Chance of winning the title: 0.1%Change:-0.1
being promoted:1.0%-0.8
being demoted:29.0%4.68
Average finish:17.81-0.87

Record:   16 points, 4 - 4 - 9    -11

How are these numbers calculated? (show)

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.

Each match can have 2 kinds of impact on Southampton:

1. How many percentage points it changed their chance of winning the title.

2. (If in parenthesis,) how many positions it changed their average regular season finishing position, with the signed flipped so negative is bad.

The week’s total impact on Southampton is shown between the best and worst case outcomes. Future matches show separate impacts for each outcome. Hover your mouse over a match to hightlight it in the standings.

How do I know a matches impact? (show)

Week of 11/8Impact
Southampton0Bristol City1-0.2(-1.01)
Nottm Forest1Birmingham1(0.02)
Worst-0.22(-1.04)-0.21 (-0.93)(1.20)0.22Best
Week of 11/15
Southampton1Wolvers2(-0.91)
Birmingham3Charlton2(0.03)
Barnsley2Watford1(-0.00)
-0.14(-0.97)-0.11 (-0.87)(1.13)0.12
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)

Flash Chart

Chance Will Win Championship  (Full Screen)

Flash Chart

What If

Chances based on how well Southampton finishs out the season.   Explain (show)

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance team will finish the season at position
W-D-LPCTPromoted123456789101112131415161718192021222324DemotedCount
29-0-01.000Yes100No1,000
25-1-3.874Yes100No2
24-3-2.862Yes100No1
24-2-3.851Yes100No1
24-1-4.839Yes8218No11
23-3-3.828Yes919No22
23-2-4.816Yes6832No28
23-1-5.805Yes7525No44
23-0-6.79397.274224No108
22-2-5.78297.764333No233
22-1-6.77095.3593460No381
22-0-7.75992.45138101No608
21-2-6.74790.04145122No1,113
21-1-7.73683.332461930No1,823
21-0-8.72477.225452451No3,050
20-2-7.71369.11642301010No4,886
20-1-8.70159.21035351630No7,129
20-0-9.69049.76273821710No10,616
19-2-8.67840.7318352912300No15,889
19-1-9.66733.21102833207100No22,908
19-0-10.65528.105193127133100No32,109
18-2-9.64423.802112531209200No43,958
18-1-10.63219.70151628281661000No59,877
18-0-11.62114.700282029241341000No79,775
17-2-10.6099.2000311232821103100No103,781
17-1-11.5984.400141324271992000No132,547
17-0-12.5861.600151525261882000No165,825
16-2-11.5750.4000161625261772000No202,538
16-1-12.5630.1000261625251672000No244,989
16-0-13.5520.0000271625251672000No289,339
15-2-12.5400.0000271625251662000No335,704
15-1-13.529No000271725251662000No382,951
15-0-14.517No000271726251661000No426,170
14-2-13.506No00002717262515610000.0467,089
14-1-14.494No00002818262515510000.0502,945
14-0-15.483No0000281927241341000.1529,655
13-2-14.471No00013102128231130000.5550,551
13-1-15.460No000141223292192002.2557,790
13-0-16.448No00015152628186106.8556,085
12-2-15.437No00027193026133016.0541,276
12-1-16.425No0003112532227130.0520,350
12-0-17.414No001517313014246.6488,851
11-2-16.402No00029253523563.2449,803
11-1-17.391No00151835321077.1405,941
11-0-18.379No00021131391787.0359,308
10-2-17.368No001624432693.3311,266
10-1-18.356No000317433696.8263,139
10-0-19.345No00111404798.6218,526
9-2-18.333No0017355799.4177,973
9-1-19.322No004306699.8141,205
9-0-20.310No002237599.9109,528
8-2-19.299No011881100.083,114
8-1-20.287No011386100.061,626
8-0-21.276No0990Yes44,210
7-2-20.264No0693Yes30,805
7-1-21.253No0496Yes21,381
7-0-22.241No0397Yes14,281
6-2-21.230No0298Yes9,135
6-1-22.218No199Yes5,794
5-3-21.207No0100Yes3,459
5-2-22.195No0100Yes2,034
5-1-23.184No0100Yes1,178
4-3-22.172No0100Yes651
4-2-23.161No100Yes344
4-1-24.149No100Yes165
3-3-23.138No100Yes77
3-2-24.126No100Yes30
2-4-23.115No100Yes10
2-3-24.103No100Yes9
0-0-29.000No100Yes1,000
Total:1.0%00011112223344556778910101029.0%10,000,000