San Jose Sharks Playoff Chances 2016-2017

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.3 to 10.2%

76 points 34 29-8

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Sunday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Winnipeg 4 Minnesota 2	+0.1

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Dallas vs San Jose	-3.5-0.0-0.1+4.9+5.3+5.4		-0.2+0.0+0.0+0.3+0.3+0.3
Edmonton vs Los Angeles	-2.1-2.0-2.0-0.1-0.1+3.4		-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the San Jose finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance in		Pres	Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

98	11	0		-	0	In		No			0	7	38	54	0	0									2,884
97	10	0		-	1	99.7	%	No			0	2	23	70	3	2	0								3,377
96	10	1		-	0	98.9		No				0	13	78	4	4	1	0							24,897
	9	0		-	2	98.4		No				0	11	76	6	6	2								2,193
95	9	1		-	1	93.9		No				0	5	72	6	11	5	1							32,355
	8	0		-	3	93.8		No					2	72	6	14	6	0							784
94	9	2		-	0	85.2		No				0	2	65	4	14	12	3							122,283
	8	1		-	2	80.9		No					1	60	4	15	15	4							18,995	*
93	8	2		-	1	64.4		No					0	46	2	16	24	11							141,938
	7	1		-	3	58.8		No					0	41	2	15	27	14							6,360	*
92	8	3		-	0	48.7		No					0	37	1	11	29	22	0						357,786
	7	2		-	2	43.0		No					0	32	1	10	30	27	0						72,270
	6	1		-	4	38.3		No					0	29	1	9	31	31							1,495	*
91	7	3		-	1	25.9		No					0	19	0	6	31	43	0						364,950
	6	2		-	3	22.0		No					0	17	0	5	30	48	0						21,857	*
90	7	4		-	0	16.2		No					0	14	0	3	23	60	0						686,736
	6	3		-	2	13.4		No					0	11	0	2	21	65	0						161,942
	5	2		-	4	10.6		No						9		2	21	68	1						4,054	*
89	6	4		-	1	6.0		No					0	5	0	1	15	78	1						609,199
	5	3		-	3	4.7		No						4	0	1	13	80	2						40,781
	4	2		-	5	5.6		No						5		1	12	81	1						483	*
88	6	5		-	0	3.3		No						3	0	0	8	85	4	0					919,291
	5	4		-	2	2.4		No						2	0	0	6	87	5	0					229,625
	4	3		-	4	1.9		No						2		0	5	87	6						6,520	*
87	5	5		-	1	0.7		No						1		0	3	88	9	0					694,388
	4	4		-	3	0.5		No						0		0	2	86	11	0					47,577
	3	3		-	5	0.3		No						0			2	86	11						633	*
86	5	6		-	0	0.3		No						0		0	1	82	17	0					871,408
	4	5		-	2	0.2		No						0		0	1	79	20	0					215,599
	3	4		-	4	0.1		No						0			0	77	22	0					5,906	*
85	4	6		-	1	0.0		No						0		0	0	70	29	1	0				544,173
	3	5		-	3	0.0		No						0			0	66	33	1					36,107	*
84	4	7		-	0	0.0		No						0			0	56	42	2	0				586,564
	3	6		-	2	0.0		No						0			0	50	47	3	0				134,170
	2	5		-	4	Out		No										46	50	4					3,338	*
83	3	7		-	1	0.0		No						0			0	38	55	8	0				289,742
	2	6		-	3	Out		No										32	58	10	0				16,673	*
82	3	8		-	0	Out		No										23	62	15	0	0			273,068
	2	7		-	2	Out		No										18	63	18	1	0			53,007
	1	6		-	4	Out		No										14	61	24	1	0			1,021	*
81	2	8		-	1	Out		No										9	54	34	3	0			100,472
	1	7		-	3	Out		No										7	50	39	3	0			4,313	*
80	2	9		-	0	Out		No										3	43	46	7	0			83,865
	1	8		-	2	Out		No										2	39	50	9	0			12,235	*
79	1	9		-	1	Out		No										1	21	58	19	2			20,380
	0	8		-	3	Out		No											12	59	25	3			500
78	1	10		-	0	Out		No										0	10	53	32	5			15,562
	0	9		-	2	Out		No										0	8	52	34	6			1,234
77	0	10		-	1	Out		No											2	36	48	14			1,991
76	0	11		-	0	Out		No											1	23	51	25			1,959

