Edmonton Oilers Playoff Chances 2016-2017

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.2 to 91.9%

81 points 38 28-5

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Sunday	None

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Edmonton vs Los Angeles	+2.7+2.6+2.5-0.0-0.1-4.3		+0.2+0.2+0.2-0.0-0.0-0.3
Dallas vs San Jose	+2.2-0.0-0.0-3.3-3.3-3.3		+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the Edmonton finish out the regular season. Explain

										100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance in		Pres		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

103	11	0		-	0	In		0.1	%	0	6	51	37	6	0											11,239
102	10	0		-	1	In		No		0	2	30	49	19	1											11,348
101	10	1		-	0	In		No		0	0	16	47	33	4											85,004
	9	0		-	2	In		No			0	13	44	37	6											5,394
100	9	1		-	1	In		No			0	5	31	49	16											82,893
	8	0		-	3	In		No				3	27	49	21											1,539
99	9	2		-	0	In		No			0	1	18	53	28											311,805
	8	1		-	2	In		No			0	1	15	52	32											36,098
	7	0		-	4	In		No				1	9	48	42											270
98	8	2		-	1	In		No				0	6	42	53											270,977
	7	1		-	3	In		No				0	4	37	59											9,300	*
97	8	3		-	0	In		No				0	2	32	66	0	0									680,509
	7	2		-	2	In		No				0	1	29	70	0	0									104,320
	6	1		-	4	In		No					1	24	75											1,615	*
96	7	3		-	1	100.0	%	No				0	0	15	84	0	0	0								524,958
	6	2		-	3	100.0		No					0	13	87	0	0	0								23,538	*
95	7	4		-	0	99.9		No					0	10	90	0	0	0	0							986,971
	6	3		-	2	99.9		No					0	8	91	0	0	0	0							174,745
	5	2		-	4	99.9		No					0	7	93	0	0	0								3,418	*
94	6	4		-	1	99.7		No					0	3	96	0	0	0	0							662,537
	5	3		-	3	99.6		No					0	2	97	0	0	0	0							33,406
	4	2		-	5	99.7		No						2	97		1		0							338
93	6	5		-	0	98.5		No					0	2	96	0	1	1	0							996,698
	5	4		-	2	98.0		No						1	95	0	1	1	1							189,347
	4	3		-	4	97.6		No						1	95	0	1	2	1							3,885	*
92	5	5		-	1	95.6		No						0	94	0	1	3	2	0						571,647
	4	4		-	3	94.7		No						0	93	0	1	3	2	0						30,016
	3	3		-	5	92.4		No							91		1	4	3							302
91	5	6		-	0	88.9		No						0	88	0	1	5	6	0						719,686
	4	5		-	2	86.7		No						0	85	0	1	6	8	0						135,915
	3	4		-	4	82.9		No						0	81	0	2	7	10							2,938	*
90	4	6		-	1	79.3		No						0	78	0	1	6	14	0						341,836
	3	5		-	3	75.2		No						0	74	0	1	8	17	0						17,326	*
89	4	7		-	0	65.1		No						0	65	0	0	6	28	0						367,979
	3	6		-	2	60.2		No							60	0	0	7	32	1						64,658
	2	5		-	4	56.5		No							56		0	7	36	1						1,231	*
88	3	7		-	1	48.4		No							48	0	0	5	45	2						139,718
	2	6		-	3	42.5		No							42	0	0	5	49	3						6,101	*
87	3	8		-	0	32.0		No							32		0	3	61	5	0					132,057
	2	7		-	2	26.5		No							26		0	2	64	7	0					19,657
	1	6		-	4	22.5		No							22			3	61	13						258
86	2	8		-	1	16.9		No							17		0	1	67	15	0					37,520
	1	7		-	3	12.4		No							12			1	65	22	0					1,258	*
85	2	9		-	0	7.8		No							8			0	67	25	0					31,149
	1	8		-	2	4.9		No							5			0	61	33	0					3,538	*
84	1	9		-	1	2.0		No							2			0	49	47	2					5,849	*
83	1	10		-	0	0.7		No							1				39	57	4	0				4,479
	0	9		-	2	Out		No										0	27	68	4	0				295
82	0	10		-	1	0.2		No							0				17	67	15	1				422
81	0	11		-	0	Out		No											9	66	24	1	0			953

