Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

Ukraine Kozaks Playoff Chances 3

Plays at Vikings, playoff odds down 0.03 to 44.7%

0 points 0 1-0

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Average seed
Vikings vs Kozaks	-6.5-1.5-1.7+5.6+5.3+5.7		-0.7-0.3-0.2+0.5+0.5+0.6		-0.7-0.1-0.1+0.6+0.5+0.6
H. Wolves vs Trash Pandas	+0.1-0.6-0.0-0.9-0.5*+0.1				+0.0-0.1+0.0-0.1*-0.0+0.0
Muckaneers vs Twisters					+0.0-0.1-0.0-0.0-0.0+0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Average seed
Wings vs Maple Leafs					-0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1-0.0+0.0
W. Wolves vs Bruins			+0.1-0.0-0.0+0.0-0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Kozaks finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Pres		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	Count

62	-78						In		98.9	%	100															697	*
61		29	7		-	3	In		96.6		99	1														472	*
60		29	8		-	2	In		92.9		97	3														834	*
59		28	8		-	3	In		89.5		96	4														1,477	*
58		28	9		-	2	In		84.5		93	7	0													2,466	*
57		27	9		-	3	In		76.3		90	10	0													3,926	*
56		27	10		-	2	In		64.7		83	16	1													6,119	*
55		26	10		-	3	In		51.0		75	23	2	0												9,169	*
54		26	11		-	2	In		36.2		64	31	5	0												13,265	*
53		25	11		-	3	In		21.5		50	40	9	1	0											18,489	*
52		25	12		-	2	In		10.9		37	44	17	3	0	0										25,330	*
51		24	12		-	3	In		3.8		23	42	26	7	1	0	0									33,185	*
50		24	13		-	2	In		1.1		13	35	34	15	3	0	0									43,281	*
49		23	13		-	3	In		0.1		5	24	36	25	8	2	0	0								53,419	*
48		23	14		-	2	In		0.0		2	12	29	32	18	5	1	0								65,168	*
47		22	14		-	3	100.0	%	No		0	4	17	31	28	14	4	1	0							76,738	*
46		22	15		-	2	99.8		No		0	1	9	23	33	24	9	2	0	0						41,122
		21	14		-	4	99.4		No		0	1	5	18	30	28	14	4	1	0	0					46,650	*
45		21	15		-	3	97.7		No			0	1	8	22	32	24	10	2	0	0	0				45,676
		22	16		-	1	97.2		No		0	0	2	9	23	30	23	10	2	0	0					51,921	*
44		21	16		-	2	92.1		No			0	0	3	12	27	31	20	7	1	0	0				49,555
		20	15		-	4	85.8		No			0	0	2	8	21	30	25	11	3	0	0				56,924	*
43		20	16		-	3	67.4		No			0	0	0	2	10	24	31	22	8	2	0	0			52,170
		21	17		-	1	68.4		No				0	0	3	11	24	29	21	9	2	0	0			59,944	*
42		20	17		-	2	47.7		No				0	0	1	4	14	28	29	17	5	1	0			63,404	*
		19	16		-	4	29.2		No						0	1	7	20	31	26	11	3	0	0		51,287	*
41		19	17		-	3	16.2		No					0	0	0	3	12	26	30	19	7	1	0	0	114,182	*
40		19	18		-	2	5.9		No							0	1	5	17	30	29	14	3	0	0	51,449
		18	17		-	4	3.5		No							0	0	3	12	25	31	20	7	1	0	60,375	*
39		18	18		-	3	0.9		No							0	0	1	5	17	30	29	14	3	0	104,932	*
38		18	19		-	2	0.2		No								0	0	2	9	24	34	23	7	1	53,327	*
		17	18		-	4	0.0		No									0	1	5	17	32	31	13	2	43,649	*
37		17	19		-	3	0.0		No									0	0	2	10	28	36	20	4	40,260
		18	20		-	1	0.0		No									0	0	2	11	27	35	20	4	46,192	*
36		17	20		-	2	Out		No										0	1	4	18	35	32	10	75,816	*
35		16	20		-	3	Out		No										0	0	1	9	29	41	20	63,895	*
34		16	21		-	2	Out		No											0	0	4	20	44	32	53,109	*
33		15	21		-	3	Out		No											0	0	1	12	41	46	42,402	*
32		15	22		-	2	Out		No												0	0	6	34	59	33,231	*
31		14	22		-	3	Out		No												0	0	3	27	70	25,037	*
30		14	23		-	2	Out		No													0	1	19	80	18,637	*
29		13	23		-	3	Out		No														0	13	86	13,336	*
28		13	24		-	2	Out		No														0	8	92	9,266	*
27		12	24		-	3	Out		No														0	5	95	6,294	*
26		12	25		-	2	Out		No														0	3	97	4,072	*
25		11	25		-	3	Out		No															1	99	2,501	*
24		11	26		-	2	Out		No															1	99	1,569	*
23		10	26		-	3	Out		No															1	99	949	*
22		10	27		-	2	Out		No															0	100	569	*
0	-21						Out		No																100	843	*

