"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 6/10100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Braves 223 Phillies 195 -13.2
-0.6
Cubs 235.5 Reds 299.5 -3.6
Pirates 282 Brewers 229 -0.3
-0.0
Mets 231.5 Nationals 313.5 +0.3
-0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 6/17100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Phillies vs Mets+5.3-4.6-10.0
+0.3-0.1-0.7
Reds vs Pirates-3.7-3.3+2.2
-0.0-0.1+0.0
Nationals vs Braves-0.2*+0.1+0.9
Rockies vs Giants-0.2*-0.3+0.3
Diamondbacks vs Dodgers-0.1*+0.2+0.2
Brewers vs Cubs+0.1+0.0-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Phillies finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs123456789101112Count
1610-0-0In85155,846
15.59-0-1In623442,328
159-1-0100.0%4231027058,114
8-0-2In4936015433
14.58-1-198.01636146221,524
7-0-3In19414137
148-2-093.36212647269,098
7-1-294.082525963,509
6-0-4In1002
13.57-2-177.011226223086,114
6-1-375.411515825329
137-3-063.3052573600691,395
6-2-263.20525637011,861
5-1-447.4475319
12.56-3-137.2011356120188,265
5-2-337.22134612947
126-4-024.500124687001,094,447
5-3-224.00123697021,955
4-2-426.326631138
11.55-4-18.5008692120247,787
4-3-37.1007712021,357
115-5-03.600452358101,121,103
4-4-23.203533681023,109
3-3-42.225239746
10.54-5-10.400284622300207,123
3-4-30.71274623301,168
104-6-00.10011343716200756,700
3-5-20.10113537152015,290
2-4-4Out8372626338
9.53-6-10.002163933910109,400
2-5-3Out2153735101519
93-7-0Out0421382980335,957
2-6-2Out04213828805,999
1-5-4Out4040205
8.52-7-1Out006274322235,703
1-6-3Out52736276150
82-8-0Out019324314093,999
1-7-2Out193144151,216
0-6-4Out1001
7.51-8-1Out21750316,649
0-7-3Out713532715
71-9-0Out053660015,105
0-8-2Out133462143
6.50-9-1Out121780516
60-10-0Out049501,617
Total:23.2%12119381710632105,436,976
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 6/10100.0*Lottery seed
Braves 223 Phillies 195 +1.0
Cubs 235.5 Reds 299.5 +0.1
Twins 230 Royals 281 +0.1
Giants 198 Diamondbacks 275 +0.0
Pirates 282 Brewers 229 +0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 6/17100.0*Lottery seed
Phillies vs Mets-0.5+0.6+0.9
Reds vs Pirates+0.1+0.1-0.1
Royals vs Tigers+0.0-0.1-0.1
Diamondbacks vs Dodgers+0.0-0.1-0.0
Rockies vs Giants+0.0-0.1-0.1
Brewers vs Cubs-0.1-0.1+0.0
Mariners vs Astros-0.1-0.1+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T123456789101112131415161718192021222324
1610-0-0430412230
15.59-0-12113236162
159-1-0019263722500
8-0-2031940362
14.58-1-1021438422110
7-0-3147314
148-2-00011035442520
7-1-21116517240
6-0-45050
13.57-2-1018541461430
6-1-337382149
137-3-00006451292340
6-2-20132312191410
5-1-41632526165
12.56-3-10019183322520
5-2-3730012371220
126-4-000131243731300
5-3-20519015411820
4-2-432433424113
11.55-4-10270174823300
4-3-307324442030
115-5-00130175125300
4-4-20302244323400
3-3-4223037209
10.54-5-10002234425500
3-4-31319383271
104-6-00002224326600
3-5-20021738321010
2-4-43295883
9.53-6-100215373411100
2-5-301228371850
93-7-00112353613200
2-6-216273723500
1-5-46040
8.52-7-10052338267100
1-6-31113432193
82-8-0003193829910
1-7-201731381830
0-6-4100
7.51-8-101728392150
0-7-32753137
71-9-00523402560
0-8-2216402913
6.50-9-101113638140
60-10-0062742250
Total:0000131362172516952100000