"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 6/10100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Giants 198 Diamondbacks 275 +9.8
+0.7
Dodgers 255.5 Rockies 372.5 +1.1
Braves 223 Phillies 195 +0.2
Mets 231.5 Nationals 313.5 +0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 6/17100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Diamondbacks vs Dodgers+7.7-3.3-12.1
+0.4-0.1-0.7
Rockies vs Giants-3.7*+0.4+6.8
-0.1+0.0+0.2
Reds vs Pirates-0.2*-0.1+0.1
Brewers vs Cubs+0.1+0.0-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Diamondbacks finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs123456789101112Count
1610-0-0In9285,818
15.59-0-1In623342,375
159-1-0In37491357,306
8-0-2In444214401
14.58-1-1In144838021,155
7-0-3In13375046
148-2-0100.0%5375700260,513
7-1-2In6385603,463
6-0-4In50506
13.57-2-199.81178110083,604
6-1-399.72178000334
137-3-098.60988110669,593
6-2-298.7098811011,566
5-1-4In79315
12.56-3-194.402902510182,528
5-2-394.3291151906
126-4-087.001842103001,074,115
5-3-287.4185293021,420
4-2-486.784211245
11.55-4-171.00701151310246,134
4-3-373.77311312101,308
3-2-5In1002
115-5-055.6055116226101,127,731
4-4-255.00540172260023,368
3-3-460.0601820260
10.54-5-134.134093419300210,786
3-4-335.63693617301,177
104-6-018.71905263315300781,937
3-5-218.118052733142015,488
2-4-48.18535381437
9.53-6-16.77011337331010113,706
2-5-37.071113634111546
1-4-5Out50502
93-7-01.720318373091352,188
2-6-21.9204193830806,263
1-5-4Out2727331315
8.52-7-10.2006274321337,920
1-6-3Out142546231146
82-8-00.00018314417097,838
1-7-2Out173145161,322
7.51-8-1Out021949306,788
0-7-3Out14711414
71-9-0Out043363014,849
0-8-2Out22871112
6.50-9-1Out02377504
60-10-0Out69401,526
Total:60.4%145517119632105,436,976
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 6/10100.0*Lottery seed
Giants 198 Diamondbacks 275 -0.8
Dodgers 255.5 Rockies 372.5 -0.0
Mets 231.5 Nationals 313.5 -0.0
Cubs 235.5 Reds 299.5 -0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 6/17100.0*Lottery seed
Diamondbacks vs Dodgers-0.5+0.4+0.8
Rockies vs Giants+0.1-0.0-0.2
Phillies vs Mets+0.0-0.1-0.0
Brewers vs Cubs-0.1-0.1+0.0
Royals vs Tigers+0.0-0.1-0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T123456789101112131415161718192021222324
1610-0-04293922500
15.59-0-11827352250
159-1-001724362570
8-0-20413353611
14.58-1-100211334113
7-0-374846
148-2-00011032431400
7-1-20184151
6-0-4100
13.57-2-10074152000
6-1-318820
137-3-0000640530100
6-2-2015830100
5-1-4793
12.56-3-100148003210
5-2-32920122
126-4-0001374165100
5-3-20385026400
4-2-48777
11.55-4-1026905121010
4-3-3074141461
3-2-5100
115-5-00154061916200
4-4-2055182212200
3-3-4602121782
10.54-5-103401103219400
3-4-336113261951
104-6-0019011238256000
3-5-201801143326710
2-4-48511303511
9.53-6-17011436311010
2-5-37183132183
1-4-55050
93-7-020112363512200
2-6-2217293720400
1-5-420332720
8.52-7-1006253923610
1-6-31103732173
82-8-0005223926710
1-7-2011131381540
7.51-8-1011030381840
0-7-372943147
71-9-001928382040
0-8-221353213
6.50-9-102173733120
60-10-00193139200
Total:000013114503812852100000