Detroit Dinos Playoff Chances 2015-2016 50/50

Lost to Winnipeg 3-5, playoff odds down 6.1 to 16.3%

56 points 26 30-4

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Monday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Winnipeg 5 Detroit 3	-6.4		-0.2

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Chicago vs Austin	-0.3-0.4-0.3+0.0+0.3+0.4		-0.0-0.1-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the Detroit finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance in		Pres	Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	Count

100	22	0		-	0	In		No	2	12	51	32	2	0							218
99	21	0		-	1	In		No			67		33								3
98	21	1		-	0	In		No			22	50	22	6							18	*
97	20	1		-	1	In		No		2	22	47	22	7							55	*
96	19	1		-	2	In		No		2	5	36	41	16	1						174	*
95	19	2		-	1	In		No			3	25	45	25	3	0					483	*
94	18	2		-	2	In		No		0	0	14	43	33	10	1					1,320	*
93	18	3		-	1	99.9	%	No		0		6	32	40	19	3	0				2,775	*
92	17	3		-	2	99.5		No		0	0	3	19	40	31	7	1				5,838	*
91	17	4		-	1	98.3		No		0		1	10	34	38	16	2				10,972	*
90	16	4		-	2	95.0		No				0	4	22	42	27	5	0			19,392	*
89	15	4		-	3	89.0		No				0	1	12	37	38	11	0			31,320	*
88	15	5		-	2	79.2		No					0	6	28	45	21	0			48,630	*
87	14	5		-	3	66.2		No					0	2	17	47	34	0			69,214	*
86	14	6		-	2	52.2		No					0	1	10	42	47	1			94,970	*
85	13	6		-	3	38.0		No					0	0	5	33	61	1			119,873	*
84	13	7		-	2	27.0		No						0	2	25	70	3			76,047
	12	6		-	4	24.0		No						0	2	22	72	4			72,116	*
83	12	7		-	3	15.3		No						0	1	15	78	6	0		80,236
	13	8		-	1	16.2		No						0	1	15	77	6			88,568	*
82	12	8		-	2	9.8		No						0	0	10	80	10			92,541
	11	7		-	4	8.1		No							0	8	80	12	0		91,682	*
81	11	8		-	3	4.2		No							0	4	78	18	0		126,451	*
	12	9		-	1	5.9		No						0	0	6	78	16	0		64,062
80	11	9		-	2	2.6		No							0	3	73	24	0		94,049
	10	8		-	4	2.1		No							0	2	71	27	0		95,206	*
79	10	9		-	3	1.0		No							0	1	65	34	0		83,739
	11	10		-	1	1.1		No							0	1	64	35	0		92,047	*
78	10	10		-	2	0.5		No								0	57	42	0		78,144
	9	9		-	4	0.3		No								0	54	45	0		79,311	*
77	9	10		-	3	0.1		No								0	46	53	1		63,112
	10	11		-	1	0.2		No								0	45	54	1		69,668	*
76	9	11		-	2	0.1		No								0	37	61	1		53,370
	8	10		-	4	0.0		No								0	34	64	2		54,255	*
75	8	11		-	3	0.0		No								0	27	70	3		82,432	*
74	8	12		-	2	0.0		No								0	19	75	5		60,480	*
73	7	12		-	3	0.0		No								0	13	77	9		41,713	*
72	7	13		-	2	Out		No									8	78	14		27,508	*
71	6	13		-	3	Out		No									5	75	20		17,111	*
70	6	14		-	2	Out		No									3	69	28		9,919	*
69	5	14		-	3	Out		No									1	63	36		5,609	*
68	5	15		-	2	Out		No									1	55	44		3,026	*
67	4	15		-	3	Out		No									0	46	53		1,441	*
66	4	16		-	2	Out		No										36	64		682	*
65	4	17		-	1	Out		No										29	71		296	*
64	3	17		-	2	Out		No										24	76		110	*
63	3	18		-	1	Out		No										8	92		36	*
62	2	18		-	2	Out		No										6	94		18	*
61	2	19		-	1	Out		No										17	83		6	*
56	0	22		-	0	Out		No										0	100		218

Total:						16.3	%	No	0	0	0	0	0	1	3	12	55	27	1		2,110,464

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Monday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Winnipeg 5 Detroit 3	+0.3
Austin 3 Boston 2	-0.1

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Chicago vs Austin	+0.1+0.1+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24

100	22	0		-	0			0		6	22	42	25	6
99	21	0		-	1						67			33
98	21	1		-	0							6	50	33	11
97	20	1		-	1							16	40	31	9	4
96	19	1		-	2							6	18	34	32	9	1
95	19	2		-	1						0	1	9	29	32	19	8	1
94	18	2		-	2								3	16	34	29	14	4	1	0
93	18	3		-	1								1	6	22	32	25	11	2	0		0
92	17	3		-	2								0	2	10	25	32	22	7	1	0	1
91	17	4		-	1								0	0	3	13	28	31	17	4	0	2
90	16	4		-	2									0	1	5	18	32	28	11	1	5	0
89	15	4		-	3										0	1	8	23	33	21	4	11	0
88	15	5		-	2										0	0	2	12	28	29	8	21	0
87	14	5		-	3											0	1	5	18	30	13	34	0
86	14	6		-	2											0	0	1	9	24	17	47	1	0
85	13	6		-	3											0	0	0	3	16	18	59	3	0
84	13	7		-	2													0	1	9	16	67	6	0
	12	6		-	4													0	1	8	15	69	7	0
83	12	7		-	3													0	0	4	11	72	12	0
	13	8		-	1													0	0	4	12	71	12	0	0
82	12	8		-	2														0	2	8	69	20	1	0
	11	7		-	4														0	1	6	68	23	2
81	11	8		-	3														0	0	4	61	31	3	0
	12	9		-	1														0	0	5	61	30	3	0
80	11	9		-	2														0	0	3	52	39	7	0
	10	8		-	4															0	2	47	42	9	0	0
79	10	9		-	3															0	1	37	48	14	0
	11	10		-	1															0	1	38	47	14	0	0
78	10	10		-	2															0	0	27	50	22	1	0
	9	9		-	4																0	24	50	24	1	0
77	9	10		-	3																0	16	47	33	3	0
	10	11		-	1																0	17	48	33	3	0
76	9	11		-	2																0	10	42	42	6	0	0
	8	10		-	4																0	9	40	44	7	0
75	8	11		-	3																0	5	31	51	13	1	0
74	8	12		-	2																0	2	21	54	21	2	0
73	7	12		-	3																0	1	12	50	31	6	0
72	7	13		-	2																	0	6	41	39	12	1
71	6	13		-	3																	0	3	30	44	20	3
70	6	14		-	2																	0	1	20	43	30	6	0
69	5	14		-	3																		0	10	38	39	13	0
68	5	15		-	2																		0	6	28	45	21	0
67	4	15		-	3																			2	19	47	31	1
66	4	16		-	2																			1	10	44	43	2
65	4	17		-	1																			0	6	32	55	6
64	3	17		-	2																			1	3	23	65	8
63	3	18		-	1																				3	6	75	17
62	2	18		-	2																					11	72	17
61	2	19		-	1																						83	17
56	0	22		-	0																						22	78

Total:								0		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	3	5	6	41	25	14	4	1	0	0