Vancouver Canucks Playoff Chances 2015-2016 50/50

Lost to Edmonton 3-6, playoff odds down 0.03 to 99.8%

73 points 35 23-3

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Chances based on how well the Vancouver finish out the regular season. Explain

										100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance in		Pres		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	Count

115	21	0		-	0	In		7.3	%	99	1											220
114	20	0		-	1	In		No		33	33	33										3
113	19	0		-	2	In		No		87	13											31	*
112	19	1		-	1	In		No		88	12											95	*
111	18	1		-	2	In		0.3		87	11	2										310	*
110	18	2		-	1	In		No		80	17	3										831	*
109	17	2		-	2	In		0.0		70	23	7										2,013	*
108	17	3		-	1	In		No		59	29	12	0									4,414	*
107	16	3		-	2	In		No		47	35	18	0									9,004	*
106	16	4		-	1	In		No		34	37	28	1									16,317	*
105	15	4		-	2	In		No		23	37	37	3									27,950	*
104	15	5		-	1	In		No		14	34	46	6	0								43,512	*
103	14	5		-	2	In		No		7	28	53	11	0								65,343	*
102	13	5		-	3	In		No		4	21	56	19	0	0							90,017	*
101	13	6		-	2	In		No		2	15	55	28	1								63,979
	12	5		-	4	In		No		1	13	53	31	1	0							54,339	*
100	12	6		-	3	In		No		0	8	46	42	3	0							66,968
	13	7		-	1	In		No		1	9	48	40	3	0							77,539	*
99	12	7		-	2	In		No		0	5	39	51	6	0	0						89,313
	11	6		-	4	In		No		0	4	36	53	8	0							80,044	*
98	11	7		-	3	In		No		0	2	25	59	14	1	0						87,062
	12	8		-	1	In		No		0	2	27	58	13	1	0						99,142	*
97	11	8		-	2	In		No		0	1	17	59	21	2	0						101,628
	10	7		-	4	In		No		0	1	15	57	25	3	0						94,075	*
96	10	8		-	3	In		No			0	7	50	35	7	0	0					118,383	*
	11	9		-	1	In		No			0	10	54	31	5	0						73,458	*
95	10	9		-	2	In		No			0	4	42	41	12	1	0					93,577
	9	8		-	4	In		No			0	3	38	43	14	1	0					88,146	*
94	9	9		-	3	In		No			0	1	26	46	23	4	0					76,584
	10	10		-	1	In		No			0	2	28	45	22	3	0					85,857	*
93	9	10		-	2	100.0	%	No			0	0	17	43	31	7	0	0				71,055
	8	9		-	4	In		No			0	0	15	41	34	9	1					66,537	*
92	8	10		-	3	100.0		No				0	8	33	42	16	2	0				51,988
	9	11		-	1	100.0		No				0	9	34	40	15	2	0				59,068	*
91	8	11		-	2	100.0		No				0	4	23	43	26	4	0				84,252	*
90	7	11		-	3	99.9		No				0	1	13	39	37	9	0				60,847	*
89	7	12		-	2	99.6		No					0	6	31	45	18	0				41,902	*
88	6	12		-	3	98.7		No					0	3	20	47	29	1	0			27,527	*
87	6	13		-	2	96.9		No					0	1	12	43	41	3	0			16,895	*
86	5	13		-	3	93.0		No					0	0	5	35	52	7	0			9,788	*
85	5	14		-	2	86.4		No						0	3	25	59	13	0			5,290	*
84	5	15		-	1	78.8		No							1	16	62	20	1			2,695	*
83	4	15		-	2	67.1		No							0	10	57	32	1			1,328	*
82	4	16		-	1	51.5		No								3	49	44	5			567	*
81	3	16		-	2	47.5		No								1	46	45	7			236	*
80	3	17		-	1	26.9		No									27	55	18			67	*
79	2	17		-	2	14.3		No									14	71	14			35	*
78	2	18		-	1	Out		No										85	15			13	*
77	2	19		-	0	Out		No										50	50			2	*
73	0	21		-	0	Out		No										17	74	8		218

Total:						99.8	%	0.0	%	2	5	20	32	20	12	6	2	0	0	0		2,110,464

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Monday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Edmonton 6 Vancouver 3	+0.6

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Washington vs New York	+0.1+0.1+0.0*-0.0-0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24

115	21	0		-	0	7	53	38	2
114	20	0		-	1			67	33
113	19	0		-	2		16	71	13
112	19	1		-	1		12	68	19	1
111	18	1		-	2	0	6	60	30	3
110	18	2		-	1		2	50	42	5	0
109	17	2		-	2	0	2	35	47	15	1
108	17	3		-	1		1	23	48	25	4	0
107	16	3		-	2		0	12	42	36	9	1
106	16	4		-	1		0	5	31	43	18	3	0
105	15	4		-	2			2	20	42	29	7	0	0
104	15	5		-	1			1	11	35	38	14	1	0
103	14	5		-	2			0	5	24	42	25	4	0
102	13	5		-	3			0	2	14	38	36	10	1	0
101	13	6		-	2			0	0	7	30	43	19	2	0
	12	5		-	4			0	0	6	27	43	21	2	0
100	12	6		-	3			0	0	2	16	42	32	6	0	0
	13	7		-	1				0	2	18	42	31	6	0	0
99	12	7		-	2				0	1	9	36	41	13	1	0
	11	6		-	4				0	0	7	32	43	16	2	0	0
98	11	7		-	3					0	3	20	44	27	6	1	0
	12	8		-	1				0	0	4	26	45	21	4	0	0
97	11	8		-	2					0	1	13	40	34	11	1	0	0
	10	7		-	4					0	1	11	37	36	13	2	0	0
96	10	8		-	3					0	0	4	25	40	24	6	1	0
	11	9		-	1					0	0	5	27	39	22	6	1	0
95	10	9		-	2						0	2	15	35	32	13	3	0	0
	9	8		-	4						0	1	13	33	33	16	4	0	0
94	9	9		-	3						0	0	5	21	35	27	10	2	0	0
	10	10		-	1						0	0	8	26	36	22	6	1	0
93	9	10		-	2							0	2	12	30	33	18	5	1	0		0
	8	9		-	4							0	1	10	27	33	21	6	1	0
92	8	10		-	3							0	0	3	15	31	31	15	4	0	0	0
	9	11		-	1								1	6	20	33	27	11	2	0	0	0
91	8	11		-	2								0	1	7	22	34	25	9	1	0	0
90	7	11		-	3								0	0	2	11	28	33	20	5	0	0
89	7	12		-	2									0	0	4	17	33	31	12	2	0
88	6	12		-	3									0	0	1	8	25	37	24	5	1	0
87	6	13		-	2										0	0	3	14	33	35	12	3	0
86	5	13		-	3											0	1	6	25	41	21	7	0
85	5	14		-	2												0	2	15	38	32	13	1
84	5	15		-	1													1	6	30	42	19	2
83	4	15		-	2													0	3	21	43	28	5	0
82	4	16		-	1														1	9	42	34	13	1
81	3	16		-	2														0	5	42	33	17	2	0
80	3	17		-	1															1	25	33	36	4
79	2	17		-	2																14	29	54	3
78	2	18		-	1																	38	62
77	2	19		-	0																	50		50
73	0	21		-	0																		12	50	33	4

Total:						0	0	0	1	4	8	14	19	16	12	9	6	4	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	0