Total:						91.9	%	0.0	%	0	0	0	2	11	78	0	0	2	6	0	0	0	0			7,848,940

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Sunday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Montreal 3 Ottawa 1	-0.1
Philadelphia 3 Carolina 1	-0.0
Winnipeg 4 Minnesota 2	-0.0
Chicago 2 Colorado 4	+0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Edmonton vs Los Angeles	-0.7-0.7-0.6+0.2+0.3+1.1
Dallas vs San Jose	-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Detroit vs Buffalo	+0.0+0.0+0.0*-0.0-0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

103	11	0		-	0	0	2	22	41	27	8	1	0
102	10	0		-	1		0	8	27	36	22	7	1	0
101	10	1		-	0		0	2	11	29	34	19	5	1	0
	9	0		-	2			1	8	26	35	22	7	1
100	9	1		-	1		0	0	2	12	29	33	18	5	1	0
	8	0		-	3			0	2	10	25	35	22	6	1
99	9	2		-	0			0	0	3	14	30	32	17	4	0	0	0
	8	1		-	2			0	0	2	11	28	33	19	5	1	0
	7	0		-	4					1	7	24	41	20	5	0
98	8	2		-	1				0	0	3	14	30	33	16	4	0	0
	7	1		-	3					0	2	11	27	34	20	5	0
97	8	3		-	0				0	0	0	3	15	32	31	15	3	0	0	0
	7	2		-	2					0	0	2	13	30	33	17	4	0	0
	6	1		-	4						0	2	10	29	33	19	6	1	0
96	7	3		-	1						0	0	3	16	32	31	15	3	0	0	0	0
	6	2		-	3						0	0	2	13	30	32	17	5	0	0		0
95	7	4		-	0						0	0	0	4	16	32	30	14	3	0	0	0	0
	6	3		-	2							0	0	3	14	30	32	16	4	0	0	0	0
	5	2		-	4							0	0	3	13	28	32	19	5	0		0
94	6	4		-	1							0	0	0	4	17	32	31	13	2	0	0	0
	5	3		-	3								0	0	3	14	30	32	16	3	0	0	0
	4	2		-	5									0	3	11	28	35	20	2	1		0
93	6	5		-	0								0	0	1	5	18	35	28	10	2	1	0	0
	5	4		-	2								0	0	0	4	16	33	30	12	2	1	1	0
	4	3		-	4									0	1	3	13	32	31	15	3	2	1
92	5	5		-	1									0	0	1	5	21	35	25	8	3	2	0	0
	4	4		-	3										0	0	4	17	33	28	12	3	2	0
	3	3		-	5											0	2	16	30	33	12	4	3
91	5	6		-	0										0	0	1	8	25	33	22	5	6	0	0	0
	4	5		-	2											0	1	6	21	33	26	5	7	1	0	0
	3	4		-	4												0	5	17	32	29	7	9	1	0
90	4	6		-	1											0	0	2	10	26	41	5	13	3	0	0	0
	3	5		-	3												0	1	7	22	46	6	15	4	1	0
89	4	7		-	0												0	0	3	13	50	4	19	10	3	0	0	0
	3	6		-	2												0	0	2	10	48	4	20	12	4	0	0
	2	5		-	4													0	1	6	49	3	20	14	6	1	0
88	3	7		-	1													0	0	4	44	1	17	20	11	2	0	0
	2	6		-	3														0	2	41	1	15	23	14	3	0	0
87	3	8		-	0													0	0	1	31	0	9	23	24	10	2	0
	2	7		-	2														0	0	26	0	8	23	28	12	2	0	0
	1	6		-	4															0	22	0	9	16	32	18	2	0
86	2	8		-	1															0	17	0	3	16	30	25	8	1	0
	1	7		-	3																12		2	14	31	28	11	1	0
85	2	9		-	0																8		1	6	24	36	21	4	0
	1	8		-	2																5		0	5	22	37	24	6	0
84	1	9		-	1																2			1	11	30	36	18	2	0
83	1	10		-	0																1			0	3	18	38	32	8	0
	0	9		-	2																				1	17	34	37	11	1
82	0	10		-	1																0					4	26	41	24	5	0
81	0	11		-	0																					1	13	36	37	11	1	0

Total:						0	0	0	0	1	1	3	5	7	9	11	12	13	12	9	10	1	3	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0