Dallas Stars Playoff Chances 2016-2017

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.06 to 99.5%

88 points 41 24-6

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Sunday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Average seed
Winnipeg 4 Minnesota 2	-0.1				+0.0
Chicago 2 Colorado 4			+0.6		-0.1

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Average seed
Dallas vs San Jose	+0.3+0.3+0.3+0.0-0.0-0.5		+0.7+0.8+0.8-0.7-0.7-1.4		+0.3+0.3+0.2-0.1-0.1-0.5
Nashville vs Arizona			+0.6*+0.0+0.1-0.4-0.4-0.3		+0.1*-0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the Dallas finish out the regular season. Explain

										100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance in		Pres		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

110	11	0		-	0	In		79.4	%	80	19	1														16,754
109	10	0		-	1	In		54.1		55	39	7	0													15,519
108	10	1		-	0	In		41.8		43	46	12	0													118,852
	9	0		-	2	In		37.3		38	48	14	0													6,874
107	9	1		-	1	In		18.5		20	49	30	1	0												106,449
	8	0		-	3	In		16.1		17	47	34	2													1,889
106	9	2		-	0	In		10.8		12	45	40	4	0												398,029
	8	1		-	2	In		9.4		11	43	42	5	0												42,506
	7	0		-	4	In		7.7		8	42	46	4													325
105	8	2		-	1	In		2.5		3	28	55	14	0												319,073
	7	1		-	3	In		1.9		3	25	57	16	0												9,839	*
104	8	3		-	0	In		0.9		1	18	56	22	1		0										797,250
	7	2		-	2	In		0.7		1	17	56	25	2		0										111,929
	6	1		-	4	In		0.7		1	15	57	24	2												1,525	*
103	7	3		-	1	In		0.1		0	6	48	41	4		0										562,289
	6	2		-	3	In		0.1		0	5	46	44	4		0										22,936
	5	1		-	5	In		No			3	47	48	2												182
102	7	4		-	0	In		0.0		0	3	36	49	11	0	0	0									1,062,140
	6	3		-	2	In		0.0		0	3	35	51	11	0	0	0									173,154
	5	2		-	4	In		0.0		0	2	32	54	12		0										2,930	*
101	6	4		-	1	In		0.0		0	1	20	58	21	0	1	0									653,604
	5	3		-	3	In		No			0	18	58	21	0	2	0									30,302
	4	2		-	5	In		No				17	60	21	0	2										281	*
100	6	5		-	0	In		No		0	0	11	50	35	0	4	0									984,243
	5	4		-	2	In		No			0	10	50	35	0	4	0									171,826
	4	3		-	4	In		No			0	9	49	37	0	5	0									3,282	*
99	5	5		-	1	100.0	%	No			0	4	40	45	1	10	0	0								516,830
	4	4		-	3	In		No			0	3	39	45	1	13	0									24,723
	3	3		-	5	In		No				4	42	40		14	0									224	*
98	5	6		-	0	100.0		No			0	1	23	52	3	20	1	0								648,833
	4	5		-	2	100.0		No				1	22	52	3	21	1	0								111,970
	3	4		-	4	99.8		No				1	21	50	3	24	1	0								2,116	*
97	4	6		-	1	99.8		No				0	12	46	4	32	5	0								282,776
	3	5		-	3	99.8		No				0	11	44	4	36	5	0								12,984	*
96	4	7		-	0	99.2		No				0	4	34	8	42	11	1								303,654
	3	6		-	2	99.1		No				0	4	33	8	43	12	1								49,021
	2	5		-	4	99.3		No					4	32	6	43	14	1								767	*
95	3	7		-	1	96.8		No					1	20	7	46	22	3	0							105,392
	2	6		-	3	96.1		No					1	16	8	47	24	4								4,350	*
94	3	8		-	0	91.3		No					0	8	6	42	35	9	0							100,041
	2	7		-	2	91.1		No					0	8	6	42	35	9	0							13,488
	1	6		-	4	90.6		No						8	6	39	38	9	1							191	*
93	2	8		-	1	80.6		No					0	3	4	30	43	19	0							25,487
	1	7		-	3	75.0		No						2	3	28	42	24	1							769	*
92	2	9		-	0	64.4		No						1	2	18	44	34	2							21,499
	1	8		-	2	64.9		No						1	2	17	45	33	2							2,221	*
91	1	9		-	1	43.5		No						0	1	8	35	48	8							3,756	*
90	1	10		-	0	25.5		No							0	3	22	56	19							2,833	*
89	0	10		-	1	5.6		No								0	5	55	39	0						231
88	0	11		-	0	4.1		No								0	4	43	52	0						802

