How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 3/7100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Crystal Palace 1 Watford 0 No
+10.4
-0.5
Leicester City 4 Aston Villa 0 -1.7
+0.1
Arsenal 1 West Ham United 0 -1.5
+0.1
Liverpool 2 Bournemouth 1 -1.2
+0.0
Southampton 0 Newcastle United 1 +0.8
Sheffield United 1 Norwich City 0 -0.5
+0.0
Wolverhampton 0 Brighton & Hove 0 +0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/14100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Watford vs Leicester City+0.0*NoNo
-20.4-3.8+6.0
+1.0+0.1-0.3
Aston Villa vs Chelsea+5.2+0.3-2.0
-0.2-0.0+0.1
West Ham United vs Wolverhampton*+0.0*+0.0No
+3.4+0.3-1.8
-0.1-0.0+0.1
Bournemouth vs Crystal Palace+5.4-0.4-3.3
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Brighton & Hove vs Arsenal+2.2+0.1-1.5
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Norwich City vs Southampton+0.8-0.2-0.4
Newcastle United vs Sheffield United+0.3+0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Watford finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFA CL1234567891011121314151617181920ChampionshipCount
549-0-0No0.1%002153935910No37,265
528-1-0NoNo011340351010No8,778
518-0-1NoNo005264123500No14,918
507-2-0NoNo011338341210No46,029
497-1-1NoNo005244025600No154,257
486-3-0NoNo0112343614200No266,653*
476-2-1NoNo005234027600No680,988
466-1-2NoNo00110333915200No1,126,690
5-4-0NoNo011235381310No254,028
455-3-1NoNo004214326500No1,671,268
6-0-3NoNo003194229700No619,076
445-2-2NoNo00193439151000.0%4,098,738
4-5-0NoNo0011037381310No308,052
435-1-3NoNo0032042305000.04,433,958
4-4-1NoNo0032243274000.02,501,481
424-3-2NoNo001103542121000.08,073,743
5-0-4NoNo0083343141000.01,785,165
3-6-0NoNo0111374010100.0243,054
414-2-3NoNo0032147255000.312,937,342
3-5-1NoNo0032347234000.22,340,280
404-1-4NoNo00193938131001.410,298,662
3-4-2NoNo01104137111001.19,452,459*
393-3-3NoNo0032743234004.519,708,754
4-0-5NoNo0022543255005.33,260,749
2-6-1NoNo0032943213003.61,342,512
383-2-4NoNo01133836111012.623,266,749
2-5-2NoNo01154034101010.96,375,987*
372-4-3NoNo0062842213024.616,557,190
3-1-5NoNo0052642234027.014,549,240
1-7-1NoNo0073041193021.8430,405
362-3-4NoNo021540349043.425,780,646
3-0-6NoNo0214393510046.23,768,563
1-6-2NoNo021741328040.32,355,801*
352-2-5NoNo006304320163.723,918,595
1-5-3NoNo017314218160.87,347,255*
341-4-4NoNo02194432378.714,024,375
2-1-6NoNo02174334480.712,247,401
0-7-2NoNo03214429276.2366,229
331-3-5NoNo0193645990.617,160,108
2-0-7NoNo00835471091.72,670,832
0-6-3NoNo01103844789.21,314,702
321-2-6NoNo00324541996.713,042,732
0-5-4NoNo00426541696.23,000,276
311-1-7NoNo00113533399.15,640,481
0-4-5NoNo0114543099.04,549,724
300-3-6NoNo006464799.84,561,177
1-0-8NoNo006445099.81,056,909
290-2-7NoNo023365100.02,929,289
280-1-8NoNo011980100.01,087,023
270-0-9NoNo0892Yes215,332
Total:No0.0%000000001251217212116541.7%293,881,920

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship