How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 6/10100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Red Sox 266 Yankees 236.5 -0.0
-0.1
Tigers 225.5 Indians 254 +0.1
Rangers 217 Mariners 213 -0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 6/17100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Yankees vs Blue Jays+0.0*OutOut
+0.4+0.2-0.1
Royals vs Tigers+0.0-0.1-0.1
Rangers vs Angels-0.1-0.0+0.0
Indians vs Twins-0.1-0.0+0.0
Rays vs Red Sox-0.1-0.0+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Yankees finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs123456789101112Count
1310-0-06.7%751348623
12.59-0-11.6220562264
129-1-00.301542421,599
8-0-2Out25443116
11.58-1-1Out338591,061
7-0-3Out67333
118-2-0Out22078019,246
7-1-2Out12078287
10.57-2-1Out01585010,324
6-1-3Out2158341
107-3-0Out059410120,367
6-2-2Out059502,391
5-1-4Out1001
9.56-3-1Out03952053,292
5-2-3Out03933291
96-4-0Out019450440,337
5-3-2Out194509,531
4-2-4Out10026
8.55-4-1Out088110154,142
4-3-3Out087130882
85-5-0Out0772220980,240
4-4-2Out07523221,204
3-3-4Out722839
7.54-5-1Out0603550259,742
3-4-3Out563851,471
2-3-5Out1001
74-6-0Out040471301,310,324
3-5-2Out0374715025,964
2-4-4Out28611157
6.53-6-1Out19503010252,760
2-5-3Out18493211,244
1-4-5Out50502
63-7-0Out0840485001,020,569
2-6-2Out637525017,365
1-5-4Out42963424
5.52-7-1Out120661200134,777
1-6-3Out11770121490
52-8-0Out07553360443,004
1-7-2Out055634505,595
0-6-4Out7114147
4.51-8-1Out1384515136,191
0-7-3Out324423266
41-9-0Out093846697,718
0-8-2Out1041437703
3.50-9-1Out2261173,736
30-10-0Out761319,159
Total:0.0%0004329215205,436,976
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 6/10100.0*Lottery seed
Red Sox 266 Yankees 236.5 +0.2
Braves 223 Phillies 195 +0.1
Tigers 225.5 Indians 254 -0.1
Giants 198 Diamondbacks 275 -0.1
Rangers 217 Mariners 213 +0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 6/17100.0*Lottery seed
Yankees vs Blue Jays-1.0+0.2+0.2
Rockies vs Giants-0.1-0.1+0.1
Royals vs Tigers-0.0-0.0+0.2
Rangers vs Angels+0.2-0.0-0.0
Diamondbacks vs Dodgers-0.1-0.1+0.1
Nationals vs Braves-0.0-0.0+0.1
Brewers vs Cubs-0.1-0.1+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T123456789101112131415161718192021222324
1310-0-0024044436
12.59-0-1222548222
129-1-000427511620
8-0-21364438
11.58-1-1323422651
7-0-36733
118-2-003234227600
7-1-21123835131
10.57-2-1021235351420
6-1-353234227
107-3-00112353615200
6-2-20523422550
5-1-4100
9.56-3-1005234026600
5-2-302143437111
96-4-00052241266000
5-3-2021436361110
4-2-4831548
8.55-4-10021436351210
4-3-31103436172
85-5-00021335361220
4-4-201831381830
3-3-4334621
7.54-5-101830381930
3-4-3062740270
2-3-5100
74-6-0001729382140
3-5-20062542260
2-4-4423722
6.53-6-100523432810
2-5-304286080
1-4-55050
63-7-000421433110
2-6-2032464800
1-5-4458298
5.52-7-10022167900
1-6-32523951
52-8-000219681100
1-7-202504080
0-6-4295714
4.51-8-10146411110
0-7-353539202
41-9-00140441410
0-8-273242173
3.50-9-132450212
30-10-01854253
Total:0000000013712181919172100