How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/9100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Watford vs Brighton & Hove+2.0-0.5-1.6
+5.8-1.3-4.7
-4.6+0.6+4.1
+1.1-0.2-1.0
Newcastle United vs Arsenal-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.1-0.1
Crystal Palace vs Everton-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1*+0.0
Leicester City vs Wolverhampton-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.1-0.1
*+0.0-0.1+0.0
Bournemouth vs Sheffield United-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.1-0.1
*+0.0-0.1+0.0
Burnley vs Southampton-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1*+0.0
Liverpool vs Norwich City-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.1-0.1
*+0.0-0.1+0.0
Tottenham Hotspur vs Aston Villa-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1*+0.0
Manchester United vs Chelsea-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.1-0.1
*+0.0-0.1+0.0
West Ham United vs Manchester City-0.0+0.1*-0.0
-0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1*+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/17100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Everton vs Watford-1.6-0.5+2.0
-4.7-1.3+5.8
+4.1+0.6-4.6
-1.0-0.2+1.1
Aston Villa vs Bournemouth-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
Sheffield United vs Crystal Palace-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
Manchester City vs Tottenham Hotspur-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
Wolverhampton vs Manchester United-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.1-0.1
*+0.0-0.1+0.0
Norwich City vs Newcastle United-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1*+0.0
Arsenal vs Burnley-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1*+0.0
Southampton vs Liverpool-0.0+0.1*-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
*+0.0-0.1+0.0
Chelsea vs Leicester City-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
Brighton & Hove vs West Ham United*-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Watford finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFA CL1234567891011121314151617181920ChampionshipCount
84-114YesYes100No5,136*
8325-8-599.7%Yes1000No682*
8225-7-6YesYes100No1,155*
8124-9-599.9Yes1000No1,849*
8024-8-699.9Yes1000No2,973*
7924-7-799.7Yes1000No4,667*
7823-9-699.4Yes991No7,029*
7723-8-799.2Yes991No10,573*
7623-7-898.8Yes9910No15,560*
7522-9-798.0Yes9820No22,475*
7422-8-896.8Yes9730No32,351*
7321-10-795.4Yes9550No45,530*
7221-9-893.3Yes93700No62,934*
7121-8-990.1Yes901000No85,314*
7020-10-885.9Yes861310No115,393*
6920-9-980.4Yes801810No151,270*
6820-8-1073.3100.0%7324300No196,917*
6719-10-965.2100.06530500No253,846*
6619-9-1055.3100.055368100No319,275*
6518-11-944.599.94440132000No396,213*
6418-10-1033.499.53342194000No484,985*
6318-9-1123.098.6234127810000No584,453*
6217-11-1014.296.11435321430000No693,237*
6117-10-117.690.9827352271000No810,063*
6017-9-123.480.831732291441000No931,995*
5916-11-111.265.0192431231020000No1,057,685*
5816-10-120.344.7041427291871000No1,181,905*
5715-12-110.124.701618282615510000No1,301,082*
5615-11-120.010.3002820282412410000No1,409,298*
5515-10-130.02.900031022282311310000No1,503,958*
5414-12-120.00.500003112228221031000No1,580,008*
5314-11-13No0.100131123282110300000No1,638,024*
5214-10-14No0.00001311232821103000000.0%1,668,061*
5113-12-13No0.0000131123282110300000.01,675,385*
5013-11-14NoNo000131123282110300000.01,651,547*
4913-10-15NoNo0001412232821920000.01,605,672*
4812-12-14NoNo0001412242820820000.31,539,150*
4712-11-15NoNo000141325281971001.61,446,995*
4612-10-16NoNo00015152728175106.31,343,557*
4511-12-15NoNo00017192927133016.61,224,921*
4411-11-16NoNo0002102332238132.91,099,330*
4311-10-17NoNo001414293217352.1968,734*
4210-12-16NoNo00017223527869.8839,402*
4110-11-17NoNo00031332361583.2716,284*
4010-10-18NoNo001726422491.5598,851*
399-12-17NoNo000318433696.2494,489*
389-11-18NoNo000111404798.5398,972*
379-10-19NoNo0017345999.4317,495*
368-12-18NoNo004276999.8247,186*
358-11-19NoNo002217799.9189,822*
348-10-20NoNo011584100.0141,680*
337-12-19NoNo001089100.0104,737*
327-11-20NoNo00793100.074,503*
317-10-21NoNo0595Yes52,982*
306-12-20NoNo0397Yes36,472*
296-11-21NoNo0298Yes24,830*
286-10-22NoNo199Yes16,343*
275-12-21NoNo199Yes10,645*
265-11-22NoNo0100Yes6,605*
255-10-23NoNo0100Yes4,064*
244-12-22NoNo0100Yes2,329*
234-11-23NoNo0100Yes1,373*
224-10-24NoNo0100Yes825*
0-21NoNo100Yes5,084*
Total:5.0%20.0%5555555555555555555515.0%33,416,160

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship