Sports Club Stats, which I have open
in like seven browser tabs always
-Katie Baker

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 6/10100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Angels 260 Astros 254 -1.3
Blue Jays 273 Rays 147 +0.9
+0.1
Twins 230 Royals 281 -0.3
+0.1
Red Sox 266 Yankees 236.5 -0.2
-0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 6/17100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Yankees vs Blue Jays-6.3-1.2+1.2
-0.5-0.3+0.1
Mariners vs Astros+2.2+2.0-0.2
Rangers vs Angels+1.9+0.9-0.4
Rays vs Red Sox+0.7+0.3-0.0
+0.3+0.1-0.0
Royals vs Tigers-0.0*-0.1+0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Blue Jays finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs123456789101112Count
18-19In100919,379*
17.58-1-1In991181,357
7-0-3In100491
178-2-0In90381,287,455
7-1-2In951420,639
6-0-4In10027
16.57-2-1In67726287,875
6-1-3In777161,340
167-3-099.8%391614401,257,890
6-2-299.94414141027,795
5-1-4In7192065
15.56-3-199.414142691238,261
5-2-399.8191626401,497
4-1-5In1001
156-4-091.04957390720,509
5-3-292.95104747019,450
4-2-494.084280650
14.55-4-183.303377170114,302
4-3-382.714375170895
145-5-060.301257391249,431
4-4-263.3012603617,502
3-3-474.14702627
13.54-5-139.60013957432,111
3-4-343.20042543271
134-6-022.90023698052,697
3-5-222.20227081,566
2-4-4Out1004
12.53-6-19.409662405,304
2-5-38.99712045
1-4-5Out1001
123-7-03.704643206,882
2-6-25.456530204
1-5-4Out1001
11.52-7-11.4143542513
1-6-3Out1001
112-8-0Out36622522
1-7-2Out445616
10.51-8-1Out20651520
101-9-0Out6821217
0-8-2Out1001
90-10-0Out142543562
Total:95.1%56713150005,436,976

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 6/10100.0*Lottery seed
Blue Jays 273 Rays 147 -0.1
Twins 230 Royals 281 -0.1
Angels 260 Astros 254 +0.0
Red Sox 266 Yankees 236.5 +0.0
Mets 231.5 Nationals 313.5 +0.0
Pirates 282 Brewers 229 +0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 6/17100.0*Lottery seed
Yankees vs Blue Jays+1.0+0.8-0.2
Rays vs Red Sox-0.2-0.2+0.0
Rangers vs Angels-0.1-0.1+0.0
Nationals vs Braves+0.0-0.1-0.1
Mariners vs Astros-0.1-0.1+0.0
Reds vs Pirates-0.1-0.1+0.0
Indians vs Twins-0.1-0.1+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T123456789101112131415161718192021222324
1910-0-0100
18.59-0-11000
189-1-01000
8-0-294600
17.58-1-1891010
7-0-36032720
178-2-08316100
7-1-2493612200
6-0-474130194
16.57-2-1404016300
6-1-38293321810
167-3-033431941000
6-2-262335259100
5-1-412284893
15.56-3-1420352811201
5-2-3021029372030
4-1-5100
156-4-031731271120090
5-3-20182435213070
4-2-4241638346
14.55-4-101620322030170
4-3-3021539242161
145-5-000414231630390
4-4-20210302013430
3-3-4114122224
13.54-5-10017191215550
3-4-31925836192
134-6-000311817160
3-5-204135472830
2-4-47525
12.53-6-10252563140
2-5-3271638334
1-4-5100
123-7-00121593340
2-6-2231842287
1-5-4100
11.52-7-10122432940
1-6-3100
112-8-019433070
1-7-261925446
10.51-8-15502025
101-9-012354112
0-8-2100
90-10-002174029111
Total:50201274200500000000