Vancouver Canucks Playoff Chances 2016-2017

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.02 to 0.7%

72 points 34 33-4

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Sunday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Calgary 2 Los Angeles 4			+0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Edmonton vs Los Angeles	-0.3-0.2-0.2+0.1+0.1+0.4
Dallas vs San Jose	+0.1+0.0-0.0-0.1-0.2-0.1		+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the Vancouver finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance in		Pres	Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

94	11	0		-	0	96.0	%	No					5	78	4	9	4	1							1,399
93	10	0		-	1	81.7		No					1	62	4	14	14	4							1,287
92	10	1		-	0	66.6		No					0	51	2	13	23	11	0						9,529
	9	0		-	2	61.5		No					0	44	2	16	26	13	0						967
91	9	1		-	1	39.2		No					0	29	1	9	30	30	1						15,339	*
90	9	2		-	0	26.6		No					0	22	0	5	27	45	2						56,262
	8	1		-	2	20.6		No						16	0	4	27	49	3						10,549	*
89	8	2		-	1	9.7		No					0	8	0	1	17	64	9						78,821
	7	1		-	3	6.4		No						6		1	15	67	12						4,330	*
88	8	3		-	0	5.3		No						5	0	0	9	69	17	0					197,805
	7	2		-	2	3.4		No						3	0	0	8	68	20	0					48,688
	6	1		-	4	1.8		No						1		0	6	68	24						1,162	*
87	7	3		-	1	1.0		No						1		0	3	61	35	0					245,450
	6	2		-	3	0.5		No						1		0	2	56	41	0					17,765	*
86	7	4		-	0	0.5		No						0		0	1	52	47	0					462,791
	6	3		-	2	0.2		No						0		0	1	47	51	0					132,520
	5	2		-	4	0.0		No						0			0	42	57	0					4,158	*
85	6	4		-	1	0.0		No						0			0	33	67	0					499,815
	5	3		-	3	0.0		No						0			0	28	71	1					40,857
	4	2		-	5	Out		No										23	76	1					587	*
84	6	5		-	0	0.0		No						0			0	24	75	1	0				753,281
	5	4		-	2	0.0		No						0			0	20	78	2	0				230,088
	4	3		-	4	Out		No									0	16	81	3					7,913	*
83	5	5		-	1	0.0		No						0			0	11	85	5	0				693,734
	4	4		-	3	Out		No										8	85	7	0				58,545
	3	3		-	5	Out		No										5	86	9					972	*
82	5	6		-	0	Out		No										6	84	10	0	0			872,788
	4	5		-	2	Out		No										5	83	12	0	0			265,770
	3	4		-	4	Out		No										3	82	15	0				8,944	*
81	4	6		-	1	Out		No										2	78	20	1	0			668,148
	3	5		-	3	Out		No										1	72	25	1	0			54,122
	2	4		-	5	Out		No										0	70	29	1				831	*
80	4	7		-	0	Out		No										1	65	32	3	0			719,719
	3	6		-	2	Out		No										0	62	34	4	0			204,104
	2	5		-	4	Out		No										0	55	39	5	0			6,321	*
79	3	7		-	1	Out		No										0	47	44	8	0			440,026
	2	6		-	3	Out		No										0	38	49	12	1			31,302	*
78	3	8		-	0	Out		No										0	30	51	18	2			415,176
	2	7		-	2	Out		No										0	27	51	20	2			100,029
	1	6		-	4	Out		No											21	52	24	3			2,254	*
77	2	8		-	1	Out		No											16	48	31	5			188,575
	1	7		-	3	Out		No											10	44	38	7			10,220	*
76	2	9		-	0	Out		No											6	38	43	13			158,299
	1	8		-	2	Out		No											5	34	45	15			28,846	*
75	1	9		-	1	Out		No											2	23	49	27			48,260
	0	8		-	3	Out		No											1	17	49	33			1,456
74	1	10		-	0	Out		No											0	12	45	43			35,835
	0	9		-	2	Out		No											0	9	43	48			3,499
73	0	10		-	1	Out		No											0	4	36	60			5,455
72	0	11		-	0	Out		No												1	21	77			4,347

