Atlanta Braves Playoff Chances 2018

Beat Phillies 223-195, playoff odds up 0.4 to 0.7%

5-5-0 .500

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the Braves finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	Count

15		10	-	0	-	0	In		36	64											593
14	.5	9	-	0	-	1	In		5	80		15									20
14		9	-	1	-	0	95.9	%	7	50	1	38	4								783
		8	-	0	-	2	In			100											5
13	.5	8	-	1	-	1	85.7		3	23	3	57	14								488
		7	-	0	-	3	In			100											1
13		8	-	2	-	0	69.0		0	14	2	52	29	2							9,082
		7	-	1	-	2	69.0			12	1	56	29	2							142
12	.5	7	-	2	-	1	42.4			4	2	37	51	6	0						5,272
		6	-	1	-	3	21.1					21	63	16							19
12		7	-	3	-	0	25.3			1	1	23	56	17	1	0					61,086
		6	-	2	-	2	23.6			1	1	22	57	18	2	0					1,283
		5	-	1	-	4	50.0					50			50						2
11	.5	6	-	3	-	1	7.4			0	0	7	52	36	5	0					29,112
		5	-	2	-	3	7.6					8	44	44	5						172
11		6	-	4	-	0	3.0			0	0	3	33	44	18	2	0				251,145
		5	-	3	-	2	2.4				0	2	32	45	18	2	0				5,946
		4	-	2	-	4	15.4					15	31	23	31						13
10	.5	5	-	4	-	1	0.3				0	0	13	43	36	8	1	0			98,637
		4	-	3	-	3	Out						11	43	38	7	0				639
10		5	-	5	-	0	0.1				0	0	4	25	43	24	4	0	0		663,887
		4	-	4	-	2	0.0					0	4	25	43	24	4	0			15,624
		3	-	3	-	4	Out							21	47	30	2				47
9	.5	4	-	5	-	1	0.0					0	0	8	34	41	15	1	0		206,540
		3	-	4	-	3	Out						0	7	35	40	17	2	0		1,326
		2	-	3	-	5	Out										100				1
9		4	-	6	-	0	Out						0	2	17	41	34	6	0		1,131,195
		3	-	5	-	2	Out						0	2	15	42	35	6	0		24,620
		2	-	4	-	4	Out								13	35	44	7			54
8	.5	3	-	6	-	1	Out						0	0	4	25	47	23	2		267,122
		2	-	5	-	3	Out							0	4	21	50	23	1		1,423
		1	-	4	-	5	Out										100				1
8		3	-	7	-	0	Out							0	1	11	46	37	4	0	1,224,205
		2	-	6	-	2	Out							0	1	10	47	38	4		22,865
		1	-	5	-	4	Out									9	41	45	5		44
7	.5	2	-	7	-	1	Out								0	2	24	55	18	0	203,956
		1	-	6	-	3	Out									2	24	56	18		860
7		2	-	8	-	0	Out								0	1	16	57	26	0	793,520
		1	-	7	-	2	Out									0	16	57	26	0	10,730
		0	-	6	-	4	Out										18	55	27		11
6	.5	1	-	8	-	1	Out									0	3	42	55	0	82,100
		0	-	7	-	3	Out										2	53	45		175
6		1	-	9	-	0	Out									0	2	36	61	1	271,895
		0	-	8	-	2	Out										2	37	60	1	2,048
5	.5	0	-	9	-	1	Out										0	14	83	3	12,671
5		0	-	10	-	0	Out										0	10	77	13	35,616

Total:							0.7	%	0	0	0	1	3	7	12	18	25	24	10	0	5,436,976

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24

15		10	-	0	-	0	1	13	34	35	15	2
14	.5	9	-	0	-	1					40	30	30
14		9	-	1	-	0				2	14	37	42	2	3	1
		8	-	0	-	2							80	20
13	.5	8	-	1	-	1					0	8	59	18	4	8	2	0
		7	-	0	-	3								100
13		8	-	2	-	0				0	0	6	48	15	8	16	6	0
		7	-	1	-	2							32	37	1	12	10	7	1
12	.5	7	-	2	-	1						0	18	24	2	18	27	10	1	0
		6	-	1	-	3								21		11	16	42	11
12		7	-	3	-	0						0	11	14	2	22	35	14	1	0
		6	-	2	-	2							4	19	0	3	23	34	14	2
		5	-	1	-	4								50						50
11	.5	6	-	3	-	1							1	6	0	4	25	41	20	2	0
		5	-	2	-	3								8			3	24	37	26	2	1
11		6	-	4	-	0							0	3	0	4	25	43	22	3	0	0
		5	-	3	-	2							0	2		0	3	21	42	25	5	0	0
		4	-	2	-	4								15					31	31	23
10	.5	5	-	4	-	1							0	0	0	0	3	20	43	27	6	0	0
		4	-	3	-	3												3	18	42	30	8	0
10		5	-	5	-	0							0	0	0	0	2	19	43	29	6	0	0
		4	-	4	-	2								0			0	2	17	40	32	9	1	0
		3	-	3	-	4													2	11	45	28	13	2
9	.5	4	-	5	-	1								0		0	0	1	15	39	34	10	1	0
		3	-	4	-	3													1	12	34	37	13	2	0
		2	-	3	-	5																	100
9		4	-	6	-	0										0	0	1	13	37	36	11	1	0	0
		3	-	5	-	2												0	1	10	34	37	15	2	0	0
		2	-	4	-	4															2	19	50	24	4	2
8	.5	3	-	6	-	1												0	1	9	34	38	15	3	0	0
		2	-	5	-	3													0	0	6	26	37	23	7	0
		1	-	4	-	5																			100
8		3	-	7	-	0												0	1	8	33	39	16	3	0	0
		2	-	6	-	2														0	6	26	37	23	6	1
		1	-	5	-	4																	14	52	27	7
7	.5	2	-	7	-	1													0	0	6	26	38	23	6	1	0
		1	-	6	-	3																4	17	36	35	9
7		2	-	8	-	0													0	0	5	26	38	24	6	1	0
		1	-	7	-	2															0	2	16	36	35	11	0
		0	-	6	-	4																			27	45	27
6	.5	1	-	8	-	1															0	2	16	37	34	11	0
		0	-	7	-	3																	1	9	41	43	7
6		1	-	9	-	0															0	2	16	36	34	11	0	0
		0	-	8	-	2																	1	10	33	50	6	0
5	.5	0	-	9	-	1																0	1	8	36	49	6	0
5		0	-	10	-	0																0	1	8	35	50	6	0	0

Total:							0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	5	11	16	20	19	13	8	4	1	0	0	0