Quebec KekW Playoff Chances 3

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.02 to 35.6%

0 points 0 2-0

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Average seed
Vikings vs Kozaks	-0.3-0.6-0.1+0.0*-0.0+0.4				-0.0-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0
Stingers vs Armada					+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1-0.0*+0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Average seed
KekW vs Liberate	+6.1+5.6+5.2-1.4-1.7-6.4		+0.4+0.4+0.3*-0.1-0.2-0.4		+0.6+0.6+0.6-0.2-0.2-0.7

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the KekW finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Pres		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	Count

63	-76						In		99.5	%	100															218	*
62		30	6		-	2	In		95.7		99	1														69	*
61		30	7		-	1	In		96.8		99	1														158	*
60		29	7		-	2	In		92.3		97	3														297	*
59		28	7		-	3	In		92.0		96	4														565	*
58		28	8		-	2	In		83.9		95	5	0													1,055	*
57		27	8		-	3	In		76.2		91	9	0													1,795	*
56		27	9		-	2	In		66.4		85	14	1	0												2,901	*
55		26	9		-	3	In		49.7		77	21	2	0												4,695	*
54		26	10		-	2	In		35.6		66	30	4	0												7,277	*
53		25	10		-	3	In		22.0		54	37	9	1	0											10,764	*
52		25	11		-	2	In		10.8		40	43	15	2	0											15,491	*
51		24	11		-	3	In		4.3		26	43	25	6	1	0										21,634	*
50		24	12		-	2	In		1.0		14	37	33	14	3	0	0									29,348	*
49		23	12		-	3	In		0.2		6	25	36	24	8	1	0									38,298	*
48		23	13		-	2	100.0	%	0.0		2	14	30	32	17	5	1	0	0							48,690	*
47		22	13		-	3	100.0		No		0	5	18	32	28	13	3	0	0							59,933	*
46		22	14		-	2	99.6		No		0	1	7	21	31	25	11	2	0	0						72,341	*
45		21	14		-	3	97.6		No		0	0	2	9	23	31	23	9	2	0	0	0				83,326	*
44		21	15		-	2	92.5		No			0	0	3	12	27	31	19	6	1	0	0				44,396
		20	14		-	4	85.8		No		0	0	0	2	8	21	30	24	11	3	0	0				49,900	*
43		20	15		-	3	68.2		No				0	0	3	11	24	30	21	8	2	0	0			103,857	*
42		20	16		-	2	45.2		No				0	0	0	4	14	28	31	18	6	1	0	0		52,541
		19	15		-	4	33.9		No					0	0	2	9	22	30	23	10	2	0	0		58,775	*
41		19	16		-	3	14.0		No						0	0	3	11	25	32	21	7	1	0		53,785
		20	17		-	1	16.7		No						0	1	4	13	26	29	20	7	1	0	0	61,733	*
40		19	17		-	2	4.5		No							0	1	4	14	28	30	17	5	1	0	66,548	*
		18	16		-	4	3.8		No						0	0	1	3	12	26	31	20	6	1	0	50,497	*
39		18	17		-	3	0.8		No							0	0	1	5	16	29	30	16	4	0	114,250	*
38		18	18		-	2	0.1		No									0	1	8	22	34	25	9	1	50,924
		17	17		-	4	0.1		No								0	0	1	5	18	32	30	13	2	58,263	*
37		17	18		-	3	0.0		No									0	0	2	9	26	36	23	5	47,452
		18	19		-	1	0.0		No									0	0	2	10	26	34	22	5	54,180	*
36		17	19		-	2	Out		No										0	0	4	16	34	34	12	92,071	*
35		16	19		-	3	Out		No											0	1	8	27	42	22	80,135	*
34		16	20		-	2	Out		No											0	0	3	17	43	36	68,448	*
33		15	20		-	3	Out		No												0	1	10	39	50	57,034	*
32		15	21		-	2	Out		No												0	0	5	31	63	46,513	*
31		14	21		-	3	Out		No													0	2	24	74	36,356	*
30		14	22		-	2	Out		No													0	1	16	83	27,683	*
29		13	22		-	3	Out		No													0	0	11	89	20,597	*
28		13	23		-	2	Out		No														0	7	93	14,732	*
27		12	23		-	3	Out		No														0	4	96	10,016	*
26		12	24		-	2	Out		No															2	98	7,049	*
25		11	24		-	3	Out		No															1	99	4,623	*
24		11	25		-	2	Out		No															1	99	3,001	*
23		10	25		-	3	Out		No															0	100	1,792	*
22		10	26		-	2	Out		No																100	1,069	*
21		9	26		-	3	Out		No															0	100	632	*
0	-20						Out		No																100	873	*

