How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/16100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Watford 0 Manchester City 6 -3.2
-6.8
+0.8
-0.8
Manchester United 4 Everton 0 -0.5
-0.5
-0.1
Tottenham Hotspur 0 Swansea City 0 +0.1
+0.3
Chelsea 0 Arsenal 0 +0.1
+0.3
Liverpool 1 Burnley 1 +0.1
+0.3
Huddersfield Town 1 Leicester City 1 +0.1
+0.3
West Brom 0 West Ham United 0 +0.1
+0.2
Newcastle United 2 Stoke City 1 -0.1
-0.2
Crystal Palace 0 Southampton 1 -0.1
-0.3
Bournemouth 2 Brighton & Hove 1 +0.1
+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/23100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Swansea City vs Watford-0.6-0.3+0.8
-3.8-1.4+4.3
+3.1+0.5-3.0
-0.9-0.2+1.0
Manchester City vs Crystal Palace-0.1+0.1+0.2
-0.3+0.2+0.4
-0.2*-0.0+0.4
Southampton vs Manchester United+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1*+0.0-0.1
West Ham United vs Tottenham Hotspur+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.3+0.2-0.3
+0.3-0.0-0.2
Stoke City vs Chelsea+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.2+0.2-0.3
+0.2-0.0-0.1
Brighton & Hove vs Newcastle United+0.3+0.2-0.3
+0.3-0.0-0.2
Burnley vs Huddersfield Town-0.0+0.2-0.1
Leicester City vs Liverpool+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Arsenal vs West Brom*-0.0+0.1-0.1
Everton vs Bournemouth+0.0-0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Watford finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFA CL1234567891011121314151617181920ChampionshipCount
87-107YesYes100No20,177*
8624-6-399.4%Yes991No172*
8524-5-4YesYes100No366*
8423-7-399.5Yes1000No633*
8323-6-499.1Yes991No1,171*
8223-5-599.4Yes991No2,136*
8122-7-498.5Yes991No3,713*
8022-6-597.8Yes9820No6,261*
7921-8-496.6Yes973No10,346*
7821-7-595.0Yes9550No16,994*
7721-6-693.2Yes9370No27,040*
7620-8-590.2Yes90100No42,751*
7520-7-686.6Yes871300No65,616*
7420-6-782.4Yes821710No98,802*
7319-8-676.9100.0%7721200No146,273*
7219-7-770.5Yes702730No212,642*
7118-9-662.8100.06332500No302,841*
7018-8-754.5100.05538700No425,035*
6918-7-845.2100.0454212100No582,860*
6817-9-736.099.93645172000No785,829*
6717-8-827.099.62745235000No1,042,783*
6617-7-919.098.91942308100No1,357,922*
6516-9-812.297.2123635143000No1,737,981*
6416-8-97.193.872937215100No2,184,450*
6315-10-83.787.54203628102000No2,699,739*
6215-9-91.677.321230331751000No3,276,769*
6115-8-100.662.9172233251020000No3,907,559*
6014-10-90.245.8031429311751000No4,582,290*
5914-9-100.028.70172131251130000No5,275,129*
5814-8-110.014.900312263020720000No5,975,845*
5713-10-100.06.200151729271551000No6,643,707*
5613-9-11No1.900282130241130000No7,259,886*
5513-8-12No0.4000312252920820000No7,800,207*
5412-10-11No0.1000151527281761000No8,221,720*
5312-9-12No0.0000171829261441000No8,524,360*
5211-11-11No0.0000292129241130000No8,674,896*
5111-10-12No0.0000031124292192000No8,670,796*
5011-9-13NoNo0001414262918710000.0%8,513,979*
4910-11-12NoNo0001617282715510000.08,198,764*
4810-10-13NoNo00002820302512300000.07,760,010*
4710-9-14NoNo000311243022920000.27,196,389*
469-11-13NoNo00141427301861000.96,560,067*
459-10-14NoNo00016193027133003.45,858,950*
449-9-15NoNo0002102432228109.05,129,771*
438-11-14NoNo0014163030154019.24,406,986*
428-10-15NoNo000282334258133.63,708,925*
418-9-16NoNo000415313315250.03,054,976*
407-11-15NoNo00018253724565.82,466,381*
397-10-16NoNo00041736331078.81,950,259*
387-9-17NoNo0021031401688.01,505,462*
376-11-16NoNo0001625442593.91,138,217*
366-10-17NoNo00317453597.1841,007*
356-9-18NoNo00112424598.7605,406*
345-11-17NoNo0017375599.5425,886*
335-10-18NoNo004316599.8292,626*
325-9-19NoNo02257399.9195,478*
314-11-18NoNo011980100.0126,864*
304-10-19NoNo011485100.080,155*
294-9-20NoNo001090100.049,287*
284-8-21NoNo0793Yes29,539*
273-10-20NoNo0595Yes16,930*
263-9-21NoNo0397Yes9,359*
253-8-22NoNo298Yes5,132*
242-10-21NoNo199Yes2,590*
232-9-22NoNo199Yes1,345*
222-8-23NoNo0100Yes616*
212-7-24NoNo199Yes266*
8-20NoNo100Yes20,201*
Total:1.6%13.3%234556677777666544317.8%160,739,520

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship