San Francisco Sentinels Playoff Chances 2015-2016

Did not play, playoff odds up 1.4 to 96.8%

66 points 31 27-4

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Chances based on how well the San Francisco finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance in		Pres	Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	Count

106	20	0		-	0	In		No	6	27	59	8									661
105	19	0		-	1	In		No	2	14	60	25									65
104	19	1		-	0	In		No	1	14	57	27	1								387	*
103	18	1		-	1	In		No	0	5	45	46	4								1,136	*
102	17	1		-	2	In		No	0	3	31	55	11	0							3,572	*
101	17	2		-	1	In		No		1	20	58	20	1	0						8,843	*
100	16	2		-	2	In		No		0	11	55	30	4	0						20,771	*
99	16	3		-	1	In		No	0	0	5	44	42	9	0	0					41,184	*
98	15	3		-	2	In		No		0	2	31	48	17	1	0					76,737	*
97	15	4		-	1	In		No		0	1	19	47	28	4	0					127,726	*
96	14	4		-	2	In		No			0	10	40	39	10	1					200,276	*
95	14	5		-	1	In		No			0	6	32	44	16	1					144,241
	13	4		-	3	In		No			0	3	26	46	23	2					140,679	*
94	13	5		-	2	100.0	%	No			0	2	18	45	30	5	0				219,645
	12	4		-	4	In		No			0	2	18	43	32	6					166,225	*
93	13	6		-	1	100.0		No			0	1	11	40	39	9	0				227,628
	12	5		-	3	100.0		No				0	8	35	44	13	0				247,578	*
92	12	6		-	2	100.0		No				0	4	28	48	20	0				316,618
	11	5		-	4	100.0		No				0	3	23	50	24	0				127,850
	13	7		-	0	100.0		No				0	5	30	46	18	0				117,173	*
91	12	7		-	1	100.0		No				0	2	20	49	29	0				279,366
	11	6		-	3	99.9		No				0	1	15	49	35	0				325,846	*
90	11	7		-	2	99.9		No				0	1	10	45	45	0				350,397
	10	6		-	4	99.8		No				0	0	7	42	51	0				147,905
	12	8		-	0	99.9		No				0	1	11	45	43	0				128,692	*
89	11	8		-	1	99.7		No				0	0	5	38	56	0				271,711
	10	7		-	3	99.4		No				0	0	4	34	62	1				326,439	*
88	10	8		-	2	99.0		No					0	2	27	70	1				305,299
	9	7		-	4	98.7		No					0	2	26	71	1				243,418	*
87	10	9		-	1	98.0		No					0	1	20	77	2				209,790
	9	8		-	3	97.1		No					0	0	17	80	3	0			253,892	*
86	9	9		-	2	95.6		No					0	0	12	83	4	0			209,970
	8	8		-	4	94.8		No					0	0	11	84	5	0			167,591	*
85	9	10		-	1	92.8		No						0	8	85	7	0			130,224
	8	9		-	3	90.6		No						0	6	85	9	0			152,924	*
84	8	10		-	2	86.4		No						0	4	83	14	0			204,483	*
83	8	11		-	1	79.5		No						0	2	78	20	0			136,748	*
82	7	11		-	2	70.6		No							1	70	29	0			87,522	*
81	7	12		-	1	61.1		No							0	61	38	1			51,560	*
80	6	12		-	2	50.1		No							0	50	48	2			29,001	*
79	6	13		-	1	38.2		No							0	38	57	5			15,086	*
78	5	13		-	2	28.1		No							0	28	63	9	0		7,527	*
77	5	14		-	1	18.2		No								18	66	16	0		3,443	*
76	4	14		-	2	12.1		No								12	64	24			1,534	*
75	4	15		-	1	6.2		No								6	61	33			583	*
74	3	15		-	2	2.8		No								3	48	49			215	*
73	3	16		-	1	2.6		No								3	44	53			77	*
72	2	16		-	2	4.0		No								4	28	68			25	*
71	2	17		-	1	Out		No									40	60			5
66	0	20		-	0	Out		No									2	86	12		644

Total:						96.8	%	No	0	0	0	2	7	15	28	44	3	0	0		6,230,912

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Monday	100.0*	Lottery seed
New York 4 Los Angeles 3 (so)	-0.0
Philadelphia 3 Miami 4 (ot)	+0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Tampa vs Toronto	+0.1+0.1+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.1
Washington vs New York	+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24

106	20	0		-	0				3	16	46	33	2
105	19	0		-	1					6	31	49	14
104	19	1		-	0					4	27	49	20	1
103	18	1		-	1				0	1	13	42	40	4	0
102	17	1		-	2					0	5	33	48	13	1	0
101	17	2		-	1					0	2	20	53	23	3	0
100	16	2		-	2					0	1	10	48	33	7	1	0
99	16	3		-	1						0	4	34	43	16	2	0
98	15	3		-	2						0	1	21	43	28	7	1	0
97	15	4		-	1						0	0	10	34	37	16	3	0	0
96	14	4		-	2							0	4	22	38	27	8	1	0	0
95	14	5		-	1							0	1	12	32	35	16	3	0	0
	13	4		-	3							0	1	8	27	36	22	6	1	0
94	13	5		-	2								0	4	18	35	30	12	2	0		0
	12	4		-	4								0	4	17	34	30	13	2	0	0
93	13	6		-	1								0	1	9	27	35	21	5	0	0	0
	12	5		-	3								0	1	6	22	36	27	8	1	0	0
92	12	6		-	2								0	0	2	13	31	34	16	3	0	0
	11	5		-	4									0	1	9	28	37	21	4	0	0
	13	7		-	0								0	0	4	17	34	31	12	2	0	0
91	12	7		-	1								0	0	1	6	23	37	26	7	0	0
	11	6		-	3									0	0	4	18	36	31	10	1	0
90	11	7		-	2									0	0	1	10	30	39	18	2	0
	10	6		-	4									0	0	1	7	26	40	23	3	0
	12	8		-	0									0	0	2	12	31	36	17	2	0
89	11	8		-	1										0	0	4	21	40	29	5	0
	10	7		-	3										0	0	3	16	39	35	6	1
88	10	8		-	2										0	0	1	9	33	44	12	1
	9	7		-	4										0	0	1	7	30	46	14	2
	11	9		-	0										0	0	1	10	34	42	12	1
87	10	9		-	1											0	0	4	24	48	21	2
	9	8		-	3											0	0	3	20	50	24	3	0
86	9	9		-	2											0	0	1	12	47	35	5	0
85	9	10		-	1												0	0	7	40	46	7	0
	8	9		-	3												0	0	5	38	48	9	0
84	8	10		-	2												0	0	2	28	56	13	0
83	8	11		-	1													0	1	18	60	20	0	0
82	7	11		-	2													0	0	11	60	28	1	0
81	7	12		-	1														0	5	56	35	4	0
80	6	12		-	2														0	2	48	42	7	0
79	6	13		-	1															1	37	47	14	1
78	5	13		-	2															0	28	47	23	2
77	5	14		-	1															0	18	43	34	5
76	4	14		-	2															0	12	35	43	10
75	4	15		-	1																6	29	46	18	0
74	3	15		-	2																3	20	49	29
73	3	16		-	1																3	9	51	38
72	2	16		-	2																4		32	64
71	2	17		-	1																	20	20	60
66	0	20		-	0																		1	48	42	9	0

Total:									0	0	0	0	1	3	6	9	12	15	18	20	13	3	0	0	0	0	0