Cincinatti Reds Playoff Chances 2018

Beat Cubs 299.5-235.5, playoff odds up 28.3 to 76.4%

7-3-0 .700

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the Reds finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	Count

17		10	-	0	-	0	In		100												26,109
16	.5	9	-	0	-	1	In		88	11		1									9,191
16		9	-	1	-	0	In		77	12		11									195,155
		8	-	0	-	2	In		83	13		4									1,496
15	.5	8	-	1	-	1	In		48	32	0	20									61,558
		7	-	0	-	3	In		44	41		16									116
15		8	-	2	-	0	99.9	%	30	25	0	45	0								626,608
		7	-	1	-	2	In		36	29	0	35									8,510
		6	-	0	-	4	In		44	22		33									9
14	.5	7	-	2	-	1	99.8		12	30	1	57	0								169,978
		6	-	1	-	3	In		14	33	0	53									635
14		7	-	3	-	0	97.7		5	16	0	76	2	0							1,109,339
		6	-	2	-	2	98.3		6	20	0	73	2								20,370
		5	-	1	-	4	95.2		12	17	2	64	5								42
13	.5	6	-	3	-	1	94.9		1	11	2	81	5	0							256,441
		5	-	2	-	3	95.7		1	14	1	80	4								1,270
		4	-	1	-	5	In					100									3
13		6	-	4	-	0	83.5		0	4	1	78	16	0	0						1,199,555
		5	-	3	-	2	85.5		0	5	1	79	14	0	0						25,021
		4	-	2	-	4	88.5			6	2	81	12								52
12	.5	5	-	4	-	1	72.7		0	1	1	70	26	1	0						229,525
		4	-	3	-	3	75.5			2	2	72	24	0							1,311
		3	-	2	-	5	Out						100								1
12		5	-	5	-	0	50.5		0	0	0	50	45	4	0	0					819,057
		4	-	4	-	2	53.1		0	0	0	52	43	3	0						18,139
		3	-	3	-	4	55.3					55	40	4							47
11	.5	4	-	5	-	1	31.8			0	0	32	53	14	1	0					126,828
		3	-	4	-	3	32.7			0	0	32	52	15	1						703
		2	-	3	-	5	Out							100							1
11		4	-	6	-	0	13.6			0	0	14	51	29	6	0	0	0			354,722
		3	-	5	-	2	14.4				0	14	52	28	6	0	0				7,657
		2	-	4	-	4	21.4					21	43	36							14
10	.5	3	-	6	-	1	3.5				0	4	29	43	21	3	0				42,558
		2	-	5	-	3	7.4					7	27	46	18	2					202
		1	-	4	-	5	In					100									1
10		3	-	7	-	0	0.7				0	1	12	34	35	16	3	0			95,906
		2	-	6	-	2	0.4					0	12	34	35	15	3	0			1,804
		1	-	5	-	4	Out							50	50						2
9	.5	2	-	7	-	1	Out						2	15	38	35	11	1	0		8,383
		1	-	6	-	3	Out							19	35	38	8				37
9		2	-	8	-	0	Out						0	4	18	36	31	10	1		15,450
		1	-	7	-	2	Out							3	22	36	26	12	0		268
8	.5	1	-	8	-	1	Out								6	27	43	22	1		851
8		1	-	9	-	0	Out							0	1	6	33	47	13	0	1,392
		0	-	8	-	2	Out									8	38	38	15		13
7	.5	0	-	9	-	1	Out									5	13	55	28		40
7		0	-	10	-	0	Out									0	4	40	54	1	606

Total:							76.4	%	9	10	0	57	18	4	1	1	0	0	0	0	5,436,976

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24

17		10	-	0	-	0	32	53	14	1	0
16	.5	9	-	0	-	1	4	25	41	25	5	1	0
16		9	-	1	-	0	3	24	39	26	7	1	0
		8	-	0	-	2		2	13	33	35	15	2
15	.5	8	-	1	-	1	0	2	11	29	36	19	4	0
		7	-	0	-	3			1	4	25	45	24	1
15		8	-	2	-	0	0	1	9	27	36	22	5	0	0	0
		7	-	1	-	2			0	5	21	43	31	1
		6	-	0	-	4					11		89
14	.5	7	-	2	-	1		0	0	4	18	41	35	1	0	0
		6	-	1	-	3					3	24	65	8
14		7	-	3	-	0	0	0	0	3	16	40	37	1	2	1	0
		6	-	2	-	2				0	2	20	67	9	1	1	0
		5	-	1	-	4					2	7	60	26		5
13	.5	6	-	3	-	1			0	0	2	18	66	9	2	3	0	0
		5	-	2	-	3						3	60	33	1	3	1	0
		4	-	1	-	5							33	67
13		6	-	4	-	0			0	0	1	14	60	9	6	9	1	0
		5	-	3	-	2					0	3	53	30	2	9	4	0
		4	-	2	-	4							29	60		8	2		2
12	.5	5	-	4	-	1				0	0	2	46	25	3	16	8	0	0
		4	-	3	-	3						0	24	51	1	7	13	3
		3	-	2	-	5												100
12		5	-	5	-	0					0	1	32	17	5	28	16	1	0	0
		4	-	4	-	2						0	17	36	1	13	26	7	1	0
		3	-	3	-	4							2	53			17	17	9	2
11	.5	4	-	5	-	1						0	11	21	1	18	38	11	1	0
		3	-	4	-	3							2	30		2	23	28	12	1	0
		2	-	3	-	5													100
11		4	-	6	-	0						0	5	9	1	21	50	13	1	0
		3	-	5	-	2							1	13	0	3	27	38	15	2	0
		2	-	4	-	4								21			7	7	29	29	7
10	.5	3	-	6	-	1							0	3	0	3	31	41	19	3	0
		2	-	5	-	3								7			3	21	38	26	4	1
		1	-	4	-	5								100
10		3	-	7	-	0							0	1	0	3	30	42	21	4	0	0
		2	-	6	-	2								0		0	3	19	40	29	7	1
		1	-	5	-	4														50	50
9	.5	2	-	7	-	1										0	2	17	38	33	9	1	0
		1	-	6	-	3													8	30	43	19
9		2	-	8	-	0										0	2	15	37	34	11	1	0
		1	-	7	-	2												1	8	26	35	27	3	0
8	.5	1	-	8	-	1													6	28	39	22	5	0
8		1	-	9	-	0												0	5	25	42	23	5	0
		0	-	8	-	2														8		46	31	15
7	.5	0	-	9	-	1														3	10	25	45	13	5
7		0	-	10	-	0															2	17	38	31	11	1

Total:							0	1	3	5	9	17	34	8	3	9	8	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0