Total:							44.7	%	1.7	%	4	5	5	6	6	6	7	7	7	7	8	8	8	8	9	1,738,580

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Vikings vs Kozaks	+1.4+0.3+0.3-1.2-1.2-1.3

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
KekW vs Liberate	-0.0+0.0+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

64	-78						100
63		30	6		-	3	97	3
62		30	7		-	2	99	1
61		29	7		-	3	97	3
60		29	8		-	2	93	7	0
59		28	8		-	3	90	10	0
58		28	9		-	2	85	15	1
57		27	9		-	3	76	22	2	0
56		27	10		-	2	65	30	5	0	0
55		26	10		-	3	51	37	11	1	0
54		26	11		-	2	36	41	18	5	1	0
53		25	11		-	3	22	38	27	10	2	0	0	0
52		25	12		-	2	11	29	31	19	7	2	0	0
51		24	12		-	3	4	17	28	27	16	6	2	0	0
50		24	13		-	2	1	6	18	27	24	15	6	2	0	0	0
49		23	13		-	3	0	2	7	17	25	24	16	7	2	0	0	0
48		23	14		-	2	0	0	2	6	14	22	24	18	9	4	1	0	0	0
47		22	14		-	3		0	0	1	4	10	19	23	21	13	6	2	0	0	0	0
46		22	15		-	2			0	0	0	2	6	14	21	23	18	10	4	1	0	0	0
45		21	15		-	3				0	0	0	1	3	8	15	22	21	16	9	3	1	0	0	0
44		21	16		-	2						0	0	0	1	4	9	17	22	21	15	8	3	1	0	0	0
43		20	16		-	3							0	0	0	0	1	4	10	17	22	20	14	7	3	1	0	0	0
42		20	17		-	2									0	0	0	0	2	6	14	21	23	18	10	4	1	0	0
		19	16		-	4										0	0	0	1	4	8	15	21	21	16	9	3	1	0	0	0
41		19	17		-	3												0	0	0	2	5	12	19	22	19	12	6	2	0	0	0	0
40		19	18		-	2													0	0	0	1	4	9	17	23	22	15	7	2	1	0	0
		18	17		-	4														0	0	0	1	3	9	17	23	22	15	7	2	0	0	0
39		18	18		-	3															0	0	0	1	3	9	17	23	22	15	7	3	1	0	0
38		18	19		-	2																0	0	0	0	2	5	13	21	24	19	11	4	1	0	0
37		17	19		-	3																		0	0	0	1	4	10	19	25	23	13	5	1	0
36		17	20		-	2																				0	0	1	3	8	18	26	24	14	5	1
35		16	20		-	3																					0	0	0	2	8	19	28	26	13	3
34		16	21		-	2																						0	0	0	3	10	22	32	24	8
33		15	21		-	3																							0	0	1	4	13	30	35	17
32		15	22		-	2																								0	0	1	6	22	41	31
31		14	22		-	3																									0	0	2	14	39	45
30		14	23		-	2																										0	1	7	33	60
29		13	23		-	3																										0	0	3	25	71
28		13	24		-	2																											0	1	18	81
27		12	24		-	3																												1	12	88
26		12	25		-	2																												0	7	92
25		11	25		-	3																												0	4	96
24		11	26		-	2																													2	98
23		10	26		-	3																													2	98
22		10	27		-	2																													1	99
21		9	27		-	3																													1	99
20		9	28		-	2																													1	99
18	-19																																			100
17		7	29		-	3																													3	97
0	-16																																			100

Total:							2	2	2	2	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	5