How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 1/13100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Watford 2 Southampton 2 -0.2
Tottenham Hotspur 4 Everton 0 +0.0
Bournemouth 2 Arsenal 1 +0.2
-0.1
Crystal Palace 1 Burnley 0 +0.1
-0.1
West Brom 2 Brighton & Hove 0 +0.1
+0.0
Newcastle United 1 Swansea City 1 -0.1
+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Manchester United vs Stoke City-0.1+0.1+0.5
+0.0-0.0-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 1/20100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Leicester City vs Watford-0.0No+0.0
+1.3-0.2-1.8
-0.6-0.0+0.9
Everton vs West Brom-0.2-0.1+0.3
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Southampton vs Tottenham Hotspur+0.3+0.1-0.1
-0.1-0.0+0.0
Brighton & Hove vs Chelsea+0.3+0.1-0.1
-0.1-0.0+0.0
Swansea City vs Liverpool+0.3+0.0-0.1
Manchester City vs Newcastle United-0.1+0.1+0.2
+0.0-0.0-0.1
Stoke City vs Huddersfield Town+0.1-0.1-0.0
Arsenal vs Crystal Palace-0.1*+0.0+0.1
+0.0-0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Watford finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFA CL1234567891011121314151617181920ChampionshipCount
7115-0-0No57.5%115423670No1,634
6814-0-1NoNo5050No2
6713-2-0No8.3858258No12
6613-1-1No1.72275813No60
6512-3-0No2.02245717No100*
6412-2-1No0.611163260No320
6312-1-2NoNo753382No701*
6211-3-1No0.10347482No1,550*
6111-2-2NoNo1375650No3,342*
6010-4-1NoNo12861110No6,409*
5910-3-2No0.0001864161No12,352*
5810-2-3NoNo012622420No22,777*
579-4-2NoNo07563340No38,379*
569-3-3NoNo04474180No65,411*
559-2-4NoNo0237481400No102,878*
548-4-3NoNo126512210No155,801*
538-3-4NoNo017493120No229,204*
527-5-3NoNo0104442400No318,402*
517-4-4NoNo053551900No427,710*
507-3-5NoNo02255616100No554,978*
496-5-4NoNo01165525400No686,809*
486-4-5NoNo0847358100No817,743*
476-3-6NoNo03344217300No558,467*
5-6-4NoNo043742152000No378,951
465-5-5NoNo012342267100No628,053
6-2-7NoNo012142278100No397,305*
455-4-6NoNo00113435153000No1,082,955*
445-3-7NoNo04213627102000No561,421
4-6-5NoNo052337258100No535,675*
434-5-6NoNo01112934195100No656,784
5-2-8NoNo01102834206100No402,807*
424-4-7NoNo0041632301430000.0%635,259
3-7-5NoNo041832291330000.0346,983*
414-3-8NoNo0162133261120000.0475,030*
3-6-6NoNo0017233325920000.0397,010
403-5-7NoNo0021025332281000.1735,210*
393-4-8NoNo0031328321851000.7592,894*
383-3-9NoNo0004163130153003.5453,088*
372-5-8NoNo0016203427101011.5327,309*
362-4-9NoNo00292636225027.4223,462*
352-3-10NoNo000314333514149.4143,796*
341-5-9NoNo0016234127471.084,996*
331-4-10NoNo002123741986.348,007*
321-3-11NoNo00527511795.024,114*
310-5-10NoNo0116533098.511,109*
300-4-11NoNo008504299.64,397*
290-3-12NoNo33859Yes1,563*
280-2-13NoNo13069Yes410
270-1-14NoNo1882Yes88
260-0-15NoNo01585Yes1,643
Total:No0.0%000002717171411975432102.5%13,155,360

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship