Watford Title ChancesLost to Blackburn 0-1, title odds down 2 to 2.5% 4 points 1-1-2 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 8/25 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Premier League | 100.0* | Football League One | 100.0* | Average seed | Watford 0 Blackburn 1 | -1.7 | | -3.4 | | +2.2 | | -1.3 | | Ipswich 3 Leeds 4 | +0.3 | | +0.4 | | +0.1 | | | | Rotherham 1 Leicester 2 | -0.3 | | -0.4 | | -0.1 | | | | Huddersfield 0 Norwich 4 | -0.2 | | -0.3 | | -0.1 | | | | Preston 2 Swansea 1 | -0.1 | | -0.2 | | | | | | Birmingham 2 Plymouth 1 | -0.1 | | -0.2 | | | | | | Southampton 2 QPR 1 | -0.1 | | -0.1 | | | | | | Coventry 0 Sunderland 0 | +0.1 | | +0.1 | | | | | | Hull 1 Bristol City 1 | +0.1 | | +0.1 | | | | | | Millwall 1 Stoke 0 | +0.1 | | +0.1 | | +0.1 | | | | West Brom 4 Middlesbrough 2 | | | -0.1 | | | | | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Week of 9/2 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Premier League | 100.0* | Football League One | 100.0* | Average seed | Coventry vs Watford | -0.7-0.1+1.5 | | -1.4-0.1+3.1 | | +1.5-0.3-2.8 | | -0.8+0.0+1.5 | | Rotherham vs Norwich | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | | +0.1+0.0-0.2 | | +0.2-0.1-0.2 | | | | Birmingham vs Millwall | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | | -0.1+0.1+0.2 | | -0.0*+0.0+0.1 | | | | Leicester vs Hull | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | | | | | | Stoke vs Preston | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | | +0.1+0.1-0.2 | | +0.0-0.0-0.1 | | | | Sunderland vs Southampton | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | | +0.1+0.0-0.2 | | +0.1-0.0-0.1 | | | | Ipswich vs Cardiff | -0.0+0.0+0.1 | | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | | -0.1*+0.0+0.1 | | | | West Brom vs Huddersfield | | | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | | -0.1*-0.0+0.3 | | | | Plymouth vs Blackburn | | | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | | +0.1-0.0-0.1 | | | | Leeds vs Sheffield W | | | | | -0.1-0.0+0.2 | | | | Swansea vs Bristol City | | | | | +0.1-0.1-0.1 | | | | Middlesbrough vs QPR | | | | | +0.1-0.1-0.0 | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Watford finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance | Premier | Chance will finish season at seed | Football | | TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | League | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | League One | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 99 | -130 | | Yes | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 19,750 | * | 98 | | 29 | - | 7 | - | 6 | 99.9 | % | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 714 | * | 97 | | 28 | - | 9 | - | 5 | 99.7 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,303 | * | 96 | | 28 | - | 8 | - | 6 | 99.7 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,091 | * | 95 | | 28 | - | 7 | - | 7 | 99.5 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 3,538 | * | 94 | | 27 | - | 9 | - | 6 | 99.5 | | 100.0 | % | 99 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 5,680 | * | 93 | | 27 | - | 8 | - | 7 | 99.2 | | Yes | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 9,184 | * | 92 | | 26 | - | 10 | - | 6 | 98.7 | | 100.0 | | 99 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 14,703 | * | 91 | | 26 | - | 9 | - | 7 | 97.9 | | 100.0 | | 98 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 22,497 | * | 90 | | 26 | - | 8 | - | 8 | 97.3 | | 100.0 | | 97 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 33,962 | * | 89 | | 25 | - | 10 | - | 7 | 95.8 | | 100.0 | | 96 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 51,774 | * | 88 | | 25 | - | 9 | - | 8 | 94.1 | | 99.9 | | 94 | 6 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 76,904 | * | 87 | | 25 | - | 8 | - | 9 | 92.0 | | 99.8 | | 92 | 8 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 111,008 | * | 86 | | 24 | - | 10 | - | 8 | 88.7 | | 99.6 | | 89 | 11 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 160,314 | * | 85 | | 24 | - | 9 | - | 9 | 84.6 | | 99.2 | | 85 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 225,422 | * | 84 | | 23 | - | 11 | - | 8 | 79.5 | | 98.5 | | 80 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 312,164 | * | 83 | | 23 | - | 10 | - | 9 | 73.3 | | 97.2 | | 73 | 24 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 428,833 | * | 82 | | 23 | - | 9 | - | 10 | 65.6 | | 95.1 | | 66 | 30 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 576,265 | * | 81 | | 22 | - | 11 | - | 9 | 57.1 | | 91.8 | | 57 | 35 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 762,782 | * | 80 | | 22 | - | 10 | - | 10 | 47.6 | | 86.8 | | 48 | 39 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 993,300 | * | 79 | | 21 | - | 12 | - | 9 | 38.0 | | 79.7 | | 38 | 42 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,280,444 | * | 78 | | 21 | - | 11 | - | 10 | 28.4 | | 70.2 | | 28 | 42 | 23 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,617,074 | * | 77 | | 21 | - | 10 | - | 11 | 19.8 | | 58.8 | | 20 | 39 | 29 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,017,202 | * | 76 | | 20 | - | 12 | - | 10 | 12.6 | | 45.9 | | 13 | 33 | 33 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,475,849 | * | 75 | | 20 | - | 11 | - | 11 | 7.2 | | 32.6 | | 7 | 25 | 34 | 23 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,992,655 | * | 74 | | 20 | - | 10 | - | 12 | 3.6 | | 20.8 | | 4 | 17 | 31 | 28 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 3,567,795 | * | 73 | | 19 | - | 12 | - | 11 | 1.5 | | 11.5 | | 2 | 10 | 25 | 31 | 22 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 4,185,258 | * | 72 | | 19 | - | 11 | - | 12 | 0.5 | | 5.4 | | 1 | 5 | 16 | 28 | 27 | 16 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 4,838,092 | * | 71 | | 19 | - | 10 | - | 13 | 0.2 | | 2.0 | | 0 | 