New York Mets Playoff Chances 2018

Lost to Nationals 231.5-313.5, playoff odds down 5.5 to 2.3%

5-5-0 .500

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the Mets finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	Count

15		10	-	0	-	0	99.8	%	31	50	1	18	0								858
14	.5	9	-	0	-	1	98.9		11	38	1	48	1								176
14		9	-	1	-	0	94.3		5	31	3	56	6								5,602
		8	-	0	-	2	94.6		2	30		63	5								56
13	.5	8	-	1	-	1	81.0		1	13	2	66	19								2,835
		7	-	0	-	3	In					100									4
13		8	-	2	-	0	66.9		0	8	3	56	32	1	0						45,916
		7	-	1	-	2	62.4			6	2	54	37	1							627
12	.5	7	-	2	-	1	39.8		0	2	1	37	55	5	0						20,249
		6	-	1	-	3	37.5			1	1	35	56	6							80
12		7	-	3	-	0	24.6		0	1	1	23	59	15	1	0					206,725
		6	-	2	-	2	23.2			1	1	22	60	15	1	0					3,628
		5	-	1	-	4	50.0					50	50								4
11	.5	6	-	3	-	1	7.4			0	0	7	54	33	5	0					76,467
		5	-	2	-	3	9.4				0	9	60	27	4						383
11		6	-	4	-	0	3.0			0	0	3	35	42	17	2	0				573,811
		5	-	3	-	2	2.7			0	0	3	34	43	18	2					11,674
		4	-	2	-	4	10.5					11	26	42	16	5					19
10	.5	5	-	4	-	1	0.3				0	0	14	43	35	7	0	0			174,573
		4	-	3	-	3	0.4					0	16	45	31	7	0				983
		3	-	2	-	5	Out							100							2
10		5	-	5	-	0	0.1				0	0	5	26	43	23	3	0	0		1,019,983
		4	-	4	-	2	0.0					0	4	25	44	23	3	0			21,519
		3	-	3	-	4	Out						4	18	60	16		2			45
9	.5	4	-	5	-	1	0.0					0	1	9	38	40	11	1	0		248,890
		3	-	4	-	3	Out						1	10	38	39	12	1			1,442
		2	-	3	-	5	Out									100					1
9		4	-	6	-	0	Out						0	3	20	46	27	5	0		1,187,420
		3	-	5	-	2	Out						0	2	20	45	28	5	0		24,018
		2	-	4	-	4	Out								26	34	32	5	3		38
8	.5	3	-	6	-	1	Out						0	0	6	31	43	19	1		222,664
		2	-	5	-	3	Out							0	5	32	43	18	2		1,084
		1	-	4	-	5	Out									50	50				2
8		3	-	7	-	0	Out							0	1	16	42	35	7	0	885,691
		2	-	6	-	2	Out							0	1	14	41	37	7		15,649
		1	-	5	-	4	Out									8	32	48	12		25
7	.5	2	-	7	-	1	Out								0	3	24	52	21	0	120,410
		1	-	6	-	3	Out									4	23	51	22		494
7		2	-	8	-	0	Out								0	1	12	48	39	0	404,605
		1	-	7	-	2	Out									1	11	48	41	0	5,299
		0	-	6	-	4	Out										75	25			4
6	.5	1	-	8	-	1	Out									0	2	33	64	0	35,314
		0	-	7	-	3	Out											36	63	1	76
6		1	-	9	-	0	Out									0	1	19	78	2	101,668
		0	-	8	-	2	Out										0	17	81	2	768
5	.5	0	-	9	-	1	Out											7	89	3	4,225
5		0	-	10	-	0	Out											2	83	15	10,970

Total:							2.3	%	0	0	0	2	9	13	18	21	17	13	7	0	5,436,976

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24

15		10	-	0	-	0	1	5	18	32	28	14	2		0
14	.5	9	-	0	-	1				1	14	36	47	2	1
14		9	-	1	-	0			0	1	8	32	50	3	3	2	0
		8	-	0	-	2						2	77	16	4	2
13	.5	8	-	1	-	1					0	5	56	19	4	11	3	0
		7	-	0	-	3								100
13		8	-	2	-	0				0	0	4	46	17	6	20	6	0	0
		7	-	1	-	2						0	23	40	1	14	18	4	0
12	.5	7	-	2	-	1						0	16	24	1	20	29	9	1	0
		6	-	1	-	3							5	33		8	29	9	15	3
12		7	-	3	-	0						0	10	15	1	24	36	13	1	0
		6	-	2	-	2							3	20	0	5	25	32	13	1
		5	-	1	-	4								50					50
11	.5	6	-	3	-	1							1	6	0	5	28	40	18	2	0
		5	-	2	-	3								9		0	8	27	40	14	2
11		6	-	4	-	0						0	0	3	0	5	27	42	20	2	0
		5	-	3	-	2							0	3		0	5	26	44	21	2	0
		4	-	2	-	4								11				5	21	32	26	5
10	.5	5	-	4	-	1							0	0		0	5	24	45	23	2	0	0
		4	-	3	-	3								0			0	4	25	46	21	3	0
		3	-	2	-	5															50	50
10		5	-	5	-	0							0	0	0	0	4	23	46	24	3	0	0
		4	-	4	-	2								0			0	3	25	45	22	4	0	0
		3	-	3	-	4													2	24	33	27	11	2
9	.5	4	-	5	-	1								0		0	0	3	23	45	24	5	0	0
		3	-	4	-	3												0	2	24	37	27	8	1
		2	-	3	-	5																	100
9		4	-	6	-	0										0	0	2	22	44	26	6	0	0	0
		3	-	5	-	2												0	3	20	38	29	9	1	0	0
		2	-	4	-	4														3	11	29	42	13		3
8	.5	3	-	6	-	1												0	2	18	37	31	10	2	0	0
		2	-	5	-	3													0	1	10	31	34	19	5
		1	-	4	-	5																		50	50
8		3	-	7	-	0												0	2	15	36	33	12	2	0	0
		2	-	6	-	2													0	1	9	28	37	20	4	0
		1	-	5	-	4																4	20	48	16	12
7	.5	2	-	7	-	1													0	1	8	27	37	21	5	0
		1	-	6	-	3																3	18	39	30	10
7		2	-	8	-	0													0	1	6	26	38	23	6	1	0
		1	-	7	-	2															0	3	16	36	33	12	0
		0	-	6	-	4																			25	50	25
6	.5	1	-	8	-	1														0	0	2	13	36	37	12	0
		0	-	7	-	3																	3	11	21	57	9
6		1	-	9	-	0															0	2	12	34	38	14	0
		0	-	8	-	2																0	0	7	32	53	8	0
5	.5	0	-	9	-	1																	0	5	31	56	6	0
5		0	-	10	-	0																	0	4	29	59	8	0

Total:							0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	2	6	11	19	21	16	11	7	4	2	1	0	0