How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 10/20100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
Wolverhampton 0 Watford 2 +0.2
+3.1
-0.9
+1.0
Huddersfield Town 0 Liverpool 1 -0.2
-0.1
Manchester City 5 Burnley 0 -0.1
+0.0
West Ham United 0 Tottenham Hotspur 1 -0.3
Chelsea 2 Manchester United 2 +0.1
Arsenal 3 Leicester City 1 -0.3
Bournemouth 0 Southampton 0 +0.1
Everton 2 Crystal Palace 0 -0.1
Newcastle United 0 Brighton & Hove 1 -0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 10/27100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
Watford vs Huddersfield Town+0.1-0.1-0.2
+1.7-2.1-3.5
-0.1+0.1+0.4
+0.4-0.4-0.8
Liverpool vs Cardiff City-0.0+0.0+0.1
-0.2+0.2+0.5
Tottenham Hotspur vs Manchester City-0.2+0.2+0.2
Burnley vs Chelsea+0.5+0.2-0.6
Crystal Palace vs Arsenal+0.5+0.1-0.5
Fulham vs Bournemouth+0.2+0.1-0.3
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Brighton & Hove vs Wolverhampton+0.1+0.1-0.2
Manchester United vs Everton+0.0+0.1-0.1
Leicester City vs West Ham United-0.0*+0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Watford finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFA1234567891011121314151617181920DemotionCount
88-103YesYes100No1,818*
8722-5-295.8%Yes964No24*
8622-4-398.3Yes982No59*
8522-3-495.5Yes964No89*
8421-5-390.0Yes9010No201*
8321-4-487.7Yes8812No373*
8221-3-585.6Yes86141No626*
8120-5-479.8Yes80191No1,187*
8020-4-571.9Yes722620No1,908*
7919-6-465.1Yes653140No3,383*
7819-5-554.8100.0%5537700No5,418*
7719-4-646.5100.046421010No8,833*
7618-6-536.999.937441720No13,732*
7518-5-627.999.6284423400No20,731*
7417-7-519.699.3204230810No30,721*
7317-6-612.798.01338351220No44,567*
7217-5-77.896.28313919400No63,095*
7116-7-64.392.54233926710No87,362*
7016-6-72.286.4216363212200No117,944*
6916-5-81.077.6110303719400No156,523*
6815-7-70.466.4052338267100No203,228*
6715-6-80.153.20316353312100No257,562*
6615-5-90.039.0019293820400No320,257*
6514-7-80.026.30052138287100No387,516*
6414-6-90.015.800214343513200No461,624*
6313-8-80.08.500182739204000No537,562*
6213-7-90.04.000041938289100No613,704*
6113-6-10No1.600212333515300No683,830*
6012-8-9No0.60162637236100No744,222*
5912-7-10No0.200317353012200No797,391*
5812-6-11No0.0001102935195000No833,875*
5711-8-10No0.00052235279100No852,316*
5611-7-11No0.000214313316300No853,289*
5511-6-12No0.000182435247100No836,375*
5410-8-11NoNo004163331132000No801,325*
5310-7-12NoNo00192735215100No750,777*
5210-6-13NoNo000519342911200No688,180*
519-8-12NoNo00211293519400No615,558*
509-7-13NoNo00152136279100No539,604*
498-9-12NoNo00212313416300No462,676*
488-8-13NoNo00162336258100No387,040*
478-7-14NoNo0031432331530000.0%315,287*
467-9-13NoNo001724352481000.0251,527*
457-8-14NoNo0031532311530000.0195,100*
447-7-15NoNo001824342481000.1148,038*
436-9-14NoNo003153131154000.5108,678*
426-8-15NoNo00182333259101.678,512*
416-7-16NoNo003143032164004.554,712*
405-9-15NoNo01722332691010.637,404*
395-8-16NoNo003143032174020.624,910*
385-7-17NoNo0172334269135.315,900*
374-9-16NoNo00314313316251.39,789*
364-8-17NoNo018243626567.16,058*
354-7-18NoNo0041734331178.63,463*
344-6-19NoNo021029421788.81,945*
333-8-18NoNo0623452794.11,069*
323-7-19NoNo216463798.2512*
313-6-20NoNo009395199.3305*
302-8-19NoNo17355799.3149*
292-7-20NoNo22672Yes65*
281-9-19NoNo1684Yes25*
272-5-22NoNo1090Yes10*
16-26NoNo100Yes1,797*
Total:0.4%8.0%01247111313131196421100000.3%14,441,760

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship