Pittsburgh Pirates Playoff Chances 2018

Beat Brewers 282-229, playoff odds up 3.2 to 96%

8-2-0 .800

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the Pirates finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	Count

17.5	-18						In		100												136,520	*
17		9	-	1	-	0	In		89	11											506,986
		8	-	0	-	2	In		88	12											4,327
16	.5	8	-	1	-	1	In		86	14		0									136,443
		7	-	0	-	3	In		84	16											339
16		8	-	2	-	0	In		60	39	0	1									1,055,586
		7	-	1	-	2	In		61	39	0	0									15,963
		6	-	0	-	4	In		75	25											20
15	.5	7	-	2	-	1	In		53	44	0	3									248,572
		6	-	1	-	3	In		55	43		2									1,076
15		7	-	3	-	0	100.0	%	26	66	1	7	0								1,242,938
		6	-	2	-	2	100.0		26	66	0	7	0								25,407
		5	-	1	-	4	In		38	56	2	4									55
14	.5	6	-	3	-	1	99.9		18	62	1	19	0								252,100
		5	-	2	-	3	99.7		17	63	1	18	0								1,529
		4	-	1	-	5	In			83	17										6
14		6	-	4	-	0	98.8		5	58	6	29	1	0							917,887
		5	-	3	-	2	98.8		5	59	5	29	1								21,864
		4	-	2	-	4	98.4		5	67	3	23	2								61
13	.5	5	-	4	-	1	96.9		2	40	6	49	3	0							157,585
		4	-	3	-	3	97.4		3	43	6	46	3								987
13		5	-	5	-	0	85.9		0	22	12	51	14	0	0						441,903
		4	-	4	-	2	86.4		0	23	11	52	13	0							11,349
		3	-	3	-	4	74.1			7	11	56	22	4							27
12	.5	4	-	5	-	1	75.8		0	9	8	59	23	1	0						62,165
		3	-	4	-	3	74.9			9	10	56	22	3							410
		2	-	3	-	5	In					100									1
12		4	-	6	-	0	46.1		0	2	7	37	42	11	1	0					139,986
		3	-	5	-	2	48.1			3	7	39	41	10	1	0					3,523
		2	-	4	-	4	40.0				10	30	60								10
11	.5	3	-	6	-	1	29.3			1	2	26	47	21	2	0					15,378
		2	-	5	-	3	30.3				4	26	47	21	2						122
11		3	-	7	-	0	8.6			0	1	8	34	42	14	1	0				28,336
		2	-	6	-	2	8.6				1	8	36	41	13	1					628
		1	-	5	-	4	Out						50	50							2
10	.5	2	-	7	-	1	2.4				0	2	19	43	29	6	0				2,302
		1	-	6	-	3	Out						25	25	50						8
10		2	-	8	-	0	0.3				0	0	5	28	45	19	3	0			3,512
		1	-	7	-	2	Out						2	22	45	31					55
9	.5	1	-	8	-	1	Out						1	13	37	39	9	2			195
		0	-	7	-	3	Out								100						1
9		1	-	9	-	0	Out							1	27	40	27	5	0		230
		0	-	8	-	2	Out								33			67			3
8	.5	0	-	9	-	1	Out								13	13	50	25			8
8		0	-	10	-	0	Out								3	16	43	29	9		571

Total:							96.0	%	35	43	3	15	3	1	0	0	0	0	0		5,436,976

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24

18		10	-	0	-	0	82	18
17	.5	9	-	0	-	1	41	49	9	1	0
17		9	-	1	-	0	41	50	9	1	0
		8	-	0	-	2	8	37	37	15	2	0
16	.5	8	-	1	-	1	8	37	38	15	2	0	0
		7	-	0	-	3	0	8	28	35	24	4
16		8	-	2	-	0	8	37	37	15	2	0	0
		7	-	1	-	2	0	7	27	38	23	5	0
		6	-	0	-	4			5	10	60	20	5
15	.5	7	-	2	-	1	0	7	25	37	25	6	0	0
		6	-	1	-	3		0	4	16	41	34	5
15		7	-	3	-	0	0	6	24	37	25	6	0	0	0	0
		6	-	2	-	2	0	0	3	16	39	35	6	0	0
		5	-	1	-	4				4	16	62	18
14	.5	6	-	3	-	1	0	0	3	15	38	36	8	0	0	0	0
		5	-	2	-	3			0	1	13	48	35	2	0	0
		4	-	1	-	5						33	50	17
14		6	-	4	-	0	0	0	2	13	36	36	11	0	1	0	0
		5	-	3	-	2			0	1	12	45	38	4	0	1	0
		4	-	2	-	4						20	62	16			2
13	.5	5	-	4	-	1			0	1	9	41	42	5	1	2	0
		4	-	3	-	3					1	17	58	23	0	2	1	0
13		5	-	5	-	0			0	1	7	34	39	5	6	7	1	0
		4	-	4	-	2				0	0	12	50	24	2	8	3	0
		3	-	3	-	4						4	15	56		11	11	4
12	.5	4	-	5	-	1				0	0	9	43	24	3	15	6	0	0
		3	-	4	-	3						0	22	52		8	13	4	0
		2	-	3	-	5								100
12		4	-	6	-	0					0	5	26	15	5	35	13	0	0
		3	-	5	-	2						0	14	34	1	17	26	7	1
		2	-	4	-	4								40		10	30	10	10
11	.5	3	-	6	-	1						0	8	21	1	22	37	11	1	0
		2	-	5	-	3							3	27		2	18	38	11
11		3	-	7	-	0						0	2	6	1	29	48	12	1	0
		2	-	6	-	2							0	8		2	29	40	18	3
		1	-	5	-	4												50		50
10	.5	2	-	7	-	1							0	2		4	28	41	22	3	0
		1	-	6	-	3												25	25	38		13
10		2	-	8	-	0							0	0		4	26	41	25	4	0
		1	-	7	-	2											2	7	44	38	7	2
9	.5	1	-	8	-	1											1	16	41	31	9	2
		0	-	7	-	3															100
9		1	-	9	-	0											1	11	34	39	12	2	0
		0	-	8	-	2														33		33	33
8	.5	0	-	9	-	1													13	13	25	50
8		0	-	10	-	0													1	6	28	40	21	4	1

Total:							7	15	16	17	16	14	8	1	1	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0