Pittsburgh Pirates Playoff Chances 2018 50/50

Beat Brewers 282-229, playoff odds up 7.3 to 83.5%

8-2-0 .800

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the Pirates finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	Count

17.5	-18						In		100												2,107	*
17		9	-	1	-	0	In		100	0											14,026
		8	-	0	-	2	In		100												104
16	.5	8	-	1	-	1	In		100	0											5,236
		7	-	0	-	3	In		100												12
16		8	-	2	-	0	In		99	1	0	0									63,767
		7	-	1	-	2	In		99	1											813
15	.5	7	-	2	-	1	In		98	1		0									20,653
		6	-	1	-	3	In		99	1											78
15		7	-	3	-	0	In		93	6	0	1									168,488
		6	-	2	-	2	In		94	6		1									2,940
		5	-	1	-	4	In		88	13											8
14	.5	6	-	3	-	1	In		89	8	0	3									48,041
		5	-	2	-	3	In		90	7		3									229
		4	-	1	-	5	In		100												1
14		6	-	4	-	0	100.0	%	71	22	1	7	0								294,220
		5	-	3	-	2	In		72	21	1	6									5,935
		4	-	2	-	4	In		83	17											12
13	.5	5	-	4	-	1	99.9		59	25	1	14	0								72,137
		4	-	3	-	3	In		63	24		12									389
13		5	-	5	-	0	98.8		31	38	7	23	1	0	0						354,035
		4	-	4	-	2	98.9		33	37	6	23	1	0							7,330
		3	-	3	-	4	In		45	18	9	27									22
12	.5	4	-	5	-	1	96.6		17	35	9	36	3	0							72,182
		3	-	4	-	3	96.4		14	35	12	36	4								414
12		4	-	6	-	0	82.9		5	23	19	36	15	2	0	0					293,897
		3	-	5	-	2	82.9		4	23	18	38	15	2	0						5,930
		2	-	4	-	4	73.3			20	7	47	20	7							15
11	.5	3	-	6	-	1	64.5		1	11	17	36	29	6	0	0					47,780
		2	-	5	-	3	69.2		1	10	19	39	26	5							224
11		3	-	7	-	0	33.4		0	3	14	16	34	24	8	1	0	0			168,626
		2	-	6	-	2	31.5		0	3	13	16	36	25	7	1					2,988
		1	-	5	-	4	50.0				33	17	33	17							6
10	.5	2	-	7	-	1	11.2			0	6	5	24	36	22	6	1	0			20,705
		1	-	6	-	3	12.2				10	2	28	31	22	7					90
10		2	-	8	-	0	3.4			0	3	1	7	23	33	24	8	1	0		63,372
		1	-	7	-	2	2.1				2	0	7	24	35	23	8	1			811
9	.5	1	-	8	-	1	0.3				0		1	6	24	36	25	7	1		5,045
		0	-	7	-	3	Out							13	25	38		25			8
9		1	-	9	-	0	0.1				0		0	1	9	25	37	24	5	0	13,802
		0	-	8	-	2	1.0				1		1	2	6	24	39	22	5		103
8	.5	0	-	9	-	1	Out								1	6	35	39	18	2	595
8		0	-	10	-	0	Out								0	2	15	41	38	4	1,560

Total:							83.5	%	40	19	7	17	8	4	2	1	1	0	0	0	1,758,736

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24

18		10	-	0	-	0	99	1
17	.5	9	-	0	-	1	94	6
17		9	-	1	-	0	96	4	0
		8	-	0	-	2	80	20
16	.5	8	-	1	-	1	84	16	0
		7	-	0	-	3	33	58	8
16		8	-	2	-	0	84	15	0
		7	-	1	-	2	60	36	4	0
15	.5	7	-	2	-	1	58	38	4	0
		6	-	1	-	3	24	46	24	4	1
15		7	-	3	-	0	58	37	5	0	0
		6	-	2	-	2	25	46	23	6	0
		5	-	1	-	4	13		63	13	13
14	.5	6	-	3	-	1	24	47	23	5	1	0	0
		5	-	2	-	3	3	20	35	29	11	2	0
		4	-	1	-	5						100
14		6	-	4	-	0	23	46	24	6	1	0	0		0
		5	-	3	-	2	4	22	35	26	10	3	0
		4	-	2	-	4			17		42	42
13	.5	5	-	4	-	1	3	21	34	27	12	3	0	0	0	0
		4	-	3	-	3		1	9	23	33	25	8	1
13		5	-	5	-	0	3	19	33	27	12	3	0	0	1	0
		4	-	4	-	2	0	2	9	23	31	23	9	1	1	0	0
		3	-	3	-	4					5	18	41	36
12	.5	4	-	5	-	1	0	1	8	21	30	24	10	2	3	0	0
		3	-	4	-	3			0	1	7	26	39	23	2	1	0
12		4	-	6	-	0	0	1	7	18	26	21	9	2	15	2	0	0
		3	-	5	-	2			0	1	7	22	33	20	8	6	2	1	0
		2	-	4	-	4							7	67		13	7		7
11	.5	3	-	6	-	1		0	0	1	5	16	26	16	16	14	5	1	0	0
		2	-	5	-	3							17	53		6	11	7	6	1	0
11		3	-	7	-	0		0	0	0	2	8	14	9	30	26	9	2	0	0	0
		2	-	6	-	2						1	6	25	3	13	21	18	10	3	0	0
		1	-	5	-	4								50					17	33
10	.5	2	-	7	-	1					0	0	2	9	3	16	28	25	12	4	1	0	0
		1	-	6	-	3								12		1	2	9	11	30	21	10	2	1
10		2	-	8	-	0						0	0	3	3	16	30	27	15	5	1	0	0
		1	-	7	-	2								2		0	2	8	19	31	23	12	3	0
9	.5	1	-	8	-	1								0		0	1	6	18	29	25	14	5	1	0
		0	-	7	-	3															13	38	25	25
9		1	-	9	-	0								0		0	1	5	16	28	27	16	6	1	0	0
		0	-	8	-	2								1						3	8	14	31	31	10	3
8	.5	0	-	9	-	1													0	1	6	20	28	29	12	3	1
8		0	-	10	-	0														1	4	17	26	28	17	6	1	0

Total:							16	19	15	12	9	7	4	2	6	4	2	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0