Total:						10.2	%	No			0	0	0	8	0	2	9	62	16	3	0	0			7,848,940

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Sunday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Montreal 3 Ottawa 1	+0.1

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Dallas vs San Jose	+0.6-0.1-0.1-0.8-0.8-0.8
Edmonton vs Los Angeles	+0.1+0.1+0.1+0.0*+0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

98	11	0		-	0					0	1	9	24	35	23	7	1	0	0
97	10	0		-	1						0	1	9	23	34	22	8	1	0			0
96	10	1		-	0							0	1	9	24	33	23	8	1	0	0	1	0
	9	0		-	2							0	1	7	21	32	25	9	2	0		2
95	9	1		-	1							0	0	1	8	21	32	23	7	1	0	5	1
	8	0		-	3								0	1	6	18	34	25	8	2		6	0
94	9	2		-	0								0	0	1	7	20	30	20	6	1	12	3	0
	8	1		-	2									0	1	5	18	29	20	6	1	15	4
93	8	2		-	1									0	0	1	6	18	23	13	4	24	11	0	0
	7	1		-	3										0	1	5	16	21	13	3	27	14	0	0
92	8	3		-	0										0	0	1	6	15	17	10	28	23	1	0	0
	7	2		-	2										0	0	1	5	13	15	9	28	27	1	0	0
	6	1		-	4												1	4	11	14	8	29	31	1	0
91	7	3		-	1											0	0	1	4	9	11	26	42	6	1	0	0
	6	2		-	3												0	1	3	8	10	25	46	6	1	0
90	7	4		-	0												0	0	1	4	12	15	46	18	4	0	0
	6	3		-	2													0	1	3	10	13	49	20	5	0	0
	5	2		-	4													0	1	3	7	13	50	21	5	0
89	6	4		-	1													0	0	1	5	6	39	34	14	2	0	0
	5	3		-	3													0	0	1	4	5	39	34	15	2	0	0
	4	2		-	5															0	5	5	42	31	13	3
88	6	5		-	0													0	0	0	3	1	19	37	30	9	1	0
	5	4		-	2														0	0	2	1	18	37	31	10	1	0	0
	4	3		-	4															0	2	1	17	36	33	10	1	0
87	5	5		-	1															0	1	0	6	26	39	22	5	0	0
	4	4		-	3															0	0	0	6	25	39	23	5	0	0
	3	3		-	5																0	0	6	28	39	22	5	1
86	5	6		-	0															0	0	0	1	12	35	36	14	2	0
	4	5		-	2																0	0	1	11	33	36	16	3	0
	3	4		-	4																0	0	1	10	32	37	17	3	0
85	4	6		-	1																0	0	0	3	20	38	29	8	1	0
	3	5		-	3																0		0	3	18	37	30	10	1	0
84	4	7		-	0																0		0	1	8	28	39	21	4	0	0
	3	6		-	2																0		0	1	7	26	39	23	4	0	0
	2	5		-	4																		0	0	6	24	40	25	5	0
83	3	7		-	1																0			0	2	12	34	36	14	2	0
	2	6		-	3																			0	1	10	31	39	16	2	0
82	3	8		-	0																			0	0	4	20	41	28	6	0	0	0
	2	7		-	2																			0	0	3	17	40	31	7	1	0
	1	6		-	4																				0	2	17	36	35	9	1
81	2	8		-	1																				0	0	6	27	41	21	4	0	0
	1	7		-	3																					0	5	23	42	25	5	0
80	2	9		-	0																					0	1	13	37	35	12	2	0	0
	1	8		-	2																					0	1	11	35	37	14	2	0
79	1	9		-	1																						0	2	17	39	30	10	2	0	0
	0	8		-	3																							1	14	33	35	15	3
78	1	10		-	0																						0	0	7	27	36	22	7	1	0
	0	9		-	2																							0	6	26	35	23	8	1
77	0	10		-	1																								1	9	29	35	21	6	1
76	0	11		-	0																								0	3	17	33	30	14	3

Total:										0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	2	2	3	6	15	15	17	15	11	7	3	1	0	0	0	0	0