How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
Beavers 3 Giant Eagles 8 +0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Muckaneers vs Twisters+5.7+5.3+4.9-1.5-1.5-6.6
+1.6+1.5+1.2-0.5-0.5-1.8
+0.6+0.6+0.5-0.2-0.2-0.7
Vikings vs Kozaks+0.5*+0.1*-0.0*-0.6*-0.3-0.4
H. Wolves vs Trash Pandas+0.1*+0.1*+0.1*-0.1-0.3*-0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
Muckaneers vs Zigzagoons+5.7+5.2+5.2-1.7-1.4-6.6
+1.6+1.4+1.3-0.6-0.4-1.8
+0.6+0.6+0.6-0.2-0.2-0.7
H. Wolves vs Beavers*+0.0-0.7*+0.0*-0.5-0.5*+0.1
*+0.0-0.1*+0.0*-0.1*-0.0+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Muckaneers finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy123456789101112131415Count
65-80InYes100708*
64307-2In99.2%1000531*
63308-1In99.21000829*
62298-2In97.910001,602*
61288-3In96.69912,477*
60289-2In94.49824,262*
59279-3In90.896406,404*
582710-2In84.593709,764*
572610-3In75.78910014,082*
562611-2In64.483161019,732*
552511-3In51.175232027,014*
542512-2In35.4643150035,554*
532412-3In21.8513991044,879*
522413-2In10.837431730056,756*
512313-3In3.9244226710068,039*
502314-2In1.01235341530079,734*
492214-3In0.1523372691041,797
2315-1In0.2624362481048,239*
482215-2100.0%0.02123032185100100,644*
472115-3100.00.0041632291440049,759
2216-1100.0No0518312814410057,433*
462116-299.8No019243223920066,935*
2015-499.4No01416302915410046,196*
452016-397.5No0029233123102000114,629*
442017-292.8No00313273119610066,107*
1916-484.1No0161931271230048,081*
431917-369.2No003112530218200109,906*
421918-246.2No00414283017510049,198
1817-435.6No000210233122920054,800*
411818-317.0No000313263019610094,984*
401819-25.8No0151730291430039,957
1718-44.1No0141226311961043,854*
391719-31.0No0015173129143072,957*
381720-20.1No00182133269161,508*
371620-30.0No00211283520450,200*
361621-20.0No00141835321040,395*
351521-3OutNo001929412030,978*
341522-2OutNo00420433223,565*
331422-3OutNo0212414617,452*
321423-2OutNo016355912,456*
311323-3OutNo0327708,573*
301324-2OutNo0119805,677*
291224-3OutNo113863,818*
281225-2OutNo08912,438*
271125-3OutNo05951,470*
261126-2OutNo0397888*
251026-3OutNo298538*
241027-2OutNo199310*
23927-3OutNo199171*
2-22OutNo100300*
Total:65.3%5.4%10998877766655431,738,580

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Muckaneers vs Twisters-1.2-1.2-1.1+0.3+0.3+1.4
H. Wolves vs Trash Pandas-0.0*-0.0*+0.1*+0.0+0.0*-0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Muckaneers vs Zigzagoons-1.2-1.2-1.2+0.4+0.3+1.4
H. Wolves vs Beavers*+0.0*+0.1*-0.0+0.1*+0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
65-80100
64307-2991
63308-1991
62298-2982
61288-39730
60289-29450
59279-39190
582710-2841510
572610-37622200
562611-26430500
552511-3513710200
542512-23541194100
532412-3223827102000
522413-21129331972000
512313-341629281662000
502314-21718272515620000
492214-301616252517720000
2315-10281725231572100
482215-20026142224181041000
472115-3000141019232113620000
462116-20013917232215721000
2015-4001391723221572100
452016-300013816212216931000
442017-20000251220231911510000
1916-400025122023201252000
431917-3000141017222014721000
421918-200127142123171041000
1817-400126142123181041000
411818-30000251219221912620000
401819-200127142022181041000
391719-30001391722221573100
381720-200002613212419114100
371620-3000141019252313510
361621-2001381826251551
351521-300028192826133
341522-2002102232258
331422-3001313293618
321423-20016214130
311323-3002133946
301324-20173359
291224-3032670
281225-2011782
271125-3011287
261126-20793
251026-3496
241027-2298
23927-3199
22928-2100
21828-3398
2-20100
Total:555544444444433333333332222221