Total:						0.7	%	No					0	1	0	0	1	16	60	16	5	1			7,848,940

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Sunday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Montreal 3 Ottawa 1	+0.1
Calgary 2 Los Angeles 4	-0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Dallas vs San Jose	-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Detroit vs Buffalo	-0.0-0.0*+0.0+0.1+0.0+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

94	11	0		-	0									1	8	21	30	24	10	2	0	4	1
93	10	0		-	1										1	5	16	28	22	9	3	14	4
92	10	1		-	0										0	1	4	14	24	18	6	22	11	0
	9	0		-	2											1	2	11	21	17	10	25	13	0
91	9	1		-	1											0	0	3	9	15	13	27	30	3	0	0
90	9	2		-	0												0	1	3	8	15	20	40	11	2	0	0
	8	1		-	2												0	0	2	6	13	19	42	16	3	0
89	8	2		-	1													0	0	1	8	8	39	30	11	2	0	0
	7	1		-	3														0	1	6	7	36	34	13	4	0
88	8	3		-	0													0	0	0	5	3	24	35	24	8	1	0	0
	7	2		-	2													0	0	0	3	2	20	35	28	10	2	0	0
	6	1		-	4															0	2	1	17	34	30	13	2	0
87	7	3		-	1															0	1	0	7	24	36	24	7	1	0
	6	2		-	3															0	1	0	5	22	35	28	9	1	0
86	7	4		-	0														0	0	0	0	2	12	31	34	17	3	0
	6	3		-	2															0	0	0	1	10	28	36	20	4	0
	5	2		-	4																0		1	8	25	39	22	5	0
85	6	4		-	1																0	0	0	3	15	34	35	12	1	0
	5	3		-	3																0		0	2	13	33	37	14	1	0
	4	2		-	5																		0	2	11	28	37	21	2
84	6	5		-	0																0		0	1	6	24	41	25	3	0	0
	5	4		-	2																0		0	0	5	22	41	28	4	0	0
	4	3		-	4																			0	3	19	40	32	5	0
83	5	5		-	1																0		0	0	1	9	34	43	12	1	0
	4	4		-	3																			0	1	8	31	44	15	1	0
	3	3		-	5																				1	6	26	47	19	1
82	5	6		-	0																			0	0	3	21	48	25	3	0	0
	4	5		-	2																			0	0	3	19	47	28	4	0	0
	3	4		-	4																				0	2	17	45	31	5	0	0
81	4	6		-	1																				0	0	8	38	41	11	1	0	0
	3	5		-	3																				0	0	6	33	44	15	2	0
	2	4		-	5																					0	5	30	45	18	2	0
80	4	7		-	0																				0	0	2	22	45	24	5	0	0	0
	3	6		-	2																					0	2	20	44	27	6	1	0	0
	2	5		-	4																					0	1	16	42	31	8	1	0
79	3	7		-	1																					0	0	8	34	37	17	4	0	0	0
	2	6		-	3																					0	0	5	28	40	21	5	1	0
78	3	8		-	0																						0	2	18	36	30	11	2	0	0
	2	7		-	2																						0	2	16	35	31	13	3	0	0
	1	6		-	4																							1	12	33	34	17	3	0	0
77	2	8		-	1																						0	0	6	22	35	26	10	2	0
	1	7		-	3																							0	3	18	33	30	13	3	0
76	2	9		-	0																							0	1	9	26	34	22	7	1
	1	8		-	2																							0	1	8	24	34	24	8	1
75	1	9		-	1																							0	0	2	11	28	34	20	4
	0	8		-	3																									1	7	26	35	25	6
74	1	10		-	0																								0	0	4	16	34	34	12
	0	9		-	2																								0	0	2	14	33	36	15
73	0	10		-	1																									0	1	5	23	43	29
72	0	11		-	0																										0	1	12	38	49

Total:														0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	3	6	10	16	22	18	10	5	3	1	1	0