Toronto Blue Jays Playoff Chances 2018Beat Rays 273-147, playoff odds up 2.5 to 95.1% 9-1-0 .900 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 6/10 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed | Angels 260 Astros 254 | -1.3 | | | | Blue Jays 273 Rays 147 | +0.9 | | +0.1 | | Twins 230 Royals 281 | -0.3 | | +0.1 | | Red Sox 266 Yankees 236.5 | -0.2 | | -0.1 | | | If winner is:HomeTieAway | Week of 6/17 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed | Yankees vs Blue Jays | -6.3-1.2+1.2 | | -0.5-0.3+0.1 | | Mariners vs Astros | +2.2+2.0-0.2 | | | | Rangers vs Angels | +1.9+0.9-0.4 | | | | Rays vs Red Sox | +0.7+0.3-0.0 | | +0.3+0.1-0.0 | | Royals vs Tigers | -0.0*-0.1+0.2 | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Blue Jays finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | | TW | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 18 | -19 | | In | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | 919,379 | * | 17 | .5 | 8 | - | 1 | - | 1 | In | 99 | | | 1 | | | | | | | | | 181,357 | | | 7 | - | 0 | - | 3 | In | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | 491 | | 17 | | 8 | - | 2 | - | 0 | In | 90 | 3 | | 8 | | | | | | | | | 1,287,455 | | | 7 | - | 1 | - | 2 | In | 95 | 1 | | 4 | | | | | | | | | 20,639 | | | 6 | - | 0 | - | 4 | In | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | 27 | | 16 | .5 | 7 | - | 2 | - | 1 | In | 67 | 7 | | 26 | | | | | | | | | 287,875 | | | 6 | - | 1 | - | 3 | In | 77 | 7 | | 16 | | | | | | | | | 1,340 | | 16 | | 7 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 99.8 | % | 39 | 16 | 1 | 44 | 0 | | | | | | | | 1,257,890 | | | 6 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 99.9 | | 44 | 14 | 1 | 41 | 0 | | | | | | | | 27,795 | | | 5 | - | 1 | - | 4 | In | 71 | 9 | | 20 | | | | | | | | | 65 | | 15 | .5 | 6 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 99.4 | | 14 | 14 | 2 | 69 | 1 | | | | | | | | 238,261 | | | 5 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 99.8 | | 19 | 16 | 2 | 64 | 0 | | | | | | | | 1,497 | | | 4 | - | 1 | - | 5 | In | | | | 100 | | | | | | | | | 1 | | 15 | | 6 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 91.0 | | 4 | 9 | 5 | 73 | 9 | 0 | | | | | | | 720,509 | | | 5 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 92.9 | | 5 | 10 | 4 | 74 | 7 | 0 | | | | | | | 19,450 | | | 4 | - | 2 | - | 4 | 94.0 | | 8 | 4 | 2 | 80 | 6 | | | | | | | | 50 | | 14 | .5 | 5 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 83.3 | | 0 | 3 | 3 | 77 | 17 | 0 | | | | | | | 114,302 | | | 4 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 82.7 | | 1 | 4 | 3 | 75 | 17 | 0 | | | | | | | 895 | | 14 | | 5 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 60.3 | | 0 | 1 | 2 | 57 | 39 | 1 | | | | | | | 249,431 | | | 4 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 63.3 | | 0 | 1 | 2 | 60 | 36 | 1 | | | | | | | 7,502 | | | 3 | - | 3 | - | 4 | 74.1 | | | 4 | | 70 | 26 | | | | | | | | 27 | | 13 | .5 | 4 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 39.6 | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 39 | 57 | 4 | | | | | | | 32,111 | | | 3 | - | 4 | - | 3 | 43.2 | | | 0 | 0 | 42 | 54 | 3 | | | | | | | 271 | | 13 | | 4 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 22.9 | | | 0 | 0 | 23 | 69 | 8 | 0 | | | | | | 52,697 | | | 3 | - | 5 | - | 2 | 22.2 | | | | 0 | 22 | 70 | 8 | | | | | | | 1,566 | | | 2 | - | 4 | - | 4 | Out | | | | | 100 | | | | | | | | 4 | | 12 | .5 | 3 | - | 6 | - | 1 | 9.4 | | | | 0 | 9 | 66 | 24 | 0 | | | | | | 5,304 | | | 2 | - | 5 | - | 3 | 8.9 | | | | | 9 | 71 | 20 | | | | | | | 45 | | | 1 | - | 4 | - | 5 | Out | | | | | 100 | | | | | | | | 1 | | 12 | | 3 | - | 7 | - | 0 | 3.7 | | | | 0 | 4 | 64 | 32 | 0 | | | | | | 6,882 | | | 2 | - | 6 | - | 2 | 5.4 | | | | | 5 | 65 | 30 | | | | | | | 204 | | | 1 | - | 5 | - | 4 | Out | | | | | 100 | | | | | | | | 1 | | 11 | .5 | 2 | - | 7 | - | 1 | 1.4 | | | | | 1 | 43 | 54 | 2 | | | | | | 513 | | | 1 | - | 6 | - | 3 | Out | | | | | | 100 | | | | | | | 1 | | 11 | | 2 | - | 8 | - | 0 | Out | | | | | 36 | 62 | 2 | | | | | | 522 | | | 1 | - | 7 | - | 2 | Out | | | | | 44 | 56 | | | | | | | 16 | | 10 | .5 | 1 | - | 8 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | 20 | 65 | 15 | | | | | | 20 | | 10 | | 1 | - | 9 | - | 0 | Out | | | | | 6 | 82 | 12 | | | | | | 17 | | | 0 | - | 8 | - | 2 | Out | | | | | | 100 | | | | | | | 1 | | 9 | | 0 | - | 10 | - | 0 | Out | | | | | 1 | 42 | 54 | 3 | | | | | 562 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 95.1 | % | 56 | 7 | 1 | 31 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | 5,436,976 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Make Playoffs
LotteryYe of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds. Big GamesWeek of 6/10 | 100.0* | Lottery seed | Blue Jays 273 Rays 147 | -0.1 | | Twins 230 Royals 281 | -0.1 | | Angels 260 Astros 254 | +0.0 | | Red Sox 266 Yankees 236.5 | +0.0 | | Mets 231.5 Nationals 313.5 | +0.0 | | Pirates 282 Brewers 229 | +0.0 | | | If winner is:HomeTieAway | Week of 6/17 | 100.0* | Lottery seed | Yankees vs Blue Jays | +1.0+0.8-0.2 | | Rays vs Red Sox | -0.2-0.2+0.0 | | Rangers vs Angels | -0.1-0.1+0.0 | | Nationals vs Braves | +0.0-0.1-0.1 | | Mariners vs Astros | -0.1-0.1+0.0 | | Reds vs Pirates | -0.1-0.1+0.0 | | Indians vs Twins | -0.1-0.1+0.0 | |
What If | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | TW | W | - | L | - | T | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 19 | | 10 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 18 | .5 | 9 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 18 | | 9 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 8 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 94 | 6 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 17 | .5 | 8 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 89 | 10 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 7 | - | 0 | - | 3 | 60 | 32 | 7 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 17 | | 8 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 83 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 7 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 49 | 36 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 6 | - | 0 | - | 4 | 7 | 41 | 30 | 19 | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 16 | .5 | 7 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 40 | 40 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 6 | - | 1 | - | 3 | 8 | 29 | 33 | 21 | 8 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 16 | | 7 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 33 | 43 | 19 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 6 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 6 | 23 | 35 | 25 | 9 | 1 | 0 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 5 | - | 1 | - | 4 | | | 12 | 28 | 48 | 9 | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 15 | .5 | 6 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 4 | 20 | 35 | 28 | 11 | 2 | 0 | | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 5 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 29 | 37 | 20 | 3 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 4 | - | 1 | - | 5 | | | | | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 15 | | 6 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 3 | 17 | 31 | 27 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 5 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 35 | 21 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 4 | - | 2 | - | 4 | | | 2 | 4 | 16 | 38 | 34 | | 6 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 14 | .5 | 5 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 32 | 20 | 3 | 0 | 17 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 4 | - | 3 | - | 3 | | | 0 | 2 | 15 | 39 | 24 | 2 | 16 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 14 | | 5 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 23 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 39 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 4 | - | 4 | - | 2 | | | 0 | 2 | 10 | 30 | 20 | 1 | 34 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 3 | - | 3 | - | 4 | | | | | | 11 | 41 | 22 | 22 | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 13 | .5 | 4 | - | 5 | - | 1 | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 12 | 1 | 55 | 5 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 3 | - | 4 | - | 3 | | | | | 1 | 9 | 25 | 8 | 36 | 19 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 13 | | 4 | - | 6 | - | 0 | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 8 | 1 | 71 | 6 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 3 | - | 5 | - | 2 | | | | | 0 | 4 | 13 | 5 | 47 | 28 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | - | 4 | - | 4 | | | | | | | | | 75 | 25 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 12 | .5 | 3 | - | 6 | - | 1 | | | | | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 56 | 31 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | - | 5 | - | 3 | | | | | | | 2 | 7 | 16 | 38 | 33 | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | - | 4 | - | 5 | | | | | | | | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 12 | | 3 | - | 7 | - | 0 | | | | | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 59 | 33 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | - | 6 | - | 2 | | | | | | | 2 | 3 | 18 | 42 | 28 | 7 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | - | 5 | - | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 11 | .5 | 2 | - | 7 | - | 1 | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 22 | 43 | 29 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | - | 6 | - | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | 11 | | 2 | - | 8 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | 19 | 43 | 30 | 7 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | - | 7 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | 6 | 19 | 25 | 44 | 6 | | | | | | | | | | | | 10 | .5 | 1 | - | 8 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | 5 | 50 | 20 | 25 | | | | | | | | | | | | 10 | | 1 | - | 9 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 12 | 35 | 41 | 12 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | - | 8 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | 9 | | 0 | - | 10 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 17 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 50 | 20 | 12 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | |
|