How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/14100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Sheffield United 0 Southampton 1 +0.6
+3.6
-5.9
+1.1
Liverpool 3 Newcastle United 1 -0.1
-0.2
-0.3
Norwich City 3 Manchester City 2 +0.1
+0.2
+0.5
Manchester United 1 Leicester City 0 +0.1
Tottenham Hotspur 4 Crystal Palace 0 +0.1
Brighton & Hove 1 Burnley 1 +0.1
-0.1
Wolverhampton 2 Chelsea 5 -0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/15100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Southampton vs Bournemouth+0.9-0.3-0.7
+4.8-1.3-4.0
-3.9+0.5+3.7
+1.1-0.2-1.0
Chelsea vs Liverpool+0.2+0.1-0.2
-0.1+0.1-0.0
+0.1*-0.0-0.1
Manchester City vs Watford-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.4+0.2+0.4
-0.3-0.0+0.5
West Ham United vs Manchester United+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.2-0.2
+0.1*-0.0-0.1
Watford vs Arsenal+0.2+0.1-0.3
+0.3-0.1-0.2
Leicester City vs Tottenham Hotspur-0.0+0.2-0.1
Bournemouth vs Everton+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.2-0.1-0.1
Arsenal vs Aston Villa-0.2+0.1+0.1
-0.1-0.1+0.2
Aston Villa vs West Ham United+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.2-0.1-0.1
Everton vs Sheffield United-0.2+0.2+0.1
-0.1-0.1+0.1
Crystal Palace vs Wolverhampton-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.0-0.1+0.1
Burnley vs Norwich City-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1*+0.0
Newcastle United vs Brighton & Hove*+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Southampton finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFA CL1234567891011121314151617181920ChampionshipCount
84-106YesYes100No8,611*
8323-7-399.7%Yes1000No386*
8223-6-499.9Yes1000No678*
8123-5-599.3Yes991No1,169*
8022-7-497.3Yes973No2,037*
7922-6-596.6Yes9730No3,397*
7821-8-495.9Yes9640No5,677*
7721-7-593.5Yes9370No8,772*
7621-6-691.8Yes9280No14,226*
7520-8-589.0Yes89110No22,267*
7420-7-685.4Yes85140No33,943*
7320-6-780.7Yes811810No50,062*
7219-8-675.7100.0%7623100No73,446*
7119-7-768.9100.06928300No105,811*
7018-9-661.7100.06234400No148,813*
6918-8-753.6100.05439700No206,616*
6818-7-844.8100.0454311100No281,319*
6717-9-735.799.9364616200No376,649*
6617-8-826.999.62746224000No493,276*
6517-7-918.998.91943298100No637,193*
6416-9-812.297.4123834132000No805,260*
6316-8-97.194.173037205100No1,002,611*
6215-10-83.687.84213627102000No1,227,298*
6115-9-91.677.521331321751000No1,474,766*
6015-8-100.662.517223325102000No1,743,129*
5914-10-90.244.6031328311861000No2,021,805*
5814-9-100.026.9016203126123100No2,307,645*
5714-8-110.013.1002112430219200000No2,585,793*
5613-10-100.04.9001415272817610000No2,849,380*
5513-9-110.01.3000161828261451000No3,087,016*
5413-8-12No0.20002821292412310000No3,281,292*
5312-10-11No0.00003102329221030000No3,428,449*
5212-9-12No0.0001312242920920000No3,519,587*
5111-11-11No0.0000141425281972000No3,549,315*
5011-10-12NoNo0001515262717610000.0%3,514,603*
4911-9-13NoNo0001617272716510000.03,420,562*
4810-11-12NoNo0000271928261441000.13,263,485*
4710-10-13NoNo000292129241130000.43,056,673*
4610-9-14NoNo000031123302292002.12,813,799*
459-11-13NoNo00014142729186106.82,543,243*
449-10-14NoNo000016183027133016.62,249,971*
439-9-15NoNo00002102432238131.71,954,205*
428-11-14NoNo0001415303115349.61,661,600*
418-10-15NoNo00018243525666.61,386,846*
408-9-16NoNo000041634341280.31,132,306*
397-11-15NoNo001928412089.5906,291*
387-10-16NoNo000521433195.0709,048*
377-9-17NoNo00214424297.8544,185*
366-11-16NoNo0019385399.2407,137*
356-10-17NoNo0005316399.7298,610*
346-9-18NoNo003257299.9214,177*
335-11-17NoNo0011980100.0148,284*
325-10-18NoNo011486100.0101,225*
315-9-19NoNo00990100.066,656*
304-11-18NoNo0694Yes43,218*
294-10-19NoNo0496Yes27,113*
284-9-20NoNo0397Yes16,602*
274-8-21NoNo0298Yes9,776*
263-10-20NoNo199Yes5,685*
253-9-21NoNo199Yes3,065*
243-8-22NoNo0100Yes1,618*
7-23NoNo100Yes9,843*
Total:1.9%14.5%2345566666666665544311.0%65,867,520

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship