Boston Red Sox Playoff Chances 2018

Beat Yankees 266-236.5, playoff odds up 2.1 to 95.6%

8-2-0 .800

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the Red Sox finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	Count

18		10	-	0	-	0	In		100												332,660
17	.5	9	-	0	-	1	In		98			2									90,673
17		9	-	1	-	0	In		73			27									1,120,038
		8	-	0	-	2	In		92			8									11,097
16	.5	8	-	1	-	1	In		55	6		40									265,947
		7	-	0	-	3	In		65	8		27									730
16		8	-	2	-	0	In		25	4	0	72									1,476,754
		7	-	1	-	2	In		34	5	0	61									27,713
		6	-	0	-	4	In		41	5		54									37
15	.5	7	-	2	-	1	99.6	%	9	9	1	81	0								302,248
		6	-	1	-	3	99.5		11	11	1	76	1								1,681
		5	-	0	-	5	In					100									1
15		7	-	3	-	0	98.8		2	3	1	92	1	0							1,004,357
		6	-	2	-	2	99.1		4	5	1	90	1								26,899
		5	-	1	-	4	96.7		2	8	3	84	3								61
14	.5	6	-	3	-	1	88.3		0	2	2	85	12	0							176,654
		5	-	2	-	3	88.7		1	2	1	85	11								1,366
14		6	-	4	-	0	79.7		0	0	1	79	19	1							395,854
		5	-	3	-	2	80.9		0	0	1	80	18	1							12,988
		4	-	2	-	4	82.0			2		80	18								50
13	.5	5	-	4	-	1	48.6		0	0	0	48	47	5							57,853
		4	-	3	-	3	52.6				0	52	44	4							532
		3	-	2	-	5	Out						100								2
13		5	-	5	-	0	34.5			0	0	34	50	16							96,423
		4	-	4	-	2	36.0			0	0	36	50	14							3,545
		3	-	3	-	4	35.3					35	59	6							17
12	.5	4	-	5	-	1	12.2				0	12	54	34	0						11,727
		3	-	4	-	3	13.5					13	48	38							126
12		4	-	6	-	0	6.7					7	40	53	0						14,765
		3	-	5	-	2	4.7					5	43	53	0						575
		2	-	4	-	4	Out						20	80							5
11	.5	3	-	6	-	1	1.6					2	26	72	0						1,407
		2	-	5	-	3	Out						8	92							12
11		3	-	7	-	0	0.4					0	16	82	1						1,400
		2	-	6	-	2	Out						10	88	3						40
10	.5	2	-	7	-	1	Out						9	89	1						85
		1	-	6	-	3	Out						100								1
10		2	-	8	-	0	Out						4	91	5						80
		1	-	7	-	2	Out							100							4
9	.5	1	-	8	-	1	Out							100							5
9		1	-	9	-	0	Out							50	50						2
8		0	-	10	-	0	Out							33	47	19	1				562

Total:							95.6	%	34	3	0	59	4	1	0	0	0				5,436,976

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24

18		10	-	0	-	0	99	1
17	.5	9	-	0	-	1	84	15	1	0	0
17		9	-	1	-	0	71	26	3	0	0
		8	-	0	-	2	39	40	17	4	0	0
16	.5	8	-	1	-	1	28	44	22	5	1	0
		7	-	0	-	3	5	22	38	24	11	1	0
16		8	-	2	-	0	21	47	25	6	1	0	0
		7	-	1	-	2	3	19	35	29	12	2	0
		6	-	0	-	4			5	32	46	16
15	.5	7	-	2	-	1	2	17	35	31	13	2	0		0
		6	-	1	-	3	0	1	9	26	37	23	4		1
		5	-	0	-	5						100
15		7	-	3	-	0	1	16	35	31	13	2	0	0	1	0
		6	-	2	-	2	0	1	7	25	39	23	4	0	1	0
		5	-	1	-	4				3	11	51	31		3
14	.5	6	-	3	-	1	0	1	6	22	34	21	3	0	12	0
		5	-	2	-	3			0	2	17	40	26	3	10	1
14		6	-	4	-	0	0	1	6	20	31	19	3	0	20	0	0
		5	-	3	-	2			0	2	14	39	25	2	16	3	0
		4	-	2	-	4						20	44	18	16	2
13	.5	5	-	4	-	1		0	0	1	9	23	15	1	46	6	0
		4	-	3	-	3					0	7	32	13	27	18	2	0
		3	-	2	-	5									50		50
13		5	-	5	-	0			0	1	6	16	10	1	58	7	0	0
		4	-	4	-	2				0	0	7	21	8	33	28	3	0
		3	-	3	-	4							24	12	24	24	18
12	.5	4	-	5	-	1					0	2	7	3	48	35	5	0
		3	-	4	-	3							3	10	8	37	37	6
12		4	-	6	-	0					0	1	4	2	51	38	5	0
		3	-	5	-	2							2	2	13	40	35	7	0
		2	-	4	-	4										40	60
11	.5	3	-	6	-	1						0	1	1	14	44	34	7	0
		2	-	5	-	3										8	25	50	8	8
11		3	-	7	-	0							0	0	13	47	32	7	1
		2	-	6	-	2										8	30	45	13	3		3
10	.5	2	-	7	-	1									1	11	36	33	18		1
		1	-	6	-	3														100
10		2	-	8	-	0										6	25	48	20	1
		1	-	7	-	2												25	75
9	.5	1	-	8	-	1												20	20	40	20
9		1	-	9	-	0												50		50
8		0	-	10	-	0													1	3	18	38	29	10	1	0

Total:							30	25	18	12	7	3	1	0	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0