Winnipeg Jets Playoff Chances 2016-2017

Beat Minnesota 4-2, playoff odds up 15.1 to 60.6%

84 points 37 26-10

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Sunday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Winnipeg 4 Minnesota 2	+13.9		+0.3

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Dallas vs San Jose	+0.4+0.0+0.1-0.5-0.7-0.6
Edmonton vs Los Angeles	-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.1+0.1+0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the Winnipeg finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance in		Pres	Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

102	9	0		-	0	In		No		1	15	50	3		31	0									17,629
101	8	0		-	1	In		No		0	7	41	7	0	43	1									17,599
100	8	1		-	0	100.0	%	No		0	2	24	9	0	61	3	0								132,481
	7	0		-	2	99.9		No		0	2	22	11	0	62	3	0								8,000
99	7	1		-	1	99.8		No		0	1	12	11	1	67	8	0								121,622
	6	0		-	3	99.6		No			1	11	11	0	67	9	0								2,110
98	7	2		-	0	99.1		No			0	4	7	1	71	17	1								458,361
	6	1		-	2	99.0		No			0	3	7	1	70	18	1								48,867
	5	0		-	4	99.4		No				3	6		68	23	1								348
97	6	2		-	1	96.9		No			0	1	4	1	61	30	3	0							366,634
	5	1		-	3	96.6		No				1	4	1	59	32	3								11,022
	4	0		-	5	94.9		No					3		46	46	5								39
96	6	3		-	0	92.3		No			0	0	1	0	49	41	8	0							922,953
	5	2		-	2	91.6		No				0	1	0	47	42	8	0							125,934
	4	1		-	4	90.6		No				0	1	0	47	42	9								1,598
	3	0		-	6	In		No							40	60									5
95	5	3		-	1	83.7		No				0	0	0	32	50	16	0							632,081
	4	2		-	3	81.9		No				0	0	0	30	51	18	0							23,817
	3	1		-	5	78.0		No						1	27	51	22								150
94	5	4		-	0	71.6		No				0	0	0	21	51	28	0							1,191,956
	4	3		-	2	70.3		No				0	0	0	19	51	30	0							180,342
	3	2		-	4	68.6		No					0		16	52	31	0							2,637
	2	1		-	6	75.0		No							13	63	25								8
93	4	4		-	1	56.3		No				0	0	0	10	46	43	1							678,369
	3	3		-	3	54.0		No					0	0	8	45	45	1							27,269
	2	2		-	5	51.2		No							3	48	46	2							166
92	4	5		-	0	40.0		No				0	0	0	5	35	58	2	0						1,023,291
	3	4		-	2	38.3		No					0	0	4	34	59	3							154,403
	2	3		-	4	36.9		No							3	34	60	3							2,268
	1	2		-	6	Out		No									100								8
91	3	5		-	1	25.2		No						0	1	24	68	7	0						464,127
	2	4		-	3	23.8		No							1	23	68	8	0						17,776
	1	3		-	5	17.7		No								18	75	7							113
90	3	6		-	0	13.3		No						0	0	13	72	15	0						584,572
	2	5		-	2	12.1		No							0	12	70	18	0						79,391
	1	4		-	4	13.2		No							0	13	68	19	0						1,037
89	2	6		-	1	6.3		No							0	6	66	27	0						198,473
	1	5		-	3	5.7		No							0	6	65	29	0						6,084
	0	4		-	5	4.8		No								5	71	24							21
88	2	7		-	0	2.1		No							0	2	55	42	2						214,775
	1	6		-	2	1.7		No							0	2	50	46	2						22,325
	0	5		-	4	0.5		No								1	47	48	4						184
87	1	7		-	1	0.7		No								1	39	55	5	0					48,757
	0	6		-	3	0.5		No								1	35	58	6	0					923
86	1	8		-	0	0.1		No								0	25	62	13	0					45,534
	0	7		-	2	0.1		No								0	22	62	17	0					2,762
85	0	8		-	1	Out		No									12	63	25	0					5,087
84	0	9		-	0	Out		No									5	52	41	2					5,032

Total:						60.6	%	No		0	0	1	1	0	24	34	34	5	0	0					7,848,940

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Sunday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Winnipeg 4 Minnesota 2	-1.0
Philadelphia 3 Carolina 1	-0.0
New Jersey 2 Columbus 1 (ot)	*+0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Edmonton vs Los Angeles	+0.1+0.0+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1
Toronto vs Boston	-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.0-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

102	9	0		-	0		0	3	17	36	31	12	2	0
101	8	0		-	1		0	0	5	21	36	27	9	1	0
100	8	1		-	0			0	1	7	23	36	25	8	1	0	0					0
	7	0		-	2			0	1	5	20	35	27	10	2	0	0					0
99	7	1		-	1			0	0	1	8	24	35	24	7	1	0	0				0
	6	0		-	3					1	6	21	34	26	9	2	0					0
98	7	2		-	0				0	0	1	9	26	35	21	6	1	0	0			1
	6	1		-	2					0	1	6	22	35	25	8	1	0	0			1
	5	0		-	4						1	4	19	34	30	10	2					1
97	6	2		-	1					0	0	1	8	25	33	21	7	1	0	0		3	0
	5	1		-	3						0	1	7	22	33	24	9	1	0			3
	4	0		-	5									21	31	28	13	3				5
96	6	3		-	0						0	0	2	10	25	31	19	5	1	0	0	8	0
	5	2		-	2							0	1	8	22	31	21	7	1	0	0	8	0
	4	1		-	4								1	6	20	31	23	8	1			9
	3	0		-	6										20	20	60
95	5	3		-	1							0	0	2	9	22	28	17	5	1	0	16	0
	4	2		-	3							0	0	1	7	20	28	18	6	1	0	18	0
	3	1		-	5									1	5	23	25	18	6		1	22
94	5	4		-	0							0	0	0	2	9	20	23	13	4	0	28	0	0
	4	3		-	2								0	0	1	7	19	24	14	4	1	30	0	0
	3	2		-	4									0	1	7	17	23	15	5	1	31	0
	2	1		-	6												13	50	13			25
93	4	4		-	1									0	0	2	7	17	18	10	2	43	1	0
	3	3		-	3									0	0	1	6	15	18	10	3	45	1	0
	2	2		-	5											1	6	11	18	11	3	46	3
92	4	5		-	0										0	0	1	6	12	13	7	55	5	0	0	0
	3	4		-	2										0	0	1	5	12	13	7	56	6	0	0
	2	3		-	4												1	6	10	13	7	57	6	0	0
	1	2		-	6																	100
91	3	5		-	1											0	0	1	4	9	10	58	15	2	0	0
	2	4		-	3											0	0	1	4	9	10	58	16	2	0
	1	3		-	5													1	3	8	6	64	16	3
90	3	6		-	0											0	0	0	1	3	9	45	30	10	1	0	0
	2	5		-	2												0	0	1	3	8	43	32	11	2	0	0
	1	4		-	4													0	1	3	9	42	32	11	2	0
89	2	6		-	1												0	0	0	1	5	25	37	24	7	1	0	0
	1	5		-	3														0	1	5	25	36	24	8	1	0
	0	4		-	5																5	43	24	24	5
88	2	7		-	0														0	0	2	9	27	36	21	5	0	0	0
	1	6		-	2															0	2	8	26	35	23	6	1	0
	0	5		-	4																1	5	23	38	26	8
87	1	7		-	1																1	2	13	31	34	16	3	0	0
	0	6		-	3																1	1	12	30	35	17	3	0
86	1	8		-	0																0	0	3	16	35	32	11	2	0	0
	0	7		-	2																0	0	2	15	33	32	15	2
85	0	8		-	1																	0	0	5	22	38	26	7	1	0
84	0	9		-	0																		0	1	8	28	37	21	4	0

Total:							0	0	0	0	1	2	3	5	7	9	10	9	7	4	3	28	6	3	1	1	0	0	0	0