Buffalo Sabres Playoff Chances 2016-2017

Did not play, playoff odds unchanged at 0.0008%

67 points 29 34-9

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Sunday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Pittsburgh 3 Florida 2			+0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Detroit vs Buffalo	OutOutOut+0.0+0.0+0.0		-0.2+0.1+0.1+0.3+0.3+0.3

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the Buffalo finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance in		Pres	Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

87	10	0		-	0	2.5	%	No							0	2	15	38	33	10	1				2,178
86	9	0		-	1	0.1		No								0	4	23	42	25	6	0			2,550
85	9	1		-	0	0.0		No								0	1	10	33	39	16	1	0		19,218
	8	0		-	2	Out		No									1	10	30	40	17	2			1,756
84	8	1		-	1	Out		No									0	2	18	42	32	5	0		27,212
	7	0		-	3	Out		No									0	1	17	44	32	6			719
83	8	2		-	0	Out		No									0	1	8	33	45	14	0		102,314
	7	1		-	2	Out		No										0	7	31	47	14	0		16,977
	6	0		-	4	Out		No											5	27	49	19			170
82	7	2		-	1	Out		No										0	2	19	51	28	0	0	129,106
	6	1		-	3	Out		No										0	1	17	51	30	1		6,293	*
81	7	3		-	0	Out		No										0	0	8	44	45	2	0	323,620
	6	2		-	2	Out		No										0	0	8	43	46	3	0	70,636
	5	1		-	4	Out		No											0	8	42	46	4	0	1,531	*
80	6	3		-	1	Out		No											0	3	32	58	7	0	355,461
	5	2		-	3	Out		No											0	3	31	58	9	0	21,854
	4	1		-	5	Out		No												2	21	63	13	0	218	*
79	6	4		-	0	Out		No											0	1	17	64	17	1	669,684
	5	3		-	2	Out		No											0	1	16	62	20	2	165,901
	4	2		-	4	Out		No												0	16	60	21	2	4,243	*
78	5	4		-	1	Out		No												0	8	58	30	4	626,439
	4	3		-	3	Out		No												0	7	55	33	5	42,951
	3	2		-	5	Out		No													8	45	39	8	519	*
77	5	5		-	0	Out		No												0	3	44	43	10	943,415
	4	4		-	2	Out		No												0	2	40	46	13	242,510
	3	3		-	4	Out		No													2	35	48	15	6,561	*
76	4	5		-	1	Out		No												0	1	28	50	21	731,038
	3	4		-	3	Out		No												0	1	25	50	24	50,404
	2	3		-	5	Out		No													0	20	51	29	614	*
75	4	6		-	0	Out		No													0	14	48	37	920,213
	3	5		-	2	Out		No													0	12	47	42	224,791
	2	4		-	4	Out		No													0	9	44	47	5,748	*
74	3	6		-	1	Out		No													0	6	39	54	568,162
	2	5		-	3	Out		No													0	5	36	59	34,851
	1	4		-	5	Out		No														5	31	64	375	*
73	3	7		-	0	Out		No													0	2	26	72	612,613
	2	6		-	2	Out		No													0	1	23	76	131,118
	1	5		-	4	Out		No														1	18	81	2,600	*
72	2	7		-	1	Out		No														1	15	84	281,687
	1	6		-	3	Out		No														0	12	88	13,080
	0	5		-	5	Out		No															10	90	78
71	2	8		-	0	Out		No														0	7	93	266,817
	1	7		-	2	Out		No														0	5	95	43,054
	0	6		-	4	Out		No															3	97	481
70	1	8		-	1	Out		No														0	3	97	81,549
	0	7		-	3	Out		No															2	98	2,190
69	1	9		-	0	Out		No															1	99	68,098
	0	8		-	2	Out		No															0	100	6,152
68	0	9		-	1	Out		No															0	100	10,633
67	0	10		-	0	Out		No																100	8,558

Total:						0.0	%	No							0	0	0	0	0	2	8	30	30	30	7,848,940

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Sunday	None

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Detroit vs Buffalo	+0.4-0.2-0.1-0.7-0.7-0.7
Edmonton vs Los Angeles	-0.1*+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Nashville vs Arizona	+0.1+0.1+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

87	10	0		-	0														0	0	2	0	8	26	35	21	7	1
86	9	0		-	1																0		1	9	27	35	21	6	1
85	9	1		-	0																0	0	0	2	12	30	35	17	3	0	0
	8	0		-	2																		0	2	12	29	34	19	3	0
84	8	1		-	1																		0	0	3	15	34	33	13	2	0
	7	0		-	3																			0	2	14	34	34	14	2	0
83	8	2		-	0																			0	0	5	22	38	27	7	0	0
	7	1		-	2																			0	0	5	20	38	29	8	0	0
	6	0		-	4																					4	16	35	35	9
82	7	2		-	1																				0	1	8	29	40	20	3	0
	6	1		-	3																				0	1	7	27	41	21	2	0
81	7	3		-	0																				0	0	2	14	37	36	10	1	0	0
	6	2		-	2																				0	0	2	14	36	37	11	1	0
	5	1		-	4																					0	2	13	36	36	12	1	0
80	6	3		-	1																					0	0	5	24	43	24	4	0	0
	5	2		-	3																					0	0	4	23	42	24	5	0	0
	4	1		-	5																						0	4	17	47	25	6	1
79	6	4		-	0																					0	0	1	9	34	38	15	3	0	0
	5	3		-	2																						0	1	9	33	38	16	3	0	0
	4	2		-	4																							1	8	31	38	18	3	0
78	5	4		-	1																						0	0	3	19	39	28	9	1	0
	4	3		-	3																							0	2	18	38	29	11	2	0
	3	2		-	5																							0	1	16	34	33	13	1	0
77	5	5		-	0																							0	0	6	26	37	23	7	1
	4	4		-	2																							0	0	6	24	37	25	8	1
	3	3		-	4																							0	0	5	22	38	26	9	1
76	4	5		-	1																							0	0	2	13	31	34	17	3
	3	4		-	3																								0	1	11	29	35	19	4
	2	3		-	5																									1	10	28	36	20	5
75	4	6		-	0																								0	0	4	17	36	32	11
	3	5		-	2																								0	0	3	16	35	34	12
	2	4		-	4																									0	2	14	33	36	14
74	3	6		-	1																								0	0	1	7	26	42	25
	2	5		-	3																								0	0	1	6	24	42	27
	1	4		-	5																										1	5	21	44	30
73	3	7		-	0																									0	0	2	13	41	44
	2	6		-	2																									0	0	1	12	40	47
	1	5		-	4																										0	1	10	39	50
72	2	7		-	1																										0	0	5	31	64
	1	6		-	3																											0	4	29	67
	0	5		-	5																												3	31	67
71	2	8		-	0																										0	0	1	19	80
	1	7		-	2																											0	1	17	82
	0	6		-	4																												1	15	84
70	1	8		-	1																											0	0	9	90
	0	7		-	3																												0	9	91
69	1	9		-	0																												0	4	96
	0	8		-	2																												0	4	96
68	0	9		-	1																												0	1	99
67	0	10		-	0																													1	99

Total:																			0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	5	11	15	16	17	17	16