Sports Club Stats, which I have open
in like seven browser tabs always
-Katie Baker

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 6/10100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Mets 231.5 Nationals 313.5 +2.3
+0.2
Braves 223 Phillies 195 +1.4
+0.1
Cubs 235.5 Reds 299.5 -1.1
Pirates 282 Brewers 229 -0.1
-0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 6/17100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Nationals vs Braves+0.7-0.4-3.1
+0.1-0.1-0.4
Phillies vs Mets-0.4+0.3+0.7
Reds vs Pirates-0.3*-0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Nationals finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs123456789101112Count
1710-0-0In973600,229
16.59-0-1In8713150,297
169-1-0In821801,370,310
8-0-2In821816,876
15.58-1-1In613900308,347
7-0-3In61391,102
158-2-0100.0%49501101,359,611
7-1-2100.0505000030,446
6-0-4In485254
14.57-2-199.92671120269,514
6-1-399.926711101,807
5-0-5In1001
147-3-098.616717510765,725
6-2-299.1167364123,261
5-1-4In18764168
13.56-3-196.247211940131,832
5-2-396.447510641,127
4-1-5In67333
136-4-084.914823121500271,606
5-3-287.525223101209,619
4-2-490.355351031
12.55-4-172.50342514261039,471
4-3-375.6362713232390
3-2-5Out1001
125-5-046.101127844101062,837
4-4-249.21328843712,384
3-3-481.8452791811
11.54-5-127.651854921207,464
3-4-332.9101584222479
114-6-010.5191314017209,559
3-5-29.61623042161342
10.53-6-12.802117423081943
2-5-3Out40605
103-7-00.40320402880905
2-6-2Out253828932
9.52-7-1Out10313523262
1-6-3Out1001
92-8-0Out1031411758
8.51-8-1Out1001
7.5-8Out1003*
70-10-0Out552421562
Total:97.8%543932200000005,436,976

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 6/10100.0*Lottery seed
Mets 231.5 Nationals 313.5 -0.4
Twins 230 Royals 281 -0.1
Braves 223 Phillies 195 -0.1
Cubs 235.5 Reds 299.5 +0.1
Red Sox 266 Yankees 236.5 +0.0
Pirates 282 Brewers 229 +0.0
Blue Jays 273 Rays 147 +0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 6/17100.0*Lottery seed
Nationals vs Braves-0.2+1.0+1.0
Rays vs Red Sox-0.2-0.2+0.0
Reds vs Pirates-0.1-0.2+0.0
Yankees vs Blue Jays-0.2-0.2+0.0
Indians vs Twins-0.1-0.1+0.0
Rangers vs Angels-0.1-0.1+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T123456789101112131415161718192021222324
1710-0-04149910
16.59-0-1840371320
169-1-08403713200
8-0-20829372240
15.58-1-10829382140
7-0-3021941344
158-2-00828382140000
7-1-2003194132500
6-0-42115433
14.57-2-10031841326000
6-1-3114503230
5-0-5100
147-3-000318403160100
6-2-2011348343100
5-1-4136324
13.56-3-1011345344220
5-2-31175523121
4-1-53367
136-4-000111403038700
5-3-2011550222830
4-2-4266510
12.55-4-10112402041760
4-3-322648181420
3-2-5100
125-5-000824138331200
4-4-2115331162760
3-3-48218
11.54-5-1181912337101
3-4-35286222713
114-6-0038127471310
3-5-21842638193
10.53-6-103052641224
2-5-320402020
103-7-000323442560
2-6-219253125
9.52-7-1183234152
1-6-3100
92-8-072640243
8.51-8-1100
81-9-05050
7.50-9-1100
70-10-01133437132
Total:7192119161141110000000000