5312-9-12No0.0000312242921920000No3,156,660*
5211-11-11No0.00001413252819820000No2,933,588*
5111-10-12No0.0000151526281871000No2,677,754*
5011-9-13NoNo0001616272716610000.0%2,399,989*
4910-11-12NoNo0001617272615510000.02,115,557*
4810-10-13NoNo000281928251341000.11,827,663*
4710-9-14NoNo000292129241130000.41,550,095*
469-11-13NoNo000131124292192002.11,287,786*
459-10-14NoNo00014142729186107.01,050,692*
449-9-15NoNo00016183028143017.1838,940*
438-11-14NoNo000292332238132.5657,672*
428-10-15NoNo001415303216350.5504,399*
418-9-16NoNo00018233526767.7379,569*
407-11-15NoNo00031534351381.2278,831*
397-10-16NoNo001828412190.2201,412*
387-9-17NoNo000420443295.3141,844*
376-11-16NoNo00213424398.197,576*
366-10-17NoNo018365599.265,821*
356-9-18NoNo005316499.743,170*
345-11-17NoNo02247499.927,523*
335-10-18NoNo011881100.017,091*
325-9-19NoNo011387100.010,548*
314-11-18NoNo0891Yes6,152*
304-10-19NoNo0694Yes3,642*
294-9-20NoNo0496Yes1,960*
284-8-21NoNo298Yes1,049*
273-10-20NoNo298Yes527*
263-9-21NoNo199Yes299*
8-25NoNo100Yes8,424*
Total:7.8%36.9%81010988766544332221112.7%65,867,520

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship