How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/12100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Watford vs Liverpool+2.1-0.5-1.6
+5.7-1.3-4.7
-4.6+0.6+4.1
+1.1-0.2-1.0
West Brom vs Bournemouth-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Arsenal vs Leicester City-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Everton vs Stoke City-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Manchester United vs West Ham United-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Southampton vs Swansea City-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Brighton & Hove vs Manchester City-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Crystal Palace vs Huddersfield Town-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Newcastle United vs Tottenham Hotspur-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Chelsea vs Burnley-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/19100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Bournemouth vs Watford-1.6-0.5+2.1
-4.7-1.3+5.7
+4.1+0.6-4.6
-1.0-0.2+1.1
Tottenham Hotspur vs Chelsea-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Manchester City vs Everton-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Swansea City vs Manchester United-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Liverpool vs Crystal Palace-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Burnley vs West Brom-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Huddersfield Town vs Newcastle United-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Southampton vs West Ham United-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Stoke City vs Arsenal-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Leicester City vs Brighton & Hove-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0

What If

Chances based on how well the Watford finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFA CL1234567891011121314151617181920ChampionshipCount
92-114YesYes100No1,299,669*
9128-7-3100.0%Yes1000No2,076*
9028-6-4100.0Yes1000No4,091*
8928-5-5100.0Yes1000No7,739*
8827-7-4100.0Yes1000No14,014*
8727-6-5100.0Yes1000No25,216*
8626-8-4100.0Yes1000No45,112*
8526-7-5100.0Yes1000No78,530*
8426-6-699.9Yes1000No132,241*
8325-8-599.9Yes1000No220,026*
8225-7-699.9Yes1000No360,483*
8124-9-599.9Yes1000No581,240*
8024-8-699.8Yes1000No920,545*
7924-7-799.7Yes10000No1,429,050*
7823-9-699.5Yes9910No2,185,019*
7723-8-799.2Yes9910No3,284,702*
7623-7-898.7Yes9910No4,855,293*
7522-9-798.0Yes98200No7,053,184*
7422-8-896.9Yes97300No10,073,691*
7321-10-795.4Yes95500No14,181,504*
7221-9-893.2Yes93700No19,647,012*
7121-8-990.1100.0%9010000No26,767,015*
7020-10-885.9100.08613100No35,914,825*
6920-9-980.5100.080181000No47,444,105*
6820-8-1073.6100.0742430000No61,703,961*
6719-10-965.1100.0653050000No79,009,920*
6619-9-1055.3100.0553681000No99,666,722*
6518-11-944.599.944401320000No123,768,370*
6418-10-1033.499.533431940000No151,439,584*
6318-9-1123.098.6234127810000No182,454,131*
6217-11-1014.296.214353214300000No216,522,718*
6117-10-117.690.98273522810000No253,113,365*
6017-9-123.480.8317322914410000No291,405,395*
5916-11-111.265.01924312310200000No330,476,176*
5816-10-120.344.8041427291871000000No369,119,850*
5715-12-110.124.8016182826155100000No406,127,739*
5615-11-120.010.20028202924124100000No440,094,938*
5515-10-130.02.9000310222823113100000No469,661,443*
5414-12-120.00.50000311222822103100000No493,604,863*
5314-11-13No0.100013112328211030000000.0%510,856,836*
5214-10-14No0.000001311232821103000000.0520,634,950*
5113-12-13No0.000001311232821103000000.0522,399,798*
5013-11-14No0.000001311232821103000000.0516,054,255*
4913-10-15No0.00000014122328219200000.0501,843,991*
4812-12-14NoNo00001412242820820000.3480,320,734*
4712-11-15NoNo00000141325281971001.6452,421,798*
4612-10-16NoNo0000015152728175106.2419,343,653*
4511-12-15NoNo0000017192927133016.6382,379,052*
4411-11-16NoNo000002102332238132.9342,972,580*
4311-10-17NoNo00001414293217352.1302,520,605*
4210-12-16NoNo000017223527869.8262,341,043*
4110-11-17NoNo0000031432361583.1223,652,849*
4010-10-18NoNo00001726422491.6187,385,700*
399-12-17NoNo0000318433696.2154,256,729*
389-11-18NoNo000111404798.5124,717,263*
379-10-19NoNo00017345999.498,988,885*
368-12-18NoNo0004276999.877,155,409*
358-11-19NoNo0002217799.958,972,264*
348-10-20NoNo0011584100.044,223,661*
337-12-19NoNo0001189100.032,512,345*
327-11-20NoNo000793100.023,426,841*
317-10-21NoNo00595100.016,527,199*
306-12-20NoNo00397100.011,413,059*
296-11-21NoNo0298Yes7,710,585*
286-10-22NoNo0199Yes5,094,453*
275-12-21NoNo0199Yes3,282,773*
265-11-22NoNo00100Yes2,071,329*
255-10-23NoNo00100Yes1,270,685*
244-12-22NoNo0100Yes761,722*
234-11-23NoNo0100Yes442,923*
224-10-24NoNo0100Yes250,497*
214-9-25NoNo0100Yes138,259*
203-11-24NoNo0100Yes73,513*
193-10-25NoNo0100Yes38,142*
183-9-26NoNo0100Yes18,870*
0-17NoNo100Yes1,313,993*
Total:5.0%20.0%5555555555555555555515.0%10,434,484,800

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship