Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100
Chance will make playoffsChance will finish regular season at seed
WednesdayPGW-D-LGD%Change1234Avg.ChangeRPIStrength10/31
PSGWAnderlecht 4-093-0-012100.0%+1.2928001.1+0.034.842AnderlechtPSG
Manchester UnitedWBenfica 1-093-0-0799.9+1.98911001.1+0.064.806BenficaManchester United
BeşiktaşWMonaco 2-193-0-0599.8+1.397301.0+0.138.738Beşiktaş
BarcelonaWOlympiakos Pira 3-193-0-0699.7+1.6945001.1+0.094.799at Olympiakos PiraBarcelona
Manchester CityWNapoli 2-193-0-0799.7+3.1945001.1+0.154.806Manchester City
Tottenham HotspurTReal Madrid 1-172-1-0599.6+1.54753001.5-0.0213.738Tottenham Hotspur
Real MadridTTottenham Hotspur 1-172-1-0599.6+1.55346001.5+0.0513.738Real Madrid
Bayern MünchenWCeltic 3-062-0-1395.5+36.6887402.0+0.4315.649at CelticBayern München
BaselWCSKA Moskva 2-062-0-1495.5+27.71184401.9+0.3011.678CSKA MoskvaBasel
ChelseaTRoma 3-372-1-0792.9-4.37122701.4-0.081.705at RomaChelsea
LiverpoolWMaribor 7-051-2-0786.6+31.948391301.7+0.778.732Liverpool
Spartak MoskvaWSevilla 5-151-2-0483.7+39.044401611.7+0.862.678Spartak Moskva
JuventusWSporting CP 2-162-0-1082.3+40.95771712.1+0.5315.492at Sporting CPJuventus
Shakhtar DonetskWFeyenoord 2-162-0-1079.3+29.85742012.2+0.4111.492Shakhtar Donetsk
RomaTChelsea 3-351-2-0160.4-22.116453912.2-0.283.546ChelseaRoma
RB LeipzigWPorto 3-241-1-1-154.4+39.925336102.5+0.7217.437RB Leipzig
Atlético MadridWQarabağ 2-041-1-1146.5+30.313345212.4+0.6810.588QarabağAtlético Madrid
PortoLRB Leipzig 2-331-0-2041.1-37.914048112.7-0.5625.492Porto
SevillaLSpartak Moskva 1-541-1-1-129.2-57.58216652.7-1.1524.454Sevilla
NapoliLManchester City 1-231-0-2020.5-28.81207462.8-0.3820.492Napoli
Sporting CPLJuventus 1-231-0-2-117.1-39.011770122.9-0.5018.437JuventusSporting CP
MonacoLBeşiktaş 1-210-1-2-44.6-3.30516793.7-0.2930.265Monaco
CSKA MoskvaLBasel 0-231-0-2-44.5-27.60481143.1-0.3320.305at BaselCSKA Moskva
CelticLBayern München 0-331-0-2-54.5-36.1048693.0-0.4118.283Bayern MünchenCeltic
Olympiakos PiraLBarcelona 1-300-0-3-50.9-3.50112873.9-0.1226.283BarcelonaOlympiakos Piraeus
Borussia DortmundTAPOEL 1-110-1-2-40.6-2.10159403.4-0.0322.305Borussia Dortmund
FeyenoordLShakhtar Donetsk 1-200-0-3-70.5-4.1016943.9-0.1826.218Feyenoord
MariborLLiverpool 0-710-1-2-100.5-13.4005943.9-0.4832.165Maribor
QarabağLAtlético Madrid 0-200-0-3-90.2-3.9002984.0-0.3231.168at Atlético MadridQarabağ
APOELTBorussia Dortmund 1-110-1-2-60.2-0.90040603.622.185APOEL
BenficaLManchester United 0-100-0-3-70.1-1.90014853.9-0.0326.178at Manchester UnitedBenfica
AnderlechtLPSG 0-400-0-3-100.1-1.7009913.9-0.0526.142at PSGAnderlecht

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 10/18
Juventus 2 Sporting CP 1
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Barcelona-0.3
Juventus+32.1
+0.5
Sporting CP-31.4
-0.5
Olympiakos Pira-0.5
RB Leipzig 3 Porto 2
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Beşiktaş+0.1
RB Leipzig+24.5
+0.5
Porto-27.5
-0.4
Monaco+3.1
-0.1
Bayern München 3 Celtic 0
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Bayern München+25.2
+0.3
Celtic-24.9
-0.3
Anderlecht-0.4
Spartak Moskva 5 Sevilla 1
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Liverpool-5.6
-0.0
Spartak Moskva+24.3
+0.6
Sevilla-16.4
-0.4
Maribor-2.4
-0.1
CSKA Moskva 0 Basel 2
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Basel+20.4
+0.3
CSKA Moskva-20.0
-0.3
Benfica-0.5
Maribor 0 Liverpool 7
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Liverpool+15.0
+0.4
Spartak Moskva-3.9
Sevilla-1.7
-0.1
Maribor-9.4
-0.3
Feyenoord 1 Shakhtar Donetsk 2
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Manchester City-1.2
Shakhtar Donetsk+14.4
+0.3
Napoli-9.2
-0.1
Feyenoord-4.0
-0.2
Manchester City 2 Napoli 1
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Manchester City+3.0
+0.2
Shakhtar Donetsk+6.7
+0.0
Napoli-10.8
-0.2
Feyenoord+1.2
+0.0
Qarabağ 0 Atlético Madrid 2
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Chelsea-1.3
Roma-4.1
Atlético Madrid+8.4
+0.3
Qarabağ-3.0
-0.2
Monaco 1 Beşiktaş 2
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Beşiktaş+1.3
+0.1
RB Leipzig+0.4
+0.1
Porto+1.6
Monaco-3.3
-0.1
Barcelona 3 Olympiakos Pira 1
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Barcelona+1.4
+0.1
Juventus+0.3
+0.0
Sporting CP+0.5
Olympiakos Pira-2.2
-0.1
APOEL 1 Borussia Dortmund 1
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Tottenham Hotspur+0.9
Real Madrid+0.9
Borussia Dortmund-1.3
-0.0
APOEL-0.4
+0.0
Benfica 0 Manchester United 1
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Manchester United+1.4
+0.1
CSKA Moskva-0.3
+0.0
Benfica-1.2
-0.1
Anderlecht 0 PSG 4
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
PSG+0.9
+0.1
Anderlecht-0.9
-0.0
Chelsea 3 Roma 3
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Chelsea-0.1
-0.0
Roma+0.6
+0.0
Atlético Madrid-0.3
Qarabağ-0.2
Real Madrid 1 Tottenham Hotspur 1
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Tottenham Hotspur+0.1
Real Madrid+0.2
Borussia Dortmund-0.2
Week of 10/31
Sporting CP vs JuventusIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Barcelona99.599.799.9
Juventus50.794.899.9
2.52.01.9
Sporting CP47.84.80.1
2.53.13.2
Olympiakos Pira2.00.80.1
3.93.93.8
Roma vs ChelseaHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Chelsea76.395.999.8
1.91.31.1
Roma87.857.747.9
1.62.32.5
Atlético Madrid35.846.252.0
2.52.42.4
Qarabağ0.10.20.3
Basel vs CSKA MoskvaHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Manchester United100.099.999.6
1.21.11.0
Basel100.098.568.0
1.82.02.3
CSKA Moskva0.01.532.0
3.23.12.7
Benfica0.00.10.4
3.83.94.0
Celtic vs Bayern MünchenHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
PSG99.899.9100.0
1.01.01.1
Bayern München68.298.7100.0
2.32.01.9
Celtic31.71.20.0
2.73.03.1
Anderlecht0.40.10.0
4.03.93.9
Atlético Madrid vs QarabağHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Chelsea91.295.897.0
1.41.31.2
Roma54.868.476.8
2.32.22.1
Atlético Madrid53.935.824.4
2.32.62.8
QarabağOut0.11.8
4.04.03.8
Olympiakos Pira vs BarcelonaHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Barcelona98.599.599.9
1.21.11.0
Juventus80.182.182.6
Sporting CP17.517.0*17.1
3.13.02.9
Olympiakos Pira3.91.40.4
3.73.83.9
Manchester United vs BenficaHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Manchester United100.099.899.1
1.11.21.3
Basel95.5*95.594.9
2.01.81.8
CSKA Moskva4.54.55.1
3.13.13.2
Benfica0.00.20.8
3.93.83.7
PSG vs AnderlechtHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
PSG100.099.999.4
1.11.21.2
Bayern München95.595.594.8
2.01.91.9
Celtic3.03.13.2
Anderlecht0.00.20.9
3.93.93.7

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Markus Paminger for adding this league.