Total:						99.5	%	2.0	%	2	8	25	32	21	1	8	2	0	0	0						7,848,940

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Sunday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Montreal 3 Ottawa 1	-0.1
Philadelphia 3 Carolina 1	+0.1
Chicago 2 Colorado 4	+0.1
New Jersey 2 Columbus 1 (ot)	+0.1

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Dallas vs San Jose	-0.5-0.5-0.5+0.2+0.2+0.9
Detroit vs Buffalo	+0.0+0.0+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1
Nashville vs Arizona	-0.1*+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

110	11	0		-	0	79	19	1
109	10	0		-	1	54	39	7	0
108	10	1		-	0	42	45	12	0	0
	9	0		-	2	37	48	14	1
107	9	1		-	1	18	47	31	3	0
	8	0		-	3	16	45	35	4	0
106	9	2		-	0	11	41	40	8	0	0
	8	1		-	2	9	39	42	9	1	0
	7	0		-	4	8	38	46	8	0
105	8	2		-	1	2	22	49	23	4	0	0
	7	1		-	3	2	20	49	25	4	0
104	8	3		-	0	1	12	42	34	10	1	0	0
	7	2		-	2	1	11	41	35	11	1	0	0
	6	1		-	4	1	10	41	36	11	2	0
103	7	3		-	1	0	3	24	41	26	6	1	0
	6	2		-	3	0	2	22	41	27	7	1	0
	5	1		-	5		1	21	38	35	5	1
102	7	4		-	0	0	1	11	33	36	16	3	0	0	0
	6	3		-	2	0	1	10	31	37	18	4	0	0
	5	2		-	4	0	1	9	30	36	20	4	0
101	6	4		-	1	0	0	3	16	35	32	13	2	0	0
	5	3		-	3		0	2	14	34	33	14	2	0	0
	4	2		-	5			2	12	31	36	15	4
100	6	5		-	0		0	1	5	21	36	27	9	1	0	0
	5	4		-	2		0	0	5	20	35	28	10	1	0	0
	4	3		-	4			0	4	19	34	29	11	2	0
99	5	5		-	1			0	1	7	24	36	24	7	1	0	0					0
	4	4		-	3			0	1	6	23	36	26	7	1	0
	3	3		-	5				1	7	21	33	30	8	0
98	5	6		-	0			0	0	1	9	27	36	20	5	1	0	0				0
	4	5		-	2			0	0	1	9	26	36	21	6	1	0	0				0
	3	4		-	4				0	1	8	26	35	22	7	1	0					0
97	4	6		-	1				0	0	2	11	29	34	19	5	1	0	0			0
	3	5		-	3					0	1	9	27	34	20	6	1	0				0
96	4	7		-	0					0	0	2	12	29	32	18	5	1	0	0		1
	3	6		-	2					0	0	2	12	28	32	19	6	1	0	0		1
	2	5		-	4						0	2	11	27	33	18	7	1	0			1
95	3	7		-	1							0	2	12	27	31	18	6	1	0	0	3	0
	2	6		-	3							0	2	10	25	31	20	7	1	0	0	4
94	3	8		-	0							0	0	3	11	25	28	17	6	1	0	9	0
	2	7		-	2								0	2	10	24	29	18	6	1	0	9	0
	1	6		-	4									2	10	20	29	24	4	2		9	1
93	2	8		-	1								0	0	2	9	20	26	17	6	1	19	0
	1	7		-	3										1	8	19	23	16	5	2	24	1
92	2	9		-	0									0	0	2	8	18	21	13	4	33	2	0	0
	1	8		-	2										0	2	7	17	20	15	4	33	2
91	1	9		-	1											0	1	5	11	16	11	45	11	1
90	1	10		-	0													1	3	9	12	43	27	4	0	0
89	0	10		-	1														0	1	4	25	42	19	6	1
88	0	11		-	0														0	0	4	13	35	34	12	2

Total:						2	6	14	16	16	14	11	8	5	3	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0