2 | 9 | 21 | 29 | 23 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 5,512,823 | * | 70 | | 18 | - | 12 | - | 12 | 0.0 | | 0.6 | | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 24 | 28 | 20 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 6,180,865 | * | 69 | | 18 | - | 11 | - | 13 | 0.0 | | 0.1 | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 26 | 26 | 17 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 6,827,276 | * | 68 | | 17 | - | 13 | - | 12 | 0.0 | | 0.0 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 18 | 26 | 24 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 7,433,411 | * | 67 | | 17 | - | 12 | - | 13 | No | 0.0 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 20 | 26 | 23 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 7,968,917 | * | 66 | | 17 | - | 11 | - | 14 | No | 0.0 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 21 | 26 | 22 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 8,415,931 | * | 65 | | 16 | - | 13 | - | 13 | No | No | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 21 | 26 | 21 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 8,749,999 | * | 64 | | 16 | - | 12 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 22 | 26 | 21 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 8,960,171 | * | 63 | | 16 | - | 11 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 22 | 26 | 20 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 9,040,700 | * | 62 | | 15 | - | 13 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 23 | 26 | 20 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | No | 8,983,607 | * | 61 | | 15 | - | 12 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 23 | 26 | 19 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | No | 8,791,645 | * | 60 | | 15 | - | 11 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 23 | 26 | 19 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | 0.0 | % | 8,469,090 | * | 59 | | 14 | - | 13 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 24 | 26 | 18 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 0.0 | | 8,027,337 | * | 58 | | 14 | - | 12 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 25 | 26 | 17 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 0.0 | | 7,493,002 | * | 57 | | 13 | - | 14 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 26 | 25 | 15 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.2 | | 6,877,421 | * | 56 | | 13 | - | 13 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 27 | 24 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.8 | | 6,221,012 | * | 55 | | 13 | - | 12 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 22 | 28 | 22 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3.0 | | 5,540,128 | * | 54 | | 12 | - | 14 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 25 | 28 | 19 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 8.3 | | 4,842,534 | * | 53 | | 12 | - | 13 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 18 | 29 | 27 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 18.0 | | 4,174,274 | * | 52 | | 12 | - | 12 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 24 | 31 | 23 | 8 | 1 | 31.8 | | 3,532,961 | * | 51 | | 11 | - | 14 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 30 | 30 | 15 | 3 | 47.9 | | 2,940,392 | * | 50 | | 11 | - | 13 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 25 | 34 | 23 | 6 | 63.5 | | 2,410,235 | * | 49 | | 11 | - | 12 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 34 | 32 | 11 | 76.7 | | 1,941,450 | * | 48 | | 10 | - | 14 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 30 | 38 | 18 | 86.2 | | 1,535,415 | * | 47 | | 10 | - | 13 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 24 | 42 | 27 | 92.5 | | 1,192,610 | * | 46 | | 10 | - | 12 | - | 20 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 42 | 36 | 96.0 | | 911,817 | * | 45 | | 9 | - | 14 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 40 | 45 | 98.0 | | 682,802 | * | 44 | | 9 | - | 13 | - | 20 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 36 | 55 | 99.1 | | 502,357 | * | 43 | | 9 | - | 12 | - | 21 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 30 | 64 | 99.6 | | 362,387 | * | 42 | | 8 | - | 14 | - | 20 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 72 | 99.9 | | 257,085 | * | 41 | | 8 | - | 13 | - | 21 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 19 | 79 | 99.9 | | 177,791 | * | 40 | | 8 | - | 12 | - | 22 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 14 | 85 | 100.0 | | 121,489 | * | 39 | | 7 | - | 14 | - | 21 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 11 | 89 | 100.0 | | 80,962 | * | 38 | | 7 | - | 13 | - | 22 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 8 | 92 | Yes | 53,130 | * | 37 | | 7 | - | 12 | - | 23 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 5 | 95 | Yes | 34,250 | * | 36 | | 6 | - | 14 | - | 22 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 4 | 96 | Yes | 21,143 | * | 35 | | 6 | - | 13 | - | 23 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 98 | Yes | 13,157 | * | 34 | | 6 | - | 12 | - | 24 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | Yes | 7,880 | * | 33 | | 6 | - | 11 | - | 25 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | Yes | 4,402 | * | 32 | | 5 | - | 13 | - | 24 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 2,578 | * | 31 | | 5 | - | 12 | - | 25 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 1,462 | * | 30 | | 5 | - | 11 | - | 26 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 819 | * | 4 | -29 | | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | Yes | 19,718 | * | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 2.5 | % | 5.9 | % | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 6.9 | % | 182,104,992 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Win Championship |