"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Montreal 3 Ottawa 1 +2.9
+0.4
Philadelphia 3 Carolina 1 +0.3
New Jersey 2 Columbus 1 (ot)*-0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Toronto vs Boston+0.2-0.8-0.8-0.8-1.0*+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Montreal finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy12345678910111213141516Count
95100-0100.0%No052943418206,679
9490-199.5No11035837917,220
9391-097.1No0218945223055,512
80-295.6No021584525404,108
9281-188.4No0563839111062,491
70-383.3No03335421511,302
9182-072.1No012234624300234,273
71-267.7No0122045284030,754
60-458.5No113443371270
9072-147.2No011037401210231,434
61-338.2No006324415208,663
50-524.4No2224922541
8973-024.5No00322442650581,578
62-221.7No0021943296099,106
51-415.3No01144334801,609*
8863-19.5No01934401510500,494
52-36.4No063143181024,403
41-53.6No42248242225
8764-02.5No00219433040943,031
53-22.1No0218433250183,145
42-41.3No01134436603,731*
8654-10.5No00834441300690,450
43-30.3No06324614036,833
32-5OutNo32555160308
8555-00.1No002215125101,043,341
44-20.0No00220512620209,959
33-40.0No0217502834,533*
8445-10.0No009434250633,454
34-3OutNo0843436033,619
23-5OutNo739468321
8346-00.0No00332521200793,748
35-2OutNo033153130152,740
24-4OutNo0228531603,085*
8236-1OutNo0116552720383,820
25-3OutNo11653282018,221
14-5OutNo849376140
8137-0OutNo084739500413,435
26-2OutNo0745417068,580
15-4OutNo064242911,097*
8027-1OutNo0230511710148,015
16-3OutNo2265019205,323*
7928-0OutNo117493040139,820
17-2OutNo11446336017,646
06-4OutNo15493511133
7818-1OutNo05344614133,440
07-3OutNo32947192698
7719-0OutNo02194827327,690
08-2OutNo215453451,907
7609-1OutNo063545133,336
75010-0OutNo22251253,179
Total:8.6%No00000261219272382007,848,940

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
Montreal 3 Ottawa 1 -0.7
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday100.0*Lottery seed
Dallas vs San Jose-0.1*+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Toronto vs Boston-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
95100-00182432239200
9490-116183127133000
9391-0015173028122210
80-2014142831153310
9281-10014153029107400
70-30211273112970
9182-000141730211214200
71-20031428221217300
60-4182326132251
9072-100151824122911200
61-303132213331320
50-51212739227
8973-0001717634268100
62-200151663329910
51-4031253334112
8863-100182243722500
52-30162223825600
41-5131163435100
8764-0002010313617200
53-20020930371830
42-4010628392140
8654-100003183732910
43-300021536341010
32-5193739121
8555-000006254322300
44-20005244323400
33-4005224325400
8445-10011237371110
34-3011136381310
23-51102943152
8346-00003244325500
35-2003234325500
24-40320422861
8236-1019353815200
25-3019333917200
14-5133034275
8137-00032040297100
26-203194030810
15-411837321010
8027-10072739215100
16-3006244023610
7928-00213343314300
17-20211323516400
06-4142836275
7818-100316333114300
07-3021230331741
7719-00162134261020
08-20041833291330
7609-1016213426111
75010-01102835225
Total:00000011342812161916105210000