New Orleans Tokin Saints Playoff Chances 2015-2016 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds unchanged at 99.9997%

85 points 42 17-1

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Monday	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Average seed
Philadelphia 3 Miami 4 (ot)	-0.6

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Average seed
San Jose vs New Orleans	-1.2-0.2-0.3+1.0+0.9+0.9		-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Miami vs Hamilton	-0.6-0.6-0.6+0.0+0.0+0.7
Tampa vs Toronto	+0.5+0.0-0.0-0.3-0.4-0.4

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the New Orleans finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Pres		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	Count

128	-129						In		Yes		100												220	*
127		21	1		-	0	In		95.7	%	96	4											23	*
126		20	1		-	1	In		92.6		93		7										54	*
125		19	1		-	2	In		98.0		98	1	1										196	*
124		19	2		-	1	In		88.0		88	5	7										499	*
123		18	2		-	2	In		81.4		81	6	13										1,281	*
122		18	3		-	1	In		72.7		73	8	19										2,822	*
121		17	3		-	2	In		60.8		61	11	28										5,809	*
120		17	4		-	1	In		48.1		48	15	37										10,817	*
119		16	4		-	2	In		36.7		37	17	46										19,285	*
118		15	4		-	3	In		25.7		26	18	56										31,735	*
117		15	5		-	2	In		17.1		17	18	65	0									48,889	*
116		14	5		-	3	In		10.4		10	16	74	0									69,150	*
115		14	6		-	2	In		5.6		6	13	81	0									94,747	*
114		13	6		-	3	In		2.7		3	10	87	0									120,242	*
113		13	7		-	2	In		1.3		1	7	91	1									75,985
		12	6		-	4	In		1.1		1	7	91	1									71,528	*
112		12	7		-	3	In		0.5		1	5	94	1									79,958
		13	8		-	1	In		0.4		1	5	94	1									88,814	*
111		12	8		-	2	In		0.2		0	3	95	2									93,231
		11	7		-	4	In		0.1		0	3	95	2									91,365	*
110		11	8		-	3	In		0.0		0	1	94	5									126,296	*
		12	9		-	1	In		0.0		0	2	94	5	0								64,146
109		11	9		-	2	In		0.0		0	1	91	8	0								93,593
		10	8		-	4	In		0.0		0	1	91	8	0								93,895	*
108		10	9		-	3	In		No		0	0	88	12	0								84,197
		11	10		-	1	In		0.0		0	0	87	12	0								92,282	*
107		10	10		-	2	In		No		0	0	82	17	0								94,315	*
		9	9		-	4	In		No			0	81	19	0								63,144	*
106		9	10		-	3	In		No			0	75	25	0								63,299
		10	11		-	1	In		No			0	75	25	0								69,791	*
105		9	11		-	2	In		No			0	66	34	0								108,066	*
104		8	11		-	3	In		No			0	57	43	1	0							82,624	*
103		8	12		-	2	In		No			0	47	51	2	0							60,560	*
102		7	12		-	3	In		No			0	36	59	4	0							41,542	*
101		7	13		-	2	In		No			0	27	64	9	0							27,438	*
100		6	13		-	3	In		No			0	18	66	15	1							17,095	*
99		6	14		-	2	In		No				11	63	24	1	0						10,177	*
98		5	14		-	3	In		No			0	6	57	33	3	0						5,695	*
97		5	15		-	2	In		No				3	45	44	7	0						2,899	*
96		4	15		-	3	In		No				1	34	50	14	1						1,428	*
95		4	16		-	2	In		No				0	22	54	22	2						661	*
94		3	16		-	3	In		No				0	13	45	37	5						278	*
93		3	17		-	2	In		No					9	38	41	12						111	*
92		3	18		-	1	In		No				2		26	36	31	5					42	*
91		3	19		-	0	In		No					8	15	46	31						13	*
90		1	18		-	3	In		No								60	40					5	*
89		2	20		-	0	In		No							67		33					3	*
88		1	20		-	1	In		No								100						1
85		0	22		-	0	96.8	%	No							2	29	65	3				218

Total:							100.0	%	2.6	%	3	4	79	13	1	0	0	0	0				2,110,464

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Monday	None

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
San Jose vs New Orleans	+0.3+0.1+0.1-0.2-0.2-0.2

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24

128	-129						100
127		21	1		-	0	96	4
126		20	1		-	1	93	7
125		19	1		-	2	98	2
124		19	2		-	1	88	12	0
123		18	2		-	2	81	18	0
122		18	3		-	1	73	25	2
121		17	3		-	2	61	35	4
120		17	4		-	1	48	44	8
119		16	4		-	2	37	49	14	0
118		15	4		-	3	26	53	21	0
117		15	5		-	2	17	52	31	0
116		14	5		-	3	10	47	42	0
115		14	6		-	2	6	39	54	1	0
114		13	6		-	3	3	31	64	2	0
113		13	7		-	2	1	22	72	5	0
		12	6		-	4	1	21	72	5	0
112		12	7		-	3	0	14	75	9	0
		13	8		-	1	0	14	75	10	0
111		12	8		-	2	0	9	74	16	1	0
		11	7		-	4	0	8	73	17	1	0
110		11	8		-	3	0	4	67	26	2	0
		12	9		-	1	0	4	67	26	3	0
109		11	9		-	2	0	2	57	35	6	0	0
		10	8		-	4	0	2	57	35	6	0
108		10	9		-	3		1	43	43	12	1	0
		11	10		-	1	0	1	45	43	10	1	0
107		10	10		-	2		0	32	46	19	2	0
		9	9		-	4		0	29	47	21	3	0
106		9	10		-	3		0	19	45	30	6	0	0
		10	11		-	1		0	19	44	30	6	0
105		9	11		-	2		0	10	37	38	13	1	0
104		8	11		-	3		0	5	26	43	23	4	0
103		8	12		-	2		0	2	15	39	34	9	1	0
102		7	12		-	3			1	7	30	41	18	2	0	0
101		7	13		-	2			0	3	19	41	30	7	1	0
100		6	13		-	3			0	1	9	33	39	15	2	0	0
99		6	14		-	2				0	3	20	40	28	8	1	0
98		5	14		-	3				0	1	10	33	37	15	3	0
97		5	15		-	2					0	4	20	36	29	9	1	0
96		4	15		-	3						1	10	28	35	19	6	0
95		4	16		-	2						0	3	15	36	30	12	3	1
94		3	16		-	3								8	23	31	27	9	1	1
93		3	17		-	2								2	7	33	31	21	6
92		3	18		-	1									5	21	19	26	14	12	2
91		3	19		-	0											31	15	38	15
90		1	18		-	3												20		60	20
89		2	20		-	0											33		33		33
88		1	20		-	1													100
85		0	22		-	0														11	41	44	3

Total:							3	12	45	22	11	5	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0