Total:							35.6	%	0.9	%	2	3	4	4	5	5	6	6	7	7	8	9	10	11	13	1,738,580

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Tuesday	None

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
KekW vs Liberate	-1.3-1.2-1.2+0.3+0.3+1.3

What If

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

64	-76						100
63		31	6		-	1	98	2
62		30	6		-	2	96	4
61		30	7		-	1	97	3
60		29	7		-	2	92	7	0
59		28	7		-	3	92	8	0
58		28	8		-	2	84	15	1
57		27	8		-	3	76	21	2	0
56		27	9		-	2	66	28	5	1
55		26	9		-	3	50	38	11	1	0
54		26	10		-	2	36	41	18	4	1	0
53		25	10		-	3	22	38	28	10	2	0	0
52		25	11		-	2	11	29	32	19	7	1	0	0	0
51		24	11		-	3	4	16	29	27	16	6	1	0	0	0
50		24	12		-	2	1	7	18	27	24	15	6	2	0	0
49		23	12		-	3	0	2	7	17	25	24	15	7	2	0	0	0
48		23	13		-	2	0	0	2	6	14	23	23	18	9	4	1	0	0	0
47		22	13		-	3		0	0	1	4	11	19	24	20	13	6	2	0	0	0	0
46		22	14		-	2		0	0	0	1	2	7	14	21	23	17	10	4	1	0	0	0	0
45		21	14		-	3					0	0	1	3	8	16	21	22	16	9	3	1	0	0	0
44		21	15		-	2						0	0	0	1	4	9	17	22	21	14	8	3	1	0	0	0
43		20	15		-	3								0	0	0	1	4	10	17	22	20	14	7	2	1	0	0
42		20	16		-	2										0	0	1	2	7	14	22	23	17	9	4	1	0	0	0
		19	15		-	4											0	0	0	2	7	14	21	23	18	10	4	1	0	0	0
41		19	16		-	3											0	0	0	0	2	6	12	19	22	19	12	6	2	0	0	0	0
40		19	17		-	2													0	0	0	1	3	9	17	23	22	15	7	2	1	0
		18	16		-	4														0	0	0	1	4	9	17	23	22	15	7	2	0	0	0	0
39		18	17		-	3															0	0	0	1	3	9	17	22	22	15	8	3	1	0	0
38		18	18		-	2																0	0	0	1	3	8	16	23	23	16	8	2	0	0	0
		17	17		-	4																		0	0	1	3	8	18	24	23	15	6	2	0	0
37		17	18		-	3																		0	0	0	1	4	10	19	25	22	13	5	1	0
36		17	19		-	2																				0	0	1	3	10	20	27	23	12	3	0
		16	18		-	4																				0	0	0	2	7	16	25	26	17	6	1
35		16	19		-	3																					0	0	0	2	8	19	28	26	13	3
34		16	20		-	2																						0	0	0	3	9	22	32	25	8
33		15	20		-	3																								0	1	4	13	29	36	18
32		15	21		-	2																									0	1	6	22	40	31
31		14	21		-	3																									0	0	2	13	39	45
30		14	22		-	2																										0	1	7	33	60
29		13	22		-	3																										0	0	3	25	71
28		13	23		-	2																											0	1	17	81
27		12	23		-	3																											0	1	11	88
26		12	24		-	2																												0	7	93
25		11	24		-	3																													4	96
24		11	25		-	2																												0	3	97
23		10	25		-	3																												0	1	99
22		10	26		-	2																													1	99
21		9	26		-	3																													0	100
20		9	27		-	2																													1	99
0	-19																																			100

Total:							1	1	1	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	5	5	5	6	6	7