Kansas City Royals Playoff Chances 2018

Beat Twins 281-230, playoff odds up 7.8 to 11.1%

6-4-0 .600

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the Royals finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	Count

16		10	-	0	-	0	In		22	75	3										8,451
15	.5	9	-	0	-	1	98.4	%	7	72	13	6	2								3,490
15		9	-	1	-	0	92.8		1	48	33	10	7	0							89,131
		8	-	0	-	2	92.6		2	54	30	7	7	0							686
14	.5	8	-	1	-	1	73.9		0	22	41	11	24	2							32,968
		7	-	0	-	3	77.6			21	49	7	22								67
14		8	-	2	-	0	53.0		0	8	39	6	33	14							404,321
		7	-	1	-	2	55.5			8	41	7	32	13							5,106
		6	-	0	-	4	16.7				17		50	33							6
13	.5	7	-	2	-	1	28.6			1	25	2	41	31							124,547
		6	-	1	-	3	29.2			2	26	2	40	31							465
13		7	-	3	-	0	16.9			0	16	1	25	58	0						963,649
		6	-	2	-	2	18.0			0	17	1	25	57							16,296
		5	-	1	-	4	24.1				24		24	52							29
12	.5	6	-	3	-	1	6.5			0	6	0	18	75	0						243,846
		5	-	2	-	3	7.5				7	0	18	74	0						1,150
		4	-	1	-	5	Out							100							4
12		6	-	4	-	0	3.3			0	3	0	7	89	0						1,304,552
		5	-	3	-	2	3.3				3	0	7	89	0						25,819
		4	-	2	-	4	Out						8	92							50
11	.5	5	-	4	-	1	0.9				1	0	4	95	0						265,666
		4	-	3	-	3	1.2				1		4	95	0						1,476
		3	-	2	-	5	Out							100							1
11		5	-	5	-	0	0.4				0	0	1	98	0	0					1,034,840
		4	-	4	-	2	0.5				0		1	98	0						21,817
		3	-	3	-	4	Out						2	97	2						58
10	.5	4	-	5	-	1	0.1				0		1	98	1	0					164,703
		3	-	4	-	3	0.1				0		0	98	2						958
		2	-	3	-	5	Out							100							1
10		4	-	6	-	0	0.0				0		0	97	3	0	0				481,744
		3	-	5	-	2	0.0				0		0	97	3	0	0				10,113
		2	-	4	-	4	Out							100							20
9	.5	3	-	6	-	1	0.0				0		0	91	9	0					58,209
		2	-	5	-	3	Out							93	7						337
		1	-	4	-	5	Out							100							1
9		3	-	7	-	0	0.0				0		0	82	17	1	0				132,720
		2	-	6	-	2	Out						0	83	16	1					2,663
		1	-	5	-	4	Out							75	25						4
8	.5	2	-	7	-	1	Out						0	62	34	4	0				11,574
		1	-	6	-	3	Out							52	46	2					50
8		2	-	8	-	0	Out						0	43	47	10	0				21,244
		1	-	7	-	2	Out							46	42	12					310
7	.5	1	-	8	-	1	Out							17	52	28	4				1,190
		0	-	7	-	3	Out							20	40	20	20				5
7		1	-	9	-	0	Out							6	42	42	10	0			1,926
		0	-	8	-	2	Out								58	26	16				19
6	.5	0	-	9	-	1	Out								16	48	25	11			56
6		0	-	10	-	0	Out								5	32	42	20	1		638

Total:							11.1	%	0	2	8	1	11	76	1	0	0	0	0		5,436,976

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24

16		10	-	0	-	0	5	29	39	21	5	0
15	.5	9	-	0	-	1	0	2	13	30	37	15	0		2	0
15		9	-	1	-	0	0	1	9	27	37	18	1	0	7	0
		8	-	0	-	2			0	3	24	50	14	0	5	2
14	.5	8	-	1	-	1		0	0	3	17	42	12	0	18	8	0
		7	-	0	-	3					6	21	40	10	6	15	1
14		8	-	2	-	0		0	0	1	11	29	11	0	31	16	0
		7	-	1	-	2				0	1	21	29	4	13	30	2
		6	-	0	-	4							17		17	17	50
13	.5	7	-	2	-	1				0	1	10	15	3	20	48	4	0
		6	-	1	-	3						3	17	10	5	48	17	1
13		7	-	3	-	0				0	0	5	9	2	22	56	5	0	0
		6	-	2	-	2					0	2	9	7	5	54	22	1	0
		5	-	1	-	4							10	14		31	34	10
12	.5	6	-	3	-	1					0	0	3	3	6	60	26	2	0
		5	-	2	-	3							2	6	0	31	44	16	1	0
		4	-	1	-	5												50	25	25
12		6	-	4	-	0					0	0	2	2	5	61	28	2	0
		5	-	3	-	2						0	1	3	1	29	48	18	2	0
		4	-	2	-	4										6	24	48	18	4
11	.5	5	-	4	-	1						0	0	1	1	29	49	19	2	0
		4	-	3	-	3							0	1		5	31	41	18	3	0
		3	-	2	-	5														100
11		5	-	5	-	0						0	0	0	1	28	49	20	2	0	0
		4	-	4	-	2							0	0	0	4	28	44	19	3	0
		3	-	3	-	4											5	31	24	31	7	2
10	.5	4	-	5	-	1							0	0	0	4	27	45	20	3	0	0
		3	-	4	-	3								0			3	22	39	28	7	1	0
		2	-	3	-	5																100
10		4	-	6	-	0							0	0	0	4	27	45	21	3	0	0
		3	-	5	-	2								0		0	3	22	39	29	7	1	0
		2	-	4	-	4												5	5	30	50	10
9	.5	3	-	6	-	1								0		0	3	21	40	29	7	1	0	0
		2	-	5	-	3												1	12	35	31	16	4	0
		1	-	4	-	5																		100
9		3	-	7	-	0								0		0	3	21	40	29	8	1	0
		2	-	6	-	2											0	1	10	31	36	18	4	0
		1	-	5	-	4															25	25	25	25
8	.5	2	-	7	-	1											0	1	10	30	36	19	4	0	0
		1	-	6	-	3														6	10	30	36	18
8		2	-	8	-	0											0	1	9	29	36	20	5	1	0
		1	-	7	-	2														3	15	30	37	13	3	0
7	.5	1	-	8	-	1													0	1	12	28	36	19	4	0
		0	-	7	-	3																20		40	20	20
7		1	-	9	-	0													0	2	10	28	34	21	5	0
		0	-	8	-	2																5	16	21	42	16
6	.5	0	-	9	-	1																2	7	32	45	11	4
6		0	-	10	-	0																0	3	12	36	38	11	0

Total:							0	0	0	1	2	4	4	1	9	37	24	12	5	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0