How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/29100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
Huddersfield Town 0 Tottenham Hotspur 2 +2.5
+7.1
-2.0
+1.0
Manchester City 2 Brighton & Hove 0 -0.3
-0.5
-0.1
Chelsea 1 Liverpool 1 +0.3
+0.2
Newcastle United 0 Leicester City 2 -0.1
-0.3
-0.1
Bournemouth 2 Crystal Palace 1 -0.1
-0.2
West Ham United 3 Manchester United 1 *+0.2
+0.1
Arsenal 2 Watford 0 *-0.1
Wolverhampton 2 Southampton 0 -0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 10/6100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
Tottenham Hotspur vs Cardiff City+3.1-0.9-2.5
+7.7-1.8-6.5
-1.2+0.0+1.2
+0.9-0.2-0.8
Southampton vs Chelsea+0.3+0.1-0.4
+0.4+0.2-0.6
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Fulham vs Arsenal+0.2+0.1-0.3
+0.4+0.2-0.6
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Liverpool vs Manchester City-0.1+0.3-0.1
-0.1+0.3-0.1
Crystal Palace vs Wolverhampton+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.2+0.2-0.3
Watford vs Bournemouth-0.1+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.3-0.1
Manchester United vs Newcastle United-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.4+0.2+0.3
-0.1-0.0+0.1
Leicester City vs Everton-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.2+0.3+0.1
Burnley vs Huddersfield Town-0.2+0.1+0.1
-0.0-0.0+0.1
Brighton & Hove vs West Ham United+0.0+0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Tottenham Hotspur finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFA1234567891011121314151617181920DemotionCount
95-108YesYes100No87,197*
9425-4-299.2%Yes991No132*
90-93YesYes100No3,968*
8923-5-399.9Yes1000No3,912*
8823-4-4100.0Yes1000No7,114*
8722-6-399.9Yes1000No12,661*
8622-5-499.9Yes1000No22,379*
8522-4-599.8Yes1000No38,515*
8421-6-499.8Yes1000No63,648*
8321-5-599.6Yes1000No103,675*
8221-4-699.5Yes9910No164,283*
8120-6-599.2Yes9910No257,054*
8020-5-698.8Yes9910No390,764*
7919-7-598.1Yes9820No586,065*
7819-6-697.2Yes9730No859,870*
7719-5-795.9Yes96400No1,235,399*
7618-7-694.0Yes94600No1,744,102*
7518-6-791.5Yes91800No2,414,021*
7418-5-888.1100.0%8811000No3,280,421*
7317-7-783.7100.08415100No4,374,167*
7217-6-878.1100.07820200No5,719,094*
7116-8-771.2100.071263000No7,360,985*
7016-7-863.1100.063325000No9,282,650*
6916-6-953.9100.054378100No11,504,243*
6815-8-844.099.94441132000No14,004,956*
6715-7-933.999.73443194000No16,750,437*
6615-6-1024.499.124432571000No19,674,451*
6514-8-916.097.6163832122000No22,710,831*
6414-7-109.594.4931351951000No25,756,888*
6314-6-114.988.152235261020000No28,687,293*
6213-8-102.177.521430321751000No31,405,296*
6113-7-110.862.0172232251020000No33,764,829*
6012-9-100.243.40313273019610000No35,665,539*
5912-8-110.025.30161830271341000No36,999,080*
5812-7-120.011.600292330231020000No37,716,714*
5711-9-110.04.0000313262919720000No37,755,517*
5611-8-120.00.90001516282816510000No37,105,045*
5511-7-130.00.10000171829261441000No35,813,861*
5410-9-12No0.0000282129241231000No33,945,437*
5310-8-13No0.000002102229231030000No31,571,634*
5210-7-14No0.000003112429219200000.0%28,818,326*
519-9-13NoNo00014132529197200000.025,804,488*
509-8-14NoNo00001515272817610000.022,673,816*
499-7-15NoNo0001617282715510000.119,529,782*
488-9-14NoNo000282029251330000.516,502,406*
478-8-15NoNo0000310233023102002.313,647,427*
468-7-16NoNo00014132630196107.311,065,011*
457-9-15NoNo000016183028143017.28,788,822*
447-8-16NoNo0002102432238132.16,824,186*
437-7-17NoNo0001415303115349.65,191,367*
426-9-16NoNo00028243525666.33,856,555*
416-8-17NoNo00041634341279.72,797,758*
406-7-18NoNo0002929402089.01,985,753*
395-9-17NoNo001522432994.51,375,693*
385-8-18NoNo00215424097.5927,973*
375-7-19NoNo0019385199.0609,248*
364-9-18NoNo0006326299.6388,690*
354-8-19NoNo003267199.9241,922*
344-7-20NoNo002207899.9145,964*
334-6-21NoNo011584100.085,539*
323-8-20NoNo001189100.047,837*
313-7-21NoNo0793Yes26,400*
303-6-22NoNo0595Yes14,011*
292-8-21NoNo0397Yes7,171*
282-7-22NoNo298Yes3,491*
272-6-23NoNo199Yes1,588*
261-8-22NoNo199Yes711*
251-7-23NoNo199Yes266*
15-24NoNo100Yes87,272*
Total:8.7%35.4%999988766554433221102.6%700,293,600

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship