New York Islanders Playoff Chances 2016-2017

Did not play, playoff odds up 1.8 to 59.4%

79 points 36 28-7

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Sunday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Philadelphia 3 Carolina 1	+1.9		+0.1
Montreal 3 Ottawa 1	-0.3
New Jersey 2 Columbus 1 (ot)	*+0.1		-0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Toronto vs Boston	+0.4-1.6-1.2-1.5-1.8-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the NY Islanders finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance in		Pres	Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

101	11	0		-	0	In		No	25	50	22	3	0												2,970
100	10	0		-	1	In		No	8	38	40	13	1	0											3,371
99	10	1		-	0	In		No	2	21	45	27	4	0	0										25,080
	9	0		-	2	In		No	2	15	43	34	6	0	0										2,294
98	9	1		-	1	In		No	0	8	33	43	15	1	0	0									32,292
	8	0		-	3	In		No		6	26	48	18	2	0										873
97	9	2		-	0	In		No	0	2	17	44	30	6	1	0									121,948
	8	1		-	2	In		No	0	1	13	43	33	8	2	0									18,763	*
96	8	2		-	1	In		No	0	0	5	30	42	18	4	0									140,274
	7	1		-	3	In		No		0	3	26	42	22	6	0									6,378	*
95	8	3		-	0	100.0	%	No		0	1	15	41	35	7	0	0								354,117
	7	2		-	2	100.0		No		0	1	13	38	38	9	1	0								71,923
	6	1		-	4	In		No			0	10	38	40	11	1									1,421	*
94	7	3		-	1	99.8		No		0	0	5	26	52	14	3	0	0							362,724
	6	2		-	3	99.6		No			0	3	21	53	18	4	0	0							21,136	*
93	7	4		-	0	99.0		No			0	1	13	61	17	7	1	0	0						681,536
	6	3		-	2	98.4		No			0	1	10	59	19	9	2	0							159,555
	5	2		-	4	97.8		No				1	8	58	19	13	2	0							4,090	*
92	6	4		-	1	94.2		No				0	4	54	18	19	6	0	0						604,839
	5	3		-	3	91.1		No				0	2	48	17	23	8	0	0						40,533
	4	2		-	5	87.1		No					2	45	15	26	12	1							550	*
91	6	5		-	0	85.4		No				0	1	45	13	26	13	1	0	0					913,619
	5	4		-	2	81.0		No				0	1	40	12	28	17	2	0	0					228,824
	4	3		-	4	75.8		No					0	35	10	30	21	3	0						6,301	*
90	5	5		-	1	63.2		No				0	0	28	7	28	30	6	0	0					691,107
	4	4		-	3	53.7		No					0	22	5	27	37	9	1	0					48,045
	3	3		-	5	49.9		No						22	4	24	37	12	1						601	*
89	5	6		-	0	42.7		No					0	18	3	22	39	16	2	0					868,891
	4	5		-	2	36.3		No					0	15	2	20	42	19	3	0					216,811
	3	4		-	4	28.6		No						11	1	16	44	23	4	0					6,023	*
88	4	6		-	1	19.2		No						8	1	11	41	31	8	1	0				547,490
	3	5		-	3	13.1		No						5	0	8	39	37	10	1	0				36,731	*
87	4	7		-	0	8.0		No						3	0	4	30	41	19	3	0				588,792
	3	6		-	2	5.8		No						2	0	3	27	42	21	3	0				136,697
	2	5		-	4	4.2		No						2	0	2	24	43	24	5	0				3,430	*
86	3	7		-	1	1.8		No						1	0	1	16	40	33	9	0				295,165
	2	6		-	3	0.8		No						0		0	13	38	37	11	0				17,162	*
85	3	8		-	0	0.4		No						0	0	0	6	29	43	20	1	0			278,427
	2	7		-	2	0.2		No						0		0	5	26	44	23	2	0			55,136
	1	6		-	4	0.1		No						0			4	23	43	27	3				1,027
84	2	8		-	1	0.1		No						0		0	2	15	41	37	5	0			103,346
	1	7		-	3	Out		No									1	12	39	41	7	0			4,687	*
83	2	9		-	0	Out		No									0	6	31	50	12	0	0		86,992
	1	8		-	2	Out		No									0	5	28	51	15	0			13,010	*
82	1	9		-	1	Out		No									0	1	15	54	27	2	0		21,591
	0	8		-	3	Out		No										1	15	49	33	2			519
81	1	10		-	0	Out		No										0	7	47	41	6	0		16,422
	0	9		-	2	Out		No										0	5	42	45	7	0		1,379
80	0	10		-	1	Out		No											1	29	51	17	2		2,034
79	0	11		-	0	Out		No											1	15	50	29	5	0	2,014

Total:						59.4	%	No	0	0	1	3	7	28	8	13	18	12	7	3	0	0	0	0	7,848,940

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Sunday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Philadelphia 3 Carolina 1	-0.1
New Jersey 2 Columbus 1 (ot)	*+0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Edmonton vs Los Angeles	+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
Dallas vs San Jose	-0.0*+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.0+0.1
Toronto vs Boston	-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

101	11	0		-	0		0	2	14	32	33	16	3	0
100	10	0		-	1			0	2	13	28	32	18	5	1	0
99	10	1		-	0				0	3	14	30	31	16	4	0	0
	9	0		-	2				0	2	11	27	33	19	6	1	0
98	9	1		-	1				0	0	3	13	30	32	16	4	1	0	0
	8	0		-	3					0	2	10	25	37	19	5	1	0
97	9	2		-	0				0	0	0	3	14	30	31	16	4	1	0
	8	1		-	2					0	0	2	12	28	32	19	6	1	0
96	8	2		-	1						0	0	3	14	29	31	17	5	1	0	0
	7	1		-	3						0	0	2	11	27	33	19	7	1	0
95	8	3		-	0						0	0	0	3	13	28	31	18	5	1	0	0
	7	2		-	2							0	0	2	11	25	31	21	7	1	0	0	0
	6	1		-	4								0	2	9	25	30	22	9	2	0
94	7	3		-	1								0	0	3	12	27	32	20	6	1	0	0
	6	2		-	3								0	0	2	9	24	32	22	8	1	0	0
93	7	4		-	0								0	0	0	3	12	29	33	18	4	1	0	0
	6	3		-	2								0	0	0	2	10	26	34	21	5	1	0	0
	5	2		-	4										0	2	8	23	33	24	8	2	0	0
92	6	4		-	1									0	0	0	3	13	30	33	15	4	2	0	0
	5	3		-	3										0	0	2	9	26	35	19	6	3	0	0
	4	2		-	5												1	7	25	31	23	8	5	0
91	6	5		-	0										0	0	0	4	17	35	29	6	7	1	0	0
	5	4		-	2										0	0	0	2	14	33	32	8	10	2	0	0
	4	3		-	4												0	1	11	30	34	10	12	2	0
90	5	5		-	1											0	0	0	5	21	36	9	21	7	1	0	0
	4	4		-	3												0	0	3	16	35	10	26	9	1	0
	3	3		-	5														3	13	34	11	27	10	2
89	5	6		-	0												0	0	1	10	32	5	29	19	4	0	0
	4	5		-	2													0	1	7	28	5	31	22	6	1	0
	3	4		-	4														0	5	24	6	32	25	7	1	0
88	4	6		-	1													0	0	2	17	2	27	33	15	3	0	0	0
	3	5		-	3														0	1	12	2	26	36	18	4	0	0
87	4	7		-	0														0	0	8	0	15	35	30	11	1	0	0
	3	6		-	2														0	0	6	0	14	34	32	13	2	0	0
	2	5		-	4															0	4	0	12	32	34	15	3	0
86	3	7		-	1															0	2	0	6	23	37	25	7	1	0
	2	6		-	3															0	1	0	4	20	37	28	9	1	0
85	3	8		-	0															0	0	0	1	10	30	37	18	3	0
	2	7		-	2																0	0	1	9	27	37	21	4	0
	1	6		-	4																0		1	7	24	37	26	5	0
84	2	8		-	1																0		0	3	15	35	34	12	1	0
	1	7		-	3																		0	2	12	32	38	14	2	0
83	2	9		-	0																		0	0	5	24	41	24	5	0	0
	1	8		-	2																		0	0	4	20	40	28	6	0
82	1	9		-	1																			0	1	8	31	40	17	2	0	0
	0	8		-	3																				0	9	26	41	21	2	0
81	1	10		-	0																				0	2	19	39	30	8	1	0
	0	9		-	2																				0	2	15	37	35	11	1
80	0	10		-	1																					0	5	23	41	22	7	1	0
79	0	11		-	0																					0	1	12	30	33	18	5	1

Total:							0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	2	3	5	7	10	14	16	3	11	11	8	5	2	1	0	0	0	0	0