Washington Capitals Playoff Chances 2015-2016 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.1 to 99.8%

70 points 34 24-2

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Monday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Austin 3 Boston 2	+0.1

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Washington vs New York	+0.1+0.1+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.1		+0.2+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.2
Boston vs Montreal	-0.1-0.1-0.1*+0.0+0.0+0.1
Tampa vs Toronto			-0.0-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the Washington finish out the regular season. Explain

										100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance in		Pres		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	Count

114	22	0		-	0	In		7.3	%	8	22	69	1									218
113	21	0		-	1	In		No			50	50										2
112	21	1		-	0	In		No			8	83	8									24	*
111	20	1		-	1	In		No			2	78	20									50	*
110	19	1		-	2	In		No		0	3	64	32	1								206	*
109	19	2		-	1	In		No			1	61	35	3								540	*
108	18	2		-	2	In		No			0	47	47	5								1,331	*
107	18	3		-	1	In		No				35	56	9								2,774	*
106	17	3		-	2	In		No			0	24	61	15								5,937	*
105	17	4		-	1	In		No			0	16	62	23								11,024	*
104	16	4		-	2	In		No				9	59	32	0							19,192	*
103	15	4		-	3	In		No			0	5	52	43	0							31,280	*
102	15	5		-	2	In		No				3	43	54	0							48,344	*
101	14	5		-	3	In		No				1	34	64	1	0						69,867	*
100	14	6		-	2	In		No				0	25	72	2	0						95,421	*
99	13	6		-	3	In		No				0	17	78	5	0						56,984
	14	7		-	1	In		No				0	17	78	4	0						63,884	*
98	13	7		-	2	In		No				0	11	80	8	0						75,989
	12	6		-	4	In		No				0	11	80	9	0						71,296	*
97	12	7		-	3	In		No				0	7	78	15	0						79,770
	13	8		-	1	In		No				0	7	78	15	0						88,966	*
96	12	8		-	2	In		No				0	4	74	22	1	0					112,868	*
	11	7		-	4	In		No					3	71	24	1	0					70,922	*
95	11	8		-	3	In		No					2	62	33	3	0					126,289	*
	12	9		-	1	In		No				0	2	65	31	2	0					64,276
94	11	9		-	2	In		No					1	52	41	6	0					93,629
	10	8		-	4	In		No					1	50	43	6	0					95,068	*
93	10	9		-	3	In		No					0	38	49	12	0					83,918
	11	10		-	1	In		No					0	38	49	12	0					91,951	*
92	10	10		-	2	In		No					0	27	53	19	1					105,829	*
	9	9		-	4	100.0	%	No					0	24	52	22	1	0				51,076
91	9	10		-	3	In		No					0	16	50	31	3					63,197
	10	11		-	1	In		No					0	17	50	30	3					69,504	*
90	9	11		-	2	100.0		No					0	9	43	41	7	0				107,914	*
89	8	11		-	3	99.9		No						4	33	49	13	0				82,849	*
88	8	12		-	2	99.8		No						2	23	53	22	0				60,339	*
87	7	12		-	3	99.5		No						1	14	52	33	1				41,489	*
86	7	13		-	2	98.6		No						0	7	45	46	1				27,566	*
85	6	13		-	3	97.0		No						0	4	36	57	3				17,220	*
84	6	14		-	2	93.6		No						0	1	27	66	6				10,067	*
83	5	14		-	3	89.2		No							1	17	71	11	0			5,535	*
82	5	15		-	2	83.1		No							0	11	72	17				3,061	*
81	4	15		-	3	76.2		No								4	72	24	0			1,483	*
80	4	16		-	2	66.2		No								3	63	33	0			645	*
79	4	17		-	1	59.3		No								2	57	40	0			268	*
78	3	17		-	2	46.9		No								2	45	49	4			128	*
77	3	18		-	1	38.9		No									39	61				36	*
76	2	18		-	2	25.0		No									25	56	19			16	*
75	2	19		-	1	25.0		No									25	25	50			4	*
70	0	22		-	0	0.9		No									1	31	53	15		218

Total:						99.8	%	0.0	%	0	0	1	8	47	27	13	4	0	0	0		2,110,464

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Monday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Winnipeg 5 Detroit 3	+0.1
New York 4 Los Angeles 3 (so)	-0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Washington vs New York	-0.5-0.5-0.5+0.1+0.1+0.6
Tampa vs Toronto	+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24

114	22	0		-	0	7	42	50	1
113	21	0		-	1		50	50
112	21	1		-	0		17	67	17
111	20	1		-	1		10	64	26
110	19	1		-	2		6	49	34	11
109	19	2		-	1		3	40	43	13	2
108	18	2		-	2		1	25	44	24	5	0
107	18	3		-	1		0	14	42	34	9	1
106	17	3		-	2		0	7	31	41	18	3	0
105	17	4		-	1		0	3	20	39	29	8	0	0
104	16	4		-	2			1	11	34	38	15	2	0
103	15	4		-	3			0	5	24	40	26	5	0	0
102	15	5		-	2			0	1	13	37	37	12	1	0
101	14	5		-	3			0	0	6	27	43	22	2	0
100	14	6		-	2				0	2	16	41	33	7	0	0
99	13	6		-	3				0	1	8	32	43	15	2	0	0
	14	7		-	1				0	1	8	32	43	15	2	0
98	13	7		-	2					0	3	22	45	25	4	0	0
	12	6		-	4					0	3	19	43	28	6	1	0
97	12	7		-	3					0	1	9	35	38	14	2	0	0
	13	8		-	1					0	1	12	40	35	11	1	0
96	12	8		-	2					0	0	4	26	41	23	5	1	0	0
	11	7		-	4					0	0	3	23	40	26	7	1	0
95	11	8		-	3						0	1	13	34	34	15	3	0	0
	12	9		-	1						0	1	13	34	34	15	3	0	0
94	11	9		-	2							0	6	24	36	24	8	1	0	0
	10	8		-	4						0	0	4	20	35	27	10	2	0	0
93	10	9		-	3							0	1	10	27	34	21	6	1	0
	11	10		-	1							0	2	13	31	33	16	4	0	0	0
92	10	10		-	2								0	4	17	32	30	14	3	0	0	0
91	9	10		-	3								0	1	7	22	34	26	10	1	0
	10	11		-	1								0	1	7	22	33	25	9	2	0
90	9	11		-	2									0	3	12	29	33	18	4	0	0
	8	10		-	4								0	0	2	10	26	33	22	6	1	0
89	8	11		-	3								0	0	0	4	16	33	31	13	2	0
88	8	12		-	2									0	0	1	7	24	37	25	6	0
87	7	12		-	3										0	0	2	13	33	37	13	1	0
86	7	13		-	2											0	1	5	24	43	26	1	0
85	6	13		-	3												0	2	14	42	40	3	0	0
84	6	14		-	2												0	0	6	34	53	5	1	0
83	5	14		-	3													0	2	23	64	8	3	0
82	5	15		-	2														1	14	69	10	6	0
81	4	15		-	3														0	6	70	12	11	1
80	4	16		-	2															4	63	13	15	5
79	4	17		-	1															3	57	11	23	7
78	3	17		-	2															2	45	6	28	18	1
77	3	18		-	1																39	8	28	25
76	2	18		-	2																25	19	31	13	13
75	2	19		-	1																25			50	25
70	0	22		-	0																1		1	22	45	24	6

Total:						0	0	0	1	2	4	9	15	16	14	12	9	7	5	3	2	0	0	0	0	0	0