Washington Capitals Playoff Chances 2016-2017

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.05 to 0.6%

71 points 32 32-7

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Sunday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Philadelphia 3 Carolina 1	+0.1
Montreal 3 Ottawa 1			-0.1
New Jersey 2 Columbus 1 (ot)	*+0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Toronto vs Boston	+0.0-0.1-0.0-0.1-0.0*+0.0
Detroit vs Buffalo			+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the Washington finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance in		Pres	Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

93	11	0		-	0	98.2	%	No				1	11	43	31	12	2	0							1,363
92	10	0		-	1	89.1		No				0	2	33	25	29	10	1							1,234
91	10	1		-	0	74.4		No					0	22	18	34	21	5	0	0					9,376
	9	0		-	2	70.2		No					1	21	13	35	23	7	0						942
90	9	1		-	1	44.5		No					0	11	6	28	37	17	2	0					15,163	*
89	9	2		-	0	24.9		No					0	5	2	17	38	30	7	1	0				55,245
	8	1		-	2	19.0		No						4	2	13	36	34	10	1	0				10,708	*
88	8	2		-	1	6.8		No						1	0	5	26	43	21	4	0				78,044
	7	1		-	3	4.6		No						1	0	3	23	41	26	5	0				4,391	*
87	8	3		-	0	2.0		No						0	0	2	13	39	34	11	1				195,882
	7	2		-	2	1.2		No						0	0	1	10	35	38	14	1				48,330
	6	1		-	4	0.8		No						0		1	9	32	38	18	2				1,177	*
86	7	3		-	1	0.2		No						0	0	0	3	24	42	26	5	0			244,415
	6	2		-	3	0.1		No						0		0	2	19	41	31	6				17,843	*
85	7	4		-	0	0.0		No						0		0	1	12	37	40	11	0			461,982
	6	3		-	2	0.0		No						0		0	1	9	34	43	13	0			133,260
	5	2		-	4	Out		No									0	7	32	45	16				4,179	*
84	6	4		-	1	0.0		No								0	0	4	23	47	27	0	0		500,767
	5	3		-	3	Out		No									0	2	19	48	30	0			41,038
	4	2		-	5	Out		No										1	18	46	34	1			639	*
83	6	5		-	0	Out		No									0	1	12	44	42	1	0		755,505
	5	4		-	2	Out		No									0	1	10	43	46	1	0		231,187
	4	3		-	4	Out		No									0	0	8	41	48	2			7,908	*
82	5	5		-	1	Out		No									0	0	4	31	61	4	0	0	698,444
	4	4		-	3	Out		No										0	3	28	65	4	0		59,011
	3	3		-	5	Out		No										0	2	24	67	6	0		942	*
81	5	6		-	0	Out		No										0	1	19	70	10	0	0	877,273
	4	5		-	2	Out		No										0	1	17	71	11	0	0	267,274
	3	4		-	4	Out		No										0	1	15	71	13	0	0	8,859	*
80	4	6		-	1	Out		No										0	0	8	70	21	1	0	670,943
	3	5		-	3	Out		No											0	7	69	23	2	0	54,022
	2	4		-	5	Out		No											0	6	69	23	2		835	*
79	4	7		-	0	Out		No											0	3	57	34	5	0	720,984
	3	6		-	2	Out		No											0	2	56	36	6	0	202,762
	2	5		-	4	Out		No												2	53	38	7	0	6,082	*
78	3	7		-	1	Out		No											0	1	40	46	13	1	438,185
	2	6		-	3	Out		No												0	38	47	14	1	31,135	*
77	3	8		-	0	Out		No											0	0	23	48	25	3	413,541
	2	7		-	2	Out		No												0	22	48	26	4	98,880
	1	6		-	4	Out		No												0	20	47	29	4	2,314	*
76	2	8		-	1	Out		No												0	11	42	39	9	186,484
	1	7		-	3	Out		No													10	41	40	10	9,945	*
75	2	9		-	0	Out		No												0	4	28	48	20	156,148
	1	8		-	2	Out		No													3	27	48	22	28,108	*
74	1	9		-	1	Out		No													1	15	47	37	46,663
	0	8		-	3	Out		No													1	13	48	38	1,389
73	1	10		-	0	Out		No													0	6	39	55	35,257
	0	9		-	2	Out		No													0	6	37	57	3,499
72	0	10		-	1	Out		No														2	26	72	5,178
71	0	11		-	0	Out		No														1	15	85	4,205

Total:						0.6	%	No				0	0	0	0	0	1	4	9	20	42	16	6	2	7,848,940

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Sunday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Montreal 3 Ottawa 1	+0.1
Calgary 2 Los Angeles 4	-0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Edmonton vs Los Angeles	-0.0-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1
Detroit vs Buffalo	-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Dallas vs San Jose	-0.0*+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

93	11	0		-	0										1	3	13	27	34	17	4	1	0	0
92	10	0		-	1											0	2	11	28	31	18	6	4	0
91	10	1		-	0												0	2	12	30	30	10	12	3	0	0
	9	0		-	2												0	3	10	25	33	12	14	4	0
90	9	1		-	1												0	0	2	13	29	11	28	14	3	0
89	9	2		-	0													0	0	5	20	6	29	28	11	2	0	0
	8	1		-	2													0	0	3	15	5	29	32	13	2	0	0
88	8	2		-	1														0	1	6	1	18	36	27	9	1	0	0
	7	1		-	3															0	4	1	16	34	30	12	2	0
87	8	3		-	0														0	0	2	0	7	26	36	23	6	1	0
	7	2		-	2															0	1	0	6	22	36	26	8	1	0
	6	1		-	4																1	0	4	19	36	28	10	1	0
86	7	3		-	1															0	0	0	1	10	29	36	20	4	0	0
	6	2		-	3																0	0	1	8	26	37	23	6	0
85	7	4		-	0															0	0		0	3	15	34	34	13	1	0
	6	3		-	2																0		0	2	13	32	36	15	2	0
	5	2		-	4																		0	2	10	30	38	17	2
84	6	4		-	1																0		0	0	5	20	38	29	7	0	0
	5	3		-	3																		0	0	3	17	38	32	9	0	0
	4	2		-	5																			0	2	16	37	34	10	1
83	6	5		-	0																		0	0	1	9	31	41	17	1	0	0
	5	4		-	2																			0	1	7	29	42	20	2	0
	4	3		-	4																				0	6	27	43	22	2	0
82	5	5		-	1																			0	0	2	15	41	36	6	0	0
	4	4		-	3																			0	0	1	13	39	39	8	0	0
	3	3		-	5																				0	1	10	39	39	10	1
81	5	6		-	0																				0	0	6	30	46	16	2	0	0
	4	5		-	2																				0	0	5	27	46	19	3	0	0
	3	4		-	4																				0	0	4	24	46	22	4	0
80	4	6		-	1																				0	0	1	13	43	32	9	1	0	0
	3	5		-	3																					0	1	11	41	35	11	1	0	0
	2	4		-	5																						0	11	38	36	12	2	0
79	4	7		-	0																					0	0	5	29	40	21	5	1	0	0
	3	6		-	2																						0	3	24	40	24	6	1	0	0
	2	5		-	4																						0	2	21	41	26	9	1	0
78	3	7		-	1																						0	1	12	33	34	16	4	0	0
	2	6		-	3																						0	1	9	30	36	19	5	1	0
77	3	8		-	0																						0	0	4	19	34	29	12	2	0
	2	7		-	2																							0	2	15	33	32	15	3	0
	1	6		-	4																							0	2	13	32	32	16	4	0
76	2	8		-	1																							0	0	6	21	34	27	10	1
	1	7		-	3																							0	0	4	20	35	28	11	2
75	2	9		-	0																							0	0	1	9	26	35	22	5
	1	8		-	2																								0	1	7	23	36	25	7
74	1	9		-	1																									0	2	12	31	38	17
	0	8		-	3																									0	2	10	31	39	18
73	1	10		-	0																										0	4	20	42	33
	0	9		-	2																										0	3	18	42	37
72	0	10		-	1																										0	1	9	35	55
71	0	11		-	0																											0	3	24	72

Total:															0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	4	7	12	18	21	14	9	5	3	1	1