San Francisco Sentinels Playoff Chances 2015-2016 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds up 2.3 to 89.8%

66 points 31 27-4

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Monday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Winnipeg 5 Detroit 3	+2.3
New York 4 Los Angeles 3 (so)	*+0.2		+0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Chicago vs Austin	-0.6-0.4-0.5+0.3*+0.2+0.6

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the San Francisco finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance in		Pres	Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	Count

106	20	0		-	0	In		No	36	25	38	1									218
105	19	0		-	1	In		No	31	46	15	8									13
104	19	1		-	0	In		No	6	23	63	8									48	*
103	18	1		-	1	In		No	9	22	56	11	1								179	*
102	17	1		-	2	In		No	5	16	58	20	1								544	*
101	17	2		-	1	In		No	1	11	53	31	3	0							1,404	*
100	16	2		-	2	In		No	0	6	44	42	7	0							3,381	*
99	16	3		-	1	In		No	0	3	32	48	15	1	0						7,080	*
98	15	3		-	2	In		No	0	1	21	50	25	3	0						13,665	*
97	15	4		-	1	In		No	0	1	11	44	36	8	0	0					23,836	*
96	14	4		-	2	In		No		0	5	33	44	16	1	0					39,849	*
95	14	5		-	1	In		No		0	2	21	46	26	4	0					59,755	*
94	13	5		-	2	In		No		0	1	12	40	37	10	1					48,008
	12	4		-	4	In		No		0	1	11	39	38	11	1					37,552	*
93	12	5		-	3	In		No			0	4	27	44	22	3					63,685	*
	13	6		-	1	100.0	%	No			0	7	33	42	16	2	0				49,814
92	12	6		-	2	100.0		No			0	2	19	44	29	5	0				78,848
	11	5		-	4	100.0		No			0	2	17	42	32	7	0				65,295	*
91	11	6		-	3	99.9		No			0	0	8	34	42	14	0				99,091	*
	12	7		-	1	100.0		No		0	0	1	12	39	38	10	0				69,790
90	11	7		-	2	99.8		No				0	5	28	46	21	0				102,627
	10	6		-	4	99.7		No				0	4	25	46	24	0				87,005	*
89	10	7		-	3	99.2		No				0	1	16	46	36	1				91,164
	11	8		-	1	99.3		No				0	2	18	46	34	1				106,436	*
88	10	8		-	2	98.2		No				0	1	10	41	46	2	0			106,711
	9	7		-	4	97.7		No				0	0	8	39	50	2	0			93,132	*
87	9	8		-	3	95.1		No					0	4	31	61	5	0			85,996
	10	9		-	1	95.7		No					0	4	32	59	4	0			100,737	*
86	9	9		-	2	91.7		No					0	2	23	67	8	0			89,536
	8	8		-	4	90.2		No					0	1	20	68	10	0			78,753	*
85	8	9		-	3	83.7		No					0	0	13	70	16	0			65,121
	9	10		-	1	85.0		No					0	1	14	71	15	0			76,161	*
84	8	10		-	2	76.4		No					0	0	8	69	23	1			60,931
	7	9		-	4	73.8		No						0	7	67	25	1			53,362	*
83	7	10		-	3	63.3		No						0	4	60	34	2			39,558
	8	11		-	1	64.7		No						0	4	61	33	2			45,945	*
82	7	11		-	2	52.5		No						0	2	51	42	5	0		61,627	*
81	6	11		-	3	40.6		No							1	40	50	10	0		41,961	*
80	6	12		-	2	29.4		No							0	29	55	16	0		27,032	*
79	5	12		-	3	18.9		No							0	19	56	25	0		16,195	*
78	5	13		-	2	12.0		No							0	12	53	34	0		9,075	*
77	5	14		-	1	7.5		No								8	46	45	2		4,781	*
76	4	14		-	2	3.5		No								4	37	56	3		2,456	*
75	4	15		-	1	1.1		No								1	29	66	4		1,113	*
74	3	15		-	2	0.8		No								1	22	70	7		488	*
73	3	16		-	1	Out		No									13	71	16		187	*
72	2	16		-	2	Out		No									7	68	25		75	*
71	2	17		-	1	Out		No									12	47	41		17	*
70	1	17		-	2	Out		No										67	33		9	*
66	0	20		-	0	Out		No										20	80		218

Total:						89.8	%	No	0	0	1	3	9	16	25	36	9	1	0		2,110,464

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Monday	100.0*	Lottery seed
New York 4 Los Angeles 3 (so)	-0.0
Philadelphia 3 Miami 4 (ot)	-0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Tampa vs Toronto	+0.1+0.1+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24

106	20	0		-	0			7	36	38	18	1
105	19	0		-	1				23	54	8	15
104	19	1		-	0				8	27	54	6	4
103	18	1		-	1				6	24	41	24	4	1
102	17	1		-	2				3	14	35	39	10	1
101	17	2		-	1				0	6	28	42	21	3	0
100	16	2		-	2				0	2	16	40	32	8	1	0
99	16	3		-	1				0	1	7	31	40	18	3	0	0
98	15	3		-	2					0	3	18	40	29	9	1	0
97	15	4		-	1					0	1	9	31	36	19	4	0	0
96	14	4		-	2					0	0	3	18	36	30	11	2	0	0
95	14	5		-	1						0	1	8	27	36	22	6	1	0	0
94	13	5		-	2						0	0	3	15	32	32	15	3	0	0
93	12	5		-	3							0	0	5	18	33	29	12	2	0	0
	13	6		-	1							0	1	7	24	35	24	8	1	0		0
92	12	6		-	2							0	0	2	10	27	34	20	6	1	0	0
	11	5		-	4								0	2	9	25	33	22	7	1	0	0
91	11	6		-	3								0	0	3	14	30	32	17	4	0	0
	12	7		-	1								0	0	4	16	31	31	15	3	0	0
90	11	7		-	2									0	1	7	22	35	26	8	1	0
	10	6		-	4									0	0	4	18	34	31	11	1	0
	12	8		-	0									0	1	7	22	34	26	9	1	0
89	10	7		-	3									0	0	2	10	27	37	20	3	1
	11	8		-	1									0	0	2	11	29	35	19	3	1
88	10	8		-	2										0	0	4	18	37	31	8	2	0
	9	7		-	4										0	0	4	16	36	33	9	2	0
87	9	8		-	3										0	0	1	8	28	42	17	5	0
	10	9		-	1										0	0	1	9	29	40	16	4	0
86	9	9		-	2											0	0	3	19	42	27	8	0
	8	8		-	4											0	0	2	16	42	29	10	0	0
85	8	9		-	3												0	1	9	36	38	16	1	0
	9	10		-	1												0	1	10	37	38	14	1	0
84	8	10		-	2												0	0	4	27	45	21	2	0
	7	9		-	4													0	3	23	45	26	3	0
83	7	10		-	3													0	1	15	46	32	6	0
	8	11		-	1												0	0	2	17	48	28	4	0
82	7	11		-	2													0	0	9	44	36	11	1	0
81	6	11		-	3														0	4	37	39	19	2	0
80	6	12		-	2														0	1	28	37	29	5	0
79	5	12		-	3															0	18	32	39	10	0
78	5	13		-	2															0	12	24	44	19	1	0
77	5	14		-	1															0	7	17	44	30	2
76	4	14		-	2																4	9	42	39	6	0
75	4	15		-	1																1	5	31	51	11	1
74	3	15		-	2																1	3	23	53	18	1
73	3	16		-	1																		14	51	29	6	1
72	2	16		-	2																		4	44	37	15
71	2	17		-	1																			47	24	24	6
70	1	17		-	2																			11	22	56	11
66	0	20		-	0																			1	11	48	39	1

Total:								0	0	0	0	1	2	3	5	8	10	13	16	18	14	8	2	0	0	0	0	0