How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 8/19100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Everton 1 Watford 0 -0.7
-2.8
+5.1
-0.9
Southampton 1 Liverpool 2 -0.1
-0.2
Manchester City 2 Tottenham Hotspur 2 +0.1
Wolverhampton 1 Manchester United 1 +0.1
*-0.1
Brighton & Hove 1 West Ham United 1 +0.1
-0.1
Aston Villa 1 Bournemouth 2 -0.1
Chelsea 1 Leicester City 1 +0.1
-0.1
Sheffield United 1 Crystal Palace 0 +0.1
Norwich City 3 Newcastle United 1 +0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Watford vs West Ham United+0.4-0.1-0.3
+2.2-0.6-1.7
-7.7+1.2+6.7
+1.0-0.2-0.8
Aston Villa vs Everton+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.5-0.1-0.3
Brighton & Hove vs Southampton-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.3-0.1+0.5
Manchester United vs Crystal Palace-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.2-0.1+0.3
Liverpool vs Arsenal-0.0+0.1-0.0
Tottenham Hotspur vs Newcastle United-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.3-0.1+0.5
Sheffield United vs Leicester City-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.1-0.1+0.2
Bournemouth vs Manchester City-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.1-0.0-0.0
Wolverhampton vs Burnley*+0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.2-0.1-0.1
Norwich City vs Chelsea-0.1+0.0+0.0
-0.1-0.2+0.3
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/31100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Newcastle United vs Watford-0.3-0.1+0.4
-1.6-0.6+2.2
+6.7+1.1-7.8
-0.8-0.2+1.0
Southampton vs Manchester United+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.5-0.1-0.3
Everton vs Wolverhampton-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.2-0.1+0.3
Chelsea vs Sheffield United+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.5-0.1-0.3
Burnley vs Liverpool*+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.2-0.0-0.1
Arsenal vs Tottenham Hotspur-0.1+0.1*-0.0
-0.1-0.0+0.1
Manchester City vs Brighton & Hove-0.0+0.1-0.0
Leicester City vs Bournemouth+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.2-0.1-0.1
West Ham United vs Norwich City+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.3-0.2-0.1
Crystal Palace vs Aston Villa-0.1-0.2+0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Watford finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFA CL1234567891011121314151617181920ChampionshipCount
82-108YesYes100No35,579*
8125-6-599.8%Yes1000No471*
8024-8-499.7Yes1000No870*
7924-7-599.7Yes1000No1,484*
7824-6-699.0Yes991No2,608*
7723-8-598.6Yes991No4,443*
7623-7-697.9Yes9820No7,327*
7523-6-796.6Yes9730No11,948*
7422-8-694.8Yes9550No19,301*
7322-7-792.9Yes9370No30,223*
7221-9-690.0Yes901000No47,768*
7121-8-785.8Yes861410No72,635*
7021-7-880.3Yes801810No108,610*
6920-9-773.3100.0%7324300No161,310*
6820-8-865.3100.06530500No234,349*
6719-10-756.1100.056358100No333,456*
6619-9-845.699.9464012200No469,547*
6519-8-935.199.63543184000No650,183*
6418-10-825.098.92542257100No885,786*
6318-9-916.297.11637311330000No1,183,746*
6218-8-109.393.0929352061000No1,561,462*
6117-10-94.685.35203327123000No2,023,780*
6017-9-101.972.5212283119710000No2,582,933*
5917-8-110.655.0161930271441000No3,244,883*
5816-10-100.235.402102330221020000No4,007,347*
5716-9-110.018.201414262818720000No4,873,980*
5615-11-100.07.1001617272715510000No5,837,267*
5515-10-110.01.90002819282513410000No6,874,499*
5415-9-12No0.30002921282312410000No7,977,230*
5314-11-11No0.000003102228221131000No9,107,127*
5214-10-12No0.000013112328211030000No10,224,229*
5114-9-13No0.000014122428219200000.0%11,308,445*
5013-11-12NoNo00014132428208200000.012,300,033*
4913-10-13NoNo0001514252818720000.013,167,833*
4813-9-14NoNo0001515272817610000.113,856,385*
4712-11-13NoNo0000161728271541000.814,360,178*
4612-10-14NoNo000028202925123003.314,627,144*
4512-9-15NoNo00003112430228109.814,643,059*
4411-11-14NoNo000014152830175021.814,432,513*
4311-10-15NoNo00001721322610138.313,974,209*
4210-12-14NoNo0000312283319456.313,298,083*
4110-11-15NoNo00016213529872.112,437,967*
4010-10-16NoNo000031332371584.111,428,767*
399-12-15NoNo0001726422491.810,318,981*
389-11-16NoNo000419433596.19,144,559*
379-10-17NoNo000212414698.37,956,393*
368-12-16NoNo0017365699.36,798,953*
358-11-17NoNo0004296699.85,691,733*
348-10-18NoNo002237599.94,676,736*
337-12-17NoNo0011782100.03,768,172*
327-11-18NoNo0011287100.02,970,149*
317-10-19NoNo00991100.02,296,843*
306-12-18NoNo00694100.01,737,597*
296-11-19NoNo00496100.01,284,950*
286-10-20NoNo0298Yes929,584*
276-9-21NoNo0298Yes656,718*
265-11-20NoNo0199Yes453,848*
255-10-21NoNo0199Yes304,876*
245-9-22NoNo0100Yes199,786*
234-11-21NoNo0100Yes127,592*
224-10-22NoNo0100Yes79,317*
214-9-23NoNo0100Yes47,799*
203-11-22NoNo0100Yes28,306*
193-10-23NoNo0100Yes15,875*
183-9-24NoNo0100Yes8,576*
173-8-25NoNo0100Yes4,562*
0-16NoNo100Yes39,578*
Total:0.7%4.9%111222334445567789111333.6%281,952,480

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship