Minnesota Wild Playoff Chances 2016-2017

Lost to Winnipeg 2-4, playoff odds down 13.7 to 60.4%

83 points 39 27-5

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Sunday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Winnipeg 4 Minnesota 2	-12.2		-0.4
Chicago 2 Colorado 4			-0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Dallas vs San Jose	+0.3-0.3*-0.1-0.6-0.7-0.5
Edmonton vs Los Angeles	-0.1-0.2-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the Minnesota finish out the regular season. Explain

										100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance in		Pres		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

105	11	0		-	0	In		2.3	%	3	24	58	14	1		1										2,355
104	10	0		-	1	In		0.3		0	9	49	33	3		5										2,476
103	10	1		-	0	In		0.0		0	4	37	41	8	0	9	0									19,106
	9	0		-	2	In		No			4	32	43	9		11										1,752
102	9	1		-	1	In		No		0	1	18	43	14	0	25	0									26,279
	8	0		-	3	In		No			1	16	39	14		30	0									755
101	9	2		-	0	100.0	%	No			0	8	34	20	0	36	1	0								99,099
	8	1		-	2	In		No			0	7	31	22	0	39	1									16,254	*
100	8	2		-	1	100.0		No			0	2	18	19	0	57	4	0								120,850
	7	1		-	3	In		No				2	16	17	0	60	5									5,820	*
99	8	3		-	0	99.8		No				1	9	17	1	63	10	0								303,751
	7	2		-	2	99.8		No				0	7	16	1	64	10	0								65,344
	6	1		-	4	99.8		No				0	6	14	1	67	11	0								1,303	*
98	7	3		-	1	98.9		No				0	2	8	1	66	21	1								329,107
	6	2		-	3	98.8		No				0	2	8	1	67	21	1								20,709	*
97	7	4		-	0	96.7		No				0	1	4	1	57	34	3								620,581
	6	3		-	2	96.6		No				0	0	4	1	57	34	3								153,872
	5	2		-	4	96.8		No					0	4	1	57	34	3								4,174	*
96	6	4		-	1	90.6		No					0	1	0	42	46	9	0							582,684
	5	3		-	3	90.7		No					0	1	1	43	47	9	0							41,411
	4	2		-	5	90.8		No						1	0	41	48	9								535	*
95	6	5		-	0	81.9		No					0	0	0	28	53	18	0							878,303
	5	4		-	2	81.6		No					0	0	0	28	53	18	0							231,991
	4	3		-	4	82.0		No						0	0	28	54	18	0							6,828	*
94	5	5		-	1	66.7		No					0	0	0	15	51	33	0							700,624
	4	4		-	3	66.7		No						0	0	15	51	33	0							51,475
	3	3		-	5	66.4		No						0	0	15	52	33	0							765	*
93	5	6		-	0	51.7		No						0	0	7	44	47	1							881,292
	4	5		-	2	51.5		No						0	0	7	44	47	1							232,266
	3	4		-	4	50.1		No								7	43	49	1							6,900	*
92	4	6		-	1	33.1		No						0	0	3	30	62	5	0						584,451
	3	5		-	3	32.8		No							0	3	30	62	5	0						41,193	*
91	4	7		-	0	20.3		No								1	19	70	10	0						628,241
	3	6		-	2	19.9		No							0	1	19	69	11	0						153,904
	2	5		-	4	19.7		No								1	19	68	12	0						4,002	*
90	3	7		-	1	8.9		No							0	0	9	68	23	0						330,500
	2	6		-	3	8.5		No								0	8	66	25	0						20,148	*
89	3	8		-	0	4.0		No								0	4	60	35	1						311,596
	2	7		-	2	3.9		No								0	4	58	37	1						64,627
	1	6		-	4	2.8		No									3	56	40	1						1,389	*
88	2	8		-	1	1.0		No								0	1	42	55	3						122,691
	1	7		-	3	1.0		No									1	40	56	3	0					5,555	*
87	2	9		-	0	0.3		No									0	30	63	6	0					101,901
	1	8		-	2	0.3		No									0	27	65	7	0					16,023	*
86	1	9		-	1	0.0		No									0	13	70	17	0					26,689
	0	8		-	3	Out		No										13	68	19	0					691
85	1	10		-	0	Out		No										8	65	26	0					19,910
	0	9		-	2	0.1		No									0	7	62	30	1					1,788
84	0	10		-	1	Out		No										2	51	45	2					2,563
83	0	11		-	0	Out		No										1	40	54	6	0				2,417

Total:						60.4	%	0.0	%	0	0	0	2	2	0	23	32	33	7	0	0	0				7,848,940

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Sunday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Winnipeg 4 Minnesota 2	+1.2
Montreal 3 Ottawa 1	-0.1
Philadelphia 3 Carolina 1	-0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Edmonton vs Los Angeles	+0.0+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1
Detroit vs Buffalo	+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
Toronto vs Boston	-0.0+0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

105	11	0		-	0	2	17	48	27	5	1
104	10	0		-	1	0	4	30	38	22	5	0
103	10	1		-	0	0	1	15	34	32	14	3	0	0
	9	0		-	2		2	12	32	34	17	4	0
102	9	1		-	1		0	3	16	32	31	14	3	0	0
	8	0		-	3			3	12	32	30	19	4	1
101	9	2		-	0		0	1	5	19	32	28	12	2	0	0						0
	8	1		-	2		0	0	4	17	31	30	14	3	0	0
100	8	2		-	1			0	1	5	17	32	29	13	2	0	0					0
	7	1		-	3				0	3	16	30	32	15	3	0
99	8	3		-	0			0	0	1	6	19	33	28	10	2	0	0				0
	7	2		-	2				0	1	5	17	33	30	12	2	0	0				0
	6	1		-	4					1	4	15	31	31	15	2	0					0
98	7	3		-	1				0	0	1	5	19	34	28	11	2	0	0			1
	6	2		-	3					0	0	4	17	34	29	12	2	0				1
97	7	4		-	0					0	0	1	6	21	33	25	9	1	0	0		3
	6	3		-	2						0	1	5	20	33	26	10	2	0	0		3
	5	2		-	4						0	0	5	18	32	29	10	2	0			3
96	6	4		-	1						0	0	1	6	20	31	23	8	1	0	0	9	0
	5	3		-	3							0	1	5	19	31	24	9	1	0	0	9	0
	4	2		-	5								1	4	17	34	24	10	1			9
95	6	5		-	0							0	0	1	7	20	28	19	6	1	0	18	0
	5	4		-	2							0	0	1	6	19	28	20	6	1	0	18	0
	4	3		-	4								0	1	6	19	28	21	7	1	0	18	0
94	5	5		-	1								0	0	1	6	17	23	14	4	1	33	0
	4	4		-	3									0	1	6	17	23	15	5	1	33	0
	3	3		-	5										1	5	17	24	15	4	1	33	0
93	5	6		-	0									0	0	1	6	15	17	10	2	47	1	0	0
	4	5		-	2									0	0	1	6	15	17	10	3	47	2	0	0
	3	4		-	4										0	1	5	15	17	10	3	48	2
92	4	6		-	1										0	0	1	4	10	11	6	59	7	0	0
	3	5		-	3										0	0	1	4	10	12	6	59	8	0	0
91	4	7		-	0										0	0	0	1	4	7	8	60	18	2	0	0
	3	6		-	2											0	0	1	3	7	8	58	19	3	0	0
	2	5		-	4												0	1	3	7	8	56	21	3	0	0
90	3	7		-	1											0	0	0	0	2	6	42	35	12	2	0	0
	2	6		-	3												0	0	0	2	6	41	35	13	2	0
89	3	8		-	0												0	0	0	0	4	24	38	25	8	1	0	0
	2	7		-	2													0	0	0	3	22	38	26	9	1	0
	1	6		-	4															0	3	23	39	25	10	2	0
88	2	8		-	1															0	1	7	25	36	24	7	1	0
	1	7		-	3															0	1	6	25	35	24	7	1	0
87	2	9		-	0															0	0	2	12	30	35	18	3	0	0
	1	8		-	2																0	1	10	30	36	19	4	0
86	1	9		-	1																0	0	2	13	34	34	14	2	0	0
	0	8		-	3																	0	3	13	32	34	16	2	0
85	1	10		-	0																		0	5	21	37	28	8	1	0
	0	9		-	2																0		0	4	21	35	30	9	1
84	0	10		-	1																			1	7	26	37	24	5	0
83	0	11		-	0																			0	2	12	32	36	16	2

Total:						0	0	0	0	1	1	2	4	6	8	9	9	8	6	4	2	27	7	3	2	1	0	0	0	0