How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/15100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
Tottenham Hotspur 1 Liverpool 2 -0.1
Watford 1 Manchester United 2 +0.1
+0.1
+0.2
Chelsea 4 Cardiff City 1 -0.2
-0.2
Manchester City 3 Fulham 0 -0.2
-0.1
Newcastle United 1 Arsenal 2 -0.2
-0.3
Wolverhampton 1 Burnley 0 -0.1
-0.1
Huddersfield Town 0 Crystal Palace 1 -0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Southampton vs Brighton & Hove+0.2-0.2-0.3
+1.9-1.6-3.0
-2.5+1.6+4.5
+0.7-0.5-1.1
Everton vs West Ham United-0.1+0.1+0.2
-0.2*-0.0+0.5
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/22100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
Liverpool vs Southampton-0.2*+0.0+0.7
-1.7+0.2+4.7
+1.6-0.6-3.9
-0.5+0.1+1.3
West Ham United vs Chelsea+0.1*+0.0-0.1
+0.2*+0.0-0.3
+0.4-0.1-0.4
Cardiff City vs Manchester City+0.0*+0.0-0.1
+0.2+0.1-0.3
+0.4-0.1-0.4
Fulham vs Watford+0.2+0.1-0.3
+0.2-0.1-0.3
Burnley vs Bournemouth+0.2+0.1-0.3
+0.4-0.1-0.4
Brighton & Hove vs Tottenham Hotspur+0.1+0.1-0.3
+0.2-0.1-0.2
Leicester City vs Huddersfield Town-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1*-0.0+0.4
Arsenal vs Everton-0.1+0.1*-0.0
Crystal Palace vs Newcastle United-0.0+0.1+0.1
-0.1*-0.0+0.3

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Southampton finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFA1234567891011121314151617181920DemotionCount
82-106YesYes100No974*
8124-5-598.8%Yes991No80*
8024-4-695.5Yes955No132*
7923-6-593.5Yes937No276*
7823-5-690.4Yes9010No415*
7722-7-587.1Yes87130No644*
7622-6-680.9Yes81181No1,113*
7522-5-779.2Yes79192No1,709*
7421-7-670.5Yes712730No2,611*
7321-6-762.3Yes623340No4,069*
7221-5-855.0100.0%5537710No6,259*
7120-7-745.9100.046421110No9,161*
7020-6-836.199.9364517200No12,946*
6919-8-726.599.5274424500No18,522*
6819-7-818.599.0184230910No25,692*
6719-6-912.297.412373514200No34,747*
6618-8-87.194.47293821510No46,316*
6518-7-93.788.5421372810200No61,166*
6418-6-101.779.52133133164000No79,265*
6317-8-90.766.2172434248100No99,490*
6217-7-100.250.103153131154100No123,345*
6116-9-90.133.601824332382000No149,981*
6016-8-100.019.10041530301651000No179,516*
5916-7-110.09.10018223225102000No210,464*
5815-9-10No3.50031327301961000No243,530*
5715-8-11No1.00016183027134100No275,292*
5615-7-12No0.20021023312292000No305,747*
5514-9-11No0.00014142729186100No333,795*
5414-8-12No0.000161829271441000No358,110*
5314-7-13No0.0000210233023102000No376,241*
5213-9-12NoNo0014132630196100No387,946*
5113-8-13NoNo00016172928144100No395,383*
5013-7-14NoNo000292231241020000.0%393,323*
4912-9-13NoNo00031226301971000.0382,790*
4812-8-14NoNo00151730281441000.0365,915*
4711-10-13NoNo0029223124102000.2344,013*
4611-9-14NoNo00031327311861000.9319,402*
4511-8-15NoNo00016193127123003.1288,294*
4410-10-14NoNo002112532217108.0255,716*
4310-9-15NoNo0015173129143017.1222,284*
4210-8-16NoNo002102533227129.9190,294*
419-10-15NoNo001517323013245.3158,557*
409-9-16NoNo00210273521560.8130,260*
399-8-17NoNo0015203630874.6104,659*
388-10-16NoNo0021332381584.782,003*
378-9-17NoNo001727422391.562,978*
368-8-18NoNo00420443395.947,788*
357-10-17NoNo00214424298.034,741*
347-9-18NoNo018375399.225,242*
337-8-19NoNo005316399.617,788*
326-10-18NoNo003257299.812,053*
316-9-19NoNo021979100.08,229*
306-8-20NoNo11585Yes5,254*
295-10-19NoNo0991Yes3,363*
285-9-20NoNo0793Yes2,126*
275-8-21NoNo595Yes1,256*
264-10-20NoNo0397Yes753*
254-9-21NoNo0100Yes407*
244-8-22NoNo397Yes225*
4-23NoNo100Yes1,110*
Total:0.6%7.3%112345667788877654328.9%7,205,760

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship