How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/16100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Crystal Palace 0 Southampton 1 +0.6
+3.3
-4.4
+1.0
Manchester United 4 Everton 0 -0.1
-0.2
-0.3
Watford 0 Manchester City 6 -0.1
-0.1
Liverpool 1 Burnley 1 +0.1
Tottenham Hotspur 0 Swansea City 0 +0.1
West Brom 0 West Ham United 0 +0.1
-0.1
Huddersfield Town 1 Leicester City 1 +0.1
Chelsea 0 Arsenal 0 +0.1
Newcastle United 2 Stoke City 1 -0.1
-0.1
Bournemouth 2 Brighton & Hove 1 +0.3
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/23100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Southampton vs Manchester United+1.5-0.2-0.9
+6.4-0.7-4.0
-2.5*+0.0+1.7
+1.1-0.1-0.7
Manchester City vs Crystal Palace-0.2+0.1+0.2
-0.3+0.2+0.5
-0.2*+0.0+0.3
West Ham United vs Tottenham Hotspur+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.4+0.2-0.4
+0.3-0.0-0.2
Stoke City vs Chelsea+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.2+0.2-0.3
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Brighton & Hove vs Newcastle United+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.3+0.2-0.4
+0.2-0.0-0.1
Burnley vs Huddersfield Town-0.0+0.2-0.1
Leicester City vs Liverpool+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Arsenal vs West Brom*-0.0+0.2-0.1
Swansea City vs Watford+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Everton vs Bournemouth+0.0-0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Southampton finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFA CL1234567891011121314151617181920ChampionshipCount
87-107YesYes100No20,377*
8624-6-399.7%Yes1000No367*
8524-5-499.9Yes1000No728*
8423-7-399.7Yes1000No1,207*
8323-6-499.3Yes991No2,135*
8223-5-599.4Yes991No3,704*
8122-7-498.6Yes991No6,435*
8022-6-597.8Yes982No10,805*
7921-8-497.1Yes9730No17,484*
7821-7-595.6Yes9640No28,418*
7721-6-693.6Yes94600No44,151*
7620-8-591.3Yes91900No67,965*
7520-7-687.8Yes881200No102,286*
7420-6-783.3Yes831610No150,408*
7319-8-678.1100.0%7821100No219,104*
7219-7-771.6100.07226300No312,580*
7118-9-664.1100.06432400No436,350*
7018-8-755.6100.05637700No600,703*
6918-7-846.4100.0464211100No809,055*
6817-9-737.099.9374416200No1,074,590*
6717-8-827.999.62845224000No1,392,305*
6617-7-919.698.92042298100No1,777,234*
6516-9-812.797.3133734132000No2,233,409*
6416-8-97.494.172937205100No2,753,372*
6315-10-83.988.04213627102000No3,334,716*
6215-9-91.777.92133133175100No3,970,022*
6115-8-100.663.817233425920000No4,647,091*
6014-10-90.246.7031429301751000No5,338,472*
5914-9-100.029.50172131251130000No6,030,427*
5814-8-110.015.500312263019710000No6,694,600*
5713-10-100.06.500161829271441000No7,300,073*
5613-9-110.02.1000292230231130000No7,820,744*
5513-8-12No0.5000312252920820000No8,235,053*
5412-10-11No0.1000151627281661000No8,516,426*
5312-9-12No0.0000171929261341000No8,657,270*
5211-11-11No0.0000292229231130000No8,631,654*
5111-10-12No0.000003122429218200000.0%8,460,609*
5011-9-13NoNo00014142628186100000.08,142,746*
4910-11-12NoNo0001617282715410000.07,689,854*
4810-10-13NoNo0002820302512300000.07,129,477*
4710-9-14NoNo0000311243021820000.26,483,604*
469-11-13NoNo000141527291751000.95,791,122*
459-10-14NoNo00017193027123003.25,064,017*
449-9-15NoNo0002102532228108.74,350,707*
438-11-14NoNo00015163030153018.73,658,689*
428-10-15NoNo000282334248132.93,020,758*
418-9-16NoNo000415313215249.22,441,848*
407-11-15NoNo00018253723565.11,927,667*
397-10-16NoNo0004173632978.11,495,479*
387-9-17NoNo0021132401687.51,128,495*
376-11-16NoNo001625442493.5837,392*
366-10-17NoNo000318453496.9604,354*
356-9-18NoNo00112434498.6427,094*
345-11-17NoNo018385499.5294,057*
335-10-18NoNo004336399.8197,820*
325-9-19NoNo002267199.9128,934*
314-11-18NoNo012079100.083,003*
304-10-19NoNo011584100.050,818*
294-9-20NoNo01189Yes30,310*
284-8-21NoNo0892Yes17,902*
273-10-20NoNo0595Yes10,001*
263-9-21NoNo0496Yes5,446*
253-8-22NoNo298Yes2,880*
242-10-21NoNo298Yes1,492*
232-9-22NoNo199Yes706*
222-8-23NoNo199Yes304*
8-21NoNo100Yes20,215*
Total:2.3%16.7%245667777776655443215.9%160,739,520

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship